El interés en corto de HCI Group da a los inversores una idea del grado en que los inversores apuestan por la caída de las acciones de HCI Group. Los datos de interés en corto se actualizan cada dos semanas.

HCI Group (NYSE:HCI) Bolsa, Informe de interés en corto

HCI Group

HCI Group Inc is engaged in the property and casualty insurance business through two Florida domiciled insurance companies, Homeowners Choice Property & Casualty Insurance Company (HCPCI) and TypTap Insurance Company (TypTap). Both HCPCI and TypTap are authorized to underwrite various homeowners' property and casualty insurance products and allied lines business in the state of Florida and other states. The operating segments of the group are HCPCI insurance operations, TypTap Group, Real estate operations, and Corporate and other. It derives key revenue from the HCPCI Insurance operation segment.

HCI Group Inc

HONGCHANG INTRNATIONAL CP by Hongchang International Co Ltd.

Hongchang International Co Ltd

HC Group Inc

HCI GROUP ORD

Oppenheimer analyst Michael Phillips maintains HCI Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HCI#NYSE">HCI</a>) with a Outperform and raises the price target from $140 to $150.

News

Price Target

Analyst Ratings

Oppenheimer Maintains Outperform on HCI Group, Raises Price Target to $150

Truist Securities analyst Mark Hughes maintains HCI Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HCI#NYSE">HCI</a>) with a Buy and raises the price target from $140 to $145.

Truist Securities Maintains Buy on HCI Group, Raises Price Target to $145

HCI Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HCI#NYSE">HCI</a>) reported quarterly earnings of $0.47 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $0.27 by 74.07 percent. The company reported quarterly sales of $175.317 million which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $190.503 million by 7.97 percent. This is a 33.18 percent increase over sales of $131.644 million the same period last year.

Earnings

Earnings Beats

Earnings Misses

HCI Group Q3 2024 Adj. EPS $0.47 Beats $0.27 Estimate, Sales $175.317M Miss $190.503M Estimate

Providing a diverse range of perspectives from bullish to bearish, 5 analysts have published ratings on HCI Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HCI#NYSE">HCI</a>) in the last three months.
The table below offers a condensed view of their recent ratings, showcasing the changing sentiments over the past 30 days and comparing them to the preceding months.
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th></th>
<th align="right">Bullish</th>
<th align="right">Somewhat Bullish</th>
<th align="right">Indifferent</th>
<th align="right">Somewhat Bearish</th>
<th align="right">Bearish</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Total Ratings</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">3</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Last 30D</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1M Ago</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2M Ago</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>3M Ago</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
Providing deeper insights, analysts have established 12-month price targets, indicating an average target of $134.8, along with a high estimate of $145.00 and a low estimate of $119.00. This current average represents a 2.85% decrease from the previous average price target of $138.75. 
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1729515629_0.png" alt="price target chart" />
<h2>Exploring Analyst Ratings: An In-Depth Overview</h2>
The standing of HCI Group among financial experts is revealed through an in-depth exploration of recent analyst actions. The summary below outlines key analysts, their recent evaluations, and adjustments to ratings and price targets.
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Analyst</th>
<th>Analyst Firm</th>
<th>Action Taken</th>
<th>Rating</th>
<th>Current Price Target</th>
<th>Prior Price Target</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Casey Alexander</td>
<td>Compass Point</td>
<td>Announces</td>
<td>Neutral</td>
<td>$120.00</td>
<td>-</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Matthew Carletti</td>
<td>JMP Securities</td>
<td>Maintains</td>
<td>Market Outperform</td>
<td>$145.00</td>
<td>$145.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Casey Alexander</td>
<td>Compass Point</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$119.00</td>
<td>$130.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Matthew Carletti</td>
<td>JMP Securities</td>
<td>Maintains</td>
<td>Market Outperform</td>
<td>$145.00</td>
<td>$145.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Matthew Carletti</td>
<td>JMP Securities</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Market Outperform</td>
<td>$145.00</td>
<td>$135.00</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<h3>Key Insights:</h3>
<ul>
<li>Action Taken: Responding to changing market dynamics and company performance, analysts update their recommendations. Whether they 'Maintain', 'Raise', or 'Lower' their stance, it signifies their response to recent developments related to HCI Group. This offers insight into analysts' perspectives on the current state of the company.</li>
<li>Rating: Analysts unravel qualitative evaluations for stocks, ranging from 'Outperform' to 'Underperform'. These ratings offer insights into expectations for the relative performance of HCI Group compared to the broader market.</li>
<li>Price Targets: Analysts explore the dynamics of price targets, providing estimates for the future value of HCI Group's stock. This examination reveals shifts in analysts' expectations over time.</li>
</ul>
Navigating through these analyst evaluations alongside other financial indicators can contribute to a holistic understanding of HCI Group's market standing. Stay informed and make data-driven decisions with our Ratings Table.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/HCI/analyst-ratings?utm_source=Benzinga Insights">Stay up to date on HCI Group analyst ratings.</a>
If you are interested in following small-cap stock news and performance <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap">you can start by tracking it here</a>.
<h2>Discovering HCI Group: A Closer Look</h2>
HCI Group Inc is engaged in the property and casualty insurance business through two Florida domiciled insurance companies, Homeowners Choice Property &amp; Casualty Insurance Company (HCPCI) and TypTap Insurance Company (TypTap). Both HCPCI and TypTap are authorized to underwrite various homeowners' property and casualty insurance products and allied lines business in the state of Florida and other states. The operating segments of the group are HCPCI insurance operations, TypTap Group, Real estate operations, and Corporate and other. It derives key revenue from the HCPCI Insurance operation segment.
<h3>Financial Insights: HCI Group</h3>
Market Capitalization Analysis: The company's market capitalization is below the industry average, suggesting that it is relatively smaller compared to peers. This could be due to various factors, including perceived growth potential or operational scale.
Positive Revenue Trend: Examining HCI Group's financials over 3 months reveals a positive narrative. The company achieved a noteworthy revenue growth rate of 62.05% as of 30 June, 2024, showcasing a substantial increase in top-line earnings. When compared to others in the Financials sector, the company excelled with a growth rate higher than the average among peers.
Net Margin: HCI Group's financial strength is reflected in its exceptional net margin, which exceeds industry averages. With a remarkable net margin of 25.21%, the company showcases strong profitability and effective cost management.
Return on Equity (ROE): HCI Group's financial strength is reflected in its exceptional ROE, which exceeds industry averages. With a remarkable ROE of 12.34%, the company showcases efficient use of equity capital and strong financial health.
Return on Assets (ROA): HCI Group's ROA surpasses industry standards, highlighting the company's exceptional financial performance. With an impressive 2.77% ROA, the company effectively utilizes its assets for optimal returns.
Debt Management: HCI Group's debt-to-equity ratio is notably higher than the industry average. With a ratio of 0.52, the company relies more heavily on borrowed funds, indicating a higher level of financial risk.
<h2>Analyst Ratings: Simplified</h2>
Experts in banking and financial systems, analysts specialize in reporting for specific stocks or defined sectors. Their comprehensive research involves attending company conference calls and meetings, analyzing financial statements, and engaging with insiders to generate what are known as analyst ratings for stocks. Typically, analysts assess and rate each stock once per quarter.
Some analysts publish their predictions for metrics such as growth estimates, earnings, and revenue to provide additional guidance with their ratings. When using analyst ratings, it is important to keep in mind that stock and sector analysts are also human and are only offering their opinions to investors.
If you want to keep track of which analysts are outperforming others, you can view updated analyst ratings along withanalyst success scores in <a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/register174">Benzinga Pro</a>.
Which Stocks Are Analysts Recommending Now?
Benzinga Edge gives you instant access to all major analyst upgrades, downgrades, and price targets. Sort by accuracy, upside potential, and more. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-checkout/?t=be8be9arja3be22bz21&amp;utm_source=benzinga-insights">Click here to stay ahead of the market</a>.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Demystifying HCI Group: Insights From 5 Analyst Reviews

