El interés en corto de Exxon Mobil da a los inversores una idea del grado en que los inversores apuestan por la caída de las acciones de Exxon Mobil. Los datos de interés en corto se actualizan cada dos semanas.

Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) Bolsa, Informe de interés en corto

Exxon Mobil

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2023, it produced 2.4 million barrels of liquids and 7.7 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2023, reserves were 16.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 66% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.5 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

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¿Qué acciones del Dow Jones prometen mejores rendimientos en 2025? Analizamos los datos y proyecciones más recientes.

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Las acciones de Exxon Mobil (XOM) caen tras anunciar despidos posterior a la adquisición de Pioneer Natural Resources.

Exxon Mobil (XOM) reduce personal después de la fusión con Pioneer

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOMA Royalty Corp

XOMA Royalty Corporation - Depositary Shares Rep Series B 8.375% Cumulative Preferred Stock

XOMA Royalty Corporation - 8.625% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock

Tidal ETF Trust II YieldMax XOM Option Income Strategy ETF

Whales with a lot of money to spend have taken a noticeably bullish stance on Exxon Mobil.
Looking at options history for Exxon Mobil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) we detected 10 trades.
If we consider the specifics of each trade, it is accurate to state that 50% of the investors opened trades with bullish expectations and 40% with bearish.
From the overall spotted trades, 3 are puts, for a total amount of $97,084 and 7, calls, for a total amount of $559,250.
<h3>Projected Price Targets</h3>
Analyzing the Volume and Open Interest in these contracts, it seems that the big players have been eyeing a price window from $90.0 to $125.0 for Exxon Mobil during the past quarter. 
<h3>Analyzing Volume &amp; Open Interest</h3>
Examining the volume and open interest provides crucial insights into stock research. This information is key in gauging liquidity and interest levels for Exxon Mobil's options at certain strike prices. Below, we present a snapshot of the trends in volume and open interest for calls and puts across Exxon Mobil's significant trades, within a strike price range of $90.0 to $125.0, over the past month.
<h3>Exxon Mobil Option Volume And Open Interest Over Last 30 Days</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1737477933_0.png" alt="Options Call Chart" />
<h3>Significant Options Trades Detected:</h3>

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Symbol</th>
<th>PUT/CALL</th>
<th>Trade Type</th>
<th>Sentiment</th>
<th>Exp. Date</th>
<th>Ask</th>
<th>Bid</th>
<th>Price</th>
<th>Strike Price</th>
<th>Total Trade Price</th>
<th>Open Interest</th>
<th>Volume</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>02/21/25</td>
<td>$3.7</td>
<td>$3.6</td>
<td>$3.6</td>
<td>$110.00</td>
<td>$360.0K</td>
<td>8.9K</td>
<td>1.1K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>02/14/25</td>
<td>$1.13</td>
<td>$1.05</td>
<td>$1.1</td>
<td>$115.00</td>
<td>$44.0K</td>
<td>1.6K</td>
<td>483</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>01/15/27</td>
<td>$4.9</td>
<td>$4.65</td>
<td>$4.74</td>
<td>$90.00</td>
<td>$37.3K</td>
<td>635</td>
<td>96</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>07/18/25</td>
<td>$5.25</td>
<td>$5.05</td>
<td>$5.05</td>
<td>$115.00</td>
<td>$35.8K</td>
<td>819</td>
<td>88</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>NEUTRAL</td>
<td>06/20/25</td>
<td>$1.42</td>
<td>$0.94</td>
<td>$1.15</td>
<td>$95.00</td>
<td>$34.5K</td>
<td>4.7K</td>
<td>300</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<h3>About Exxon Mobil</h3>
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2023, it produced 2.4 million barrels of liquids and 7.7 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2023, reserves were 16.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 66% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.5 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
Following our analysis of the options activities associated with Exxon Mobil, we pivot to a closer look at the company's own performance.
<h3>Present Market Standing of Exxon Mobil</h3>
<ul>
<li>Trading volume stands at 5,492,245, with XOM's price down by -0.42%, positioned at $111.84.</li>
<li>RSI indicators show the stock to be is currently neutral between overbought and oversold.</li>
<li>Earnings announcement expected in 10 days.</li>
</ul>
<h3>Professional Analyst Ratings for Exxon Mobil</h3>
A total of 1 professional analysts have given their take on this stock in the last 30 days, setting an average price target of $119.0.
Unusual Options Activity Detected: Smart Money on the Move
Benzinga Edge's Unusual Options board spots potential market movers before they happen. See what positions big money is taking on your favorite stocks. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-checkout/?t=Be8be9arja3be22bz20&amp;utm_source=benzinga-insights">Click here for access</a>. 
&#x2A; An analyst from Truist Securities persists with their Hold rating on Exxon Mobil, maintaining a target price of $119. 
Trading options involves greater risks but also offers the potential for higher profits. Savvy traders mitigate these risks through ongoing education, strategic trade adjustments, utilizing various indicators, and staying attuned to market dynamics. Keep up with the latest options trades for Exxon Mobil with <a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/register174">Benzinga Pro</a> for real-time alerts.

Options

Looking At Exxon Mobil's Recent Unusual Options Activity

In a move mirroring his first term, President Donald Trump has announced his intention to withdraw the United States from the Paris climate agreement. This announcement came on the same day as his inauguration for a second term.
What Happened: Trump&#8217;s decision echoes his 2017 withdrawal from the global climate pact, a decision later reversed by President Joe Biden. &#8220;I&#8217;m immediately withdrawing from the unfair, one-sided Paris Climate Accords,&#8221; Trump declared as he signed a series of executive orders following his inauguration, <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-withdrawing-us-paris-climate-agreement-again/">reported</a> CBS News.
In December, Biden had said he rejoined the Agreement because he &#8220;understood we didn&#8217;t have a minute to waste tackling the climate crisis.&#8221;
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">On my first day as your president, America rejoined the Paris Agreement because I understood we didn&#39;t have a minute to waste tackling the climate crisis. That is still true today. Today, we celebrate 9 years of global climate progress under that historic commitment.
&mdash; President Biden (@POTUS46Archive) <a href="https://twitter.com/POTUS46Archive/status/1867278595590123888?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">December 12, 2024</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
The Paris Agreement, a voluntary pact aimed at limiting global warming, allows nations to set their own greenhouse gas reduction targets. The U.S., one of the world&#8217;s top carbon polluters, faces a February 2025 deadline for new individual plans. The Biden administration had previously proposed a plan to cut U.S. greenhouse gas emissions by over 60% by 2035.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/01/43087435/trump-sets-policy-priorities-heres-how-the-world-betting-markets-reacted-on-day-1">Trump Sets Policy Priorities: How Musk, Qualcomm CEO, Hillary Clinton, Betting Markets Reacted</a>
Why It Matters: There are 195 signatories to the Paris Agreement, according to the United Nations. Notable nations that have not ratified it include Iran, Yemen and Libya — all in the Middle East.
In June, Trump&#8217;s campaign signaled his intent to withdraw from the Paris climate accord if re-elected. This move puts him at odds with businesses like Exxon Mobil Corp, whose CEO Darren Woods urged Trump to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/06/39563833/trump-campaign-signals-intent-to-withdraw-us-from-paris-climate-accord-again-report">reconsider his decision</a>, stating that policy inconsistency creates challenges for businesses.
John Kerry, former secretary of state and co-executive chair of Galvanize Climate Solutions, warned that Trump&#8217;s withdrawal from the Paris Agreement would &#8220;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/11/41966992/obama-era-state-secretary-warns-trumps-plans-to-withdraw-from-paris-agreement-would-cede-leadership-to-china">cede leadership to China</a>.&#8221;
Image via Shutterstock
Did You Know?
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This story was generated using <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro">Benzinga Neuro</a> and edited by <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/shivdeep-dhaliwal" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Shivdeep Dhaliwal</a>

