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<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1200" height="711" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/16185231/image-7.png" alt="" class="wp-image-4139" srcset="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/16185231/image-7.png 1200w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/16185231/image-7-300x178.png 300w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/16185231/image-7-1024x607.png 1024w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/16185231/image-7-768x455.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px" /></figure>
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Small Language Model</h4>
An enlarged chart of Microsoft Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>)
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock.&nbsp; The chart of MSFT stock is being used to illustrate the point.</li>
<li>The chart shows MSFT stock has climbed in December so far.</li>
<li>The chart shows support and resistance zones for MSFT.</li>
<li>RSI on the chart shows MSFT stock is overbought.&nbsp; Overbought stocks are susceptible to a pullback.</li>
<li>The Arora Report previously shared with readers a major milestone in AI progress – human-like reasoning capabilities using chain link thinking in Model 4o from OpenAI.</li>
<li>ChatGPT-4o is a large language model.</li>
<li>In further AI progress, Microsoft has introduced Phi-4.&nbsp; Phi-4 is a small language model that outperforms GPT-4o in certain mathematical reasoning.&nbsp; Phi-4 is only a fraction of the size of GPT-4o.&nbsp; It appears that Phi-4 can do better in solving certain math problems compared to its teacher model GPT-4o.&nbsp; Also of note is that Microsoft trained Phi-4 mostly on synthetic data.</li>
<li>The foregoing is important for investors as investors need to get ahead of the curve.&nbsp; In The Arora Report analysis, Phi-4 challenges the present belief that bigger is better.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, small language models such as Phi-4 have a very bright future.&nbsp; There is a fortune to be made in AI between now and 2030.&nbsp; However, it will not be in a straight line.&nbsp; At times, it will be treacherous.</li>
<li>There is excitement in the stock market this morning as it was announced Friday after the close that AI software company Palantir Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PLTR#NASDAQ">PLTR</a>) and big bitcoin holder MicroStrategy Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSTR#NASDAQ">MSTR</a>) are being added to the Nasdaq 100.</li>
<li>The Arora Report has previously written that one of the things Trump can do to reduce inflation from his policies is to attract foreign investment to the U.S.&nbsp; In the first sign of success for Trump, Japan's SoftBank Group Corp &#8211; ADR (OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SFTBY#OTC">SFTBY</a>) CEO Masayoshi Son will announce at Mar-a-Largo a $100B investment in the U.S. over the next four years.</li>
<li>There is also buying in the early trade as the market believes it is a certainty that the Fed will cut interest rates this week in spite of the data not supporting such a rate cut.</li>
<li>Markets in the U.S. are not being impacted by weakness in Europe and Asia as there was powerful pumping of stocks in the media over the weekend.&nbsp; Retail investors tend to be influenced by the weekend pump and buy on Monday morning.</li>
</ul>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">France</h4>
Moody's has cut France's credit rating.&nbsp; French stocks and bonds are falling.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">China</h4>
Markets all across the globe are being negatively impacted by weak retail sales data in China.
Retail sales in China came at 3.0% year-over-year vs 4.8% consensus.
Concern is building that the Chinese consumer is not spending in spite of stimulus measures by the government.
In The Arora Report analysis, investors should note the sharp contrast between U.S. consumers and Chinese consumers at this time.&nbsp; U.S. consumers are on a buying binge.&nbsp; Chinese consumers are holding back and are focused on savings.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h4>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon.com, Inc., Alphabet Inc Class C , Meta Platforms Inc , NVIDIA Corp , and Tesla Inc.
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple Inc and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h4>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.&nbsp; Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.&nbsp; The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (ASCA:USO).
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h4>
Over the weekend, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) ran over $106,000 on a rumor that Trump will announce the bitcoin reserve on day 1.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h4>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider holding Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h4>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

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AI Progress From Microsoft – Phi-4 Outperforms Human-like reasoner AI Model GPT-4o, Bitcoin Rumor

On Friday, December 13th, U.S. markets closed mixed. The Nasdaq extended its upward streak while the S&amp;P 500 and Dow experienced declines.
Broadcom&#8217;s optimistic AI chip forecast drove a significant rise in shares, boosting tech sentiment as markets anticipate a Federal Reserve rate cut in the coming days.
In economic data, U.S. data showed import prices rose 0.1%, while the Producer Price Index increased 0.4%.
Among S&amp;P 500 sectors, Information Technology and Communication Services gained, driven by Broadcom&#8217;s surge. At the same time, Energy, Financials, Industrials, Consumer Staples, Real Estate, and Materials declined modestly, with Health Care and Utilities remaining flat.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.20% and closed at 43,828.06. The S&amp;P 500 closed almost flat, down by 0.003% to 6,051.09, while the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.12% to finish at 19,926.72.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Monday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 declined 0.07% and ended the session at 39,463.00, led by losses in the Shipbuilding, Warehousing, and Precision Instruments sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 slid 0.56% and ended the day at 8,249.50, led by losses in the Gold, Metals &amp; Mining and Materials sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 slid 0.48% to 24,649.10, and Nifty 500 was down 0.09% closing at 23,337.15, led by losses in the Metals, Technology and Fast Moving Consumer Goods sectors.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite fell 0.16% to close at 3,386.33, while the Shenzhen CSI 300 declined 0.54%, finishing the day at 3,911.84.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng was down 0.88% and closed the session at 19,795.49.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 06:00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.44%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX declined 0.14%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC fell 0.81%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded lower by 0.37%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 06:00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading lower by 1.61% at $70.15/bbl, and Brent was down 0.87% at $73.86/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices eased as traders took profits ahead of a key Federal Reserve meeting, while supply concerns over U.S. sanctions on Russia and Iran limited losses.</li>
<li>Natural Gas fell 3.72% to $3.157.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.07% at $2,677.70, Silver was up 0.23% to $31.098, and Copper fell 0.53% to $4.1754.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 06:00 AM ET
Dow futures were up 0.08%, S&amp;P 500 futures were up 0.17%, and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.30%.
Forex at 06:00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. Dollar Index was up 0.02% to 107.03, USD/JPY was up 0.13% at 153.84, and USD/AUD rose 0.03% to 1.5745.</li>
<li>The dollar hovered near a three-week high as markets anticipated a measured Fed rate cut this week. Bitcoin soared to a record above $105,000, buoyed by Trump&#8217;s proposal for a U.S. bitcoin reserve.</li>
</ul>
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

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Asia And Europe Markets Decline, Dollar Hovers 3-Week High - Global Markets Today While US Slept