Compass Point analyst Casey Alexander downgrades HCI Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HCI#NYSE">HCI</a>) from Buy to Neutral and announces $120 price target.

Downgrades

Compass Point Downgrades HCI Group to Neutral, Announces $120 Price Target

Insurance

HCI Group Says Across Hurricanes Debby, Helene And Milton It Expects To Pay $600M-$700M To Policyholders

HCI Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HCI#NYSE">HCI</a>) has been analyzed by 4 analysts in the last three months, revealing a diverse range of perspectives from bullish to bearish.
The following table encapsulates their recent ratings, offering a glimpse into the evolving sentiments over the past 30 days and comparing them to the preceding months.
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th></th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Bullish</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Somewhat Bullish</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Indifferent</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Somewhat Bearish</th>
<th style="text-align: right;">Bearish</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Total Ratings</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">3</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Last 30D</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1M Ago</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2M Ago</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>3M Ago</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">1</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
<td style="text-align: right;">0</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
Analysts' evaluations of 12-month price targets offer additional insights, showcasing an average target of $138.5, with a high estimate of $145.00 and a low estimate of $119.00. A negative shift in sentiment is evident as analysts have decreased the average price target by 0.18%. 
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1729011652_0.png" alt="price target chart" />
<h2>Interpreting Analyst Ratings: A Closer Look</h2>
In examining recent analyst actions, we gain insights into how financial experts perceive HCI Group. The following summary outlines key analysts, their recent evaluations, and adjustments to ratings and price targets.
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Analyst</th>
<th>Analyst Firm</th>
<th>Action Taken</th>
<th>Rating</th>
<th>Current Price Target</th>
<th>Prior Price Target</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Matthew Carletti</td>
<td>JMP Securities</td>
<td>Maintains</td>
<td>Market Outperform</td>
<td>$145.00</td>
<td>$145.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Casey Alexander</td>
<td>Compass Point</td>
<td>Lowers</td>
<td>Buy</td>
<td>$119.00</td>
<td>$130.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Matthew Carletti</td>
<td>JMP Securities</td>
<td>Maintains</td>
<td>Market Outperform</td>
<td>$145.00</td>
<td>$145.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Matthew Carletti</td>
<td>JMP Securities</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Market Outperform</td>
<td>$145.00</td>
<td>$135.00</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<h3>Key Insights:</h3>
<ul>
<li>Action Taken: Analysts adapt their recommendations to changing market conditions and company performance. Whether they 'Maintain', 'Raise' or 'Lower' their stance, it reflects their response to recent developments related to HCI Group. This information provides a snapshot of how analysts perceive the current state of the company.</li>
<li>Rating: Offering a comprehensive view, analysts assess stocks qualitatively, spanning from 'Outperform' to 'Underperform'. These ratings convey expectations for the relative performance of HCI Group compared to the broader market.</li>
<li>Price Targets: Delving into movements, analysts provide estimates for the future value of HCI Group's stock. This analysis reveals shifts in analysts' expectations over time.</li>
</ul>
Assessing these analyst evaluations alongside crucial financial indicators can provide a comprehensive overview of HCI Group's market position. Stay informed and make well-judged decisions with the assistance of our Ratings Table.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/HCI/analyst-ratings?utm_source=Benzinga Insights">Stay up to date on HCI Group analyst ratings.</a>
If you are interested in following small-cap stock news and performance <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap">you can start by tracking it here</a>.
<h2>Get to Know HCI Group Better</h2>
HCI Group Inc is engaged in the property and casualty insurance business through two Florida domiciled insurance companies, Homeowners Choice Property &amp; Casualty Insurance Company (HCPCI) and TypTap Insurance Company (TypTap). Both HCPCI and TypTap are authorized to underwrite various homeowners' property and casualty insurance products and allied lines business in the state of Florida and other states. The operating segments of the group are HCPCI insurance operations, TypTap Group, Real estate operations, and Corporate and other. It derives key revenue from the HCPCI Insurance operation segment.
<h3>HCI Group: A Financial Overview</h3>
Market Capitalization Analysis: Below industry benchmarks, the company's market capitalization reflects a smaller scale relative to peers. This could be attributed to factors such as growth expectations or operational capacity.
Revenue Growth: HCI Group displayed positive results in 3 months. As of 30 June, 2024, the company achieved a solid revenue growth rate of approximately 62.05%. This indicates a notable increase in the company's top-line earnings. As compared to its peers, the company achieved a growth rate higher than the average among peers in Financials sector.
Net Margin: HCI Group's net margin excels beyond industry benchmarks, reaching 25.21%. This signifies efficient cost management and strong financial health.
Return on Equity (ROE): HCI Group's ROE surpasses industry standards, highlighting the company's exceptional financial performance. With an impressive 12.34% ROE, the company effectively utilizes shareholder equity capital.
Return on Assets (ROA): HCI Group's financial strength is reflected in its exceptional ROA, which exceeds industry averages. With a remarkable ROA of 2.77%, the company showcases efficient use of assets and strong financial health.
Debt Management: The company faces challenges in debt management with a debt-to-equity ratio higher than the industry average. With a ratio of 0.52, caution is advised due to increased financial risk.
<h2>The Basics of Analyst Ratings</h2>
Analysts work in banking and financial systems and typically specialize in reporting for stocks or defined sectors. Analysts may attend company conference calls and meetings, research company financial statements, and communicate with insiders to publish "analyst ratings" for stocks. Analysts typically rate each stock once per quarter.
Some analysts will also offer forecasts for metrics like growth estimates, earnings, and revenue to provide further guidance on stocks. Investors who use analyst ratings should note that this specialized advice comes from humans and may be subject to error.
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This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Navigating 4 Analyst Ratings For HCI Group

JMP Securities analyst Matthew Carletti reiterates HCI Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HCI#NYSE">HCI</a>) with a Market Outperform and maintains $145 price target.