Politics

General

Trump Signs Orders To Take US Out Of Paris Climate Agreement, Calls The Deal 'One-Sided' And Unfair

Editor&#8217;s note: This story has been updated to correct language around a report on U.S. sanctions on Russia to state that President-elect Donald Trump&#8217;s economic team is considering either easing or increasing sanctions. 
The U.S. energy sector kicked off 2025 with a strong rally, outperforming all other sectors as crude prices soared and investors bet on a deregulatory shift under the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/42383725/trump-administrations-deregulation-efforts-to-lift-energy-oil-and-gas-sectors-ai-frenzy-to-aid-faang-stocks-and-nvidia-says-fintech-insider">incoming Donald Trump administration</a>.
What Happened: The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) has surged more than 8% in the first half of January. That&#8217;s well ahead of any other sector. Industrials, the next-best performer, are up just 3.7% over the same period.
Rising oil prices fuel the rally; crude topped $80 per barrel this week. Meanwhile, fresh U.S. sanctions on Russia and a larger-than-expected draw in domestic stockpiles stoke supply concerns.
The Biden administration's latest sanctions, imposed on Jan. 10, target Russian oil producers Gazprom Neft and Surgutneftegaz, as well as more than 160 tankers, tightening restrictions on Moscow's energy revenues. The move adds to existing supply constraints, and some analysts see more pressure ahead.
If Russian flows tighten further and sanctions on Iran and Venezuela intensify, oil prices could climb <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/01/42965857/oil-could-hit-90-goldman-sachs-says-trump-may-not-ease-sanctions-on-russia">toward $90 per barrel.</a> That&#8217;s according to Goldman Sachs commodity strategist Daan Struyven.
Adding to the uncertainty, <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-01-16/trump-team-readies-oil-sanctions-plan-for-russia-deal-iran-squeeze?sref=TBDibEcD">Bloomberg</a> reported Thursday that Trump's economic team is weighing two options: easing or increasing sanctions as leverage with Russia, aiming to push Moscow toward negotiations over the war in Ukraine.
Trump has hinted at a potential meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin, fueling speculation over how U.S. policy—and global energy markets—could change in the months ahead.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/01/43031980/big-banks-continue-to-beat-q4-earnings-financial-etf-takes-breather">Big Banks Continue To Beat Q4 Earnings As Financial ETF Takes A Breather</a>
Why It Matters: Within the oil majors, Chevron Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>) has been the standout performer, gaining nearly 10% since the start of the year, while Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) has added 3%.
In a note shared Thursday, Goldman Sachs analyst Neil Mehta expects a "constructive setup" for Chevron heading into 2025. He cites an expected production and free cash flow boost from its Tengiz operations, strong shareholder returns—projected at around 10% annually through dividends and buybacks—and improving operational execution.
Investors are also watching for updates on Chevron's acquisition of Hess Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HES#NYSE">HES</a>), particularly the ongoing arbitration process. 
Goldman Sachs doesn't take a stance on the outcome. Yet, Chevron management projects a resolution by the third quarter of 2025. Speaking at the Energy, CleanTech &amp; Utilities Conference last week, company executives expressed confidence in Hess' position and hinted at progress on regulatory approvals and integration planning.
Chevron shares have been on a tear. They hit a one-month high this week and could extend their winning streak to seven straight sessions on Thursday.
The company is set to report fourth-quarter earnings on Jan. 31, with Wall Street expecting earnings per share of $2.22 on revenue of $47.28 billion, according to <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent011625&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a> data. A year ago, Chevron posted EPS of $3.45 on revenue of $50.67 billion.
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Image: Shutterstock

Macro Economic Events

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Econ #s

Economics

ETFs

US Energy Sector Enjoys Strong Start To 2025, Analysts Eye 'Constructive Setup' For Chevron (CORRECTED)

President-elect Donald Trump's picks for Secretary of the Interior, Housing and Urban Development, Environmental Protection Agency and the Treasury Department are set to begin the confirmation process on Thursday. Here's a look at who will be appearing before Senate committees as the<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/management/24/12/42354639/donald-trumps-personnel-picks-voters-like-huckabee-rubio-picks-disapprove-of-kennedy-oz-mcmahon"> nomination process begins. </a>
The Details: Former governor of North Dakota, Doug Burgum, will appear before members of the Senate Energy and Natural Resources Committee as Trump's pick to lead the Interior Department. Burgum has also been chosen to head the National Energy Council. 
If confirmed, Burgum is expected to shift policies in favor of drilling which could benefit large oil companies like Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) and Chevron Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>).&nbsp;
Read Next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/social-media/25/01/43018125/trump-considers-executive-order-to-save-tiktok-from-being-banned-in-4-days">Trump Considers Executive Order To &#8216;Save&#8217; TikTok From Being Banned In 4 Days</a>&nbsp;
Scott Bessent, Trump&#8217;s pick for Secretary of the Treasury, is scheduled for a confirmation hearing in front of the Senate Finance Committee on Thursday.&nbsp;
The billionaire investor and CEO of Key Square Group will likely face questions regarding<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/01/43021014/trumps-treasury-pick-scott-bessent-urges-dollar-must-remain-worlds-reserve-currency-as-president-elect-reportedly-pushes-for-strategic-bitcoin-reserve"> his views</a> on taxes, tariffs, trade and cryptocurrency.&nbsp;
According to an ABC News<a href="https://abcnews.go.com/Business/wireStory/treasury-nominee-plans-confirmation-hearing-trump-unleash-economic-117732291"> report</a>, Bessent is expected to testify, saying, "Productive investment that grows the economy must be prioritized over wasteful spending that drives inflation."
Lee Zeldin, who represented New York&#8217;s 1st congressional district in the House of Representatives from 2015 to 2023, will face the Senate Environment and Public Works Committee as Trump's choice to lead the Environmental Protection Agency.&nbsp;
Scott Turner, former NFL player and Trump's pick to lead the Department of Housing and Urban Development, will appear at a hearing on Thursday before the Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee.&nbsp;
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Photo: Aaron of L.A. Photography via Shutterstock.

