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PulteGroup (NYSE:PHM) Bolsa, Informe de interés en corto

PulteGroup

PulteGroup Inc is a homebuilder in the United States. The company mainly builds single-family detached homes, and offers products to entry-level, move-up, and active-adult buyers. It also offers homebuyers mortgage financing, title, and insurance agency services through its financial services segment.

PulteGroup Inc

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PulteGroup (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PHM#NYSE">PHM</a>) is gearing up to announce its quarterly earnings on Tuesday, 2024-10-22. Here's a quick overview of what investors should know before the release.
Analysts are estimating that PulteGroup will report an earnings per share (EPS) of $3.13.
Investors in PulteGroup are eagerly awaiting the company's announcement, hoping for news of surpassing estimates and positive guidance for the next quarter.
It's worth noting for new investors that stock prices can be heavily influenced by future projections rather than just past performance.
<h3>Earnings Track Record</h3>
During the last quarter, the company reported an EPS beat by $0.31, leading to a 2.47% drop in the share price on the subsequent day.
Here's a look at PulteGroup's past performance and the resulting price change:

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Quarter</th>
<th>Q2 2024</th>
<th>Q1 2024</th>
<th>Q4 2023</th>
<th>Q3 2023</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>EPS Estimate</td>
<td>3.27</td>
<td>2.36</td>
<td>3.22</td>
<td>2.84</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EPS Actual</td>
<td>3.58</td>
<td>2.87</td>
<td>3.28</td>
<td>2.90</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Price Change %</td>
<td>-2.0%</td>
<td>-0.0%</td>
<td>-1.0%</td>
<td>-1.0%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1729526496_0.png" alt="eps graph" />
<h3>Stock Performance</h3>
Shares of PulteGroup were trading at $149.04 as of October 18. Over the last 52-week period, shares are up 102.58%. Given that these returns are generally positive, long-term shareholders are likely bullish going into this earnings release. 
<h3>Analyst Observations about PulteGroup</h3>
Understanding market sentiments and expectations within the industry is crucial for investors. This analysis delves into the latest insights on PulteGroup.
PulteGroup has received a total of 10 ratings from analysts, with the consensus rating as Outperform. With an average one-year price target of $146.5, the consensus suggests a potential 1.7% downside.
<h3>Comparing Ratings Among Industry Peers</h3>
The below comparison of the analyst ratings and average 1-year price targets of Toll Brothers and TopBuild, three prominent players in the industry, gives insights for their relative performance expectations and market positioning.
<ul>
<li>Analysts currently favor an Outperform trajectory for Toll Brothers, with an average 1-year price target of $155.2, suggesting a potential 4.13% upside.</li>
<li>As per analysts' assessments, TopBuild is favoring an Buy trajectory, with an average 1-year price target of $458.33, suggesting a potential 207.52% upside.</li>
</ul>
<h3>Insights: Peer Analysis</h3>
In the peer analysis summary, key metrics for Toll Brothers and TopBuild are highlighted, providing an understanding of their respective standings within the industry and offering insights into their market positions and comparative performance.

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Company</th>
<th>Consensus</th>
<th>Revenue Growth</th>
<th>Gross Profit</th>
<th>Return on Equity</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>PulteGroup</td>
<td>Outperform</td>
<td>9.81%</td>
<td>$1.39B</td>
<td>7.36%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Toll Brothers</td>
<td>Outperform</td>
<td>1.50%</td>
<td>$742.00M</td>
<td>5.09%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>TopBuild</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>3.67%</td>
<td>$423.92M</td>
<td>5.95%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Key Takeaway:
PulteGroup ranks highest in revenue growth among its peers. It also leads in gross profit margin. However, it has the lowest return on equity compared to its peers.
<h3>All You Need to Know About PulteGroup</h3>
PulteGroup Inc is a homebuilder in the United States. The company mainly builds single-family detached homes, and offers products to entry-level, move-up, and active-adult buyers. It also offers homebuyers mortgage financing, title, and insurance agency services through its financial services segment.
<h3>PulteGroup: Financial Performance Dissected</h3>
Market Capitalization Highlights: Above the industry average, the company's market capitalization signifies a significant scale, indicating strong confidence and market prominence.
Positive Revenue Trend: Examining PulteGroup's financials over 3 months reveals a positive narrative. The company achieved a noteworthy revenue growth rate of 9.81% as of 30 June, 2024, showcasing a substantial increase in top-line earnings. When compared to others in the Consumer Discretionary sector, the company faces challenges, achieving a growth rate lower than the average among peers.
Net Margin: PulteGroup's net margin is impressive, surpassing industry averages. With a net margin of 17.59%, the company demonstrates strong profitability and effective cost management.
Return on Equity (ROE): The company's ROE is below industry benchmarks, signaling potential difficulties in efficiently using equity capital. With an ROE of 7.36%, the company may need to address challenges in generating satisfactory returns for shareholders.
Return on Assets (ROA): PulteGroup's ROA surpasses industry standards, highlighting the company's exceptional financial performance. With an impressive 4.9% ROA, the company effectively utilizes its assets for optimal returns.
Debt Management: PulteGroup's debt-to-equity ratio is below the industry average at 0.19, reflecting a lower dependency on debt financing and a more conservative financial approach.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/PHM/earnings">To track all earnings releases for PulteGroup visit their earnings calendar on our site.</a>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Earnings

PulteGroup Earnings Preview

PulteGroup (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PHM#NYSE">PHM</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 10 years by 11.02% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 22.6%. Currently, PulteGroup has a market capitalization of $30.48 billion. 
Buying $1000 In PHM: If an investor had bought $1000 of PHM stock 10 years ago, it would be worth $7,808.08 today based on a price of $146.87 for PHM at the time of writing.
<h3>PulteGroup's Performance Over Last 10 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1729092658_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

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Trading Ideas

$1000 Invested In This Stock 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth $7,800 Today