Reiteration

JMP Securities Reiterates Market Outperform on HCI Group, Maintains $145 Price Target

Many experts warned that Hurricane Milton could be the&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41266095/hurricane-milton-knocks-out-power-for-over-2m-in-florida-nextera-energy-duke-energy-and-tampa-electr" target="_blank" rel="noopener">worst storm in U.S. history. It</a>&nbsp;made landfall Wednesday on the west coast of Florida, causing flooding and wind damage and leaving millions without power. While the full scope of the storm's damage is unknown, it was a Category 3, less powerful than initially anticipated.&nbsp;
On Thursday, as the immediate threat from Hurricane Milton began to diminish, investors cautiously responded by purchasing shares of companies that had been significantly affected in the lead-up to the storm. Many insurance stocks with exposure to Florida dropped sharply the week before Milton made landfall as traders and investors braced for potential catastrophic impacts. See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/10/41276280/hurricane-milton-closes-multiple-florida-airports-over-3-000-flights-canceled-and-delayed-10-air">Hurricane Milton Closes Multiple Florida Airports, Over 3,000 Flights Canceled And Delayed: 10 Airline Stocks That Could Be Hit Hardest</a> HCI Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HCI#NYSE">HCI</a>), American Coastal Insurance Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ACIC#NYSE">ACIC</a>) and Heritage Insurance Holdings (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HRTG#NYSE">HRTG</a>) are three insurance companies that serve the Florida market. Each stock traded down more than 15% heading into the storm as investors worried about the storm's potential to cause billions of dollars of damage. But Thursday morning, after the worst of the storm passed through the Sarasota and Tampa Bay regions, shares of the insurance companies traded higher. By midday Thursday, American Coastal shares traded higher by around 7%, HCI shares were up around 6%, and Heritage's stock was up around 3%. In addition to the insurance stocks, Mosiac Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MOS#NYSE">MOS</a>) a chemical company with mines in Florida, traded higher by more than 3%. Mosaic shares had sold off ahead of the storm as investors worried about Milton flooding Mosiac's mines.&nbsp;
Meanwhile, Generac Holdings Inc.&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GNRC#NYSE">GNRC</a>) traded lower on Thursday. Generac, a company that produces generators for homes and businesses, tends to trade higher during natural disasters when people are left without power and reliant on solutions like generators. Keep Reading:
<ul>
<li> <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/10/41273615/tech-consumer-discretionary-stocks-fall-utilities-sector-outperforms-on-surprisingly-high-inflat">Tech, Consumer Discretionary Stocks Fall, Utilities Sector Outperforms On Surprisingly High Inflation, Jobless Claims Data</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy of NASA.

Trading Ideas

General

ACIC

GNRC

HRTG

Insurance Stocks Rebound As Investors Assess Hurricane Milton's Aftermath: 3 Stocks To Watch

Compass Point analyst Casey Alexander maintains HCI Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HCI#NYSE">HCI</a>) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $130 to $119.