Government

Real Estate

Trump Cabinet Picks Scott Bessent, Doug Burgum To Appear For Senate Confirmation Hearings Thursday

The International Energy Agency has revised its <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/oil" rel="noreferrer noopener">global oil demand</a> outlook slightly for 2025, projecting growth of 1.05 million barrels per day, down from <a target="_blank" href="https://www.iea.org/reports/oil-market-report-december-2024" rel="noreferrer noopener">the previously estimated</a> 1.1 million barrels daily.
The new forecast anticipates global demand will average 104 million barrels daily, reflecting a combination of improving economic conditions and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.iea.org/reports/oil-market-report-january-2025" rel="noreferrer noopener">lower fuel prices</a>.
In the fourth quarter of 2024, oil demand rebounded strongly, increasing by 1.5 million barrels daily—the highest growth since late 2023.
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The IEA attributed this surge to reduced fuel prices, colder weather in northern regions, and heightened petrochemical activity in the U.S. However, while 2025 demand growth will likely surpass 2024, it will fall short of the over 2 million barrels per day increase seen in 2023.
OPEC projects a higher demand growth of <a target="_blank" href="https://momr.opec.org/pdf-download/" rel="noreferrer noopener">1.45 million barrels daily</a>.
<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities/24/11/41899890/opec-cuts-2024-oil-demand-forecast-for-fourth-straight-month-amid-chinas-economic-slowdown" rel="noreferrer noopener">Disappointing data from</a> major Asian markets, including China, India, and African countries, prompted OPEC to revise its oil demand growth forecasts for 2024 several times.
Still, OPEC&#8217;s estimates looked more optimistic than those of Wall Street banks and Saudi Aramco.
China saw a significant uptick in oil demand in November, driven by rising gasoil consumption and falling diesel prices, which hit their lowest in nearly three years.
The IEA highlighted that signs of stabilization in China&#8217;s property market could support further recovery in oil demand. Projections suggest China will add 220,000 barrels per day to its oil consumption in 2025, compared to a 180,000-barrel daily increase in 2024, the Wall Street Journal <a target="_blank" href="https://www.wsj.com/business/energy-oil/iea-trims-oil-demand-outlook-but-still-expects-stronger-growth-this-year-a972c71b?mod=business_lead_pos4" rel="noreferrer noopener">reports</a>.
Recent U.S. sanctions targeting Russia&#8217;s energy sector and shipping networks and measures aimed at Iran&#8217;s shadow fleet could disrupt global oil supplies. These actions may compel major buyers like China and India to seek alternative sources.
Meanwhile, Brent crude prices hover around $80 per barrel, and U.S. West Texas Intermediate trades near $77 per barrel, reflecting market concerns over tightened supply, the WSJ reports.
Despite geopolitical pressures, global oil supply rose modestly in December 2024, supported by increased production in Nigeria and Libya. For 2025, the IEA forecasts supply growth of 1.8 million barrels daily, led by non-OPEC+ countries such as the U.S., Brazil, and Canada. However, the agency cautioned that sanctions or weather-related disruptions could rapidly draw down existing oil stocks.
Notable oil stocks include Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>), Chevron Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>), Shell Plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHEL#NYSE">SHEL</a>), TotalEnergies SE (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TTE#NYSE">TTE</a>), Petroleo Brasileiro (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PBR#NYSE">PBR</a>) and BP Plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BP#NYSE">BP</a>).
Investors can gain exposure to the crude oil market through the United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) and ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>).
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Photo by William Potter on Shutterstock

Guidance

Commodities

SHEL

OPEC's Optimism Clashes With IEA's Conservative 2025 Oil Growth Projections

On Tuesday, Teucrium added the Relative Strength Managed Volatility Strategy ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RSMV#NYSE">RSMV</a>) to its ETF lineup, bringing Teucrium's U.S.-listed ETF tally to nine. This <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs">actively managed fund</a> targets long-term capital appreciation for investors while managing risk in volatile markets.
The ETF invests in U.S. growth companies, mainly large-cap stocks with market caps exceeding $10 billion. The portfolio includes 20-50 securities. The ETF keeps the allocation dynamic, meaning during periods of heightened market volatility, it may allocate assets to fixed-income securities, cash, or cash equivalents as a defense.
Top holdings of this fund include United Health (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UNH#NYSE">UNH</a>), JP Morgan Chase (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>) and Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>).
The fund evaluates macroeconomic conditions and allocates sector weights via a top-down approach. On the other hand, it adopts a bottom-up strategy to pick out individual securities. The fund keeps itself flexible to invest in other ETFs or REITs to improve growth prospects.
The Relative Strength Managed Volatility Strategy ETF has a net expense ratio of 0.95%, which is reasonable considering its active management strategy and risk management features.
The fund&#8217;s active management provides both offensive and defensive benefits. The fund has the advantage of benefiting from momentum-driven market trends and high-growth opportunities. Meanwhile, it can also reduce downside risks during volatile times by allocating to Treasuries and high-quality bonds.
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New ETFs

RSMV

WEAT

Maximize Growth, Minimize Risk With New, Dynamic Allocation ETF

President-elect Donald Trump's picks for Secretary of State, Secretary of Transportation, Attorney General, CIA Director and Secretary of Energy are set to begin the confirmation process on Wednesday. Here's a look at who will be appearing before Senate committees on as the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/25/01/42956943/trump-cabinet-confirmation-hearings-begin-tuesday-pete-hegseth-doug-collins-up-first">nominations process unrolls.&nbsp;</a>
Secretary Of State: Florida Sen. Marco Rubio will appear before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, on which he served. Rubio has gained bipartisan support due to his extensive foreign policy and political experience.&nbsp;
Read Next: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/legal/25/01/42979220/biden-announces-more-student-loan-forgiveness-bringing-debt-relief-to-nearly-5-million-borrowers">Biden Announces More Student Loan Forgiveness, Bringing Debt Relief To Nearly 5 Million Borrowers</a>
Secretary of Transportation: Former Wisconsin congressman and Fox Business host Sean Duffy will appear before the Senate Commerce, Science and Transportation Committee which oversees the Department of Transportation.&nbsp;
Duffy&#8217;s path to confirmation appears smooth, with support from both Republicans and Democrats on the Commerce Committee, <a href="https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2025/01/07/congress/sean-duffy-confirmation-hearing-00196809">according to</a> Politico.&nbsp;
Some of the topics at the Senate hearing may include electric vehicle policies, discretionary grant programs and Boeing Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>).&nbsp;&nbsp;
Airline stocks, including United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>) and American Airlines Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAL#NASDAQ">AAL</a>), and EV stocks such as Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) and Rivian Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RIVN#NASDAQ">RIVN</a>) are ones to watch as Duffy's hearing gets underway Wednesday at 10 a.m. ET. 
Attorney General: Pam Bondi, former Florida Attorney General, is Trump&#8217;s choice to serve as the U.S. Attorney General and will appear before the Senate Judicial Committee on Wednesday.&nbsp;
Sen. Dick Durbin has <a href="https://www.judiciary.senate.gov/press/dem/releases/durbin-outlines-concerns-regarding-pam-bondi-trumps-attorney-general-pick-ahead-of-nomination-hearing">expressed concerns</a> regarding Bondi's loyalty to Trump and her potential independence. She will likely face questioning about her commitment to maintaining the Department of Justice&#8217;s independence and impartiality.
CIA Director: John Ratcliffe, former director of national intelligence and former Texas congressman, will go before the Senate Intelligence Committee on Wednesday. Ratcliffe is expected to face less resistance than he saw in 2020 due to his experience and qualifications.&nbsp;
Energy Secretary: Trump's choice to lead the Department of Energy is Chris Wright, fossil fuel executive and founder of fracking company Liberty Energy. Wright's nomination is expected to face questions related to his lack of government experience and fossil fuel background. He has also previously expressed skepticism regarding climate change and renewable energy.&nbsp;
Stocks to watch include oil companies like Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE XOM) and Shell Plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHEL#NYSE">SHEL</a>) as well as solar names like First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FSLR#NASDAQ">FSLR</a>) and Sunrun, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RUN#NASDAQ">RUN</a>).&nbsp;
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42919029/supreme-court-hears-tiktok-oral-arguments">Supreme Court Hears TikTok Arguments With App&#8217;s Ban Ahead: &#8216;Essentially, The Platform Shuts Down&#8217;&nbsp;</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock&nbsp;

