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Carlyle Group

The Carlyle Group is one of the world's largest alternative-asset managers, with $447.4 billion in total AUM, including $313.6 billion in fee-earning AUM, at the end of September 2024. The company has three core business segments: private equity, which includes private equity, real estate, infrastructure, and natural resources funds (accounting for 33% of fee-earning AUM and 57% of base management fees during 2023), global credit (51% and 27%) and investment solutions (16% and 16%). The firm primarily serves institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals. Carlyle operates through 29 offices across five continents, serving more than 2,900 active carry fund investors from 88 countries.

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Stonepeak To Acquire Forgital Group From Carlyle; Terms Not Disclosed

During the last three months, 14 analysts shared their evaluations of Carlyle Group (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CG#NASDAQ">CG</a>), revealing diverse outlooks from bullish to bearish.
The following table encapsulates their recent ratings, offering a glimpse into the evolving sentiments over the past 30 days and comparing them to the preceding months.
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th></th>
<th align="right">Bullish</th>
<th align="right">Somewhat Bullish</th>
<th align="right">Indifferent</th>
<th align="right">Somewhat Bearish</th>
<th align="right">Bearish</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Total Ratings</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">6</td>
<td align="right">8</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Last 30D</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>1M Ago</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2M Ago</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">3</td>
<td align="right">5</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>3M Ago</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">2</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
<td align="right">0</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
The 12-month price targets, analyzed by analysts, offer insights with an average target of $57.0, a high estimate of $85.00, and a low estimate of $47.00. Marking an increase of 10.38%, the current average surpasses the previous average price target of $51.64. 
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2024/1734026468_0.png" alt="price target chart" />
<h2>Diving into Analyst Ratings: An In-Depth Exploration</h2>
An in-depth analysis of recent analyst actions unveils how financial experts perceive Carlyle Group. The following summary outlines key analysts, their recent evaluations, and adjustments to ratings and price targets.
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Analyst</th>
<th>Analyst Firm</th>
<th>Action Taken</th>
<th>Rating</th>
<th>Current Price Target</th>
<th>Prior Price Target</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Michael Brown</td>
<td>Wells Fargo</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Equal-Weight</td>
<td>$56.00</td>
<td>$54.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Benjamin Budish</td>
<td>Barclays</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Overweight</td>
<td>$59.00</td>
<td>$57.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chris Kotowski</td>
<td>Oppenheimer</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Outperform</td>
<td>$85.00</td>
<td>$78.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Benjamin Budish</td>
<td>Barclays</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Overweight</td>
<td>$57.00</td>
<td>$50.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bill Katz</td>
<td>TD Cowen</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Hold</td>
<td>$49.00</td>
<td>$43.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kyle Voigt</td>
<td>Keefe, Bruyette &amp; Woods</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Market Perform</td>
<td>$55.00</td>
<td>$51.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Kenneth Worthington</td>
<td>JP Morgan</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Neutral</td>
<td>$50.00</td>
<td>$44.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Brent Dilts</td>
<td>UBS</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Neutral</td>
<td>$54.00</td>
<td>$43.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chris Kotowski</td>
<td>Oppenheimer</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Outperform</td>
<td>$78.00</td>
<td>$64.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Glenn Schorr</td>
<td>Evercore ISI Group</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>In-Line</td>
<td>$47.00</td>
<td>$45.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Michael Cyprys</td>