Hurricane Milton has left a significant mark on the Florida housing market, with cities such as Orlando, Tampa, Lakeland, Sarasota and Daytona Beach facing the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/hurricane-milton">brunt of the storm. </a>
As recovery efforts begin, analysts expect the state&#8217;s homebuilding sector to absorb an estimated $1.7 billion to $2.5 billion hit, according to a report from Goldman Sachs analyst Susan Maklari.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Homebuilder Exposure To Milton And Potential Delays</h1>
Homebuilders with significant exposure in the affected regions face potential delays in construction and home closings.
Maklari notes that major homebuilders such as PulteGroup Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PHM#NYSE">PHM</a>), Lennar Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LEN#NYSE">LEN</a>), and D.R. Horton Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DHI#NYSE">DHI</a>) have significant exposure in the impacted regions, with 17%, 14%, and 11% of their 2023 closings, respectively, concentrated in these areas.
In contrast, builders like KB Home (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KBH#NYSE">KBH</a>) and Toll Brothers Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TOL#NYSE">TOL</a>) have minimal exposure, with less than 3% each. Historically, homebuilders in Florida have faced delays of around 4-6 weeks following severe weather events, primarily due to resource allocation to existing community recovery efforts and labor shortages. 
Given Hurricane Milton&#8217;s strength, widespread geographic reach, and timing — just two weeks after Hurricane Helene — Maklari believes these delays could be extended even further.
"We expect some closings to be delayed, but this appears to be more of a timing issue. Any potential shortfall in Q4 will likely be made up in early 2025," Maklari said. 
The good news for builders is that many homes are already in later construction stages as they aim to hit year-end targets, and most builders tend to avoid constructing in floodplains.
Goldman Sachs estimates the total industry impact to fall between $1.7 billion and $2.5 billion, based on historical delays and local median home prices.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/10/41278536/florida-is-a-top-state-for-new-home-builds-could-hurricane-milton-slow-it-down-4-homebuilder-sto">Florida Is A Top State For New Home Builds — Could Hurricane Milton Slow It Down? 4 Homebuilder Stocks That Could Come Under Pressure</a>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Builder Exposure Breakdown: Orlando And Tampa</h1>
The Orlando and Tampa metropolitan areas are two of the hardest-hit regions. 
In Orlando, D.R. Horton leads the market with 2,351 closings in 2023, accounting for 16.7% market share, followed closely by Lennar Corp. with 2,242 closings and a 15.9% share. 
In Tampa, Lennar has an even larger presence, with 3,570 closings making up 28.7% of the market, while D.R. Horton holds 21.6%.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Top Homebuilders In Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, Fla. MSA (2023 Unit Closings):</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td># Company</td>
<td>Closings</td>
<td>Mkt. Share</td>
<td>% of Homes Closed by Company</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1 D.R. Horton</td>
<td>2,351</td>
<td>16.7%</td>
<td>2.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2 Lennar Corp.</td>
<td>2,242</td>
<td>15.9%</td>
<td>3.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>3 The Villages of Lake Sumter</td>
<td>2,129</td>
<td>15.1%</td>
<td>77.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>4 PulteGroup</td>
<td>1,852</td>
<td>13.2%</td>
<td>6.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>5 Dream Finders Homes Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DFH#NYSE">DFH</a>)</td>
<td>791</td>
<td>5.6%</td>
<td>10.8%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Top Homebuilders In Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, Fla. MSA (2023 Unit Closings):</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Rank</th>
<th>Company</th>
<th>Closings</th>
<th>Market Share (%)</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>1</td>
<td> Lennar Corp.</td>
<td> 3,570</td>
<td> 28.7</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2</td>
<td> D.R. Horton</td>
<td> 2,692</td>
<td> 21.6</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>3</td>
<td> Homes by Westbay</td>
<td> 792</td>
<td> 6.4</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>4</td>
<td> PulteGroup</td>
<td> 756</td>
<td> 6.1</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>5</td>
<td> M/I Homes</td>
<td> 747</td>
<td> 6.0</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Source: Goldman Sachs</figcaption></figure>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Muted But Prolonged Impact On Building Products Demand</h1>
The broader building products sector is expected to experience a relatively muted response, with demand for materials such as roofing, flooring and insulation likely spread out over several months.
While Goldman Sachs does not anticipate a significant rise in overall product volumes, the short-term need for repairs could lead to temporary spikes in activity.
When it comes to damage to existing homes, the extent of destruction depends on the storm's specific characteristics, such as wind speed and flooding levels. 
Roofs, windows, and siding are typically most affected by wind damage, while floors, wallboard and insulation often suffer during flooding events. Key players in these product categories include:
<ul>
<li>Roofing: Owens Corning Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OC#NYSE">OC</a>), Carlisle Companies Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CSL#NYSE">CSL</a>)</li>
<li>Windows: JELD-WEN Holding Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JELD#NYSE">JELD</a>)</li>
<li>Siding: Louisiana-Pacific Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LPX#NYSE">LPX</a>)</li>
<li>Flooring: Mohawk Industries Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MHK#NYSE">MHK</a>)</li>
<li>Insulation: Owens Corning Inc., TopBuild Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BLD#NYSE">BLD</a>), Installed Building Products Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBP#NYSE">IBP</a>)</li>
</ul>
"Reconstruction demand typically spans several months," Maklari said, citing past hurricanes. 
Cleanup and insurance claims processing often delay actual repairs, with the full rebuilding efforts sometimes extending over 4 to 6 months. 
For example, Owens Corning reported that Hurricane Ian in 2022 resulted in 4 million squares of roofing damage, representing approximately 2.5% of annual roofing shipments.
Goldman Sachs does not foresee a sharp rise in overall building product volumes from Hurricane Milton. Instead, they expect a &#8220;pull-forward&#8221; in demand, meaning that short-term rebuilding activity might be strong, but it won't significantly raise long-term volumes. This could result in choppy revenue comparisons as the industry moves past the initial recovery phase.
Read Now:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/top-stories/24/10/41277323/insurance-stocks-rebound-as-investors-assess-hurricane-miltons-aftermath-3-stocks-to-watch">Insurance Stocks Rebound As Investors Assess Hurricane Milton&#8217;s Aftermath: 3 Stocks To Watch</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

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Hurricane Milton To Deliver $2.5B Blow To Florida's Homebuilding Sector, Goldman Sachs Says

Hurricane Milton could slow down new home construction in the state of Florida, which could have a negative impact on the overall <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/housing">U.S. housing market.</a>
What Happened: Hurricane Milton has left devastation in the state of Florida that<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41254312/hurricane-milton-descends-on-florida-analysts-warn-of-impact-on-disney-nexteras-flo"> impacts multiple sectors</a> and will take time to clean up and restore portions of the state.
While portions of the cleanup effort will include the rebuilding and repair of existing homes, the hurricane could impact new homes built in Florida.
New home build permits could be delayed in portions of the state, while deliveries and orders could also be delayed on existing new homes. This could add costs to home builders who have large operations in the state of Florida, according to a Bloomberg <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/live-blog/2024-10-10/hurricane-milton-strikes-florida?srnd=homepage-americas&amp;sref=TBDibEcD">report</a>.
The report names Taylor Morrison Home Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TMHC#NYSE">TMHC</a>), PulteGroup (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PHM#NYSE">PHM</a>), Lennar Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LEN#NYSE">LEN</a>) and D.R. Horton Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DHI#NYSE">DHI</a>) as the home builders with the highest exposure in Florida.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41266095/hurricane-milton-knocks-out-power-for-over-2m-in-florida-nextera-energy-duke-energy-and-tampa-electr">Hurricane Milton Knocks Out Power For Over 2M In Florida, NextEra Energy, Duke Energy, And Tampa Electric Report Major Outages</a>
Why It's Important: Florida accounts for 14% of single-family home permits and ranks second for new homes in the U.S., according to a Bloomberg report.
A <a href="https://constructioncoverage.com/research/cities-investing-most-in-new-housing">report </a>from Construction Coverage highlights Florida as ranking fifth for new home builds. Among the large cities tracked for the most new home builds, Florida has three cities on the list.
Jacksonville ranks third, Orlando ranks seventh and Tampa ranks 12th.&nbsp;
Investors could soon get more details on the impact Hurricane Milton has on new home builds in the state of Florida. Pulte reports quarterly earnings on Oct. 22, Taylor Morrison reports on Oct. 23 and D.R. Horton reports on Oct. 29.
Lennar <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/09/40948948/homebuilder-lennar-reports-better-than-expected-q3-results-details">reported quarterly financial results </a>in September with revenue and earnings per share both beating estimates from analysts.
The company reported new orders were up 5% year-over-year to 20,587 homes and deliveries were up 16% year-over-year to 21,516 homes. Lennar reported a backlog of 16,944 homes worth an estimated $7.7 billion.
Outlooks from home builder companies could be conservative or guided down in the coming quarterly results and something investors should closely monitor.
The iShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ITB#BATS">ITB</a>) holds a basket of home building stocks with D.R. Horton (14.6%), Lennar (11.7%) and Pulte (7.8%) ranking first, second and fourth, respectively, in the fund by assets.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/real-estate/reit/24/09/41036750/new-us-single-family-home-sales-fall-from-prior-month-but-are-up-from-a-year-ago-as-mortgage-rat">New U.S. Single-Family Home Sales Fall From Prior Month — But Are Up From A Year Ago As Mortgage Rates Decline</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