Travel

Movers

Tech

FSLR

RIVN

Trump Cabinet Confirmation Hearings On Wednesday: Departments Of Transportation, Energy, State; Attorney General, CIA Director

WIIM

Exxon Mobil shares are trading higher after Truist Securities raised its price target on the stock from $117 to $119.

EQNR

FANG

Shares of oil-related companies are trading higher amid new U.S. sanctions towards Russia's energy supply chain.

Truist Securities analyst Neal Dingmann maintains Exxon Mobil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) with a Hold and raises the price target from $117 to $119.

Price Target

Analyst Ratings

Truist Securities Maintains Hold on Exxon Mobil, Raises Price Target to $119

Oil prices are heating up, and so are the stocks of <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/energy">major energy companies</a>. 
Shares of Chevron Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>), Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OXY#NYSE">OXY</a>), and ConocoPhillips (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COP#NYSE">COP</a>) were trading in the green at the last check on Friday. The rally follows a Reuters report suggesting the U.S. is preparing its most <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/25/01/42919047/oil-nears-80-as-us-prepares-new-russia-sanctions">stringent sanctions yet</a> against Russian oil.
These sanctions, expected to target 180 vessels, major <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/oil?_gl=1&#x2A;1aeuuae&#x2A;_gcl_au&#x2A;MTQ3Nzg4MTMxMi4xNzM1NTczMTA3&#x2A;_ga&#x2A;R1MxLjEuMTczNjUyMjc2NC4xLjEuMTczNjUyMjg4Ni4wLjAuMA..&#x2A;_ga_V7ZK73W7N0&#x2A;MTczNjUyMDk1NC40Ni4xLjE3MzY1MjY3NDYuMC4wLjA.">oil </a>companies, and top executives, have already pushed oil prices to $80 per barrel — a level not seen since October 2024. 
Traders are responding to the anticipated disruption in global oil supply, and some ETFs with oil and energy exposure stand to reap the benefits.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">What This Means For ETFs</h3>
<ul>
<li>The United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) was trading 3.73% higher as of 12.13 P.M. EST</li>
<li>The Invesco DB Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DBO#NYSE">DBO</a>) rose about 3.84%. </li>
<li>The United States 12 Month Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USL#NYSE">USL</a>) posted a 2.21% gain.</li>
<li>The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>), with an expense ratio of 0.09% and a 91.26% exposure to the Oil, Gas &amp; Consumable Fuels make it a good bet for investors of oil-focused ETFs. The portfolio includes Exxon Mobil, Chevron and ConocoPhillips.</li>
<li>Vanguard Energy ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VDE#NYSE">VDE</a>) has an expense ratio of 0.10% and like XOP, Exxon Mobil, Chevron and ConocoPhillips enjoys significant weightage in the fund.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Geopolitics and Market Dynamics</h3>
Sanctions on Russia — one of the world's largest oil producers — are expected to tighten supply. Prices are expected to go higher. Ongoing reduction in U.S. crude stockpiles, particularly at the Cushing, Oklahoma hub, as reported by Reuters, adds to the pressure.
While tighter supplies drive prices upward, concerns about demand persist. China&#8217;s fuel oil imports are likely to fall early 2025 thanks to a hike in oil import tax from Jan. 1. 
Weaker demand from China, one of the biggest crude oil importers, could weigh on prices in the longer term. 
See Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/12/42340255/opec-extends-oil-output-cuts-to-late-2026-what-it-means-for-markets">OPEC+ Extends Oil Output Cuts To Late 2026: What It Means For Markets</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Oil Stocks Rally On Anticipation Of Stricter Russian Sanctions: Here's How ETFs Are Reacting

The December jobs report jolted financial markets during early Friday trading. Stronger-than-expected employment growth and a drop in the unemployment rate to 4.1% raised fears the Federal Reserve may hold off on cutting interest rates <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s">for most of 2025.</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">December Jobs Report Fuels Fed Hawkishness: Dollar Soars, Yields Jump </h3>
The U.S. economy added 256,000 new jobs last month, marking an acceleration from the downwardly revised 212,000 jobs added in November and sharply outpacing economist forecasts of 160,000, as tracked by TradingEconomics.
The December reading represented the strongest monthly job growth since March 2024, underscoring the continued resilience of the U.S. economy despite high interest rates and resurgent inflationary pressures.
The unemployment rate ticked down from 4.2%to 4.1% in November, defying expectations of no change. Wages rose broadly in line with expectations, with average hourly earnings increasing 0.3% month-over-month, slowing slightly from November&#8217;s 0.4%. On a year-over-year basis, wages climbed 3.9%, marginally below the 4% forecast.
Fed fund futures showed a steep decline in the probability of a March rate cut, with implied odds dropping to just 26%, down from 43% a day earlier, according to CME&#8216;s FedWatch tool.
Treasury yields rose sharply across the curve, reflecting a repricing of interest rate expectations. 
The two-year yield, closely tied to Federal Reserve policy expectations, jumped 11 basis points to 4.37%. The 10-year yield surged 10 basis points to 4.79%, its highest level since November 2023.
Notably, the most striking move came in the 30-year yield, which breached the 5% mark for the first time since October 2023. Before that, the last time 30-year yields surpassed this milestone was in August 2007. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) dropped 1.2% in premarket trading, highlighting the market's sensitivity to long-term rates.
The U.S. Dollar Index, tracked by the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>), surged 0.5% to 109.70, a level last seen in late October 2022. 
The greenback climbed 0.4% against the Japanese yen and 0.6% versus the euro, pushing the euro-dollar pair to a fresh 27-month low of 1.0250. The Sterling wasn&#8217;t spared, falling 0.7% to a 15-month low against the dollar.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Stocks Slump Across The Board</h3>
Futures on major U.S. indices were down 1% across the board, as the prospect of higher-for-longer interest rates rattled investors. All S&amp;P 500 sectors, except energy, traded in the negative premarket Friday.
Real estate, tracked by the Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLRE#NYSE">XLRE</a>), and technology, represented by the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>), both sank 1.4%. 
Rate-sensitive sectors such as real estate and growth-heavy tech bore the brunt of the selloff as higher yields weighed on long-duration assets.
The one standout sector was energy, with the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) climbing 1.3%.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Major Premarket Movers</h3>
Among energy giants, Chevron Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>) gained 1.67% to $152.81, Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) rose 1.57% to $108.61 and ConocoPhillips (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COP#NYSE">COP</a>) advanced 1.43% to $103.07, benefiting from a 3% spike in oil prices after Reuters reported thet U.S. is mulling stronger sanctions on Russia&#8217;s oil sector.
In contrast, rate-sensitive mega-cap tech stocks dragged the market lower. 
Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) fell 2.51% to $136.59, Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMD#NASDAQ">AMD</a>) dropped 2.92% to $118.28 and American International Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AIG#NYSE">AIG</a>) plunged 3.93% to $68.63, leading losses among financials.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/01/42901085/us-2025-recession-odds-plummet-good-news-or-warning-sign">US 2025 Recession Odds Plummet: Good News Or Warning Sign?</a></li>
</ul>
Photo via Shutterstock.