Compass Point Maintains Buy on HCI Group, Lowers Price Target to $119

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/2024-10-08_08h03_18.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Biggest Stock Moves Ahead</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-market-rising-yields-neutral-rate-tlt-mc-10082024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>TLT moves inverse to the yield. The higher the yield goes, the lower TLT falls.</li>
<li>The chart shows the move up in TLT in anticipation of Fed rate cuts.</li>
<li>The chart shows a breakout above the resistance zone.</li>
<li>The chart shows when the Fed cut rates.</li>
<li>The chart shows that the spot on Arora call was made on the same day that the Fed cut interest rates. The Arora call was made in advance of the Fed announcement, giving investors more time to act. The Arora call was that yields were likely to rise on long bonds, sending TLT lower. The Arora call was a contrary call squarely going against the prevailing wisdom at that time. At that time, the following described the landscape.
<ul>
<li>Technically oriented investors were buying TLT because of the technical breakout.</li>
<li>Macro investors were buying TLT because of the rate cut. Going into the Fed meeting the consensus was still a 25 bps cut, even though the idea of a 50 basis point rate cut was gaining steam.</li>
<li>The prevailing wisdom in the market was that TLT would go up.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>The chart shows that the breakout failed, and TLT has experienced a significant drop since the Arora call.</li>
<li>The chart shows that TLT is now getting closer to the top support zone.</li>
<li>The down move in TLT is remarkable because during this time, the money has been flowing into the safety of long Treasury bonds due to escalating conflict in the Middle East. In The Arora Report analysis, if it was not for the Middle East conflict escalation, TLT would have already fallen into the top support zone.</li>
<li>RSI on the chart shows that TLT is oversold. An oversold ETF often bounces.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, unless the economic data changes or a war breaks out, or the Fed changes its course, any rally in TLT has a 70% probability of failing. The reason behind this prediction is that irrespective of who is elected, Trump or Harris, the government's borrowing and spending is going to go up. Higher borrowing means a larger supply of Treasuries.  A larger supply of Treasuries indicates a higher yield on long bonds. If the U.S. has a divided government after the election, the borrowing will be less than it will be if either party sweeps. In the event of a one party sweep, TLT can potentially fall to the bottom support zone.</li>
<li>Investors should also pay attention to the10 year Treasury yield.  The 10 year Treasury yield is important because it is the reference rate for computing appropriate PE ratios in most models. In general, the rule is higher interest rates mean lower PE ratios. There are two reasons for this:
<ul>
<li>When interest rates are higher, the value of future earnings discounted to present is lower.</li>
<li>When bonds start paying higher interest rates, they offer more competition to stocks.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>The yield on 10 year Treasuries has risen from 3.68% on the day the Fed cut the interest rate to 4.031% as of this writing.</li>
<li>Contrary to expectations in the market, mortgage rates have also risen since the Fed rate cut.</li>
<li>Investors should also pay close attention to the neutral rate. The neutral rate is the Fed funds rate that is neither restrictive or expansionary.
<ul>
<li>In addition to the neutral rate, investors should also pay attention to the pace at which interest rates come down to the neutral rate.</li>
<li>The Fed is indicating that the neutral rate might be around 3.4% in 2025. Previously, the Fed was pointing to a long run neutral rate of 2.5%.</li>
<li>The prevailing wisdom in the market is that the neutral rate is in the range of 2.5% &#8211; 3.5%.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Regarding the neutral rate, The Arora Report has another contrary call. Unless economic data substantially changes or geopolitical conditions substantially change, the likely neutral rate is higher than the market consensus. In The Arora Report analysis, the likely neutral rate is 3.25 &#8211; 4.25%. </li>
<li>The foregoing discussion on the long bond rate, 10 year rate, and neutral rate is very important because in view of The Arora Report analysis and contrary calls, earnings will have to be very robust for the stock market to advance from here and sustain at a higher level.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, implied volatility of options on popular individual stocks around earnings indicates that the biggest moves after earnings in recent years in individual stocks are ahead. This has two practical implications for investors:
<ul>
<li>This will provide more opportunities for prudent investors who are set up to systematically take advantage of volatility in a proven way instead of being afraid of volatility.</li>
<li>Some of the existing positions in portfolios may be hit hard. To balance it with stocks that move up significantly, it is important to make sure the portfolio is properly diversified.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, prior to the jobs report, the probability of a 50 bps cut after the next Fed meeting was about 30%. Now, the probability has dropped to 5%.</li>
<li>Based on The Arora Report proprietary sentiment indicator, sentiment in the stock market is very positive.&nbsp; S&amp;P 500 at 6000 is the magnet for traders.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>Based on The Arora Report's proprietary methodology, numerous short squeezes are taking place, adding to the upside moves in individual stocks.</li>
<li>There is renewed excitement in AI stocks. The main reason is that NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) AI Summit is taking place.</li>
<li>There is also buying ahead of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMD#NASDAQ">AMD</a>) analyst meeting about AI on October 10.&nbsp; Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HPE#NYSE">HPE</a>) will also highlight its progress on AI during its analyst day on October 10.</li>
<li>Adding to excitement in the stock market is the upcoming Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) robotaxi event on October 10.</li>
<li>Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released on October 10. Headline CPI consensus is 0.1%.  Core CPI consensus is 0.2%.</li>
<li>Hurricane Milton is barreling towards Florida.&nbsp; Insurance stocks such as Universal Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UVE#NYSE">UVE</a>), Heritage Insurance Holdings Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HRTG#NYSE">HRTG</a>), and HCI Group Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HCI#NYSE">HCI</a>) are seeing selling pressure.&nbsp; Generator manufacturer Generac Holdings Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GNRC#NYSE">GNRC</a>) is seeing buying pressure, so are roofing stocks such as Beacon Roofing Supply Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BECN#NASDAQ">BECN</a>) and Owens Corning (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OC#NYSE">OC</a>).</li>
<li>Volatility index (VIX) continues to stay high on anxiety about the Middle East. VIX is elevated at 22 as of this writing.</li>
<li>As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the protection band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. &nbsp; Please scroll down to see the protection band. The protection band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">China Disappoints</h3>
We have been sharing with you day by day the epic rally in Chinese stocks and the reasons behind it. Today, at the beginning, hopes were high as Mainland China investors returned after a one week holiday.  Mainland benchmark stock index CSI 300 jumped 11% at the open but subsequently lost some of the gains, finishing up 5.9%.  In spite of the pullback, CSI 300 is up about 30% over the last month.
In Hong Kong, Hang Seng lost 9.41%. This is the biggest drop since the 2008 financial crisis. Stocks in Hong Kong were trading during the mainland holiday. The reason for the disappointment is that investors were counting on the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) to offer concrete stimulus measures at a briefing. However, the chair of NDRC Zheng Shanjie did not offer new concrete stimulus steps. This disappointed traders.
As full disclosure, for those who understand the China risk, The Arora Report&#8217;s plan continues to be to buy Mainland China ETF Xtrackers Hvst CSI 300 China A Shs ETF Class A (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ASHR#NYSE">ASHR</a>) and Hong Kong ETF iShares China Large-Cap ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FXI#NYSE">FXI</a>) when they fall in the recently updated buy zones in The Arora Report&#8217;s ZYX Emerging.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), NVDA, and TSLA.
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is range bound.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges. The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.  If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash. A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

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$BTC

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ASHR

BECN

GOOG

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iShares Trust Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund

TSLA

Rising Yields And Higher Neutral Rate May Spoil The Party, Biggest Stock Moves In Years Ahead