On Thursday, December 12th, U.S. markets closed lower as investors assessed economic data ahead of the Federal Reserve&#8217;s meeting. Mixed signals from rising producer prices and climbing unemployment claims fueled uncertainty about inflation and the Fed&#8217;s rate cut trajectory, prompting profit-taking after recent market highs.
In economic data, U.S. initial jobless claims climbed to 242,000 in early December, surpassing market expectations of 220,000, signaling potential labor market softening. Meanwhile, core producer prices increased by 0.2% month-over-month in November.
The majority of S&amp;P 500 sectors fell, led by losses in healthcare, consumer discretionary, and communication services, while consumer staples gained.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.53% and closed at 43,914.12, the S&amp;P 500 declined 0.54% to 6,051.25, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.66% to finish at 19,902.84.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Friday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 declined 1.02% and ended the session at 39,490.50, led by losses in the Shipbuilding, Paper &amp; Pulp, and Finance &amp; Investment sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 slid 0.41% and ended the day at 8,296.00, led by losses in the Gold, Metals &amp; Mining and Materials sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 rose 0.96% to 24,783.30, and the Nifty 500 was up 0.47%, closing at 23,365.45. Gains in the Technology, Consumer Durables, and Banking sectors led the index.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite fell 2.01% to close at 3,391.88, while the Shenzhen CSI 300 fell 2.37%, finishing the day at 3,933.18.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng was down 2.09% and closed the session at 19,971.24.</li>
<li>Asian markets dropped Friday as China&#8217;s lack of detailed stimulus measures disappointed investors.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.29%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX gained 0.31%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC rose 0.19%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.02%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.91% at $70.64/bbl, and Brent was up 0.84% at $74.00/bbl.</li>
<li>Natural Gas gained 0.46% to $3.472.</li>
<li>Gold was trading lower by 0.75% at $2,689.01, Silver was down 0.96% to $31.317, and Copper fell 0.35% to $4.2300.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures were up 0.23%, S&amp;P 500 futures were up 0.32%, and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.65%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
The U.S. Dollar Index was up 0.02% to 106.98, USD/JPY was up 0.54% at 153.45, and USD/AUD slid 0.01% to 1.5703.
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Asia Ex-India Fall On China Stimulus Concerns, Europe Up; Dollar Gains - Global Markets Today While US Slept

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Benzinga Market Summary: Indexes Close Lower On Worse-Than-Expected PPI Data, Broadcom And Costco To Report After The Close, Gold And Silver Drop

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/2024-12-12_07h55_05.png" alt="" /></figure>
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Hotter Inflation</h4>
An enlarged chart of Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock.&nbsp; The chart of TSLA stock is being used to illustrate the point.</li>
<li>The chart shows the run up in TSLA stock.</li>
<li>The chart shows the Arora buy signal after the election.&nbsp; As of this writing, there is 50% gain in about five weeks from the Arora buy signal in TSLA.</li>
<li>RSI on the chart shows TSLA stock is overbought.&nbsp; Overbought stocks are susceptible to a pullback.</li>
<li>The chart shows the nearest support zone.</li>
<li>TSLA stock has added $515B in value since Trump's election.&nbsp; The valuation of Tesla and SpaceX have been rising on the belief that Musk's close association with Trump will help his businesses. &nbsp; The rally in TSLA stock, along with the rising valuation of SpaceX, has made Elon Musk the first man ever to have a net worth of $400B.</li>
<li>The move yesterday in TSLA stock was initially triggered by General Motors Co&#8217;s (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GM#NYSE">GM</a>) decision to stop development of robotaxis.&nbsp; The buying in TSLA stock on the GM news caused TSLA to breakout above the prior high.&nbsp; This brought in technically oriented buyers who buy the breakouts.&nbsp; The prior high was $414.49 on November 4, 2021.</li>
<li>After yesterday's sticky Consumer Price Index data that was not worse than expected, the market was certain the Fed will cut interest rates, so investors aggressively bought big tech stocks.&nbsp; Lower interest rates are good for big tech.</li>
<li>Producer Price Index (PPI) data came hotter than expected.&nbsp; Here are the details:
<ul>
<li>Headline PPI came at 0.4% vs. 0.3% consensus.</li>
<li>Core PPI came at 0.2% vs. 0.2% consensus.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>The reaction to PPI data is slight selling in stocks, bonds, and gold.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, the Fed is likely to ignore the hotter producer inflation data and cut interest rates next week.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>Initial jobless claims came at 242K vs. 220K consensus. &nbsp;In The Arora Report analysis, the Fed can use this data as an excuse to cut interest rates given the Fed's dual mandate.&nbsp;</li>
<li>To understand extreme positive sentiment right now, all a prudent investor needs to do is look at the valuation of Fartcoin (CRYPTO: FARTCOIN).&nbsp; Fartcoin is now worth $500M.&nbsp; What makes Fartcoin so valuable? It produces a digital fart sound on each transaction.</li>
<li>The positive sentiment is being enhanced this morning as President-elect Trump is going to ring the opening bell at the New York Stock Exchange.</li>
</ul>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Switzerland</h4>
The Swiss National Bank cut interest rates by 50 bps, which was more than expected.&nbsp; This is the largest cut in nearly a decade.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Europe</h4>
The European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates by 25 bps as expected.
Rate cuts in Europe influence the Fed to also cut interest rates.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h4>
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>), and TSLA.
In the early trade, money flows are negative in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h4>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.&nbsp; Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.&nbsp; The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (ASCA:USO).
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h4>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is above $100,000.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h4>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h4>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

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Hot Inflation Data But Fed Likely To Ignore It, Musk Becomes First $400 Billion Man