<td>Morgan Stanley</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Equal-Weight</td>
<td>$50.00</td>
<td>$46.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Devin Ryan</td>
<td>JMP Securities</td>
<td>Maintains</td>
<td>Market Outperform</td>
<td>$60.00</td>
<td>$60.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Michael Brown</td>
<td>Wells Fargo</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Equal-Weight</td>
<td>$48.00</td>
<td>$42.00</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Benjamin Budish</td>
<td>Barclays</td>
<td>Raises</td>
<td>Overweight</td>
<td>$50.00</td>
<td>$46.00</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<h3>Key Insights:</h3>
<ul>
<li>Action Taken: Analysts frequently update their recommendations based on evolving market conditions and company performance. Whether they 'Maintain', 'Raise' or 'Lower' their stance, it reflects their reaction to recent developments related to Carlyle Group. This information provides a snapshot of how analysts perceive the current state of the company.</li>
<li>Rating: Delving into assessments, analysts assign qualitative values, from 'Outperform' to 'Underperform'. These ratings communicate expectations for the relative performance of Carlyle Group compared to the broader market.</li>
<li>Price Targets: Understanding forecasts, analysts offer estimates for Carlyle Group's future value. Examining the current and prior targets provides insight into analysts' changing expectations.</li>
</ul>
For valuable insights into Carlyle Group's market performance, consider these analyst evaluations alongside crucial financial indicators. Stay well-informed and make prudent decisions using our Ratings Table.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/CG/analyst-ratings?utm_source=Benzinga Insights">Stay up to date on Carlyle Group analyst ratings.</a>
<h2>Discovering Carlyle Group: A Closer Look</h2>
The Carlyle Group is one of the world's largest alternative-asset managers, with $447.4 billion in total AUM, including $313.6 billion in fee-earning AUM, at the end of September 2024. The company has three core business segments: private equity, which includes private equity, real estate, infrastructure, and natural resources funds (accounting for 33% of fee-earning AUM and 57% of base management fees during 2023), global credit (51% and 27%) and investment solutions (16% and 16%). The firm primarily serves institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals. Carlyle operates through 29 offices across five continents, serving more than 2,900 active carry fund investors from 88 countries.
<h3>Carlyle Group: A Financial Overview</h3>
Market Capitalization Analysis: Positioned below industry benchmarks, the company's market capitalization faces constraints in size. This could be influenced by factors such as growth expectations or operational capacity.
Revenue Growth: Carlyle Group displayed positive results in 3 months. As of 30 September, 2024, the company achieved a solid revenue growth rate of approximately 106.34%. This indicates a notable increase in the company's top-line earnings. As compared to its peers, the company achieved a growth rate higher than the average among peers in Financials sector.
Net Margin: Carlyle Group's net margin is impressive, surpassing industry averages. With a net margin of 46.02%, the company demonstrates strong profitability and effective cost management.
Return on Equity (ROE): Carlyle Group's ROE stands out, surpassing industry averages. With an impressive ROE of 11.26%, the company demonstrates effective use of equity capital and strong financial performance.
Return on Assets (ROA): The company's ROA is a standout performer, exceeding industry averages. With an impressive ROA of 2.65%, the company showcases effective utilization of assets.
Debt Management: Carlyle Group's debt-to-equity ratio is notably higher than the industry average. With a ratio of 1.67, the company relies more heavily on borrowed funds, indicating a higher level of financial risk.
<h2>The Significance of Analyst Ratings Explained</h2>
Within the domain of banking and financial systems, analysts specialize in reporting for specific stocks or defined sectors. Their work involves attending company conference calls and meetings, researching company financial statements, and communicating with insiders to publish "analyst ratings" for stocks. Analysts typically assess and rate each stock once per quarter.
Some analysts also offer predictions for helpful metrics such as earnings, revenue, and growth estimates to provide further guidance as to what to do with certain tickers. It is important to keep in mind that while stock and sector analysts are specialists, they are also human and can only forecast their beliefs to traders.
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Analyst Ratings

