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In seeking to track the performance of the S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry Index, the fund employs a sampling strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index represents the oil and gas exploration and production segment of the S&P Total Market Index (S&P TMI).

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At least one aspect of Israel&#8217;s multifront war is expected to come to an end if the militant group Hamas comes to ceasefire terms <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global">with Israel</a>.
What Happened: So far, Hamas has yielded at least two of Israel's demands for a cease-fire agreement in Gaza, according to a Thursday <a href="https://www.wsj.com/world/middle-east/israel-gaza-palestine-ceasefire-hostage-negotiations-d599e1d1">Wall Street Journal</a> report. 
The development comes after previous negotiations collapsed. And, just three months ago, certain <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/40955425/top-us-officials-skeptical-of-israel-hamas-cease-fire-and-hostage-deal-before-bidens-term-ends-repor">senior U.S. officials were skeptical</a> that a hostage-release deal would occur before the end of President Joe Biden‘s term.
The scenario has changed drastically. 
U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan spoke to the press in Tel Aviv Thursday after meeting with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in Israel.
&#8220;Hamas started this war,&#8221; Sullivan said, optimistic that a ceasefire and hostage release &#8220;can happen.&#8221;
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Sullivan said he is set to visit Doha, Qatar and Cairo to close a deal &#8220;this month.&#8221; 
Hamas is reportedly willing to allow Israeli forces to stay in Gaza temporarily when the fighting stops, the WSJ reported. A list of hostages, including U.S. citizens, is expected to be released as part of a ceasefire pact.
Whether the ceasefire would last or be fully enforced remains to be seen.
Israel and Hezbollah were expected to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/11/42199447/netanyahu-backs-cease-fire-deal-with-hezbollah-israeli-hardliner-calls-for-security-zone-inside-lebanon">pause fighting in Lebanon</a> last month, but <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/12/42279102/israel-hezbollah-trade-strikes-in-latest-sign-of-crumbling-ceasefire">attacks continued into December</a>. At least five people were killed in Israeli attacks on southern Lebanon in the last 24 hours, per <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/12/11/israeli-strikes-kill-five-in-southern-lebanon-amid-shaky-ceasefire">Al Jazeera</a>, citing the country's Health Ministry.
Hezbollah began firing rockets toward Israel after Hamas attacked <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/23/10/35136071/israel-under-siege-unprecedented-hamas-attack-sparks-intense-clashes-netanyahu-says-we-are-at-war">Israel on Oct. 7, 2023</a>.
Why It Matters: The ceasefire agreement would come as the balance of power in the Middle East changes.
This week, Israel seized the buffer zone as Bashar al-Assad&#8216;s rule in Syria collapsed. Al-Assad and his family were subsequently <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42381587/bashar-al-assad-and-his-family-granted-asylum-by-russia-kremlin-source-says-always-spoken-in-favor-of-political-settlement">granted asylum by Russia</a>.
Assad&#8217;s regime was considered a lifeline to Hezbollah.
Traders can gain exposure to oil stocks that are affected by Middle East geopolitcal news via ETFs, or exchange-traded funds. According to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>:
<ul>
<li>ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>) is up 0.27% Thursday. </li>
<li>United States Oil Fund LP (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) dropped 0.16%.</li>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) decreased by 0.79%.</li>
<li>MicroSectorsTM Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production 3X Leveraged ETNs (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OILU#NYSE">OILU</a>) saw a 2.39% drop.</li>
</ul>
Israeli stocks, as monitored through the VanEck Israel ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ISRA#NYSE">ISRA</a>), are up 25.34% year-to-date.
Now Read:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/12/42468190/defense-stocks-face-headwinds-as-trumps-doge-targets-spending-cuts-goldman-sachs-downgrades-general-dynamics-to-sell">Defense Stocks Face Headwinds As Trump&#8217;s DOGE Targets Spending Cuts: Goldman Sachs Downgrades General Dynamics</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Global