As the global commodity market braces for a challenging 2025,&nbsp;ING Group NV&nbsp;forecasts a bullish outlook for gold amid potential trade tensions between the U.S. and China.
What Happened: ING Group NV&nbsp;anticipates a difficult year for commodities in 2025, driven by possible trade tensions between the United States and China. Despite this, gold is expected to maintain its status as a safe haven, Bloomberg <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-12-12/gold-will-shine-in-bearish-year-ahead-for-commodities-ing-says">reported</a> on Thursday.
The report indicates that President-elect&nbsp;Donald Trump&#8216;s proposed tariffs could disrupt markets, impacting oil, metals, and agriculture. Traders are also monitoring China&#8217;s stimulus measures, which could affect consumption.&nbsp;Warren Patterson&nbsp;and&nbsp;Ewa Manthey&nbsp;from ING noted that the commodity sector might face downward pressure with balanced supply and demand.
See Also:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/12/42405504/dogecoin-can-touch-18-if-things-go-wild-says-influential-crypto-trader-thankful-for-the-dip-and-will-buy-more?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Dogecoin Can Touch $18 If Things &#8216;Go Wild,&#8217; Says Influential Crypto Trader: &#8216;Thankful For The Dip And Will Buy More&#8217;</a> 
Gold is projected to continue its record-breaking trend,&nbsp;with prices averaging $2,760 an&nbsp;ounce in 2025. Central banks are likely to drive demand as they diversify reserves amid geopolitical tensions.&nbsp;The outlook for industrial metals&nbsp;remains uncertain, with factors like trade policies and Chinese demand influencing prices. Copper is predicted&nbsp;to average $8,900 a ton, while grains and soft commodities face volatility due to trade disputes and weather concerns.
Why It Matters: The anticipated performance of gold aligns with earlier <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/11/41810728/jpmorgan-predicts-strong-performance-for-bitcoin-and-gold-under-trump-presidency">predictions by&nbsp;JPMorgan</a>, which foresaw significant gains for both Bitcoin and gold following Trump&#8217;s presidential win. This is attributed to a &#8220;debasement trade,&#8221; where assets like gold are seen as reliable stores of value amid currency devaluation.
Despite the chaotic metals market post-Trump&#8217;s re-election,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41877899/trump-re-election-jolts-metals-market-as-gold-sees-a-stumble-not-a-sea-change">JPMorgan&#8217;s Commodities Research team</a>&nbsp;emphasized that gold&#8217;s recent fluctuations are merely a &#8220;stumble, not a sea change.&#8221; Meanwhile, some voices, like&nbsp;Michael Saylor, advocate for a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/12/42413650/michael-saylor-urges-us-to-ditch-gold-for-bitcoin-sell-the-past-own-the-future">shift towards Bitcoin</a>, labeling gold as outdated. However, gold&#8217;s enduring appeal as a safe haven remains significant amidst geopolitical uncertainties.
Price Action: According to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>, Gold ETFs have been experiencing an upward tick after Trump&#8217;s win in the 2024 elections. SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>) increased by 4.54% while iShares Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IAU#NYSE">IAU</a>) rose by 4.52%. VanEck Gold Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GDX#NYSE">GDX</a>) witnessed an 8.25% rise in the past month while VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GDXJ#NYSE">GDXJ</a>) rose by 10.57%.
Read Next:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/movers/24/12/42380768/quantum-computing-stocks-roundup-d-wave-rigetti-ionq-lead-the-charge-with-explosive-growth?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Quantum Computing Stocks Roundup: D-Wave, Rigetti, IonQ Lead the Charge With Explosive Growth</a></li>
</ul>
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Neuro</a>&nbsp;and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Image via Shutterstock

Market Vectors ETF Trust Market Vectors Gold Miners

GDXJ

Gold To Shine Bright In 2025 As Top Investment Bank Predicts Bullish Outlook Amid Trade Tensions

On Tuesday, December 10th, U.S. markets closed lower, with losses in the technology sector outweighing gains in communications services. Investors remained cautious ahead of key inflation data, including the Consumer Price Index and Producer Price Index, which are expected to influence the Federal Reserve&#8217;s upcoming interest rate decision.
Economic data shows that labor productivity in the U.S. nonfarm business sector rose by 2.2% during the third quarter, consistent with the preliminary estimate.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors fell, led by real estate, tech, and materials, while communication services and consumer staples gained.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.35% and closed at 44,247.83, the S&amp;P 500 declined 0.30% to 6,034.91, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.25% to finish at 19,687.24.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Wednesday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 gained 0.07% and ended the session at 39,394.50, led by gains in the Precision Instruments, Steel, and Electrical/Machinery sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 slid 0.47% and ended the day at 8,353.60, led by losses in the IT, Industrials and Energy sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 rose 0.08% to 24,629.45, and the Nifty 500 was up 0.14%, closing at 23,346.40. Gains in the Consumer Durables, Auto, and IT sectors led shares higher, while losses in the Fast-Moving Consumer Goods, Healthcare, and Power sectors led shares lower.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite gained 0.29% to close at 3,432.49, while the Shenzhen CSI 300 fell 0.17%, finishing the day at 3,988.83.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng was down 0.77% and closed the session at 20,155.05.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.10%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX gained 0.04%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC rose 0.02%.</li>
<li>UK&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.01%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 1.01% at $69.29/bbl, and Brent was up 0.90% at $72.84/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices rose on optimism over China&#8217;s monetary easing plans, though rising U.S. crude and fuel inventories tempered gains.</li>
<li>Natural Gas gained 2.56% to $3.244.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.18% at $2,723.11, Silver was down 0.59% to $32.550, and Copper fell 0.63% to $4.2455.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures were down 0.15%, S&amp;P 500 futures were up 0.08%, and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.18%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. dollar index gained 0.31% to 106.73, the USD/JPY rose 0.38% to 152.52, and the USD/AUD rose 0.45% to 1.5750.</li>
<li>The U.S. dollar strengthened, supported by expectations of resilient inflation ahead of the CPI report and concerns over China&#8217;s potential yuan weakening, which weighed on Asian and European currencies.</li>
</ul>
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Asia And Europe Markets Mixed; Crude Oil Up Amid China Stimulus Hope, Dollar Strengthens - Global Markets Today While US Slept

On Monday, December 9th, U.S. markets closed lower, driven by a decline in tech stocks. Nvidia faced pressure from a <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/legal/24/12/42404352/nvidia-china-antitrust-probe-may-remain-unsolved-in-near-term-says-top-analyst-investors-should-be-prepared-for-increased-scrutiny" rel="noreferrer noopener">Chinese antitrust investigation</a>, and AMD fell after a downgrade. Investors are closely watching upcoming inflation data, including the consumer price index and producer price index, which are expected to influence the Federal Reserve&#8217;s December meeting amid ongoing caution about policy adjustments.
According to economic data, U.S. wholesale inventories rose 0.2% in October to $905 billion, matching preliminary estimates and reversing the previous month&#8217;s decline.
S&amp;P 500 sectors fell, led by declines in financials, utilities, and communication services, while healthcare and real estate stocks closed higher.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.54% and closed at 44,401.93, the S&amp;P 500 declined 0.61% to 6,052.85, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.62% to finish at 19,736.69.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Tuesday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 gained 0.55% and ended the session at 39,368.50, led by gains in the Marine Transport, Steel, and Communication sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 slid 0.36% and ended the day at 8,393.00, led by losses in the IT, Financials, and A-REITs sectors.</li>
<li>The Reserve Bank of Australia held rates at 4.35%, citing progress toward its inflation target as growth cools. Inflation is expected to reach the target range by 2026, delaying potential policy easing.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 rose 0.01% to 24,620.50, and Nifty 500 rose 0.13%, closing at 23,322.10.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite gained 0.59% to close at 3,422.66, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 rose 0.73%, finishing the day at 3,995.64.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng was down 0.50% and closed the session at 20,311.28</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.45%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX declined 0.09%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC slipped 0.69%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded lower by 0.65%.</li>
<li>European shares ended an eight-day winning streak as miner losses followed weak China trade data. Focus now shifts to U.S. inflation data ahead of potential Fed rate cuts.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading lower by 0.57% at $67.98/bbl, and Brent was down 0.54% at $71.77/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices dipped as Middle East tensions eased following Syria&#8217;s power shift, despite potential demand support from China&#8217;s stimulus plans.</li>
<li>Natural Gas declined 1.13% to $3.136.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.40% at $2,696.61, Silver was down 0.36% to $32.490, and Copper fell 0.54% to $4.2525.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures were down 0.02%, S&amp;P 500 futures slid 0.01%, and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.05%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
The U.S. dollar index gained 0.16% to 106.31, the USD/JPY rose 0.25% to 151.56, and the USD/AUD rose 0.68% to 1.5632.
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Europe Markets End Gain Streak, Crude Oil Falls, Gold Gains - Global Markets Today While US Slept