The Analyst Verdict: Carlyle Group In The Eyes Of 14 Experts

Wells Fargo analyst Michael Brown maintains Carlyle Group (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CG#NASDAQ">CG</a>) with a Equal-Weight and raises the price target from $54 to $56.

Price Target

Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on Carlyle Group, Raises Price Target to $56

Bank of America is bullish on U.S. brokers, asset managers and exchanges heading into 2025, raising price targets across the sector by an average of 14%, citing strong tailwinds from deregulation, rising retail investor engagement and solid U.S. GDP growth <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s">projected at 2%-2.5%.</a>
In a new report released Wednesday, analyst Craig Siegenthaler dubbed 2025 as the year of &#8220;extensions&#8221; of ongoing trends, amid a fresh boost from a red political sweep and deregulation efforts under a Trump presidency.
According to Bank of America, the red wave of the 2024 elections is also set to open new doors for crypto and alternative investments (Alts) and give brokers and asset managers room to shine.
The report highlights three top Buy-rated stocks — Blue Owl Capital Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OWL#NYSE">OWL</a>), Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBKR#NASDAQ">IBKR</a>), and Tradeweb Markets Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TW#NASDAQ">TW</a>) — and two key Underperformers: Charles Schwab Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCHW#NYSE">SCHW</a>) and Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CG#NASDAQ">CG</a>).
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Alts: Blue Owl Leads The Charge</h1>
Alternative asset managers (Alts) are primed for a strong year, with Blue Owl Capital emerging as the standout pick.
<ul>
<li>Buy Rating and $33 price target. Bank of America expects a four-fold earnings per share (EPS) growth by 2027.</li>
<li>Valuation: Blue Owl trades at just 16x its 2027 EPS, offering a 4% dividend yield.</li>
<li>Earnings Quality: Remarkably, 100% of Blue Owl's EPS is Fee-Related Earnings (FRE), and nearly all of its asset under management (AUM) is locked in either permanently or long-term capital.</li>
<li>Secular Growth Drivers: Key tailwinds include retail access to Alts (via RIAs), insurance partnerships, and consolidation among general partners.</li>
</ul>
Siegenthaler highlighted Blue Owl's unique position: "Under-owned, undervalued and underappreciated.&#8221;
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Brokers: Interactive Brokers In A &#8220;Goldilocks&#8221; Setup</h1>
Interactive Brokers is Bank of America&#8217;s top broker pick for 2025, as solid U.S. GDP growth (2.0%-2.5%) and sticky inflation (&gt;2.5%) create a "Goldilocks" environment for brokers.
Bank of America is also bullish on Robinhood Markets Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HOOD#NASDAQ">HOOD</a>), seen as &#8220;best-positioned given high tech/low legacy cost models with strong innovation track records.&#8221;
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Interactive Brokers </h4>
<ul>
<li>Buy Rating and $288 price target</li>
<li>Fundamentals: Interactive Brokers boasts an operating margin of over 70%, with incremental margins exceeding 80%. It also holds $7 billion in excess capital, which supports reinvestment and growth.</li>
<li>Competitive Edge: The broker's tech-first approach, including investments in R&amp;D and innovative tools like its Global Trader app, has spurred 20-40% annual account growth.</li>
<li>Valuation: &#8220;Undervalued due to unique set of factors — float, voting rights/control, capital retention.&#8221;</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Exchanges: Tradeweb Offers Long-Term Growth</h1>
Tradeweb Markets is Bank of America's top pick among exchanges due to its wide product breadth, first-mover innovation, and long-term visibility.
<ul>
<li>Buy Rating and $205 price target</li>
<li>Competitive advantages: Tradeweb Markets offers a diverse menu spanning fixed income, ETFs and money markets, appealing to a broad client base, including market makers, financial advisors, and corporate treasurers.</li>
<li>Innovation edge: Tradeweb Market&#8217;s portfolio trading and session trading protocols have driven consistent market share gains.</li>
<li>Long-term growth visibility: The secular shift from voice to electronic bond trading provides a long runway for growth.</li>
</ul>
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Photo: Shutterstock

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IBKR

Bank Of America Raises Bullish Outlook On US Brokers, Exchanges, Alternative Investments: 3 Top Picks For 2025

TeamViewer has entered an agreement with Carlyle Europe Technology Partners (CETP), part of the global investment firm Carlyle Group (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CG#NASDAQ">CG</a>), to <a target="_blank" href="https://www.teamviewer.com/en/global/company/press/2024/teamviewer-to-acquire-1e/?" rel="noreferrer noopener">acquire </a>1E, a Digital Employee Experience (DEX) management tools company, for $720 million in a cash-free, debt-free deal.
1E, with around 300 employees, offers a leading DEX platform that boosts IT performance and employee satisfaction through real-time visibility, issue detection, and automated remediation. As of September 2024, it reported $77 million in annual recurring revenue, with over 99% of sales from enterprise clients.
The acquisition integrates TeamViewer's remote access expertise with 1E's autonomous IT platform.
The combined solutions aim to proactively address IT issues, offer efficient remote support, and deliver a comprehensive platform for IT operations, intelligent endpoint management, and improved digital workplace experiences.
The transaction is expected to close in early 2025, pending regulatory approvals. Post-closing, the net leverage ratio is projected at 3.3x Adjusted EBITDA, with plans to reduce it below 2.0x by FY 2026.
&#8220;With the acquisition of 1E, TeamViewer will enter a new era of intelligent endpoint management by providing customers with a smart solution for preventing and tackling technology issues with minimal friction. Together with 1E, we are ideally positioned to meet growing customer demands for more real-time, automated, and proactive approaches in the IT and the OT space," stated Oliver Steil, CEO of TeamViewer.
Price Action: CG shares are trading lower by 0.06% at $52.36 premarket at the last check Wednesday.
Photo via Shutterstock.