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Florida Is A Top State For New Home Builds — Could Hurricane Milton Slow It Down? 4 Homebuilder Stocks That Could Come Under Pressure

Wells Fargo analyst Sam Reid maintains PulteGroup (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PHM#NYSE">PHM</a>) with a Overweight and raises the price target from $150 to $165.

Price Target

Analyst Ratings

Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight on PulteGroup, Raises Price Target to $165

Oppenheimer analyst Tyler Batory maintains PulteGroup (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PHM#NYSE">PHM</a>) with a Outperform and raises the price target from $151 to $168.

Oppenheimer Maintains Outperform on PulteGroup, Raises Price Target to $168

PulteGroup (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PHM#NYSE">PHM</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 5 years by 16.8% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 31.08%. Currently, PulteGroup has a market capitalization of $29.79 billion. 
Buying $100 In PHM: If an investor had bought $100 of PHM stock 5 years ago, it would be worth $396.82 today based on a price of $143.53 for PHM at the time of writing.
<h3>PulteGroup's Performance Over Last 5 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1727730011_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

$100 Invested In PulteGroup 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

KB Home (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/kbh#NYSE">KBH</a>) is slated to report third-quarter fiscal 2024 results (ended Aug. 31) on Sept. 24, after the closing bell.
In the last reported quarter, KB Home&#39;s earnings and revenues beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 20.8% and 4.3%, respectively. On a year-over-year basis, earnings increased 11% on 3.4% lower revenues.
The company&#39;s earnings topped analysts&#39; expectations in 31 of the trailing 34 quarters.
<div class="chart_embed">
<h3>KB Home Price and EPS Surprise</h3>
<img alt="KB Home Price and EPS Surprise" src="https://staticx-tuner.zacks.com/images/charts/9d/1727092560.png" style="height:263px; width:538px" title="" />
KB Home price-eps-surprise | KB Home Quote
</div>
<h2>How Are Estimates Placed for KBH?</h2>
For the quarter to be reported, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings has remained unchanged at $2.04 per share over the past 60 days. The projected figure indicates an increase of 13.3% from the year-ago quarter&#39;s earnings of $1.80 per share.
The consensus estimate for revenues is pegged at $1.73 billion, implying growth of 8.8% from the prior-year quarter.
<h2>What the Zacks Model Unveils for KB Home</h2>
Our proven model predicts an earnings beat for KB Home this time around. This is because a stock needs to have the combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold) for this to happen.
Earnings ESP: KB Home has an Earnings ESP of +0.08%.
Zacks Rank: KB Home currently has a Zacks Rank #3.
<h2>Factors to Shape KBH&#39;s Q3 Results</h2>
Revenues: KB Home&#39;s top line in third-quarter fiscal 2024 is likely to have increased, given higher Housing revenues primarily attributable to growth in deliveries and favorable pricing. The company has been benefiting from the strong buyer demand, particularly for built-to-order homes, despite the volatility in mortgage rates.
The company&#39;s focus on personalization and its ability to offer both quick move-in and personalized homes might have helped the company drive growth. KB Home has also been utilizing mortgage buydowns as a key component of its strategy to maintain strong sales amid fluctuating mortgage rates.
Although the company has not provided an explicit forecast for its third-quarter absorption pace, the positive momentum from the fiscal second quarter &mdash; driven by strong demand, shorter build times, and strategic pricing &mdash; suggests that the absorption pace is expected to remain solid in the fiscal third quarter. The company is focusing on balancing pace and pricing to optimize margins while still driving volume.
The company expects housing revenues in the range of $1.65-$1.75 billion compared with the year-ago figure of $1.57 billion. KBH anticipates the average selling price&nbsp;to be $482,000, indicating an increase from $466,300 reported a year ago.
Our model projects housing revenues to grow 9.1% year over year to $1.72 billion in the quarter. We expect ASP to increase 3.3% to $481,500. We expect total deliveries in the quartet to grow 5.6% year over year.
Margins: Although initiatives like the Returns-Focused Growth Plan and Built-to-Order approach are positives, increasing construction and labor costs are likely to put pressure on the bottom line.
The company anticipates that the housing gross margin for the third quarter of 2024 will decline between 21% and 21.4% (compared with 21.5% in the year-ago quarter). This projection accounts for the concessions provided to homebuyers in the latter half of last year, which were influenced by the challenging market conditions at that time and is expected to close in this quarter.
Selling, general &amp; administrative expenses (SG&amp;A), as a percentage of housing revenues, are likely to be 9.9%-10.3%. We expect SG&amp;A expenses to be 10.2% in the quarter, the same as the year-ago figure.
The company expects adjusted operating margin between 10.8% and 11.4%. Our model predicts the adjusted operating margin to be 10.9% in the quarter, down from 11.4% a year ago.
The company expects an effective tax rate of approximately 24% for the quarter.
Orders &amp; Backlogs: We anticipate that new orders will increase to 3,357 units, up 8.4% from the previous year. With a limited supply of pre-owned homes available, homebuyers are turning their attention to builders who have increased their construction efforts to meet the rising demand. KB Home, along with other homebuilding companies, has benefited significantly from this trend despite ongoing challenges.
We expect the backlog to be 6,062 units, implying a decline from 7,008 units reported in the prior-year quarter.
Meanwhile, our model predicts Financial Services revenues to be $8.3 million for the fiscal third quarter. We expect Financial Services pretax income to be $12.2 million in the quarter compared with the year-ago quarter&#39;s figure of $9.9 million.
<h2>KB Home&#39;s Price Performance &amp; Valuation</h2>
KBH&#39;s stock has exhibited an upward movement in the past six months.&nbsp;The stock has gained 27.5%, outperforming the Zacks Building Products - Home Builders industry&#39;s rise of 16.4% in the same time frame.
The company has also outperformed its peer companies like Meritage Homes Corporation&nbsp;(NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/mth#NYSE">MTH</a>) (up 21.6% in the past six months) and Taylor Morrison Home Corporation&nbsp;(NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/tmhc#NYSE">TMHC</a>) (up 16%).
<h2>6-Month Price Performance of KBH Stock</h2>
<img alt="Zacks Investment Research" src="https://staticx-tuner.zacks.com/images/articles/charts/2d/78791.jpg?v=1075297864" />
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Technical indicators suggest continued strong performance for KBH. Notably, the 50-day SMA continues to read higher than the 200-day SMA, signaling the bullish trend.
<h2>KBH Stock Trades Above 50 and 200-Day Moving Average</h2>
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KBH stock is trading at a discount compared with the industry and slightly higher than its median. Despite the company&#39;s shares&#39; outperformance compared to its industry, KBH&#39;s current valuation is still considered undervalued. This might imply that the market has not yet fully recognized or priced in the company&#39;s potential growth prospects or earnings potential. The company is also trading currently at a discount compared to the industry&#39;s big shots like PulteGroup, Inc. (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/phm#NYSE">PHM</a>).
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<h2>How to Play KB Home Stock?</h2>
Investors may want to hold KB Home stock due to its resilience in a challenging housing market, driven by strategic pricing and effective inventory management. Despite industry headwinds like expensive mortgages and slowing demand, KB Home has maintained strong financial performance through a focus on affordability and margin optimization. The company&#39;s BTO model has contributed to positive inventory dynamics, supporting confidence in their margin guidance for the second half of 2024.
While the recent Federal Reserve rate cut to 4.75%-5% may provide some market relief, its full impact on homebuilding remains uncertain, as mortgage rates may have already factored in the anticipated cut. Additionally, rising land costs, competition from the resale market, and supply chain disruptions pose challenges to the company&#39;s growth potential.
Though KB Home&#39;s stock has shown strength with a solid 50-day moving average and discounted valuation, a lack of upward estimate revisions in the past two months signals limited near-term upside. Investors might consider holding the stock while waiting for more favorable market conditions and further clarity on KB Home&#39;s long-term performance.
KB Home&#39;s operational resilience and strategic focus in a difficult environment make it a stock worth holding, although potential investors may opt for caution until clearer signals of stability emerge in both the company&#39;s performance and broader market trends.
<a href="https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2339964/should-you-buy-sell-or-hold-kb-home-before-q3-earnings?cid=CS-BENZ-FT-analyst_blog|earnings_preview-2339964">To read this article on Zacks.com click here.</a>