WIIM

Gold and silver are trading higher. Middle East uncertainty may be lifting sentiment for safe-haven assets such as precious metals.

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1200" height="739" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/09175329/image-5.png" alt="" class="wp-image-3910" srcset="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/09175329/image-5.png 1200w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/09175329/image-5-300x185.png 300w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/09175329/image-5-1024x631.png 1024w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/09175329/image-5-768x473.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px" /></figure>
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Turkey Is Biggest Winner</h4>
An enlarged chart of iShares MSCI Turkey ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TUR#NASDAQ">TUR</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>&nbsp;In Syria, the regime of Bashar al-Assad has fallen after a lightning fast advance by rebels over 11 days. Bashar al-Assad's father Hafez al-Assad seized power in a military coup in November 1970.&nbsp; In a stunning development, the 54-year al-Assad rule of Syria has ended. Bashar al-Assad has been granted asylum in Russia.</li>
<li>Hayat Tahrir al-Sham's (HTS), the rebel group that captured Syria's capital Damascus, origin goes back to al-Qaeda.&nbsp; This group was essentially the Syrian branch of al-Qaeda.&nbsp; HTS is trying to rebrand itself with assurance to minorities and has so far, not engaged in violence. &nbsp;However, in The Arora Report analysis, prudent investors should be aware that this is a rigid Islamist group that had once vowed to impose Sharia law.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, there is a power vacuum in Syria.&nbsp; The danger is the establishment of an Islamic caliphate.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, the biggest winner from the situation in Syria is Turkey.</li>
<li>The chart shows stocks in Turkey are up.&nbsp; Foreign money is flowing into Turkish stocks this morning.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>The chart shows that Turkey ETF TUR is now at the top band of the resistance zone.</li>
<li>As clarity develops, there may be an opportunity in Turkey.&nbsp; The Arora Report&#8217;s ZYX Emerging has continuously followed Turkey for 17 years.</li>
<li>Turkey is a member of NATO, but is also closely aligned with Russia.&nbsp; Turkey has also been a big supporter of Hamas in Gaza.</li>
<li>The U.S. relationship with Turkey lately has been tense.&nbsp; Now, Turkey will have more leverage against both the U.S. and Russia.</li>
<li>The U.S. has about 900 troops in Syria.&nbsp; The U.S. is conducting airstrikes against ISIS targets in Syria to prevent ISIS from gaining power. &nbsp; Yesterday, the U.S. conducted 75 airstrikes in Syria.</li>
<li>The biggest losers are Iran, Russia, and Hezbollah.&nbsp; Russia has a naval base and an air base in Syria.&nbsp; The Russian naval base in Syria is Russia's only warm water naval base.</li>
<li>Due to the prospects of instability, investors are buying gold, silver, and oil.&nbsp; Investors are selling bitcoin and other cryptos.&nbsp; This again shows that bitcoin and cryptos are not a hedge against global instability.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, China is gearing up to fight Trump's potential tariffs.&nbsp; China has picked NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) as the first target.&nbsp; As a result, NVDA stock is seeing selling.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>China is promising stimulative monetary policy.&nbsp; Stocks in Hong Kong and Shanghai are jumping. &nbsp;Foreign money is flowing into China.&nbsp;</li>
<li>More inflation data is coming this week.&nbsp; Consumer Price Index (CPI) will be released on Wednesday at 8:30am ET, and Producer Price Index (PPI) will be released on Thursday at 8:30am ET.&nbsp; This data may be market moving.</li>
</ul>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h4>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), and NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h4>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.&nbsp; Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.&nbsp; The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (ASCA:USO).
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h4>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is under $100K and seeing selling on Syria developments.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h4>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h4>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener nofollow">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

iShares MSCI Turkey Investable Market Index Fund

Power Vacuum In Syria Increases Geopolitical Instability, China Investigating Nvidia

On Friday, December 6, U.S. markets closed mixed as the Nasdaq and S&amp;P 500 hit record highs, driven by strong forecasts and encouraging jobs data that boosted expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, while declines in health insurance stocks pressured the Dow to close lower.
According to economic data, nonfarm payrolls increased by 227,000, significantly exceeding expectations and reflecting strong job growth. The unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.2%, aligning with predictions. Average hourly earnings grew by 0.4%, surpassing forecasts and maintaining the same pace as October&#8217;s increase.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors fell, led by energy, utilities, and healthcare, while consumer discretionary and communication services posted gains.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.28% and closed at 44,642.52, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.25% to 6,090.27, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.81% to finish at 19,859.77.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Monday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 gained 0.22% and ended the session at 39,154.50, led by gains in the Machinery, Gas &amp; Water and Transport sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 rose 0.02% and ended the day at 8,423.00, led by gains in the Consumer Discretionary, Telecoms Services, and Healthcare sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 slid 0.21% to 24,626.15, and the Nifty 500 fell 0.07%, closing at 23,296.65. The losses were led by losses in the Fast-Moving Consumer Goods, Healthcare, and Auto sectors.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite declined 0.05% to close at 3,402.53, while the Shenzhen CSI 300 fell 0.17%, finishing the day at 3,966.57.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng was up 2.76% and closed the session at 20,414.09.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.04%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX declined 0.17%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC gained 0.26%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.28%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 1.16% at $67.98/bbl, and Brent was up 0.97% at $71.80/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices rose over 1% as China signaled a shift to looser monetary policy to support its slowing economy, boosting market sentiment. Uncertainty in Syria and OPEC+&#8217;s delayed output plans supported prices despite Saudi price cuts.</li>
<li>Natural Gas gained 5.33% to $3.240.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.72% at $2,678.71, Silver was up 1.44% to $32.040, and Copper rose 1.76% to $4.2705.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures were down 0.03%, S&amp;P 500 futures slid 0.07% and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.12%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. Dollar Index slid 0.18% to 105.86, USD/JPY was up 0.26% at 150.43, and USD/AUD slid 0.87% to 1.5508.</li>
<li>The U.S. dollar held steady as markets awaited inflation data and a Fed rate decision. Gains against the yen and won were offset by China&#8217;s monetary shift, boosting currencies like the Australian and New Zealand dollars.</li>
</ul>
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Asia And Europe Markets Mixed; Crude Gains Amid China Policy Shift - Global Markets Today While US Slept