Markets

ISRA

OILU

Hamas Relents On Israeli Troops In Gaza, Paves Way For Potential Hostage Release

Editor&#8217;s note: This story was updated to add missing detail in the introduction and further updated to reflect approval of a cease-fire deal by Israel&#8217;s cabinet and U.S. President Joe Biden&#8217;s Tuesday afternoon announcement. Stock price action in the story has been updated and exchange and ticker info for the ISRA ETF has been corrected as well. 
The governments of Israel and Lebanon have accepted a cease-fire deal, President Joe Biden said Tuesday. 
&#8220;Today I have some good news to report from the Middle East,&#8221; Biden said, adding that he spoke with the prime ministers of Israel and Lebanon. 
&#8220;I am pleased to announce that their governments have accepted the U.S. proposal to end the devastating conflict between Israel and Hezbollah,&#8221; said Biden, who made the remarks in the White House Rose Garden. 
The cease-fire is set to take effect at 4 a.m. Wednesday, Biden said.
Hezbollah has not immediately commented on the deal announcement, the New York Times reported. Lebanon&#8217;s government does not control the Hezbollah militant group. 
The deal calls for a 60-day truce, The New York Times reported, and would be overseen by the U.S., United Nations and others. Israel would withdraw forces from Lebanon and Hezbollah would move fighters to north of the Litani River.
Strikes between Israel and Hezbollah have continued during the cease-fire negotiations.
What Happened: The short-term proposal is to pause hostilities for 60 days but with the intention of a lasting truce, according to <a href="https://www.cnn.com/world/live-news/israel-hezbollah-ceasefire-deal-gaza-war-11-26-24-intl-hnk/index.html">CNN</a>, which cited an Israeli official. 
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu offered three reasons for the cease fire, one being to shift focus to Iran, replenish Israeli troops and put greater pressure on Hamas to release the hostages that were captured <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/23/10/35136071/israel-under-siege-unprecedented-hamas-attack-sparks-intense-clashes-netanyahu-says-we-are-at-war">on Oct. 7, 2023</a>.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42198266/crude-oil-moves-lower-dicks-sporting-goods-earnings-top-views">Crude Oil Moves Lower; Dick&#8217;s Sporting Goods Earnings Top Views</a>
Why It Matters: Not everyone is so confident the cease-fire will work.
Per the <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/live/2024/11/26/world/israel-hezbollah-lebanon-cease-fire">New York Times</a>, Israel&#8217;s national security minister Itamar Ben-Gvir stressed the need for a "security zone" inside Lebanon to defend against Hezbollah. Otherwise, the two countries risk another war in the future, he said. 
Ben-Gvir did not indicate that a cease-fire decision would cause him to leave Netanyahu's coalition.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reactions</h3>
Oil prices were trading down Tuesday, with the United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) 0.65% lower at last check. 
Israeli stocks, as monitored through the VanEck Israel ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ISRA#NYSE">ISRA</a>) are up 23.5% year-to-date.
Other oil ETFs were in the red at last check Tuesday afternoon.
ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>) fell by 0.93%, SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) was down 0.75% ahead of the closing bell and MicroSectorsTM Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production 3X Leveraged ETNs (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OILU#NYSE">OILU</a>) saw a 0.45% drop, according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>.
Now Read:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42198583/will-trump-lead-us-into-trade-war-with-mexico-president-claudia-sheinbaum-rebukes-threats">Will Trump Lead US Into Trade War With Mexico? President Claudia Sheinbaum Rebukes Threats</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock.

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Ceasefire Deal Between Israel, Hezbollah Takes Effect Wednesday: Biden