Broad U.S. Equity ETFs

iShares Trust Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund

PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund

XLRE

Dollar Soars To 27-Month Highs, 30-Year Yields Hit 5%, Stocks Tumble As Jobs Report, Oil Spike Darken Fed's Interest Rate Cut Hopes

Goldman Sachs analyst Neil Mehta expressed views on Exxon Mobil Corporation&#8216;s (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>)<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/01/42875502/oil-price-drop-to-cut-exxon-mobils-q4-upstream-earnings-by-up-to-09-billion" rel="noreferrer noopener"> trading update reported yesterday.</a>
The oil giant anticipates changes in oil prices to reduce&nbsp;fourth-quarter&nbsp;upstream earnings&nbsp;Q/Q&nbsp;by&nbsp;$(0.9) billion to&nbsp;$(0.5)&nbsp;billion.
Conversely, changes in gas prices are expected to impact its upstream results by between&nbsp;$0.0&nbsp;billion and&nbsp;$0.4 billion.
On the other hand, Exxon Mobil projects that variations in industry margins will impact energy products earnings by&nbsp;$(0.7)&nbsp;billion – $(0.3)&nbsp;billion, specialty products earnings by $(0.1) billion – $0.1 billion, and chemical products earnings by&nbsp;$(0.5) billion – $(0.3) billion.
The analyst writes that implied EPS at the midpoint was ~$1.50, below their estimate of $1.80 and FactSet consensus of $1.76.
The difference is mainly due to weaker-than-expected results in the Upstream, Downstream, and Chemicals segments, adds the analyst.
Mehta writes that implied Upstream earnings were ~$5.7 billion at the mid-point, below their estimate of ~$6.2 billion.
The analyst adds that implied Downstream earnings, including Energy and Specialty Products, were ~$1.0 billion at the mid-point, below their estimate of ~$1.4 billion.
Moreover, implied Chemicals earnings were ~$493 million at the mid-point, falling short of their estimate of ~$853 million.
Goldman Sachs rated the company <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/XOM/analyst-ratings" rel="noreferrer noopener">Neutral with a price target of $125</a>.
Investors can gain exposure to XOM via&nbsp;Vanguard Energy ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VDE#NYSE">VDE</a>) and SPDR Select Sector Fund – Energy Select Sector&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>).
Price Action: XOM shares are down 2.43% at $106.11 at the last check Wednesday.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/25/01/42777105/russian-natural-gas-delivery-to-europe-halted-us-listed-lng-stocks-gain-as-exports-set-to-increase-in-2025" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Russian Natural Gas Delivery To Europe Halted: US-Listed LNG Stocks Gain As Exports Set To Increase In 2025</a></li>
</ul>
Photo via Shutterstock.

Reiteration

Goldman Sachs Flags Weak Q4 Guidance For Exxon Amid Weak Upstream And Chemical Results