On Thursday, December 5th, U.S. markets closed lower as tech shares eased and UnitedHealth&#8217;s sharp decline weighed on major indexes. Synopsys and health insurance stocks fell amid weaker forecasts and uncertainty following UnitedHealth&#8217;s CEO&#8217;s murder. Investors await Friday&#8217;s jobs report amid rising unemployment claims.
In economic data, U.S. jobless claims rose to 224,000 last week, exceeding expectations of 215,000. The trade deficit narrowed to $73.8 billion in October, beating market estimates of $75 billion and improving from September&#8217;s $83.8 billion gap.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors fell, led by industrials, materials, and healthcare, while consumer discretionary and staples outperformed, closing higher.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.55% and closed at 44,765.71, the S&amp;P 500 declined 0.19% to 6,075.11, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.18% to finish at 19,700.26.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Friday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 declined 0.80% and ended the session at 39,068.50, led by losses in the Transportation Equipment, Power, and Textile sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 fell 0.64% and ended the day at 8,420.90, led by losses in the Energy, Consumer Discretionary, and Gold sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 slid 0.18% to 24,664.45, while the Nifty 500 gained 0.09%, closing at 23,299.20.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite gained 1.05% to close at 3,404.08, while the Shenzhen CSI 300 rose 1.31%, finishing the day at 3,973.14.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng was up 1.56% and closed the session at 19,865.85.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.56%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX rose 0.28%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC gained 1.38%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.07%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading lower by 0.66% at $67.87/bbl, and Brent was down 0.71% at $71.60/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices fell amid weak demand concerns, and OPEC+ delayed supply increases to 2026, citing slowing demand, especially in China.</li>
<li>Natural Gas declined 1.69% to $3.0.27.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.39% at $2,658.39, Silver was up 0.65% to $31.740, and Copper rose 1.17% to $4.2417.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures were down 0.02%, S&amp;P 500 futures slid 0.07% and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.02%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. dollar index rose 0.15% to 105.88, the USD/JPY rose 0.36% to 150.62, and the USD/AUD gained 0.51% to 1.5577.</li>
<li>The U.S. dollar edged higher Friday as traders awaited the November jobs report.</li>
</ul>
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

China And Europe Markets Advance, Gold And Dollar Tick Higher - Global Markets Today While US Slept

Leading cryptocurrency <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/bitcoin-price-prediction">Bitcoin </a>(CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) smashed through the $100,000 milestone Wednesday, Dec. 4, adding to the list of all-time highs the crypto has passed since the<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/11/41778425/bitcoins-all-time-high-a-groundbreaking-milestone-and-strong-post-election-rally-coming-ex"> 2024 presidential election.</a>
What Happened: Many cryptocurrency investors and analysts were <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/12/42331507/happy-bitcoin-100k-day-heres-how-nayib-bukele-brian-armstrong-and-peter-schiff-reacted-to-the-historic-milestone">quick to celebrate</a> Bitcoin reaching the $100,000 milestone, a key moment in the history of the sector.
One of the names that voiced their opinion on the milestone was economist Peter Schiff.
"It's ironic that #Bitcoin only hit $100k by buying off politicians and getting in bed with government. Without expected government intervention, this milestone never would have been hit. What couldn't be done in a free market was achieved through the cohesive power of the state," Schiff <a href="https://x.com/PeterSchiff/status/1864506441232744577">tweeted</a>.
The tweet received a Community Note on X with users pointing out that government intervention has influenced crypto and Bitcoin for years both positively and negatively.
"Schiff's claims are biased speculation. The SEC specifically is facing legal action for market suppression, directly counter to Peter's claim," the Community Note says.
For those unfamiliar, Schiff has been one of the most outspoken critics of Bitcoin and is a key supporter of gold.
Schiff later replied that "intervention may not have been the best term" and that bailout could have been more accurate.
"I'm referring to the much-hyped Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, where the government would use public money, taken by force, to buy Bitcoin."
Schiff famously tweeted about the $100,000 milestone back in 2019.
"Keep dreaming. Bitcoin is never going to hit $100,000!" Schiff <a href="https://x.com/PeterSchiff/status/1192802503856984064">told </a>a user on X back on Nov. 8, 2019.
Over the years, users have been quick to respond to Schiff's claims that Bitcoin will never reach certain milestones and fall in value. Some Bitcoin supporters, like Mark Yusko, have even challenged Schiff, pitting the return of Bitcoin versus gold going forward.
On Wednesday, Dec. 4, Bitcoin passed the $100,000 milestone and reached a new all-time high of $103,900.47. 
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/12/42336184/exclusive-bitcoin-crossing-100000-is-a-defining-moment-experts-say">EXCLUSIVE: Bitcoin Crossing $100,000 Is A &#8216;Defining Moment,&#8217; Experts Say</a>
Investing $1,000 in Bitcoin: Investors who went against Schiff's famous tweet in 2019 are likely smiling as the cryptocurrency has increased in value substantially.
Bitcoin hit a high of $9,272.76 on Nov. 8, 2019. A $1,000 investment at the time could have purchased 0.1078 BTC. The $1,000 investment would be worth $11,084.51 today, up 1,008.5% over the last five years, based on a price of $102,824.78 for Bitcoin at the time of writing. 
Compare that return to the S&amp;P 500 and a leading gold ETF. The same $1,000 invested in the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), which tracks the S&amp;P 500, could have bought 3.24 SPY shares. The investment would be worth $1,968.82 today, up 96.9%.
The same $1,000 invested in the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>) could have bought 7.23 GLD shares. The investment would be worth $1,768.96 today, up 76.9%.
Schiff believes that Bitcoin will not be valuable in the long run, but perhaps he should have followed the idiom "never say never."
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/24/11/42125880/if-you-bought-1-worth-of-bitcoin-at-launch-heres-how-much-youd-have-today-2">If You Bought $1 Worth Of Bitcoin At Launch, Here&#8217;s How Much You&#8217;d Have Today</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: <a href="https://www.flickr.com/photos/gageskidmore/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Gage Skidmore</a> on Flickr and Midjourney.