Guidance

Technicals

Federal Reserve

Should You Buy, Sell, or Hold KB Home Before Q3 Earnings?

Lennar Corporation (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/len#NYSE">LEN</a>) reported third-quarter fiscal 2024 results, wherein its earnings and revenues surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate.
On a year-over-year basis, revenues increased, given the company&#39;s emphasis on maintaining a steady production rate to drive sales momentum. Lennar strategically utilized pricing, incentives, marketing expenditure and dynamic pricing insights to ensure steady sales volume despite fluctuations in interest rates.
However, earnings fell by a cent from the year-ago period. LEN&#39;s stock plunged 2.4% in the after-hours trading session on Sept. 19. Investors&#39; sentiments might have been hurt by lower earnings and gross margin in the fiscal third quarter, as well as tepid fiscal fourth-quarter guidance.
<h2>Quarterly Numbers</h2>
LEN reported adjusted earnings per share (excluding mark-to-market gains on technology investments and one-time items in its Multifamily segment) of $3.90, which topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.62 by 7.7%. The metric, however, slipped 0.3% year over year from $3.91 per share.
<div class="chart_embed">
<h3>Lennar Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise</h3>
<img alt="Lennar Corporation Price, Consensus and EPS Surprise" src="https://staticx-tuner.zacks.com/images/charts/fa/1726841318.png" style="height:265px; width:589px" title="" />
Lennar Corporation price-consensus-eps-surprise-chart | Lennar Corporation Quote
Revenues of $9.42 billion topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $9.29 billion by 1.4% and rose 7.9% year over year from $8.73 billion.
</div>
<h2>Segment Details</h2>
Homebuilding: Revenues of the segment totaled $9.05 billion, up 8.7% from the prior-year quarter. Under the Homebuilding umbrella, home sales contributed $9.02 billion to total revenues, up 8.8% from a year ago.
Land sales accounted for $19.5 million, down from $20.4 million in the prior-year quarter. The Other homebuilding unit contributed $8.6 million to homebuilding revenues, down from $12.3 million a year ago.
Home deliveries for the reported quarter improved 16% from the year-ago level to 21,516 units. The reported figure was better than our projection of 20,598 units for the quarter. The average sales price&nbsp;of homes delivered was $422,000, down 5.8% from the year-ago figure due to pricing to market through an increased use of incentives and product mix. Our model had predicted ASP to be $432,910 for the fiscal third quarter.
New orders rose 5% from the year-ago quarter to 20,587 homes. However, the potential value of net orders fell 0.9% year over year to $8.56 billion.
Backlog at the fiscal third-quarter end declined 20.5% from the year-ago quarter to 16,944 homes. Potential housing revenues from backlog decreased 21.4% year over year to $7.75 billion.
The gross margin on home sales was 22.5% for the quarter, down 190 basis points (bps). Notably, the reported figure came below our projection of 23% for the quarter. The decline was mainly due to decreased revenues per square foot and increased land costs year over year.
SG&amp;A expenses &mdash; as a percentage of home sales &mdash; decreased 30 bps to 6.7% due to a decrease in broker commissions and benefits of LEN&#39;s technology efforts.
Financial Services: The segment&#39;s revenues increased year over year to $273.3 million from $266.2 million for the reported quarter. Operating earnings for the quarter increased to $144.4 million from $149 million a year ago.
Lennar Multi-Family: Revenues of $93.4 million in the segment were down from $137.4 million in the prior-year quarter. The segment registered operating earnings of $78.9 million for the quarter against a loss of $8.7 million a year ago.
Lennar Other: The segment&#39;s revenues totaled $3.6 million, significantly down from $7.4 million a year ago. Its operating earnings were $20.1 million for the quarter against a loss of $26.2 million a year ago.
<h2>Financials</h2>
At the fiscal third-quarter end, Lennar had homebuilding cash and cash equivalents of $4.04 billion, down from $6.27 billion at the end of fiscal 2023. LEN has no outstanding borrowings under the $2.2 billion revolving credit facility, thereby providing $6.2 billion of liquidity.
The total homebuilding debt was $2.26 billion as of the fiscal third-quarter end, down from $2.82 billion at the fiscal 2023-end. Homebuilding debt to capital at the fiscal third-quarter end was 7.6%, down from 9.6% at the fiscal 2023-end.
LEN repurchased 3.4 million shares for $519 million in the fiscal third quarter.
<h2>Guidance</h2>
For fourth-quarter fiscal 2024, the company expects deliveries within 22,500-23,000 homes, depicting a fall from 23,795 homes delivered in the year-ago period. The company expects the ASP of the delivered units to be nearly $425,000, down from an ASP of $441,000 reported a year ago.
The gross margin on home sales is expected to be flat year over year. SG&amp;A expenses, as a percentage of home sales, are likely to be in the range of 6.7-6.8% for the quarter. In the prior year, gross margin was 24.2%, and SG&amp;A was 6.6%.
New orders are likely to be within 19,000-19,300 units, up from 17,366 homes reported a year ago.
Financial Services operating earnings are expected to be around $140 million, down from $168 million a year ago.
<h2>LEN&#39;s Zacks Rank &amp; Stocks to Consider</h2>
Lennar currently carries a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell).
Some better-ranked stocks in the same space are M/I Homes, Inc. (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/mho#NYSE">MHO</a>), Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/mth#NYSE">MTH</a>)&nbsp;and PulteGroup, Inc.&nbsp;(NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/phm#NYSE">PHM</a>). Each stock presently carries a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
M/I Homes is a Columbus, OH-based homebuilder that engages in the construction and sale of single-family residential homes.
MHO&#39;s EPS estimates for 2024 have increased to $19.76 from $19.58 over the past 30 days. The company&#39;s earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the trailing four quarters and missed on one occasion, the average being 4.8%. MHO&#39;s earnings are expected to rise 21.9% year over year in 2024.
Meritage Homes is a Scottsdale, AZ-based company that designs and builds single-family attached and detached homes.
MTH&#39;s EPS estimates for 2024 have increased to $21.09 from $20.33 over the past 60 days. The company&#39;s earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all the trailing four quarters, the average being 21.5%. MTH&#39;s earnings are expected to rise 5.8% year over year in 2024.
PulteGroup is an Atlanta, GA-based homebuilder engaged in homebuilding and financial services businesses.
PHM&#39;s EPS estimates for 2024 have increased to $13.36 from $12.85 over the past 60 days. The company&#39;s earnings surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all the trailing four quarters, the average being 10%. PHM&#39;s earnings are expected to rise 14% year over year in 2024.
<a href="https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2339343/lennar-q3-earnings-revenues-beat-stock-down-on-tepid-q4-view?cid=CS-BENZ-FT-analyst_blog|earnings_article-2339343">To read this article on Zacks.com click here.</a>