Every year, analysts discuss the stocks and sectors they favor for the coming year, often providing price targets for where major indexes might land by year-end. I believe both of these practices are futile. The market is dynamic and ever-changing; the environment can shift on a dime, so don&rsquo;t get attached to a one-year playbook. Focusing on quarterly trends is a better approach.
I have a few items I&rsquo;m monitoring for Q1, listed in no particular order. These are not recommendations, just observations.
Economic Landscape
As of the end of December, the FOMC updated its Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), making key adjustments:
<ul>
<li>Core PCE projections for 2025 were revised upward from 2.2% to 2.5%.</li>
<li>Real GDP growth was adjusted from 2.0% to 2.1%.</li>
<li>The number of anticipated rate cuts for 2025 was reduced by one&nbsp;25-basis-point cut, down from four cuts projected in September to 2 cuts for the year.</li>
</ul>
The 10-year Treasury yield has moved higher since the first rate cut, alongside the U.S. Dollar Index ($DXY)&mdash;and rightly so. Economic data remains robust, with Real GDP continuing to exceed 2.5%, the Unemployment Rate holding steady at around 4.2%, and the Labor Participation Rate stabilizing at approximately 62.5% throughout the year.
Labor Market
For Q1, continued stability in initial claims is expected due to the high frequency of the data. In contrast, monthly BLS data&mdash;and even more delayed revisions&mdash;will likely have less market influence. Instead, the market will focus on high-frequency data and dismiss monthly payroll data, especially prior-month revisions, given the optimistic business landscape following Donald Trump&rsquo;s election.
The Philly Fed provides a valuable report that models preliminary non-farm employment change data (reflected in monthly Non-Farm Payrolls) and uses comprehensive datasets from the BLS Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) to produce an Early Benchmark indicator. This indicator reflects potential overestimation or underestimation of non-farm payrolls for each state. Unfortunately, the Early Benchmark indicator shows that total Non-Farm Payrolls have been overestimated. This aligns with the aggressive downward revision reported this year of 818,000 jobs from April 2023 through March 2024. The final revision will be released in February, alongside the January Labor Report.
The market may not feel significant labor pressure until the Unemployment Rate reaches 4.5&ndash;4.6%. While this may be a tall order for Q1 based on current trends preliminary data, it becomes more plausible by Q2 of 2025 after revisions and census data updates.
&nbsp;
<img alt="" src="https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D5612AQECOejOeiUL7A/article-inline_image-shrink_1000_1488/article-inline_image-shrink_1000_1488/0/1736112731197?e=1741824000&amp;v=beta&amp;t=4_w4otHVeV-GAa_88kF8M7-5gG-TUgFpBLLeoUeOLE0" style="height:730px; width:650px" />
Source:&nbsp;The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Liquefied Natural Gas
Just like in 2024, I am optimistic about the longer-term vision on liquefied natural gas. For those who may not know, liquified natural gas is natural gas that is cooled at -260 degrees Fahrenheit, which requires special equipment to complete the process and to also transport liquified natural gas in the form of exports to other countries. The reason LNG has gained enthusiasm over the last several years is the result of diminishing natural gas flows from Russia to Europe due to the Russia/Ukraine war, and also its ability to scale to make it more efficient to transport natural gas, in which the United States has an abundance of and in some cases we flare off excess (burn off) supplies of natural gas because it does not make it economical to capture and transport through pipelines.
With the change in Presidential administrations, the expectation is for expedited permitting and favorable regulations for the energy market as a whole, but for LNG, there might be a special focus around this industry because of its geopolitical implications. It is one of the bigger economic levers the U.S. may use over the coming months and years. Right now, LNG is still relatively expensive, and that is the result of a lack of infrastructure and tanker availability as LNG requires special tankers to transport the commodity. Infrastructure plays around LNG may be in the spotlight for Q1.
&nbsp;
<img alt="" src="https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D5612AQHUiUiFwVgRRg/article-inline_image-shrink_1500_2232/article-inline_image-shrink_1500_2232/0/1736112829392?e=1741824000&amp;v=beta&amp;t=M56YgYUkik565DCaPp3BmrpeggP7kGhc-y4wbxXeGfk" style="height:352px; width:650px" />
Source: EIA
&nbsp;
<img alt="" src="https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D5612AQHrL08LCQAx0g/article-inline_image-shrink_1500_2232/article-inline_image-shrink_1500_2232/0/1736112853858?e=1741824000&amp;v=beta&amp;t=hBjAMRyYap-N5BPHIvlqt7SYWXC-ZuT5kqLU8W5IDhM" style="height:408px; width:650px" />
Source: EIA
Several companies with LNG exposure (Not a recommendation):
<ul>
<li>Cheniere Energy (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/lng#NYSE">LNG</a>): Cheniere Energy is the leading U.S. producer and exporter of LNG, operating major liquefaction facilities at Sabine Pass and Corpus Christi. Its robust infrastructure and long-term contracts position it as a critical player in the global LNG supply chain.</li>
<li>TotalEnergies SE (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/tte#NYSE">TTE</a>): TotalEnergies is a global energy giant with significant investments in LNG production, trading, and infrastructure, including projects like the Arctic LNG venture. Its diversified portfolio highlights its commitment to LNG as a cleaner energy alternative.</li>
<li>Golar LNG Limited (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/glng#NASDAQ">GLNG</a>): Golar LNG is a pioneer in Floating LNG (FLNG) technology and operates LNG carriers, enabling efficient liquefaction, storage, and transportation. The company&#39;s innovative solutions offer flexibility and cost savings in the LNG value chain.</li>
<li>Chevron (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/cvx#NYSE">CVX</a>): Chevron has extensive LNG operations, particularly in Australia with the Gorgon and Wheatstone projects, which supply LNG to global markets. Its LNG ventures align with its strategy to meet rising global energy demands with lower carbon solutions.</li>
<li>Exxon Mobil (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/xom#NYSE">XOM</a>): ExxonMobil is a major player in LNG with projects in Qatar, Papua New Guinea, and Mozambique, contributing to its role as a key supplier of cleaner-burning fuel. The company&rsquo;s LNG operations are integral to its global energy portfolio and sustainability efforts.</li>
<li>Baker Hughes (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/bkr#NYSE">BKR</a>): Baker Hughes provides critical equipment and services for LNG projects, including turbo-machinery and gas technology for liquefaction and transportation. Its expertise supports the development and operation of LNG facilities worldwide.</li>
<li>Honeywell International Inc. (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/hon#NASDAQ">HON</a>) Honeywell provides advanced technologies and equipment essential for LNG facilities, including control systems and automation solutions. In 2024, Honeywell announced its acquisition of Air Products&#39; LNG technology and equipment division for $1.81 billion, enhancing its LNG pretreatment portfolio.</li>
<li>KBR, Inc. (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/kbr#NYSE">KBR</a>) KBR offers engineering, procurement, and construction services, with significant experience in LNG projects, including liquefaction and regasification facilities. KBR is recognized as a leading company in the LNG infrastructure market.</li>
</ul>
The infrastructure plays, the bottom-up players may see tailwinds in Q1, like Baker Hughes, KBR, and Honeywell (even though LNG exposure may only be 5% of total revenue mix).
Copper
Pressure on key industrial metals like copper and silver persists as we begin the year, driven by the lackluster performance of China&#39;s expansion story throughout 2024. However, rhetoric from China continues to intensify, and if actions align with these statements, the &quot;China trade&quot; could gain traction by Q2 this year.
Copper was a notable trade last year, but prices have since pulled back as China has shifted to becoming a temporary net exporter of finished copper. This transition is driven by the ongoing expansion of smelting operations, even though copper ore remains in a structural supply deficit. The market anticipates the reopening of key mining operations in the second half of the year. While this potential supply increase may already be priced in, a price ceiling could persist if China does not significantly ramp up domestic consumption.
China accounts for approximately 55% of global refined copper consumption, so any bullish narrative around copper must be supported by increased domestic demand. Copper price action and global inventory levels should be closely monitored, as they are likely to serve as early indicators of progress in the China stimulus narrative.
It is important to note that while refined copper supply is currently in surplus, copper ore remains in a structural supply deficit. The physical market will need to work through the oversupply of refined copper before structural price support can emerge.
&nbsp;
<img alt="" src="https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D5612AQF3cJV-h4PyVQ/article-inline_image-shrink_1500_2232/article-inline_image-shrink_1500_2232/0/1736112883295?e=1741824000&amp;v=beta&amp;t=86FsfwTsgVCqfKuhAZXBhGmr1yIMzitmksa0MVc0LFY" style="height:385px; width:650px" />
Source: ING Research
I expect the China narrative to gain traction by the end of Q1, with stronger momentum building into Q2. While price advances may be short-lived, a risk/reward trade could materialize for those patient enough to await the move, with resistance near the 2024 highs around $4.70. The 200-week SMA and 100-week SMA have converged, forming a potential support area. In the event of a structural break lower, $3.70 may act as a key support level.
The MACD is currently bearish but may begin to flatten if the $4.00 level holds. A bullish crossover of the 12 EMA above the 26 EMA on the weekly chart could serve as a bullish signal for the market.
Remember, there are other China-exposed equity trades that may relate to this early economic signal. Companies typically do not preannounce a ramp-up in commodity orders&mdash;they simply act when the timing is appropriate.
&nbsp;
<img alt="" src="https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D5612AQHBOX0_y6s7xA/article-inline_image-shrink_1500_2232/article-inline_image-shrink_1500_2232/0/1736112908231?e=1741824000&amp;v=beta&amp;t=uDQQeBbnYztzGFUuTni0gZBpMw1jl0ht4YzuNp6xr4Y" style="height:312px; width:650px" />
Silver
The silver market saw impressive activity in 2024 as it was leveraged to complement the strong move in gold and to gain exposure to the A.I. trade. Silver is used in approximately 90% of all electronics in one form or another, so the increasing demand for high-powered A.I. infrastructure products, such as GPUs and server technology, could serve as a significant tailwind for the metal. However, consumer electronics demand has been lagging since the post-COVID era, creating some slack in demand for this precious and industrial metal.
Many analysts are optimistic about a refresh cycle for consumer electronics, including cellphones and laptops. If this refresh narrative materializes in the second half of the year, silver could be a major beneficiary. That said, silver is also considered an inflationary hedge. The China growth narrative will play a critical role in silver&rsquo;s ability to sustain a bullish trend. However, if slack persists in Asia-Pacific markets and there is a marginal slowdown in the U.S., silver could face downward pricing pressure.
Fundamentally, the market remains in a physical deficit when considering ETF holdings. Modest silver production growth is expected in 2025, alongside industrial demand growth projected in the high single digits. A potential price decline would likely result from a global economic slowdown. Given these dynamics, coupled with pent-up optimism around China&rsquo;s expansion and expectations for sticky Q1 U.S. inflation data&mdash;especially in energy commodities like natural gas&mdash;silver may still have room to run.
&nbsp;
<img alt="" src="https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D5612AQHghEvpFBkSWQ/article-inline_image-shrink_1500_2232/article-inline_image-shrink_1500_2232/0/1736112934595?e=1741824000&amp;v=beta&amp;t=SSBE1v6OzOnUeBoNNEkfcqt9xYQzdmZPUuHOD5mg068" style="height:312px; width:650px" />
Traders should continue to rely on technical analysis, with the weekly MACD serving as a primary guide. Key bullish and bearish signals can be identified through MACD crosses: a 12 EMA crossing above the 26 EMA indicates a bullish trend, while a 12 EMA crossing below the 26 EMA signals a bearish trend.
Support for silver futures (/SI) currently lies at $24.50-$25, with resistance at $32. Any break above $32, accompanied by volume exceeding the 10-week average by 20%, should be taken seriously as a potential breakout signal. A weakening U.S. Dollar, driven by weaker domestic economic data alongside sticky inflation, may also act as a tailwind for silver in Q1. However, at present, the U.S. Dollar Index ($DXY) does not appear to be weakening anytime soon.
Crude Oil
It should come as no surprise that petroleum markets experienced lackluster performance during the last quarter of 2024. Global demand has softened, with slack evident in the Asian markets, particularly in India and China, as well as a lack of industrial activity in Germany. This has prompted leading industry agencies, including OPEC and the IEA, to revise their petroleum demand outlooks for 2024 and 2025.
OPEC+ continues to delay adding production to the market due to concerns over weak pricing support. In 2025, it should be expected that any sustainable price advances in oil will be met with increased supply, limiting the potential for sustained bullish trends unless there are logistical disruptions caused by geopolitical risks.
That being said, Q1&mdash;particularly January&mdash;may present the best window of opportunity for bulls. The first three weeks of the year are likely to see a meaningful drop in refiner utilization rates due to scheduled maintenance. Additionally, harsh winter weather, such as &quot;Arctic blasts,&quot; could disrupt production in regions like the Bakken, affecting both extraction and pipeline operations.
The China stimulus narrative could also act as a bullish catalyst for energy markets in the first quarter. Furthermore, the early months of the Trump administration may bring headlines about favorable policies aimed at incentivizing exploration and infrastructure spending. However, it is important to note that a &quot;drill, baby, drill&quot; approach is not inherently bullish for prices. Instead, it could constrain additional investment as energy companies prioritize profitability over production.
It is also expected that China will continue to expand its oil and natural gas import relationship with Russia, potentially reducing its demand for global supplies.
&nbsp;
<img alt="" src="https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D5612AQF1xzbzF5sNxg/article-inline_image-shrink_1500_2232/article-inline_image-shrink_1500_2232/0/1736112960557?e=1741824000&amp;v=beta&amp;t=ZLJ--czC8WI0r782-THhCZCjWmI6_X3_N6ZXVmAtiM8" style="height:312px; width:650px" />
Given the current fundamental backdrop, WTI crude oil is likely to trade within a range of $67-$75. Any geopolitical risk involving Iran, including greater enforcement of economic sanctions, could add a $2-$4 premium to prices. For the year, any break below $63 may result in crude oil hitting the mid $50 level. The 200-week SMA continues to be a key area of resistance at $80.
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This article is from an unpaid external contributor. It does not represent Benzinga's reporting and has not been edited for content or accuracy.