The second Category 5 storm of the 2024 <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/24/10/41215820/hurricane-milton-is-floridas-second-storm-in-two-weeks-how-disney-theme-parks-insurance-companies-co">hurricane season named Hurricane Milton </a>is threatening large-scale destruction, as it quickly graduated from Category 1 status and is approaching the state of Florida. The storm is expected to lash over the Tampa Bay on Wednesday.
Milton Vs. Previous Hurricanes: Hurricane Milton gathered maximum sustained wind speeds of 180 miles per hour by Monday night, and in terms of wind speed it only trails a 1980 hurricane, which went by the name Allen and boasted a top wind speed of 190 mph before it made landfall in the U.S.-Mexican border,<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/07/weather/hurricane-milton-forecast-path.html"> said</a> New York Times.
Going by pressure &#8211; which is another measure of a storm&#8217;s intensity, Milton is similar to Hurricane Wilma from the 2005 hurricane season that holds the record for the lowest pressure, the Times said.
The latest<a href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/080541.shtml"> update</a> issued by the National Hurricane Center early Tuesday showed Milton weakening to a Category 4 storm with wind speed slowing to 155 mph. The hurricane was moving east at 9 mph and was located 585 miles southwest of Tampa.
Milton is expected to regain Category 5 strength Tuesday morning and maintain this strength through the day, CNN&#8217;s <a href="https://edition.cnn.com/weather/live-news/hurricane-milton-florida-10-08-24/index.html">update </a>showed. It would then fluctuate in intensity before making landfall on Wednesday as a Category 3 storm.
Certified Consulting Meteorologist and NBC 6 South Florida John Morales, while on air, was overwhelmed with emotion as he described the hurricane. &#8220;It&#8217;s just an incredible, incredible, incredible hurricane. It has dropped 50 millibars in 10 hours,&#8221; he said before pausing to suppress his emotion. &#8220;I apologize. This is just horrific,&#8221; he said. Sharing a video clip of this, CNN media analyst Brian Stelter said, &#8220;NBC6&#8217;s @JohnMoralesTV is the longest-tenured TV meteorologist in South Florida. When he gets this serious, this emotional, on the air, viewers pay attention.&#8221;
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">NBC6&#39;s <a href="https://twitter.com/JohnMoralesTV?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@JohnMoralesTV</a> is the longest tenured TV meteorologist in south Florida. When he gets this serious, this emotional, on the air, viewers pay attention: <a href="https://t.co/iiECZ8KaHx">pic.twitter.com/iiECZ8KaHx</a>
&mdash; Brian Stelter (@brianstelter) <a href="https://twitter.com/brianstelter/status/1843362454321115138?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 7, 2024</a></blockquote>
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<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/best-insurance-stocks">Best Insurance Stocks</a></figcaption></figure>
Florida&#8217;s Preparedness: The Sunshine State is on full alert with multiple teams coordinating to prepare ahead of Milton&#8217;s landfall. At a Monday briefing, Florida&#8217;s emergency management director, Kevin Guthrie called out to people to be prepared, ABC News <a href="https://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/ahead-hurricane-strike-floridians-plan-supply-kit-heed-114571554">said.</a> &#8220;If they have called an evacuation order, I beg you, I implore you to evacuate,&#8221; he reportedly said.
Jaime Hernandez, the emergency management director in Hollywood, Florida, reportedly asked people to be ready with a plan taking into account the changing forecasts, have an emergency kit and stay informed,
Writing on X, formerly Twitter, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis said, &#8220;Evacuations are underway, and we have suspended tolls and opened roadway shoulders to make it easier for Floridians to get to safety.&#8221; He directed people to take evacuate to pet-friendly shelters, special needs shelters, and other options that are safe from storm surges in their own counties.
Stocks To Keep Eye On: 
Insurers: Property and casualty insurance stocks have been under pressure since <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41145534/hurricane-helene-adds-to-most-active-quarter-for-power-outages-driving-back-up-gene">Hurricane Helene </a>that impacted Southeastern U.S. and they fell on Monday amid news concerning Milton. These stocks could be once again on the radar in Tuesday&#8217;s session. These include:
<ul>
<li>Progressive Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PGR#NYSE">PGR</a>)</li>
<li>Chubb Limited (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CB#NYSE">CB</a>)</li>
<li>Travelers Companies, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRV#NYSE">TRV</a>)</li>
<li>Allstate Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALL#NYSE">ALL</a>)</li>
<li>Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HIG#NYSE">HIG</a>)</li>
<li>Markel Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MKL#NYSE">MKL</a>)</li>
<li>Loews Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/L#NYSE">L</a>)</li>
</ul>
The steepest losses were recorded by Florida-based insurers such as Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HRTG#NYSE">HRTG</a>) (down over 23%, American Coastal Insurance Corporation (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/acic#NASDAQ">ACIC</a>) (down over 15%), and HCI Group, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HCI#NYSE">HCI</a>) (down over 17%).
Given the 2024 hurricane season has been very active, insurers would be left saddled with catastrophe-related claims, which will weigh down on their margins and bottom line.
Phosphate Miners: Phosphate mining stocks such as Mosaic Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MOS#NYSE">MOS</a>) could be on the radar during a natural disaster. Florida&#8217;s phosphate industry is one of the major suppliers of the mineral internationally, and the U.S. ranks third in terms of phosphate production, after China and Morocco. In the U.S., phosphate mining takes place in Florida, North Carolina, Idaho and Utah, <a href="https://fipr.floridapoly.edu/about-us/phosphate-primer/other-phosphate-deposits.php#:~:text=Currently%20U.S.%20phosphate%20mining%20takes,it%20was%20not%20economically%20practical.">according</a> to the Florida Industrial and Phosphate Research Institute, FIPRI.
The phosphate mineral is a source of phosphorous, a key nutrient for plant growth.
Florida's phosphate is part of a deposit that stretches across the state and up the coast to the Chesapeake Bay.&nbsp;
Florida Phosphate Council <a href="https://floridaphosphate.com/our-industry/">states</a> that the phosphate industry in the state is a major economic driver and supports nearly 8,400 direct jobs. The industry accounts for an estimated $5.03 billion in annual economic output.
Josh Linville, Director of Fertilizer at integrated trading platform StoneX, said the phosphate market could be hurt. In an X post, he said, &#8220;FL is built to withstand hurricanes&#8230;to an extent. This looks bad. This looks really bad,&#8221; he said.
Even if production facilities withstand major damage, they need workers to run the plants, he added.
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true"><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/phosphate?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#phosphate</a> market, this could hurt. FL is built to withstand hurricanes&#8230;to an extent. This looks bad. This looks really bad. Even if production facilities do not withstand major damage, they need workers to run the plants&#8230;and homesteads may not fare as well. <a href="https://t.co/Qyutb60L95">pic.twitter.com/Qyutb60L95</a>
&mdash; Josh Linville (@JLinvilleFert) <a href="https://twitter.com/JLinvilleFert/status/1843302894009036810?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">October 7, 2024</a></blockquote>
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</figure>
Alico, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALCO#NASDAQ">ALCO</a>), which is a Florida-based agribusiness and land management company, also saw its shares sink over 8% on Monday. This stock was <a href="https://cupofcoffeecapital.substack.com/p/trade-idea-alert">flagged </a>by a substack writer who issues trading alerts. 
Potential Beneficiaries: Shares of Generac Holdings Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GNRC#NYSE">GNRC</a>), a manufacturer of generators, soared on Monday, potentially due to surging demand for its products in the aftermath of the hurricane.
Batteries are also in great demand during hurricanes, with household battery manufacturers such as Energizer Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ENR#NYSE">ENR</a>) reaping windfall.
Once the hurricane subsides and life returns to normalcy, the havoc caused by it can stimulate reconstruction demand, with home-improvement retailers Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HD#NYSE">HD</a>) and Lowe&#8217;s Companies, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LOW#NYSE">LOW</a>) among the potential beneficiaries.
Building products and equipment companies such as Masco Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MAS#NYSE">MAS</a>) and used-car retailers such as Carvana Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVNA#NYSE">CVNA</a>) and Carmax Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KMX#NYSE">KMX</a>) also stand to gain.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41216625/generac-stock-powers-up-ahead-of-hurricane-milton">Generac Stock Powers Up Ahead Of Hurricane Milton</a></li>
</ul>
Photo via Shutterstock

Equities

Small Cap

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CVNA

As Florida Prepares For One Of Deadliest Hurricanes, Here Are Some Potential Stock Winners And Losers From Milton Threat

WIIM

ACGL

CINF

ERIE

FIHL

KNSL

PLMR

SPNT

Shares of insurance companies are trading lower while Floridians experience evacuation orders as Category 5 Hurricane Milton approaches the state. The region is still recovering from damage due to Hurricane Helene.