TeamViewer Agrees To Acquire Carlyle-Backed 1E For $720 Million: Details

Barclays analyst Benjamin Budish maintains Carlyle Group (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CG#NASDAQ">CG</a>) with a Overweight and raises the price target from $57 to $59.

Barclays Maintains Overweight on Carlyle Group, Raises Price Target to $59

Key Takeaways:
<ul>
<li>Starbucks is considering bringing in partners to its China operation, as same-store sales in its second-largest market plunge during a bloody local coffee price war</li>
<li>The coffee giant has faced multiple challenges in China, from severe restrictions during the pandemic to growing consumer caution and fierce competition.</li>
</ul>
By Xiao Lin
In rocky waters, you often need more than one paddle to steady your boat. That seems to be the case for&nbsp;Starbucks Corp.&nbsp;(NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/sbux#NASDAQ">SBUX</a>), as the world&rsquo;s largest coffee chain explores potential partnerships in China, its second largest market after only the U.S.
In a statement to the media, the Seattle-based firm said it is working to find the best path back to growth in China, which includes exploring strategic partnerships &mdash; moves aimed at navigating increasing challenges in a country that was once its fastest growing market. Such partnerships, often with local companies, were initially the norm for most restaurant operators when they started to enter the unfamiliar Chinese market in the 1990s.
&ldquo;We are fully committed to our business and partners, and to growing in China,&rdquo; Starbucks said in a statement to numerous media, after Bloomberg reported last Thursday the company had informally gauged interest from prospective investors, including local private equity firms. &ldquo;We are working to find the best path to growth, which includes exploring strategic partnerships.&rdquo;
In addition to global private equity, Starbucks might also consider a sale of part of its China operation to Chinese conglomerates or other local companies with experience in the industry, the Bloomberg report said.
Starbucks&rsquo; shares edged up slightly after its announcement last Thursday. The stock is roughly flat over the past 12 months, and still trades at an elevated price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 31 &ndash; ahead of a 25 for&nbsp;McDonald&rsquo;s&nbsp;(NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/mcd#NYSE">MCD</a>) and 21 for&nbsp;Yum China&nbsp;(NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/yumc#NYSE">YUMC</a>), operator of KFC and Pizza Hut restaurants in China.
When Starbucks opened its first store in Beijing in 1999, it found itself not only facing a more regulated environment than it was used to, but also the equally big challenge of selling to a tea-drinking culture where Nestl&eacute; instant coffee defined most people&rsquo;s understanding of its signature product. It formed a series of joint ventures with local partners to better find its way in the market, but later bought all of them out.
Fast forward to the present, where, with over 7,500 stores, the company is now grappling with more frugal consumers and intense competition from local rivals, prompting it to consider a return to partnerships to weather difficult times. Such partners not only offer more resources, but can also help spread the risk of owning such a large operation worth billions of dollars.
If Starbucks&rsquo; China U-turn sounds familiar, it&rsquo;s because it&rsquo;s not the first major foreign chain to change tack midway through its China story. In 2017, after nearly three decades in the country, McDonald&rsquo;s (MCD.N) sold a majority 52% stake in its China and Hong Kong operations to a consortium led by state-owned conglomerate Citic and American investment firm&nbsp;Carlyle&nbsp;(NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/cg#NYSE">CG</a>), after sales started declining and a food scandal dragged down its global sales.
<h3>Coffee Greenfield</h3>
When Starbucks opened its first store in Beijing&rsquo;s Guomao area 25 years ago, it did so through a joint venture with Beijing Mei Da Coffee Co. out of necessity, since wholly owned foreign restaurants weren&rsquo;t allowed at that time. The store offered cappuccinos for about 19 yuan, or $2.60, which was about 5% of the monthly average per capita income at that time. It later established two more joint ventures: one with Maxim&rsquo;s to run stores in Hong Kong and South China&rsquo;s Guangdong province, and another with Taiwan&rsquo;s Uni-President to run stores in Shanghai and nearby regions.
In late 2004, China started allowing foreign restaurant operators to wholly own their local businesses as part of its commitments after joining the World Trade Organization in 2001. Starbucks started acquiring stakes from its local partners, and by 2017 it obtained full control of its entire China operation.
Starbucks had nearly 3,000 stores across China by the end of that year and was opening a new store every 15 hours to serve an increasingly affluent and status-conscious middle class. Its revenue in the China and Asia Pacific region increased by 10% in 2017, following 23% growth the previous year.
Things went well for the next two years, with Starbucks&rsquo; net revenue in China increasing by 38% in 2018 and 19% in 2019, when the country officially became its second largest market. After a difficult year in 2020 when many of its stores were forced to close at the start of the pandemic, Starbucks came roaring back in China in 2021 with 42% revenue growth as the country was able to bring its Covid outbreaks under control.
But things have gotten tough over the last two years, both in China and worldwide. The company&rsquo;s global same-store sales declined 7% in its latest quarter through September, dragged down by a 14% decline in its China operation.
China contributed about 9% of Starbucks&rsquo; total revenues of $36.2 billion in the 12 months through September. In the company&rsquo;s latest earnings call, newly installed CEO Brian R. Niccol told investors he needed to spend more time in China to understand the challenges.
<h4>Struggling Sector</h4>
Starbucks and the catering sector certainly aren&rsquo;t the only ones in China facing difficulty, as a stream of regulatory crackdowns on various sectors over the last few years and a slowing economy that&rsquo;s hurting consumer sentiment take their toll on businesses across the board.
But the food and beverage industry has taken one of the harder hits, following an initial boom in dining out after China reopened in early 2023. More than 1 million restaurants reportedly closed in the first six months of 2024, according to media reports, citing business registry searches.
The coffee sector is taking a harder hit than many of its catering peers as the aggressive&nbsp;Luckin&nbsp;(OTC: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/lkncy#OTC">LKNCY</a>) and&nbsp;Cotti Coffee&nbsp;engage in a price war by selling much of their premium coffee for just 9.9 yuan, or about $1.40, per cup. Others joining in the coffee war include Yum China with its KCOFFEE sold at its main KFC chain and in adjacent stores. Even e-commerce is getting involved with premium instant coffees like Saturnbird, which are primarily sold on platforms like Alibaba&rsquo;s Taobao at even lower prices.
While the average monthly income in China is now more than 50 times higher than in 1999, a cup of Starbucks cappuccino priced at about 30 yuan can still seem expensive to consumers when they can buy Luckin or Cotti for just a third of the cost. That reality is becoming increasingly clear as consumers become more frugal in the current economic climate.
This article is from an unpaid external contributor. It does not represent Benzinga's reporting and has not been edited for content or accuracy.