GLNG

In an Unpredictable Market Here Are Some Potential Winners and Losers for the First Quarter

Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) shares are trading lower today. The oil giant anticipates changes in oil prices to reduce&nbsp;fourth-quarter&nbsp;upstream earnings&nbsp;<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/secfilings/25/01/42862516/exxon-mobil-corp-general-corporate-statement-form8" rel="noreferrer noopener">Q/Q</a> by&nbsp;$(0.9) billion to&nbsp;$(0.5)&nbsp;billion.
Conversely, changes in gas prices are expected to impact its upstream results by between&nbsp;<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/calendars/guidance" rel="noreferrer noopener">$0.0&nbsp;billion and&nbsp;$0.4 billion</a>.
On the other hand, Exxon Mobil projects that variations in industry margins will impact energy products earnings by&nbsp;$(0.7)&nbsp;billion &#8211; $(0.3)&nbsp;billion, specialty products earnings by $(0.1) billion &#8211; $0.1 billion, and chemical products earnings by&nbsp;$(0.5) billion &#8211; $(0.3) billion.
Apart from this, changes in scheduled maintenance are projected to impact all segment earnings by $(0.1) billion- $0.1 billion each.
According to&nbsp;<a target="_blank" href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro</a>, analysts estimate Exxon Mobil to report&nbsp;fourth-quarter&nbsp;adjusted earnings per share of&nbsp;<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/earnings" rel="noreferrer noopener">$1.76&nbsp;and revenues of&nbsp;$88.402 billion.</a>
In a separate release, Chart Industries, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GTLS#NYSE">GTLS</a>) disclosed a global master goods and services agreement with Exxon.
Chart Industries has entered an enabling agreement with Exxon to supply LNG equipment, technology, and services across Exxon&#8217;s global projects. The agreement covers the provision of cold boxes and Chart&#8217;s proprietary IPSMR process technology.
Yesterday, the company filed a federal lawsuit Monday against California Attorney General&nbsp;Rob Bonta&nbsp;and environmental groups, alleging defamation of its advanced plastics recycling initiatives, as the oil giant pushes forward with significant <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/01/42867453/exxon-mobil-sues-california-ag-over-defamation-of-recycling-efforts-citing-ties-to-competitors" rel="noreferrer noopener">investments in recycling technology</a>.
Investors can gain exposure to XOM via&nbsp;Vanguard Energy ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VDE#NYSE">VDE</a>) and SPDR Select Sector Fund &#8211; Energy Select Sector (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>).
Price Action: XOM shares are down 1.35%&nbsp;at&nbsp;$107.28&nbsp;at the last check Wednesday.
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</ul>
Photo: Del Henderson Jr. via Shutterstock.