U.S. stocks settled mixed on Friday, with the Dow Jones index surging to a fresh record high level during the session. Major indices recorded gains for the third straight week, with the Dow and S&amp;P 500 gaining around 0.6% last week. The Nasdaq, meanwhile, surged around 1% during the week.
Wall Street analysts make new stock picks on a daily basis. Unfortunately for investors, not all analysts have particularly impressive track records at predicting market movements. Even when it comes to one single stock, analyst ratings and price targets can vary widely, leaving investors confused about which analyst&#8217;s opinion to trust.
Benzinga&#8217;s Analyst Ratings API is a collection of the highest-quality stock ratings curated by the Benzinga news desk via direct partnerships with major sell-side banks. Benzinga displays overnight ratings changes on a daily basis three hours prior to the U.S. equity market opening. Data specialists at investment dashboard provider Toggle.ai recently uncovered that the analyst insights Benzinga Pro subscribers and Benzinga readers regularly receive can successfully be used as trading indicators to outperform the stock market.
Top Analyst Picks: Fortunately, any Benzinga reader can access the latest analyst ratings on the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/22/09/28888638/exclusive-study-finds-benzinga-analyst-ratings-data-yields-market-beating-strategie">Analyst Stock Ratings</a> page. One of the ways traders can sort through Benzinga&#8217;s extensive database of analyst ratings is by analyst accuracy. Here&#8217;s a look at the most recent stock picks from each of the five most accurate Wall Street analysts, according to Benzinga <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings">Analyst Stock </a>Ratings.
Analyst: Justin Post
<ul>
<li>Analyst Firm: B of A Securities</li>
<li>Ratings Accuracy: 86%</li>
<li>Latest Rating: Maintained a Buy rating on Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>) and raised the price target from $563 to $630 on Sept. 26. This analyst sees more than 11% increase in the stock.</li>
<li>Recent News: Meta unveiled a sneak peek of its new Orion holographic glasses at its Connect event. The company also announced new product updates for the Meta Quest and Meta&#8217;s AI platform</li>
</ul>
Analyst: William Stein
<ul>
<li>Analyst Firm: Truist Securities</li>
<li>Ratings Accuracy: 86%</li>
<li>Latest Rating: Downgraded rating on Microchip Technology Incorporated (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCHP#NASDAQ">MCHP</a>) from Buy to Hold and cut the price target from $89 to $80 on Sept. 23. This analyst sees around 1% downside in the stock.</li>
<li>Recent News: On Aug. 20, Microchip Technology said it first detected potentially suspicious activity involving its information technology systems on Saturday and began taking steps to assess the potentially unauthorized activity.</li>
</ul>
Analyst: Alex Rygiel
<ul>
<li>Analyst Firm: B. Riley Securities</li>
<li>Ratings Accuracy: 86%</li>
<li>Latest Rating: Downgraded rating on Tecnoglass Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TGLS#NYSE">TGLS</a>) from Buy to Neutral but raised the price target from $60 to $69 on Sept. 23. This analyst sees around 0.1% upside in the stock.</li>
<li>Recent News: On Aug. 8, Tecnoglass reported better-than-expected second-quarter financial results and raised its FY24 guidance.</li>
</ul>
Analyst: Matthew Carletti
<ul>
<li>Analyst Firm: JMP Securities</li>
<li>Ratings Accuracy: 86%</li>
<li>Latest Rating: Reiterated a Market Outperform rating on HCI Group, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HCI#NYSE">HCI</a>) with a price target of $145 on Sept. 23. This analyst sees around 35% surge in the stock.</li>
<li>Recent News: On Aug. 8, HCI Group posted better-than-expected quarterly results.</li>
</ul>
Analyst: Sangita Jain
<ul>
<li>Analyst Firm: Keybanc</li>
<li>Ratings Accuracy: 85%</li>
<li>Latest Rating: Maintained an Overweight rating on Constellation Energy Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CEG#NASDAQ">CEG</a>) and raised the price target from $230 to $265 on Sept. 23. This analyst sees around 3% upside in the stock.</li>
<li>Recent News: On Sept. 20, Constellation Energy announced it signed a 20-year power purchase agreement with Microsoft that will help launch the Crance Clean Energy Center and restart Three Mile Island Unit 1.</li>
</ul>
Read More: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/24/09/41075978/top-4-materials-stocks-that-may-implode-in-q3">Top 4 Materials Stocks That May Implode In Q3</a></li>
</ul>

Long Ideas

Pre-Market Outlook

MCHP

TGLS

This Analyst With 86% Accuracy Rate Sees Over 11% Upside In Meta Platforms - Here Are 5 Stock Picks For Last Week From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts

JMP Securities analyst Matthew Carletti maintains HCI Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HCI#NYSE">HCI</a>) with a Market Outperform and raises the price target from $135 to $145.

JMP Securities Maintains Market Outperform on HCI Group, Raises Price Target to $145

HCI Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HCI#NYSE">HCI</a>) reported quarterly earnings of $4.21 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $3.48 by 20.98 percent. This is a 245.08 percent increase over earnings of $1.22 per share from the same period last year. The company reported quarterly sales of $206.254 million which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $197.346 million by 4.51 percent. This is a 61.99 percent increase over sales of $127.327 million the same period last year.