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If You Invested $1,000 In Bitcoin When Peter Schiff Said BTC Would Never Hit $100K, Here's How Much You'd Have Now

On Wednesday, December 4th, U.S. markets closed higher, boosted by strong tech earnings from Salesforce and optimistic comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Powell's remarks on the economy and inflation, along with expectations of a rate cut, helped lift market sentiment.
According to economic data, U.S. private businesses added 146K jobs in November, which is below estimates. Factory orders rose 0.2% to $586.7B, while the ISM services PMI fell to 52.1, missing expectations.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors declined, with energy, materials, and financials seeing the biggest losses, while consumer discretionary and technology stocks ended higher.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.69% and closed at 45,014.04, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.61% to 6,086.49, while the Nasdaq Composite soared 1.30% to finish at 19,735.12.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Thursday, Japan's Nikkei 225 gained 0.38% and ended the session at 39,382.50, led by gains in the Shipbuilding, Retail and Warehousing sectors.</li>
<li>Australia's S&amp;P/ASX 200 rose 0.15% and ended the day at 8,474.90, led by gains in the Gold, IT and Consumer Discretionary sectors.</li>
<li>India's Nifty 50 rose 0.94% to 24,696.45, and the Nifty 500 gained 0.75%, closing at 23,273.50. Gains in the Technology, Banking, and Consumer Durables sectors led the index.</li>
<li>China's Shanghai Composite gained 0.13% to close at 3,368.86, while the Shenzhen CSI 300 fell 0.23%, finishing the day at 3,921.59.</li>
<li>Hong Kong's Hang Seng was down 0.92% and closed the session at 19,560.44.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:15 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.65%.</li>
<li>Germany's DAX rose 0.64%.</li>
<li>France's CAC gained 0.44%.</li>
<li>U.K.'s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.09%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:15 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.34% at $68.78/bbl, and Brent was up 0.29% at $72.54/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices edged up ahead of an OPEC+ meeting. Investors await decisions on extending supply cuts, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add uncertainty.</li>
<li>Natural Gas gained 1.91% to $3.102.</li>
<li>Gold was trading lower by 0.18% at $2,671.49, Silver was down 0.01% to $31.913, and Copper rose 0.23% to $4.2110.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:15 AM ET
Dow futures were up 0.02%, S&amp;P 500 futures slid 0.02% and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.10%.
Forex at 05:15 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. Dollar Index slipped 0.14% to 106.17, USD/JPY was down 0.21% at 150.28, and USD/AUD fell 0.14% to 1.5529.</li>
<li>Bitcoin <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42331261/bitcoin-hits-historic-100000-milestone-michael-saylor-gets-ready-for-party" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">surged past $100,000</a> on Thursday, driven by expectations of a friendly U.S. regulatory shift, particularly with Trump's SEC nomination. Meanwhile, world stocks hit record highs, buoyed by positive remarks from Fed Chief Powell.</li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock

Asia And Europe Markets Gains; Dollar Slips While Bitcoin Hits $100K - Global Markets Today While US Slept

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="628" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/04201018/image-1024x628.png" alt="" class="wp-image-3818" srcset="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/04201018/image-1024x628.png 1024w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/04201018/image-300x184.png 300w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/04201018/image-768x471.png 768w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/04201018/image.png 1200w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Making Money From Crowd Stampede</h4>
Chart of Palantir Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PLTR#NASDAQ">PLTR</a>). 
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of PLTR is being used to illustrate the point.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>The chart shows that PLTR stock has gone vertical.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>The chart shows that the Arora core position was bought at $20.15.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>The chart shows when the Arora trade around position signal was given.&nbsp; A trade around position is a technique used by billionaires and hedge funds that can dramatically increase returns and reduce risks.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>As full disclosure, The Arora Report system is close to giving another signal for a new trade around position on PLTR.&nbsp; </li>
<li>Palantir is a defense contractor providing mostly AI-based software.&nbsp;</li>
<li>Being a defense contractor is a complex business.&nbsp; Historically, it has taken defense contractors a very long period, many acquisitions, and storied histories to become large.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>With Palantir, it is the first time that a company has become the largest defense contractor by market cap in the blink of an eye.&nbsp; More remarkable is that Palantir has achieved this feat not through a long storied history and not through acquisitions.&nbsp; Palantir has reached this status through a momo crowd and meme crowd stampede.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>The chart shows that money is to be made by taking advantage of momo crowd and meme crowd stampedes.&nbsp; Over the years, we have helped our members make money from these stampedes on a number of stocks.&nbsp; Of course, prudent investors should have risk controls in place and be patient.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>As full disclosure, PLTR was recently added to the ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio.&nbsp;&nbsp;As full disclosure, Rtx Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>)&nbsp;is also in the ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio.</li>
<li>RTX is the second largest defense contractor now by market cap.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>Here is a comparison of a few key metrics between PLTR and RTX.
<ul>
<li>PLTR trailing PE is 354.&nbsp; RTX trailing PE is 34.</li>
<li>PLTR forward PE is 151.&nbsp; RTX forward PE is 19.&nbsp;</li>
<li>PLTR price/sales is 65.&nbsp; RTX price/sales is 2.&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Based on the&nbsp;<a href="https://thearorareport.com/zyxmethod">ZYX Change Method</a>&nbsp;<a href="https://thearorareport.com/zyx-quantitative-screen">quantitative screen</a>, the highest reasonable valuation of PLTR is under $40.&nbsp; PLTR is trading at $71.74 as of this writing in the premarket.&nbsp;</li>
<li>The very long term Arora target for PLTR is $123 &#8211; $136.&nbsp;</li>
<li>The foregoing also illustrates the extreme positive sentiment in the stock market.&nbsp;</li>
<li>This morning, the stock market is front running Fed Chair Powell.&nbsp; Powell will be speaking later today.&nbsp; The hopium is that Powell will be dovish and indicate a rate cut is coming in spite of a large set of data showing that it is imprudent to cut rates at this time.</li>
<li>Buying in the early trade is largely focused on large cap tech stocks as well as speculative junk stocks.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>Also adding to the buying are comments on Salesforce Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRM#NYSE">CRM</a>) and Marvell Technology Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRVL#NASDAQ">MRVL</a>) conference calls regarding AI.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h4>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>), and Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h4>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.&nbsp; Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.&nbsp; The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (ASCA:USO).
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h4>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is range bound.&nbsp;
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h4>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp;&nbsp;The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.&nbsp;
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp;&nbsp;When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h4>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