GTLS

Oil Price Drop To Cut Exxon Mobil's Q4 Upstream Earnings By Up To $0.9 Billion: Details

Chart Industries Announce Its Signing Of A Global Master Goods And Services Agreement With ExxonMobil

Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) filed a federal lawsuit Monday against California Attorney General Rob Bonta and environmental groups, alleging defamation of its advanced plastics recycling initiatives, as the oil giant pushes forward with significant investments in recycling technology.
What Happened: Filed in Beaumont, Texas, the lawsuit claims Bonta acted in concert with law firm Cotchett, Pitre &amp; McCarthy, which has connections to Australian billionaire Andrew Forrest&#8217;s Minderoo Foundation. The foundation controls Fortescue, a competitor in low-carbon solutions, Reuters reported.
The legal action comes as Exxon <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42117222/exxonmobil-aims-high-with-200-million-investment-in-cutting-edge-plastic-recycling">advances a $200 million expansion</a> of its advanced recycling capabilities in Texas. The technology breaks down hard-to-recycle plastics at the molecular level for reuse, part of the company&#8217;s broader sustainability strategy.
&#8220;Defendants are repeatedly and publicly attacking ExxonMobil with false accusations of being a &#8216;liar&#8217; and declarations that advanced recycling is a &#8216;myth&#8217; and a &#8216;sham,'&#8221; Exxon stated in its complaint, seeking undisclosed damages and retractions.
Why It Matters: The California Department of Justice defended its position, calling the lawsuit &#8220;another attempt from ExxonMobil to deflect attention from its own unlawful deception.&#8221; This follows Bonta&#8217;s 2023 lawsuit against Exxon over alleged decades-long deception about recycling limitations.
The legal battle unfolds as Exxon pursues <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42444546/2030-roadmap-exxonmobil-to-achieve-54m-barrelsday-production-targets-20-billion-earnings-boost">ambitious growth targets</a>, including a $20 billion earnings boost by 2030 and $30 billion in lower-emissions investments. The company recently announced plans for $20 billion in annual share repurchases for 2025-2026, supported by projected surplus cash of $165 billion.
Wall Street maintains a positive outlook on Exxon, with analysts setting an <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/XOM/analyst-ratings">average price target</a> of $127.96, representing a potential upside from current trading levels of around $108. 
The company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.54 and offers a dividend yield of 3.64%, according to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/">data from Benzinga Pro</a>.
<figure class="wp-block-image aligncenter size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/01/08030331/Screenshot-2025-01-08-at-1.31.49%E2%80%AFPM-1024x376.png" alt="" class="wp-image-723281" style="width:647px;height:auto" /></figure>
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Image via Flickr
Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo courtesy: Flickr

Exxon Mobil Sues California AG Over Defamation Of Recycling Efforts, Citing Ties To Competitors

Exxon Mobil Anticipates Changes In Liquids Prices To Impact Q4 Upstream Earnings Q/Q By $(0.9)B - $(0.5)B - Filing

Financial giants have made a conspicuous bearish move on Exxon Mobil. Our analysis of options history for Exxon Mobil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) revealed 14 unusual trades.
Delving into the details, we found 35% of traders were bullish, while 50% showed bearish tendencies. Out of all the trades we spotted, 4 were puts, with a value of $137,415, and 10 were calls, valued at $716,980.
<h3>Projected Price Targets</h3>
Analyzing the Volume and Open Interest in these contracts, it seems that the big players have been eyeing a price window from $80.0 to $150.0 for Exxon Mobil during the past quarter. 
<h3>Volume &amp; Open Interest Development</h3>
Looking at the volume and open interest is an insightful way to conduct due diligence on a stock.
This data can help you track the liquidity and interest for Exxon Mobil's options for a given strike price.
Below, we can observe the evolution of the volume and open interest of calls and puts, respectively, for all of Exxon Mobil's whale activity within a strike price range from $80.0 to $150.0 in the last 30 days. 
<h3>Exxon Mobil Option Volume And Open Interest Over Last 30 Days</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1736186425_0.png" alt="Options Call Chart" />
<h3>Largest Options Trades Observed:</h3>

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Symbol</th>
<th>PUT/CALL</th>
<th>Trade Type</th>
<th>Sentiment</th>
<th>Exp. Date</th>
<th>Ask</th>
<th>Bid</th>
<th>Price</th>
<th>Strike Price</th>
<th>Total Trade Price</th>
<th>Open Interest</th>
<th>Volume</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>12/19/25</td>
<td>$16.25</td>
<td>$15.3</td>
<td>$15.5</td>
<td>$100.00</td>
<td>$131.7K</td>
<td>739</td>
<td>85</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>01/17/25</td>
<td>$1.58</td>
<td>$1.56</td>
<td>$1.56</td>
<td>$110.00</td>
<td>$117.6K</td>
<td>38.8K</td>
<td>1.3K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>02/21/25</td>
<td>$19.3</td>
<td>$19.3</td>
<td>$19.3</td>
<td>$90.00</td>
<td>$86.8K</td>
<td>199</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>NEUTRAL</td>
<td>01/15/27</td>
<td>$17.1</td>
<td>$14.65</td>
<td>$16.0</td>
<td>$105.00</td>
<td>$80.0K</td>
<td>338</td>
<td>0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>01/15/27</td>
<td>$33.2</td>
<td>$32.2</td>
<td>$32.36</td>
<td>$80.00</td>
<td>$64.7K</td>
<td>123</td>
<td>21</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<h3>About Exxon Mobil</h3>
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil around the world. In 2023, it produced 2.4 million barrels of liquids and 7.7 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2023, reserves were 16.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 66% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners with a total global refining capacity of 4.5 million barrels of oil per day and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
In light of the recent options history for Exxon Mobil, it's now appropriate to focus on the company itself. We aim to explore its current performance.
<h3>Exxon Mobil's Current Market Status</h3>
<ul>
<li>Trading volume stands at 5,665,586, with XOM's price up by 0.7%, positioned at $108.61.</li>
<li>RSI indicators show the stock to be may be approaching oversold.</li>
<li>Earnings announcement expected in 25 days.</li>
</ul>
<h3>Expert Opinions on Exxon Mobil</h3>
A total of 5 professional analysts have given their take on this stock in the last 30 days, setting an average price target of $129.6.
Turn $1000 into $1270 in just 20 days?
20-year pro options trader reveals his one-line chart technique that shows when to buy and sell. Copy his trades, which have had averaged a 27% profit every 20 days. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/options-moneyline-2/?t=Moop1arja3be22op14&amp;utm_source=benzinga-insights">Click here for access</a>. 
&#x2A; Consistent in their evaluation, an analyst from UBS keeps a Buy rating on Exxon Mobil with a target price of $147. 
&#x2A; Consistent in their evaluation, an analyst from Piper Sandler keeps a Overweight rating on Exxon Mobil with a target price of $127. 
&#x2A; Consistent in their evaluation, an analyst from Mizuho keeps a Neutral rating on Exxon Mobil with a target price of $134. 
&#x2A; An analyst from RBC Capital downgraded its action to Sector Perform with a price target of $115. 
&#x2A; An analyst from JP Morgan has decided to maintain their Overweight rating on Exxon Mobil, which currently sits at a price target of $125. 
Trading options involves greater risks but also offers the potential for higher profits. Savvy traders mitigate these risks through ongoing education, strategic trade adjustments, utilizing various indicators, and staying attuned to market dynamics. Keep up with the latest options trades for Exxon Mobil with <a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/register174">Benzinga Pro</a> for real-time alerts.

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