HCI Group Q2 2024 Adj. EPS $4.21 Beats $3.48 Estimate, Sales $206.254M Beat $197.346M Estimate

Cincinnati Financial Corporation&#39;s (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/cinf#NASDAQ">CINF</a>) higher level of insured exposure, rate increase, agent-focused business model, consistent cash flow and a solid capital position make it worth retaining in one&#39;s portfolio.
It has a solid history of delivering positive surprises in the last five quarters. Earnings of this Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) insurer grew 11.9% in the last five years, better than the industry average of 10.5%.
CINF has a VGM Score of B. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 earnings per share has moved 1 cent north in the past 30 days, reflecting analyst optimism.
Shares have gained 12.8% year to date, compared with the industry&#39;s increase of 13.9%.
<img alt="Zacks Investment Research" src="https://staticx-tuner.zacks.com/images/articles/charts/d8/70799.jpg?v=624595373" />
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
<h3>Return on Equity</h3>
CINF has a return on equity (&quot;ROE&quot;) of 9.3%, better than the industry average of 7.8%. ROE measures how efficiently a company utilizes shareholders&#39; funds to generate profit.
<h3>Optimistic Growth Projection</h3>
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2024 earnings stands at $6.32 per share, suggesting an increase of 4.8% on 10.7% higher revenues of $9.8 billion. The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings per share stands at $6.99, suggesting an increase of 10.7% on 8.5% higher revenues of $10.7 billion.
The long-term earnings growth is expected to be 7.3%. We expect the 2026 bottom line to witness a three-year CAGR of 6.5%.
<h3>Business Tailwinds</h3>
Prudent pricing, an agent-centric model, a higher level of insured exposures and disciplined expansion of Cincinnati Re should benefit premiums, the primary driver of an insurer&#39;s top line. We expect 2026 net earned premiums to witness a three-year CAGR of 8.5%. CINF boasts above-average industry premium growth.
The Excess and Surplus line has been performing well since its inception in 2008. This segment should continue to benefit from new business written, higher renewal written premiums and higher average renewal estimated pricing. Technology and data are also being used to identify new exposures in emerging businesses.
Improving interest income from fixed-maturity securities and a decrease in equity portfolio dividends in an improved rate environment should drive net investment income.
Notably, its free cash flow conversion has remained more than 150% over the last many quarters, reflecting its solid earnings.
<h3>Risks</h3>
Despite the upside potential, there are a few factors that investors should keep an eye on.
Being a property and casualty insurer, CINF is exposed to catastrophe losses, inducing volatility in its underwriting profitability. Nonetheless, banking on prudent underwriting, CINF&#39;s solid track record of 34 years of favorable reserve development is appreciable. It also has a reinsurance program to limit insured loss.
CINF has been witnessing an increase in expenses over the past many years due to a rise in insurance loss and policyholder benefits as well as underwriting, acquisition and insurance expenses, resulting in margin contraction. We expect expenses to increase 10.3% in 2024. Net margin is expected to contract 292 basis points in the same year.
<h3>Impressive Dividend History</h3>
Banking on operational efficiency that ensures continuous cash flows, this insurer boasts increasing dividends for 64 straight years. Its dividend yield of 2.8% is better than the industry average of 0.3%, making the stock an attractive pick for yield-seeking investors.&nbsp; Given the board&#39;s positive outlook and confidence in outstanding capital, liquidity and financial flexibility, we expect the momentum to continue.
<h3>Stocks to Consider</h3>
Some top-ranked stocks from the insurance industry are HCI Group, Inc. (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/hci#NYSE">HCI</a>), Palomar Holdings (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/plmr#NASDAQ">PLMR</a>) and ProAssurance (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/pra#NYSE">PRA</a>), each sporting a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy).
HCI Group earnings surpassed estimates in each of the last four quarters, the average beat being 139.15%. In the past year, HCI has rallied 45.7%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for HCI&#39;s 2024 and 2025 earnings implies 57.6% and 4.3% year-over-year growth, respectively.
Palomar&#39;s earnings surpassed estimates in each of the last four quarters, the average earnings surprise being 15.10%. In the past year, PLMR&#39;s stock has surged 45.5%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PLMR&#39;s 2024 and 2025 earnings indicates 26% and 18% year-over-year growth, respectively.
ProAssurance earnings surpassed estimates in two of the last four quarters and missed in the other two. In the past year, PRA&#39;s stock has lost 28.1%.
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PRA&#39;s 2024 and 2025 earnings suggests 371.4% and 72.6% year-over-year growth, respectively.
<a href="https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2298723/here-s-why-you-should-retain-cincinnati-financial-cinf-stock?cid=CS-BENZ-FT-analyst_blog|rank_focused-2298723">To read this article on Zacks.com click here.</a>