Earnings Beats

Lennar Q3 Earnings & Revenues Beat, Stock Down on Tepid Q4 View

B of A Securities analyst Rafe Jadrosich maintains PulteGroup (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PHM#NYSE">PHM</a>) with a Buy and raises the price target from $138 to $160.

B of A Securities Maintains Buy on PulteGroup, Raises Price Target to $160

Homebuilder stocks are hitting new highs as anticipation builds ahead of the Federal Reserve&#8217;s upcoming rate cut decision. Both Lennar Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LEN#NYSE">LEN</a>) and PulteGroup, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PHM#NYSE">PHM</a>) surged to 52-week highs on Sept. 18, with Lennar reaching $190.12 and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/LEN/news">PulteGroup hitting $141.43</a>.
The rally comes as investors bet that the Fed&#8217;s expected rate cut could further boost the already resurgent housing market.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Lower Rates To Benefit Home Builder Stocks</h1>
A note from Bank of America Securities highlights that the rally in homebuilder stocks has been underway since early July, coinciding with a drop in 30-year mortgage rates from 7% to 6.2%. 
&#8220;Lower rates would benefit home demand,&#8221; the note added, suggesting that a Federal Reserve cut of 25 to 50 basis points would add fuel to the fire for the housing sector.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/09/40908889/homebuilder-stocks-outperform-ahead-of-potential-rate-cuts-but-whats-next">Homebuilder Stocks Outperform Ahead Of Potential Rate Cuts — But What&#8217;s Next?</a>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Lennar&#8217;s Cash Flow Yield In Focus As It Reports Q3 Earnings</h1>
Lennar, up 26.78% year to date and nearly 60% over the past year, has been a standout performer, benefiting from strong demand and improved earnings multiples. The company is expected to release its third-quarter earnings tomorrow (Thursday), which could provide further insights into its performance.
Bryn Talkington of Requisite Capital Management also pointed to Lennar's impressive free cash flow yield of 11%, making it an attractive play for investors seeking value amid the rate cut frenzy.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">PulteGroup&#8217;s Margins Continue To Impress Investors</h1>
PulteGroup, up a whopping 82.46% over the past year, followed a similar path. The company, which develops single-family homes under well-known brands such as Pulte Homes and Centex, continues to enjoy top-of-the-line margins despite industry headwinds like inflation and a soft labor market.
Analysts believe the Fed's expected rate cut will temporarily relieve the housing affordability crisis, though long-term challenges remain.
Lennar and PulteGroup are positioned to keep riding the wave as the Fed&#8217;s decision looms. Investors eyeing exposure to the housing sector may want to watch closely.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/top-stories/24/09/40923657/single-family-housing-starts-are-up-as-mortgage-rates-decline-fed-eyes-lower-rates">Single-Family Housing Starts Are Up As Mortgage Rates Decline, Fed Eyes Lower Rates</a></li>
</ul>

Long Ideas

Previews

Signals

Homebuilder Giants Lennar, PulteGroup Hit New 52-Week Highs As Rate Cut Closes In

New construction on single-family homes in the U.S. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/23/06/32926608/us-housing-starts-skyrocket-to-highest-level-since-2016-sign-of-strong-market-optimism-among-builder">jumped in August</a> as mortgage rates trend downward and the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates on Wednesday for the first time in four years.
Single-family housing starts last month came in at an annualized rate of 992,000 units, up 15.8% from a revised figure of 857,000 for July, according to Commerce Department data released on Wednesday.
Starts for all privately-owned housing in August totaled an annualized rate of 1.356 million units, up 9.6% from the July revised estimate of 1.237 million and up 3.9% from the August 2023 rate of 1.305 million.
Single-family housing completions reached an annualized rate of 1.029 million in August, registering a 5.6% decline from July&#8217;s revised rate of 1.09 million.
Completions for all privately-owned homes in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.788 million, up 9.2% from the July revised estimate of 1.637 million and 30.2% above the July 2023 rate of 1.373 million.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/03/37845734/housing-starts-rebound-lift-homebuilder-stocks-sign-of-economic-resilience">Housing Starts Rebound, Lift Homebuilder Stocks: Sign Of Economic Resilience</a>
Building permits also rose last month, Commerce Department data showed.
Single-family authorizations in August were at a rate of 967,000, up 2.8% from the revised July figure of 941,000.
Privately-owned housing units authorized by building permits in August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,475,000. That&#8217;s up 4.9% from the July revised rate of 1.406 million but below the August 2023 rate of 1.578 million.
The average rate for <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/40921345/mortgage-rates-drop-to-2-year-low-refinancing-hits-fastest-pace-since-2022-rocket-lendingtree-among">30-year mortgages</a> fell 14 basis points in the week ended Sept. 13 to 6.15%, marking the lowest rate since September 2022, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.
The Federal Reserve is <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/09/40921827/fed-decision-is-here-5-things-investors-need-to-know-ahead-of-wednesdays-pivotal-in">expected to lower</a> its key interest rate ranging from 5% to 5.25% on Wednesday by either 25 or 50 basis points, signifying its first rate decline in four years.
Price Action: Homebuilders slid into Wednesday&#8217;s mid-day trading.
<ul>
<li>D.R. Horton, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DHI#NYSE">DHI</a>) slipped 0.86% to $193.67 </li>
<li>Pulte Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PHM#NYSE">PHM</a>) declined 0.41% to $139.88</li>
<li>NVR, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVR#NYSE">NVR</a>) went down 0.34% to $9,542.99</li>
</ul>
Exchange-traded funds that hold homebuilder stocks showed gains and losses.
<ul>
<li>IShares U.S. Home Construction ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ITB#BATS">ITB</a>) declined 0.57%</li>
<li>Direxion Daily Homebuilders &amp; Supplies Bull 3X Shares (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NAIL#NYSE">NAIL</a>) fell 1.8%</li>
<li>Pacer US Cash Cows Growth ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BUL#NYSE">BUL</a>) gained 0.2%</li>
</ul>
Read Now:
<ul>
<li>&#8216;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/real-estate/24/08/40666981/the-time-has-come-to-adjust-cheaper-mortgage-rates-could-be-just-weeks-away-but-it-all-hinges-on-thi">The Time Has Come to Adjust&#8217; — Cheaper Mortgage Rates Could Be Just Weeks Away, But It All Hinges On This Data</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