LKNCY

SBUX

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Starbucks Looks For New Friends In Choppy China Coffee Waters

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAP#NYSE">AAP</a>) will release earnings results for its third quarter, before the opening <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/AAP/earnings">bell on Thursday, Nov. 14.</a>
Analysts expect the Raleigh, North Carolina-based company to report quarterly earnings at 54 cents per share, versus a year-ago loss of 82 cents per share. Advance Auto Parts projects to report revenue of $2.67 billion for the quarter, compared to $2.72 billion a year earlier, according to data from <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a>.
On Nov. 4, Advance Auto Parts announced the close of the sale of Worldpac, Inc. to global investment firm Carlyle (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CG#NASDAQ">CG</a>).
Advance Auto Parts shares gained 2.6% to close at $40.94 on Wednesday.
Benzinga readers can access the latest analyst ratings on the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/22/09/28888638/exclusive-study-finds-benzinga-analyst-ratings-data-yields-market-beating-strategie">Analyst Stock Ratings</a> page. Readers can sort by stock ticker, company name, analyst firm, rating change or other variables.
Let's have a look at how Benzinga's most-accurate <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/AAP/analyst-ratings">analysts have rated the company</a> in the recent period.
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings/analyst/61aa12038d115900012d093d/steven-shemesh">RBC Capital analyst Steven Shemesh</a> maintained a Sector Perform rating and cut the price target from $52 to $46 on Nov. 11. This analyst has an accuracy rate of 65%.</li>
<li>Truist Securities analyst Scott Ciccarelli maintained a Hold rating and lowered the price target from $46 to $41 on Nov. 7. This analyst has an accuracy rate of 78%.</li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings/analyst/5a259df2efacff0001e43834/greg-melich">Evercore ISI Group analyst Greg Melich</a> maintained an In-Line rating and decreased the price target from $71 to $67 on Oct. 22. This analyst has an accuracy rate of 80%.</li>
<li>Wedbush analyst Seth Basham upgraded the stock from Neutral to Outperform on Oct. 15. This analyst has an accuracy rate of 69%.</li>
<li>Wells Fargo analyst Zachary Fadem maintained an Equal-Weight rating and slashed the price target from $50 to $40 on Sept. 13. This analyst has an accuracy rate of 73%.</li>
</ul>
Considering buying AAP stock? Here&#8217;s what analysts think: 
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="544" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/14012435/image-143-1024x544.png" alt="" class="wp-image-647053" style="width:704px;height:auto" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/14012435/image-143-1024x544.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/14012435/image-143-300x159.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/14012435/image-143-768x408.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/14012435/image-143.png 1237w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
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Earnings