MRVL

Making Money From Crowd Stampede – Palantir Becomes Largest Defense Contractor In Blink Of An Eye

On Tuesday, December 3rd, U.S. markets closed mixed, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq reaching record highs, fueled by gains in the tech, communication services, and consumer discretionary sectors. The Dow finished slightly lower. Investors are awaiting key data, including the monthly employment report and ISM services index.
Federal Reserve officials expressed confidence that inflation is on track to reach the 2% target and highlighted the strength of the job market, though they stopped short of indicating support for another rate cut.
In economic data, job openings increased by 372,000 to 7.744 million in October, up from a revised 7.372 million in September, surpassing market expectations of 7.48 million.
S&amp;P 500 sectors ended lower, with utilities, industrials, and financials suffering the biggest losses, while communication services and information technology stocks closed higher.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.17% and closed at 44,705.53, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.05% to 6,049.88, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.40% to finish at 19,480.91.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Wednesday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 gained 0.06% and ended the session at 39,232.00, led by gains in the Banking, Insurance and Transportation Equipment sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 fell 0.38% and ended the day at 8,462.60, led by losses in the A-REITs, Financials, and Utilities sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 rose 0.02% to 24,461.60, and the Nifty 500 gained 0.31%, closing at 23,093.30. Gains in the Real Estate, Banking, and Consumer Durables sectors led the gains.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite declined 0.42% to close at 3,364.65, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 fell 0.54%, finishing the day at 3,930.56.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng was down 0.02% and closed the session at 19,742.46.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.43%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX rose 0.77%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC gained 0.17%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded lower by 0.41%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.71% at $70.44/bbl, and Brent was up 0.72% at $74.20/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices saw a slight increase as traders expect OPEC+ to extend supply cuts amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. Geopolitical unrest in the Middle East and South Korea supported the prices.</li>
<li>Natural Gas slipped 0.66% to $3.022.</li>
<li>Gold was trading lower by 0.17% at $2,663.69, Silver was down 0.54% to $31.323, and Copper fell 0.27% to $4.1905.</li>
</ul>
US Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures were up 0.43%, S&amp;P 500 futures gained 0.21%, and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.52%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
The U.S. dollar index gained 0.13% to 106.50, the USD/JPY rose 0.79% to 150.76, and the USD/AUD rose 1.14% to 1.5594.
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Oil Hits $70 In Supply Cut Hope, Dollar Gains, Asia And Europe Markets Mixed - Global Markets Today While US Slept

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/2024-12-03_07h59_45.png" alt="" /></figure>
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Lack Of Sellers</h4>
Please click here for a chart of SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&amp;P 500 (SPX).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>The chart shows that after a very shallow pullback, the stock market has moved higher.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>The chart shows that in this bullish environment, the breakout line acted as support.</li>
<li>The chart shows that the volume remains low during this rally.&nbsp; The interpretation in this case is that there are very few sellers. &nbsp;As a result, it does not take much for the market to go higher.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, here are the reasons for the lack of sellers:
<ul>
<li>Sellers want to wait until 2025 to book profits to defer paying taxes by one year.</li>
<li>Sentiment is extremely positive.</li>
<li>Complacency has set in among retail investors.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>Professional traders and money managers are waiting for the year end chase by under performing money managers.&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>RSI on the chart shows that the stock market is overbought.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>China is responding to the latest U.S. sanctions on the export of certain semiconductors and semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>China has outright banned the export of gallium, germanium, and antimony to the U.S. &nbsp; China is also restricting export of graphite to the U.S.&nbsp; These materials are important in manufacturing certain semiconductors, night vision goggles, and certain parts of satellites.&nbsp; Among the beneficiaries of China's restrictions on exports to the U.S. is Mp Materials Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MP#NYSE">MP</a>).&nbsp; The stock is up about 13% as of this writing in the premarket.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>JOLTS jobs openings will be released at 10am ET and may be market moving.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>Investors are looking for clues to the jobs report that will be released on Friday at 8:30am ET. &nbsp;In The Arora Report analysis, the jobs report will play a major role in determining what the Fed does next.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h4>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), and Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>).&nbsp;
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>) and Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h4>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.&nbsp; Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.&nbsp; The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (ASCA:USO).
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h4>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is range bound, trading under $95,000.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h4>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.&nbsp;
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h4>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener nofollow">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Lack Of Sellers In The Stock Market, China Retaliates Against U.S.

On Monday, December 2nd, U.S. markets closed mixed, driven by tech stocks, while the Dow fell. Investors await key economic data, including Friday&#8217;s jobs report. The Fed may cut interest rates, but inflation concerns linger. Super Micro Computer surged 28.7% after announcing plans to find a new finance chief. Despite strong sectors, more stocks declined than advanced, with trading volume lower than average.
Economic data shows that U.S. construction spending rose 0.4% in October, reaching an annual rate of $2,174 billion. The ISM manufacturing PMI increased to 48.4 in November, surpassing the expected 47.5 and up from 46.5 in October.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors closed lower, with utilities, real estate, and financial stocks declining, while communication services and consumer discretionary stocks saw gains.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.29% and closed at 44,782.00, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.24% to 6,047.15, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.97% to finish at 19,403.95.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Tuesday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 gained 1.84% and ended the session at 39,207.50,   led by gains in the Gas &amp; Water, Banking and Retail sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 rose 0.56% and ended the day at 8,495.20, led by gains in the Healthcare, Consumer Discretionary and Industrials sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 rose 0.72% to 24,451.65, and Nifty 500 gained 0.78%, closing at 23,013.80.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite gained 0.44% to close at 3,378.81, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 rose 0.11%, finishing the day at 3,951.89.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng was up 1.00% and closed the session at 19,746.32.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.75%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX rose 0.56%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC gained 0.61%.</li>
<li>FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.68%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 1.03% at $68.78/bbl, and Brent was up 0.92% at $72.49/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices rose nearly one percent as traders awaited OPEC+ decisions on output cuts. OPEC+ is likely to extend cuts amid weak global demand and geopolitical tensions.</li>
<li>Natural Gas slipped 1.28% to $3.172.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.35% at $2,667.64, Silver was up 1.87% to $31.442, and Copper rose 1.36% to $4.1870.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures were down 0.01%, S&amp;P 500 futures gained 0.05% and Nasdaq 100 futures slid 0.01%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. dollar index fell 0.19% to 106.24, the USD/JPY was up 0.15% to 149.81, and the USD/AUD declined 0.26% to 1.5401.</li>
<li>The U.S. dollar steadied after gaining strength on Monday, driven by political tensions in France and strong U.S. economic data, but came under pressure following remarks from Federal Reserve official hinting at a potential rate cut in December.</li>
</ul>
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Asia And Europe Markets Gain; Oil Rises Ahead of OPEC+ Meeting - Global Markets Today While US Slept