ETFs

NAIL

Single-Family Housing Starts Are Up As Mortgage Rates Decline, Fed Eyes Lower Rates

Homebuilder and building product stocks <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/09/40882613/builders-first-source-other-homebuilder-stocks-rise-with-catalysts-such-as-mortgage">could see an upward trend</a> if the Federal Reserve cuts the key interest rate on Wednesday, based on historical performance, according to a major U.S. bank.
The Fed is expected to lower rates by either 25 or 50 basis points, marking the first change since July 2023 when it raised the rate to a range of 5% to 5.25%.
&#8220;Builders and building product stocks have outperformed in anticipation of rate cuts,&#8221; BofA Securities said in a note on Tuesday.
&#8220;Lower rates would benefit home demand.&#8221;
Homebuilder and building product stocks have rallied since early July as 30-year mortgage rates have fallen from 7% to roughly 6.2%, boosting new home demand and spending on home improvements, BofA said.
&#8220;In our view, the stock performance has been stronger than the improvement in underlying fundamentals as investors look through near-term weakness to a 2025 recovery fueled by lower mortgage rates and pent-up demand,&#8221; the note stated.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/07/39988310/homebuilder-stocks-rally-to-record-highs-on-rate-cut-frenzy-but-housing-sales-still-struggle">Homebuilder Stocks Rally To Record Highs On Rate-Cut Frenzy But Housing Sales Still Struggle</a>
&#8220;Housing sector outperformance ahead of rate cuts is consistent with prior cycles, but the magnitude and valuations are higher this time around. Stock performance following the first cut is more mixed although usually positive for homebuilders.&#8221;
BofA noted that homebuilders outperformed the S&amp;P 500 in the three months before three of the last five initial rate cuts, and building products outperformed in four of the last five.
In the last three months, homebuilder stocks have gone up 26% and building product shares have risen 13%, compared to the S&amp;P 500&#8217;s 2% uptick over the same period, BofA said.
&#8220;Assuming the Fed starts to cut rates in September, homebuilder and building product stocks will be trading at a higher valuation than going into any of the last five periods when the Fed started to cut.&#8221;
BofA also pointed out that homebuilders and building products typically underperform the S&amp;P 500 ahead of a recession but outperform it during and after a recession.
Price Action: Homebuilder stocks traded higher on Tuesday.
<ul>
<li>Pulte Group, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PHM#NYSE">PHM</a>) rose 0.04% to $140.46.</li>
<li>D.R. Horton, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DHI#NYSE">DHI</a>) was up 0.3% to $195.37.</li>
<li>Lennar Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LEN#NYSE">LEN</a>) gained 1.1% to $189.36.</li>
</ul>
Building products also saw gains and losses.
<ul>
<li>Antelope Enterprise Holdings Ltd. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AEHL#NASDAQ">AEHL</a>) rose 2.94% to $1.05.</li>
<li>Interface, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TILE#NASDAQ">TILE</a>) dropped 1.37% to $18.76.</li>
<li>Technoglass Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TGLS#NYSE">TGLS</a>) went up 1.12% to $67.51.</li>
</ul>
The S&amp;P 500, which is tracked by SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), was up 0.02% to 5,634.58.
Read Now:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/08/40474111/toll-brothers-q3-earnings-revenue-beat-eps-beat-homes-delivered-up-11-backlog-down-10-momentum-into">Toll Brothers Q3 Earnings: Revenue Beat, EPS Beat, Homes Delivered Up 11%, Backlog Down 10%, Momentum Into August And More</a></li>
</ul>
Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

AEHL

TGLS

TILE

Homebuilder Stocks Outperform Ahead Of Potential Rate Cuts — But What's Next?

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Shares of companies within the broader consumer discretionary sector are trading higher following better-than-expected consumer sentiment data. Strong earnings from RH and anticipated rate cuts may be lifting the sector.

PulteGroup (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PHM#NYSE">PHM</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 10 years by 10.83% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 21.36%. Currently, PulteGroup has a market capitalization of $27.31 billion. 
Buying $100 In PHM: If an investor had bought $100 of PHM stock 10 years ago, it would be worth $692.93 today based on a price of $131.60 for PHM at the time of writing.
<h3>PulteGroup's Performance Over Last 10 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1725978623_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

$100 Invested In This Stock 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth $700 Today

PulteGroup (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PHM#NYSE">PHM</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 10 years by 10.88% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 21.72%. Currently, PulteGroup has a market capitalization of $28.06 billion. 
Buying $1000 In PHM: If an investor had bought $1000 of PHM stock 10 years ago, it would be worth $7,136.51 today based on a price of $135.22 for PHM at the time of writing.
<h3>PulteGroup's Performance Over Last 10 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1724693411_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

$1000 Invested In PulteGroup 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

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Shares of household durable companies are trading higher following strong New Home Sales economic data for July. Also, the sector may be moving in sympathy with the market after Fed Chair Powell offered an optimistic U.S. economic outlook and indicated future rate cuts.

Shares of homebuilders are trading higher in sympathy with Toll Brothers, which reported better-than-expected Q3 financial results and issued guidance above estimates.

Wedbush analyst Jay McCanless reiterates PulteGroup (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PHM#NYSE">PHM</a>) with a Neutral and maintains $115 price target.