Pre-Market Outlook

Markets

Advance Auto Parts Gears Up For Q3 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts

Financial stocks are basking in a post-election rally after Donald Trump's election win as investors anticipate a friendlier regulatory landscape for banks, brokers and<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets"> consumer finance companies</a>.
With expectations of deregulation and possible tax cuts, traders are piling into financials at levels not seen in years.
The Financials Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) jumped over 5% last week, hitting fresh record highs, while weekly inflows surged to $1.573 billion—the highest in over two years. 
Regional banks, in particular, were on fire, with the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) skyrocketing nearly 11% and seeing $1.09 billion in inflows, marking its largest influx of money since March 2023.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Key Drivers: Deregulation, Tax Cuts Fuel Investor Optimism</h3>
Investors are betting on a wave of Trump-favored financial reforms that could benefit the sector. 
Richard Ramsden, a Goldman Sachs analyst, highlighted that "the market is pricing in the potential for changes to a number of proposed regulations, a step up in capital markets activity, as well as the potential for a reduction in the corporate tax rate."
Potential regulatory changes under Trump could include:
<ol>
<li>401K Reform: Opening up retirement plans to private investments could attract a flood of new capital.</li>
<li>Relaxed Antitrust Regulations: A more lenient antitrust stance may spark increased mergers and acquisitions (M&amp;A) activity.</li>
<li>Reduced SEC Oversight: There is limited clarity on whether the SEC will continue probing brokers' sweep pricing practices.</li>
<li>Crypto-Friendly Policies: Financial firms with crypto exposure may benefit from a more favorable regulatory environment and higher digital asset prices.</li>
</ol>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Goldman Sachs's Top Picks Among Financials Stocks</h3>
In anticipation of these shifts, Ramsden and his team have identified several top picks across the financial sector. 
Here's where they see the biggest potential gains:
<ul>
<li>Large Banks: Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>), JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>), and Wells Fargo &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>).</li>
<li>Consumer Finance: Bread Financial Holdings (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BFH#NYSE">BFH</a>), Synchrony Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SYF#NYSE">SYF</a>), and Capital One Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COF#NYSE">COF</a>).</li>
<li>Capital Markets: Blackstone Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BX#NYSE">BX</a>), Apollo Global Management Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APO#NYSE">APO</a>), KKR &amp; Co. Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KKR#NYSE">KKR</a>), LPL Financial Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LPLA#NASDAQ">LPLA</a>), Tradeweb Markets Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TW#NASDAQ">TW</a>), Evercore Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EVR#NYSE">EVR</a>), and PJT Partners Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PJT#NYSE">PJT</a>).</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Steeper Yield Curve Expected to Boost Regional Banks</h3>
As markets react to potential economic stimulus and reduced regulatory pressure, analysts anticipate a steeper yield curve, which could be a windfall for banks with heavy exposure to fixed-rate assets. 
Around 60% of both regional and large banks' balance sheets consist of fixed-rate holdings, positioning them to profit as long-term rates rise.
Ramsden's picks for banks that stand to gain the most from a steeper yield curve include:
Regional Banks: 
<ul>
<li>Citizens Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>)</li>
<li>Comerica Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>)</li>
<li>First Hawaiian Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FHB#NASDAQ">FHB</a>)</li>
<li>Zions Bancorporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ZION#NASDAQ">ZION</a>)</li>
<li>Truist Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TFC#NYSE">TFC</a>)</li>
<li>Huntington Bancshares Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HBAN#NASDAQ">HBAN</a>)</li>
<li>Regions Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RF#NYSE">RF</a>)</li>
<li>PNC Financial Services Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNC#NYSE">PNC</a>)</li>