On Friday, November 29, U.S. markets closed higher, with the S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones reaching record highs during a shortened Black Friday session. The rally was fueled by strong performances in the technology and retail sectors, with gains in major tech stocks and a rebound in chip stocks driving momentum. Retail shares climbed as the holiday shopping season kicked off, supported by robust consumer spending projections.
Investors weighed optimism over strong sales and pro-business policies against concerns about inflation and the Federal Reserve&#8217;s anticipated rate cut in December.
S&amp;P 500 sectors closed higher, led by technology, materials, and consumer discretionary stocks, while real estate and utilities lagged, ending the session lower.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.42% and closed at 44,910.65, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.56% to 6,032.40, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.83% to finish at 19,218.17.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Monday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 gained 0.92% and ended the session at 38,500.50, led by gains in the Gas &amp; Water, Banking and Retail sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 rose 0.14% and ended the day at 8,447.90, led by gains in the IT, Consumer Discretionary and Energy sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 rose 0.59% to 24,272.75, and the Nifty 500 gained 0.66%, closing at 22,835.65. The gains were led by gains in the Real Estate, Consumer Durables, and Metals sectors.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite gained 1.13% to close at 3,363.98, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 rose 0.79%, finishing the day at 3,947.63.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng was up 0.65% and closed the session at 19,550.29.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.06%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX rose 0.58%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC declined 0.34%.</li>
<li>FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.04%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.90% at $68.63/bbl, and Brent was up 0.90% at $72.49/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices rose driven by strong Chinese factory activity and escalating Middle East tensions.</li>
<li>Natural Gas slipped 5.98% to $3.162.</li>
<li>Gold was trading lower by 0.81% at $2,659.16, Silver was down 1.20% to $30.735, and Copper slid 0.42% to $4.1227.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Dow futures were down 0.13%, S&amp;P 500 futures were down 0.19%, and Nasdaq 100 futures slid 0.19%.</li>
<li>U.S. futures dipped as December begins, with jobs data and Fed comments in focus. Stellantis shares plunged after CEO Carlos Tavares resigned.</li>
</ul>
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. dollar index rose 0.54% to 106.32, the USD/JPY rose 0.40% to 150.35, and the USD/AUD gained 0.33% to 1.5406.</li>
<li>The U.S. dollar gained strength with the dollar index rising, driven by resilient U.S. economic data, political uncertainty in France, and President-elect Donald Trump&#8217;s tariff threats.</li>
</ul>
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Asia And Europe Markets Up, Oil Gains On China Activity, Dollar Strengthens - Global Markets Today While US Slept

On Wednesday, November 27th, U.S. markets ended lower, with the Nasdaq suffering the steepest losses as technology stocks led the decline. Concerns over the Federal Reserve&#8217;s cautious stance on interest rate cuts resurfaced after data indicated stubbornly high U.S. inflation.
According to economic data, the PCE price index rose 2.3% annually in October, up from 2.1%, while core PCE inflation edged higher at 2.8%. Personal spending and income exceeded expectations, and Q3 GDP growth held steady at 2.8%.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.31% and closed at 44,722.06, the S&amp;P 500 declined 0.38% to 5,998.70, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.60% to finish at 19,060.48.</li>
<li>On Friday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 declined 0.52% and ended the session at 38,148.50, led by losses in the Shipbuilding, Precision Instruments, and Retail sectors.     </li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 fell 0.10% and ended the day at 8,436.20, led by losses in the A-REITs, Industrials and Telecoms Services sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 rose 0.87% to 24,122.85, and Nifty 500 gained 0.72% closing at 22,676.60, led by gains in the Oil &amp; Gas, Auto and Technology sectors.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite gained 0.93% to close at 3,326.46, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 rose 1.14%, finishing the day at 3,916.58.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng was up 0.29% and closed the session at 19,423.61.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 06:00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.03%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX rose 0.12%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC gained 0.04%.</li>
<li>The FTSE 100 index traded lower by 0.09%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 06:00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading lower by 0.51% at $68.37/bbl, and Brent was down 0.82% at $72.17/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices fell over 3% this week as the Middle East ceasefire eased supply risks, while 2025 forecasts indicate excess supply despite expected OPEC+ cuts.</li>
<li>Natural Gas gained 3.50% to $3.314.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.82% at $2,686.59, Silver was up 1.92% to $31.142, and Copper slid 0.05% to $4.1363.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 06:00 AM ET
Dow futures gained 0.31%, S&amp;P 500 futures were up 0.30% and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.40%.
Forex at 06:00 AM ET
The U.S. dollar index fell 0.18% to 105.95, the USD/JPY was down 1,07% to 149.91, and the USD/AUD slid 0.05% to 1.5379.
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Asia And Europe Markets Mixed; Oil Falls And Dollar Cools - Global Markets Today While US Slept

Gold's expected weekly trading range is now 90 points, it is likely that the Short trend will still be in place in a week's time.

Gold Does The Spike N' Sink

Gold Does The Spike And Sink

Trump's comments on inflation reflect a misunderstanding of economic principles.

More Trump, More Inflation

This weekly Extreme Positions report highlights the Most Bullish and Most Bearish Positions for the speculator category. Extreme positioning in these markets can foreshadow strong moves in the underlying market.

Speculator Extremes: Lean Hogs & Nasdaq Lead Weekly Bullish Positions

Caution Ahead: The Top Long Trade For 2025 - Cash!

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The price of gold was higher in the first half of Monday's session, following a two-day sell-off at the end of last week.

Gold Not Shining So Brightly Any More

Gold price in terms of the euro had rallied substantially in the previous months, but based on the RSI indicator it rallied too far too fast, and it now needs to correct or decline in a more profound manner.

Extreme Levels Of Work-For-Gold Ratio

Is Selling Gold Right Now A Mistake?

Stocks were mostly higher today, though the Dow extended its losing streak to six-year proportions. 

Nasdaq Nabs Record Close; Dow Stuck In Historic Slump

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Precious metal prices are significantly influenced by investor sentiment, much like stocks and bonds. This can lead to routine price fluctuations, sometimes large and erratic, where the volatility can create both challenges and opportunities for investors. 

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