Reiteration

Wedbush Reiterates Neutral on PulteGroup, Maintains $115 Price Target

After a rocky start to the month that led to a global market rout, two major inflation data seemed to have steadied the ship as the broader equity markets inched closer to all-time highs reached in mid-July. While the producer price index (a measure of wholesale prices) was up 0.1% last month, the consumer price index (a broad-based measure of prices for goods and services) increased 0.2%. This put the 12-month inflation rate at 2.9% &mdash; the lowest since March 2021.
While the data gave an uncertain market some direction after the erratic movement last week, it also portrayed the resilience of the economy. This, in turn, led to optimism about a possible rate cut by the Federal Reserve next month, triggering an uptrend for the stocks. With a better-than-expected 2.8% annualized GDP growth in the second quarter and solid labor market conditions, it appeared that the economy was back on the growth track, cooling recessionary fears.
As investors employ a wait-and-see approach in a classic example of &quot;backing and filling&quot; in the market, they can benefit from &quot;cash cow&quot; stocks that garner higher returns. However, identifying cash-rich stocks alone does not make for a solid investment proposition unless it is backed by attractive efficiency ratios like return on equity (ROE). A high ROE ensures that the company is reinvesting cash at a high rate of return. Upbound Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/upbd#NASDAQ">UPBD</a>), The AES Corporation (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/aes#NYSE">AES</a>), Arch Capital Group Ltd. (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/acgl#NASDAQ">ACGL</a>), PulteGroup, Inc. (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/phm#NYSE">PHM</a>) and Banco de Chile (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/bch#NYSE">BCH</a>) are some of the stocks with high ROE to profit from.
<h3>ROE: A Key Metric</h3>
ROE = Net Income/Shareholders&#39; Equity
ROE helps investors distinguish profit-generating companies from profit burners and is useful in determining the financial health of a company. In other words, this financial metric enables investors to identify companies that diligently deploy cash for higher returns.
Moreover, ROE is often used to compare the profitability of a company with other firms in the industry &mdash; the higher, the better. It measures how well a company is multiplying its profits without investing new equity capital and portrays management&#39;s efficiency in rewarding shareholders with attractive risk-adjusted returns.
<h3>Screening Parameters</h3>
In order to shortlist stocks that are cash-rich with high ROE, we have added Cash Flow greater than $1 billion and ROE greater than X-Industry as our primary screening parameters. In addition, we have taken a few other criteria into consideration to arrive at a winning strategy.
Price/Cash Flow lesser than X-Industry: This metric measures how much investors pay for $1 of free cash flow. A lower ratio indicates that investors need to pay less for a better cash flow-generating stock.
Return on Assets (ROA) greater than X-Industry: This metric determines how much profit a company earns for every dollar of asset, which includes cash, accounts receivable, property, equipment, inventory and furniture. The higher the ROA, the better it is for the company.
5-Year EPS Historical Growth greater than X-Industry: This criterion indicates that continued earnings momentum has translated into solid cash strength.
Zacks Rank less than or equal to 2: Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) stocks are known to outperform irrespective of the market environment.
Here are five of the 11 stocks that qualified the screening:
Upbound Group: Headquartered in Plano, TX, Upbound Group (formerly Rent-A-Center, Inc.) is a leading lease-to-own provider with operations in the United States, Puerto Rico and Mexico. The company provides services to a large portion of consumers by providing them access and the opportunity to obtain ownership of high-quality, durable products under a flexible lease purchase agreement with no long-term debt obligation.
The company delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 3.8%, on average. It has a VGM Score of B. Upbound Group carries a Zacks Rank #2.
AES: Arlington, VA-based AES is a global power company. Its businesses are spread across four continents in 14 countries. The company has four Strategic Business Units located in the United States and other regions across the globe. AES remains one of the forerunners in the utility industry&#39;s transition to clean energy by investing in sustainable growth and innovative solutions while delivering superior results.
It delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 19.2%, on average. AES carries a Zacks Rank #2.
Arch Capital: Headquartered in Pembroke, Bermuda, Arch Capital offers insurance, reinsurance and mortgage insurance across the world. It provides a wide range of products and services, which include primary and excess casualty coverages, professional indemnity, workers&#39; compensation and umbrella liability and employers&#39; liability insurance coverages. The company offers a full range of property, casualty and mortgage insurance and reinsurance lines while maintaining a focus on writing specialty lines of insurance and reinsurance.
It has a long-term earnings growth expectation of 6.1%. It delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 28.9%, on average. It has a VGM Score of B. Arch Capital carries a Zacks Rank #2.
PulteGroup: Based in Atlanta, GA, PulteGroup engages in homebuilding and financial services businesses, primarily in the United States. The company conducts operations through two primary business segments &ndash; Homebuilding and Financial Services. The company engages in maintaining a 50/50 balance between build-to-order and spec sales, enabling it to meet immediate demand with spec homes while also accommodating buyers who prefer to customize their homes with build-to-order options.
The company has a long-term earnings growth expectation of 19% and delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 10%, on average. It has a VGM Score of B. PulteGroup carries a Zacks Rank #2.&nbsp;
Banco de Chile: Headquartered in Santiago, Chile, Banco de Chile provides various banking services to customers in the Latin American country. These include deposit accounts, loans, payment-related cards and insurance solutions. The company also offers services such as cash management, treasury, financial advisory, trade finance, leasing, factoring, payment, payroll, collection, mutual fund management, securities brokerage, currency trading, investment management, collection, securitization and capital markets services.
It delivered a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 6.1%, on average. Banco de Chile carries a Zacks Rank #2.
Disclosure: Officers, directors and/or employees of Zacks Investment Research may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material. An affiliated investment advisory firm may own or have sold short securities and/or hold long and/or short positions in options that are mentioned in this material.&nbsp;
<a href="https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2322873/buy-5-high-roe-stocks-as-low-inflation-data-steadies-market?cid=CS-BENZ-FT-analyst_blog|rw-2322873">To read this article on Zacks.com click here.</a>

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In a report released today, Sam Reid from Wells Fargo maintained a Buy rating on PulteGroup (PHM – Research Report), with a price target of $165.00...