<li>Ally Financial Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALLY#NYSE">ALLY</a>).</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Surge in Capital Velocity: M&amp;A and Trading Boost Expected</h3>
Trump's pro-business stance is also expected to accelerate capital velocity in the M&amp;A and equity capital markets, providing a strong backdrop for trading activity. 
According to Ramsden, large banks like Morgan Stanley (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MS#NYSE">MS</a>) could be the biggest beneficiaries, while among regional banks,&nbsp;KeyCorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KEY#NYSE">KEY</a>)&nbsp;and&nbsp;Citizens Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>)&nbsp;stand out.
Investment banks could also see a boost, with&nbsp;Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JEF#NYSE">JEF</a>),&nbsp;Moelis &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MC#NYSE">MC</a>),&nbsp;PJT Partners Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PJT#NYSE">PJT</a>), and&nbsp;Piper Sandler Companies (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PIPR#NYSE">PIPR</a>)&nbsp;positioned to capitalize on a more active M&amp;A market. 
In the alternative asset management space,&nbsp;Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CG#NASDAQ">CG</a>),&nbsp;KKR,&nbsp;Apollo,&nbsp;TPG Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TPG#NASDAQ">TPG</a>), and&nbsp;Ares Management Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ARES#NYSE">ARES</a>)&nbsp;are expected to benefit from an uptick in private equity deal flow.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Tax Cut Hopes Could Supercharge Regional Banks</h3>
Financial stocks are uniquely positioned to benefit from any corporate tax reductions, given that 90% of their earnings come from the U.S. and are currently taxed at an average rate of 23%. After the 2017 tax reform slashed the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%, financials saw their effective tax rate drop by 10 percentage points.
Ramsden estimates that if the Trump administration pursues another tax cut, regional banks would likely see the most significant upside. 
His top tax-cut beneficiaries include&nbsp;Moelis &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MC#NYSE">MC</a>),&nbsp;American Express Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AXP#NYSE">AXP</a>),&nbsp;Evercore Inc.,&nbsp;Bread Financial Holdings,&nbsp;Piper Sandler,&nbsp;First Citizens BancShares Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCNCA#NASDAQ">FCNCA</a>),&nbsp;Synovus Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNV#NYSE">SNV</a>), and&nbsp;Western Alliance Bancorporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WAL#NYSE">WAL</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Insurers to Benefit from Steeper Curve, P&amp;C Pricing Power</h3>
The insurance sector may also stand to gain under Trump's pro-business policies. Ramsden expects potential increases in claim costs but sees positive momentum for property and casualty pricing.
Insurers with substantial U.S. exposure and a favorable position on the yield curve could see tailwinds.
Ramsden's picks in the insurance space include&nbsp;W.R. Berkley Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WRB#NYSE">WRB</a>),&nbsp;Hartford Financial Services Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HIG#NYSE">HIG</a>), and&nbsp;The Travelers Companies Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRV#NYSE">TRV</a>), which he believes are better positioned than brokers to benefit from these trends.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/11/41857487/exclusive-trump-victory-triggers-reshoring-rally-as-supply-chain-security-outweighs-cost">EXCLUSIVE: Trump Victory Triggers &#8216;Reshoring&#8217; Rally As Supply Chain Security Outweighs Cost</a></li>
</ul>
Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney and Shutterstock.

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Trump Trade Sparks Biggest Financial Stock Inflows In 2 Years

Oppenheimer analyst Chris Kotowski maintains Carlyle Group (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CG#NASDAQ">CG</a>) with a Outperform and raises the price target from $78 to $85.

Oppenheimer Maintains Outperform on Carlyle Group, Raises Price Target to $85

Barclays analyst Benjamin Budish maintains Carlyle Group (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CG#NASDAQ">CG</a>) with a Overweight and raises the price target from $50 to $57.

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