Here's Why You Should Retain Cincinnati Financial Stock

AXIS Capital Holdings Limited (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/axs#NYSE">AXS</a>) is poised to gain from its compelling and diversified product portfolio, underwriting excellence, digital capabilities and solid capital position. These, along with solid growth projections, make the stock worth retaining. 
This leading specialty insurer and global reinsurer, carrying a Zacks rank #3 (Hold), aiming for leadership in specialty risks, has a VGM Score of B. This helps to identify stocks with the most attractive value, growth and momentum.
<h3>An Outperformer</h3>
Shares of AXS have rallied 25.7% year to date, compared with the industry&#39;s increase of 14.9%, the Finance sector&#39;s rise of 3.8% and the Zacks S&amp;P 500 composite&#39;s rise of 15%.
<img alt="Zacks Investment Research" src="https://staticx-tuner.zacks.com/images/articles/charts/95/69076.jpg?v=1050739775" /> 
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
<h3>Return on Capital</h3>
AXS&#39;s trailing 12-month return on equity is 19.%, ahead of the industry average of 7.8%. Return on equity, a profitability measure, reflects how effectively a company is utilizing its shareholders. 
Also, the return on invested capital&nbsp;in the trailing 12 months was 11.1%, better than the industry average of 5.9%. Its ROIC has been increasing over the last few quarters amid capital investment made over the same time frame. This reflects the company&#39;s efficiency in utilizing funds to generate income.
<h3>Northbound Estimates</h3>
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2024 and 2025 earnings has moved 1 cent north each in the past seven days, reflecting analyst optimism.
<h3>Optimistic Growth Projection</h3>
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2024 earnings is pegged at $10.11, indicating an increase of 2.6% on 4.8% higher revenues of $6 billion. The consensus estimate for 2025 earnings is pegged at $11.01, indicating an increase of 8.9% on 9.1% higher revenues of $6.5 billion. &nbsp; 
The expected long-term earnings growth rate is pegged at 27.1%, better than the industry average of 10.2%. We expect 2026 EPS to witness a three-year CAGR of 6.9%.
<h3>Growth Drivers</h3>
AXS&#39;s focus on investing in growth areas, including wholesale insurance and lower middle markets, should drive growth. Exiting the volatile catastrophe and property reinsurance space and reducing risk exposure while concentrating on accident and health, casualty, credit and surety, and specialty reinsurance lines should help AXIS Capital achieve its goal of being a leading specialty underwriter. 
While a diversified portfolio of global specialty business, leadership positions and growth opportunities across major business lines drives the Insurance segment, the Reinsurance business should benefit from strong cycle management that focuses on improving the business mix. 
AXIS Capital is also working with its distribution partners to use expanding digital capabilities to create new business growth in desirable smaller accounts.
<h3>Risks</h3>
Despite the upside potential, there are a few factors that investors should keep an eye on. AXIS Capital is highly exposed to losses resulting from natural disasters, man-made catastrophes and other catastrophic events, which induce volatility in its underwriting profitability. &nbsp; 
This apart, this insurer has been witnessing rising expenses over the last few years due to higher net losses and loss expenses, general and administrative expenses, higher acquisition costs and an increase in interest expense as well as financing costs, which are hurting margins.&nbsp; &nbsp;
<h3>Impressive Dividend History</h3>
Axis Capital has an impressive history of distributing wealth to shareholders via dividends and share buybacks. It hiked its dividend for 18 straight years. Its dividend yield is currently 2.5%, way above the industry average of 0.3%. The insurer boasts one of the highest dividend yields among its peers.
<h3>Stocks to Consider&nbsp;&nbsp; &nbsp;</h3>
Some top-ranked stocks from the insurance industry are HCI Group, Inc. (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/hci#NYSE">HCI</a>), Palomar Holdings (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/plmr#NASDAQ">PLMR</a>) and ProAssurance (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/pra#NYSE">PRA</a>). Each stock presently sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy). 
HCI Group&#39;s earnings surpassed estimates in each of the last four quarters, the average beat being 139.15%. In the past year, shares of HCI have gained 7.8%. 
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for HCI&#39;s 2024 and 2025 earnings implies 57.6% and 4.3% year-over-year growth, respectively. 
Palomar&#39;s earnings surpassed estimates in each of the last four quarters, the average earnings surprise being 15.10%. In the past year, PLMR&#39;s stock has surged 45%. 
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PLMR&#39;s 2024 and 2025 earnings indicates 26% and 18% year-over-year growth, respectively. 
ProAssurance earnings surpassed estimates in two of the last four quarters and missed in the other two. In the past year, PRA&#39;s stock has lost 9.1%. 
The Zacks Consensus Estimate for PRA&#39;s 2024 and 2025 earnings implies 371.4% and 72.6% year-over-year growth, respectively.
<a href="https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2290001/here-s-why-you-should-stay-invested-in-axis-capital-axs?cid=CS-BENZ-FT-analyst_blog|rank_focused-2290001">To read this article on Zacks.com click here.</a>

Here's Why You Should Stay Invested in AXIS Capital

Investors seek growth stocks to capitalize on above-average growth in financials that help these securities grab the market&#39;s attention and produce exceptional returns. But finding a great growth stock is not easy at all.
By their very nature, these stocks carry above-average risk and volatility. Moreover, if a company&#39;s growth story is over or nearing its end, betting on it could lead to significant loss.
However, it&#39;s pretty easy to find cutting-edge growth stocks with the help of the Zacks Growth Style Score, which looks beyond the traditional growth attributes to analyze a company&#39;s real growth prospects.
HCI Group (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/hci#NYSE">HCI</a>) is on the list of such stocks currently recommended by our proprietary system. In addition to a favorable Growth Score, it carries a top Zacks Rank.
Studies have shown that stocks with the best growth features consistently outperform the market. And for stocks that have a combination of a Growth Score of A or B and a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy), returns are even better.
Here are three of the most important factors that make the stock of this property and casualty insurance holding company a great growth pick right now.
Earnings Growth
Earnings growth is arguably the most important factor, as stocks exhibiting exceptionally surging profit levels tend to attract the attention of most investors. And for growth investors, double-digit earnings growth is definitely preferable, and often an indication of strong prospects (and stock price gains) for the company under consideration.
While the historical EPS growth rate for HCI Group is 33.3%, investors should actually focus on the projected growth. The company&#39;s EPS is expected to grow 57.7% this year, crushing the industry average, which calls for EPS growth of 18.3%.
Impressive Asset Utilization Ratio
Asset utilization ratio -- also known as sales-to-total-assets (S/TA) ratio -- is often overlooked by investors, but it is an important indicator in growth investing. This metric shows how efficiently a firm is utilizing its assets to generate sales.
Right now, HCI Group has an S/TA ratio of 0.35, which means that the company gets $0.35 in sales for each dollar in assets. Comparing this to the industry average of 0.34, it can be said that the company is more efficient.
In addition to efficiency in generating sales, sales growth plays an important role. And HCI Group is well positioned from a sales growth perspective too. The company&#39;s sales are expected to grow 40.9% this year versus the industry average of 5%.
Promising Earnings Estimate Revisions
Superiority of a stock in terms of the metrics outlined above can be further validated by looking at the trend in earnings estimate revisions. A positive trend is of course favorable here. Empirical research shows that there is a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements.
There have been upward revisions in current-year earnings estimates for HCI Group. The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year has surged 13.1% over the past month.
Bottom Line
HCI Group has not only earned a Growth Score of A based on a number of factors, including the ones discussed above, but it also carries a Zacks Rank #1 because of the positive earnings estimate revisions.
This combination indicates that HCI Group is a potential outperformer and a solid choice for growth investors.
<a href="https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2279691/3-reasons-growth-investors-will-love-hci-group-hci?cid=CS-BENZ-FT-tale_of_the_tape|yseop_template_11_growth-2279691">To read this article on Zacks.com click here.</a>

3 Reasons Growth Investors Will Love HCI Group

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Press Releases

HCI Group Completes its 2024 – 2025 Catastrophe Reinsurance Programs

Dividends

HCI Group Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend

HCI Group Sets Second Quarter 2024 Earnings Call for Thursday, August 8, 2024, at 4:45 p.m. ET

Gateway Group Announces Preliminary Sponsors and Additional Presenting Companies for September Gateway Conference

HCI Group Reports Second Quarter 2024 Results

HCI Group Provides Hurricane Season Update

HCI Group Sets Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Call for Thursday, November 7, 2024, at 4:45 p.m. ET

HCI Group Assumes Over 42,000 Policies from Citizens, Representing Approximately $200 Million in Premium

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