PulteGroup (PHM) Gets a Buy from Wells Fargo

The construction market is thriving, driven by its rising demand and shifting demographics. Thus, investors could consider buying leading construction stocks PulteGroup (PHM), NVR, Inc. (NVR), and Tri Pointe Homes (TPH) for solid gains. Keep on reading… With increasing population levels, urbanization, and shifting demographics boosting demand for new housing, the construction sector is expanding robustly. Additionally, a growing desire for modern, energy-efficient homes is growing, further accelerating the sector's expansion.
Therefore, with the industry's tailwinds, it could be wise to invest in fundamentally strong construction stocks like PulteGroup, Inc. (<a href="https://stocknews.com/stock/PHM/">PHM</a>), NVR, Inc. (<a href="https://stocknews.com/stock/NVR/">NVR</a>), and Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. (<a href="https://stocknews.com/stock/TPH/">TPH</a>) amid rising housing demand.
The construction sector is poised to benefit significantly from current market dynamics. With mortgage levels dropping to their <a href="https://www.forbes.com/advisor/mortgages/mortgage-rates/">lowest in nearly 15 months</a>, the demand for housing has been on the rise. Additionally, despite high interest rates, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut last month will further boost the industry's growth prospects.
That said, privately-owned housing completions in July reached an annual rate of 1,529,000, marking <a href="https://www.census.gov/construction/nrc/pdf/newresconst.pdf">a 13.8% increase</a> from July 2023. Single-family housing completions were at a rate of 1,054,000, up 0.5% from the revised June rate of 1,049,000.
According to Statista, the residential real estate market in the United States is projected to reach a value of <a href="https://www.statista.com/outlook/fmo/real-estate/residential-real-estate/united-states">$106.70 trillion by 2024</a>. This projection shows a steady annual growth rate of 3.6% from 2024 to 2029, with an anticipated market volume of $127.40 trillion by 2029.
Considering all these factors, let us discuss the fundamentals of three <a href="https://stocknews.com/category/homebuilders/">Homebuilders</a> stocks, starting with number 3.
Stock #3: PulteGroup, Inc. (<a href="https://stocknews.com/stock/PHM/">PHM</a>)
PHM engages in the homebuilding business in the United States. It acquires and develops land primarily for residential purposes and constructs housing on such land. The company also offers various home designs under the Centex, Pulte Homes, Del Webb, DiVosta Homes, American West, and John Wieland Homes and Neighborhoods brand names.
On September 4, 2024, PHM announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.20 per share, payable on October 2, 2024, to shareholders of record as of September 17, 2024.
On July 9, 2024, PHM announced the pre-sale of Deep Creek at Jordanelle Ridge, its first Utah community in over 20 years. Located in Heber City, it offers outdoor living with city conveniences, featuring eight home designs, along with upcoming townhomes and amenities.
PHM's total revenues for the fiscal second quarter that ended on June 30, 2024, increased 9.8% year-over-year to $4.60 billion. The company's <a href="https://www.investopedia.com/terms/n/netincome.asp">net income</a> came in at $809.13 million, representing a 12.3% year-over-increase, while its EPS grew 19.3% over the prior-year quarter to $3.83.
Street expects PHM's revenue for the quarter ending September 2024 to increase 7.1% year-over-year to $4.29 billion. Its EPS for the same quarter is expected to increase 10.1% year-over-year to $3.19. It surpassed the consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters.
Over the past year, the stock has gained 42.3% to close the last trading session at $142.97.
PHM's positive outlook is reflected in its <a href="https://stocknews.com/powr-ratings/">POWR Ratings</a>. It has an overall rating of B, equating to a Buy in our proprietary rating system. The POWR Ratings assess stocks by 118 different factors, each with its own weighting.
It is ranked #5 out of 23 stocks in the <a href="https://stocknews.com/category/homebuilders/">Homebuilders</a> industry. PHM has an A grade for Momentum and a B for Quality.
To access PHM's grades for Growth, Sentiment, Value, and Stability, <a href="https://stocknews.com/stock/PHM/">click here</a>.
Stock #2: NVR, Inc. (<a href="https://stocknews.com/stock/NVR/">NVR</a>)
NVR is a homebuilder in the United States, operating through its Homebuilding and Mortgage Banking segments. It engages in the construction and sale of single-family detached homes, townhomes, and condominium buildings under the Ryan Homes, NVHomes, and Heartland Homes names.
On April 25, NVR announced the signing of an agreement with La Cité Development, a leading real estate development corporation, to add 180 units of single-family homes to a large-scale redevelopment of 32.94 acres in Poppleton, West Baltimore, for approximately $800 million.
For the fiscal second quarter ended June 30, 2024, NVR's revenue increased 11.6% year-over-year to $2.55 billion, and its operating income was $495.25 million, up 12.2% from the year-ago value. Its net income was $400.90 million. Additionally, the company's EPS rose 3.6% from the prior-year quarter to $120.69.
Analysts expect NVR's revenue and EPS for the quarter ending September 2024 to increase by 7.1% and 5% year-over-year to $2.69 billion and $131.52, respectively. NVR surpassed Street EPS estimates in three of the trailing four quarters.
Over the past nine months, the stock has gained 38.7% to close the last trading session at $9,636.
NVR's solid prospects are reflected in its POWR Ratings. It has an overall rating of B, equating to a Buy in our proprietary rating system.
It has an A grade for Momentum and a B for Sentiment and Quality. It is ranked #4 in the Homebuilders industry.
<a href="https://stocknews.com/stock/NVR/">Click here</a> to see NVR's Growth, Value, and Stability ratings.
Stock #1: Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. (<a href="https://stocknews.com/stock/TPH/">TPH</a>)
TPH specializes in the construction and sale of single-family attached and detached homes. It sells its homes through its sales representatives and third-party brokers under six regional brands: Maracay, Pardee Homes, Quadrant Homes, Trendmaker Homes, Winchester Homes, and TRI Pointe Homes.
On September 11, TPH unveiled Alterra, a 62-home neighborhood located in Newcastle, Washington, where Eastside homebuyers will soon have the opportunity to purchase homes. With newer portfolios that are changing with ever-evolving customer preferences, TPH is staying on top of the homebuilder's industry and ensuring a stable growth prospect.
For its fiscal second quarter that ended June 30, 2024, TPH's total revenues increased 37.6% year-over-year to $1.14 billion. Its net income available to common stockholders came in at $118 million or $1.25 per share, indicating increases of 94.3% and 108.3% year-over-year, respectively. Additionally, the company's adjusted EBITDA came in at $216 million, increasing 66.2% year-over-year.
Street expects TPH's revenue and EPS for the fiscal third quarter ending September 2024 to increase by 27.3% and 41.7% year-over-year to $1.05 billion and $1.08, respectively. Additionally, it surpassed the EPS and revenue estimates in each of its trailing four quarters, which is excellent.
Over the past nine months, the stock has gained 31.3% to close the last trading session at $44.83.
It's no surprise that TPH has an overall rating of B, which equates to Buy in our proprietary rating system. It has an A grade for Momentum and a B for Value, Growth, and Sentiment. Out of 23 stocks in the same industry, it is ranked #3.
In addition to the POWR Ratings we've stated above, we also have TPH's ratings for Stability and Quality. Get all TPH ratings <a href="https://stocknews.com/stock/TPH/">here</a>.
What To Do Next?
Discover 10 widely held stocks that our proprietary model shows have tremendous downside potential. Please make sure none of these "death trap" stocks are lurking in your portfolio:
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<hr><div style="clear:both;"></div> <h2>About the Author: Anushka Dutta</h2> <img src='https:/wp-content/uploads/2021/08/Anushka-Dutta_Headshot_3.jpg' style="float:left; padding:5px;width:125px;">Anushka is an analyst whose interest in understanding the impact of broader economic changes on financial markets motivated her to pursue a career in investment research.<a href="https://stocknews.com/authors/?author=anushka-dutta">More...</a>The post <a href=https://stocknews.com/news/nvr-phm-tph-3-construction-stocks-to-buy-for-the-housing-market-surge/>3 Construction Stocks to Buy for the Housing Market Surge</a> appeared first on <a href=https://stocknews.com/>StockNews.com</a>

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Press Releases

PulteGroup Breaks Ground on New Master-Planned Ryehill Communities in Sugar Land

Pulte Homes Announces First Utah Community in More than Twenty Years

PulteGroup CFO Bob O'Shaughnessy Announces Plan to Retire in 2025

PulteGroup Reports Second Quarter 2024 Financial Results

PulteGroup, Inc. Names New Chief Information Officer

PulteGroup Honors Two Veterans with New Mortgage-Free Homes in Orlando

PulteGroup's Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Release and Webcast Conference Call Scheduled for October 22, 2024

Del Webb Heartwood in Savannah Area Introduces 55+ Amenity-Rich Lifestyle to Georgia's Coast

PulteGroup Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend of $0.20 Per Share

United Homes Group Announces Executive Leadership Changes

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