Amid&nbsp;Donald Trump&#8216;s recent pledge to boost U.S. oil production significantly, questions arise about the necessity and impact of such a move.&nbsp;Vikas Dwivedi, a global energy strategist at&nbsp;Macquarie Group, has expressed skepticism regarding the need for an additional 3 million barrels per day.
What Happened: Dwivedi discussed the potential impact of Trump&#8217;s second term on the U.S. oil supply. Talking to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.cnbc.com/video/2024/11/25/us-oil-supply-increases-will-be-marginal-with-trump-2point0-macquarie.html">CNBC</a> &#8220;Squawk Box&#8221;&nbsp;on Monday, he said that anticipates only marginal increases in supply, despite Trump&#8217;s <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/42130859/as-trump-backs-drill-baby-drill-his-doge-co-lead-elon-musk-believes-all-energy-generation-will-be-solar-heres-what-ubs-recommends-after-election-dip">&#8220;Drill Baby Drill&#8221; stance.</a>
&#8220;We actually think there will be marginal supply increases from the U.S. The risks to supply will eventually be marginal but in the beginning of the administration, we think, the moves that they will make will increase supply risks,&#8221; Dwivedi said, adding the risks arising particularly through attempts to limit Iranian oil exports. He noted that the Ships Act aims to eliminate entities facilitating Iranian crude sales, but this could inadvertently reduce global oil supply.
Addressing Trump&#8217;s ambitious energy policy, Dwivedi questioned the necessity of increasing U.S. oil production.
&#8220;The real challenge is: does the world need that much oil? And if the U.S. did grow 3 million barrels a day during the Trump Administration, that&#8217;s like 750,000 a day over four years,&#8221; he explained
&#8220;I think the right question to ask energy executives is are you okay with $40 oil because I think that&#8217;s what you would end up with and are you okay with trying to figure out how to maintain production and um you know still be able to do the dividends and the share buybacks that are now not as discretionary as they used to be.&#8221;
Furthermore, Dwivedi highlighted the geopolitical risks associated with a rapid U.S. withdrawal of support for Ukraine. He warned that if Ukraine feels cornered, it might target Russian oil infrastructure, which could further impact the global oil supply.
See Also:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/42153356/is-warren-buffett-preparing-for-a-market-downturn-with-berkshire-hathaways-325b-cash-pile-analyst-says-internet-bubble-and-2008-crash-may-have-lessons?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Is Warren Buffett Preparing For A Market Downturn With Berkshire Hathaway&#8217;s $325B Cash Pile? Analyst Says</a>
Why It Matters: Trump&#8217;s energy strategy, which includes faster permitting and weaker environmental regulations, aims to cut American energy costs significantly. However, experts have warned that these<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/40703958/trumps-drill-baby-drill-pledge-may-not-deliver-promised-energy-price-cuts-experts-warn"> promises may not materialize</a> due to the complexities of global and regional energy markets. Many oil drillers remain cautious about increasing production, opting instead to return cash to shareholders. This hesitancy is compounded by factors like weather patterns and global conflicts, which are not easily influenced by policy changes.
Meanwhile, Elon Musk, who has been announced to head the new Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), continues to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/42130859/as-trump-backs-drill-baby-drill-his-doge-co-lead-elon-musk-believes-all-energy-generation-will-be-solar-heres-what-ubs-recommends-after-election-dip">advocate for solar power</a> as the future of energy generation, presenting a different vision from Trump&#8217;s fossil fuel-focused approach. Analysts also see an opportunity for investment in renewables, highlighting the sector&#8217;s potential for growth even amid political shifts.
Price Action: As per <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>, oil ETFs have seen slight gains in the past one month surrounding the presidential elections. As of Monday, ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>) increased 3.51%, SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) increased by 10.78%, while MicroSectorsTM Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production 3X Leveraged ETNs (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OILU#NYSE">OILU</a>) increased by 20.99%.
Read Next:&nbsp;
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/24/11/42152947/satellite-images-reveal-north-korea-reportedly-receiving-illicit-oil-from-russia?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Satellite Images Reveal North Korea Reportedly Receiving Illicit Oil from Russia</a></li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock

General

Amid Trump's 'Drill Baby, Drill' Pledge, Strategist Predicts US Oil Supply Will See 'Marginal' Increase: 'Does The World Need That Much Oil?'

This year&#8217;s <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/esg/24/05/39012013/noaa-meteorologists-predict-aggressive-hurricane-season-what-it-means-for-home-depot-generac-other-s">hurricane season </a>is a deadly one for the eastern and Gulf Coast of the U.S. Several companies and ETFs could be affected by another tropical storm nearing the Gulf Coast.
The Storm: Tropical Storm Rafael, the 17th named storm of the 2024 season, formed in the Caribbean, <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/weather/hurricanes/tropical-storm-rafael-forms-expected-hurricane-rcna178632">according</a> to NBC.
The storm passed by Jamaica on Tuesday. It is expected to strengthen into a hurricane on Tuesday near the Cayman Islands and pass over Western Cuba. From there, it will likely weaken into a tropical storm before making landfall near New Orleans. The path may change drastically before impacting the U.S.
The heaviest rain of up to 10 inches is expected in Jamaica.
Market Impacts: With a projected path in the Gulf of Mexico, Rafael could disrupt offshore oil and gas production, which could impact companies operating there.
Potentially affected stocks include major energy companies like Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>), Chevron Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>), and Occidental Petroleum Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OXY#NYSE">OXY</a>), and ETFs like SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) and Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>).
Storms in the Gulf of Mexico can also disrupt refining operations, which could impact refiners such as Marathon Petroleum Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MPC#NYSE">MPC</a>), Phillips 66 (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PSX#NYSE">PSX</a>) and Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VLO#NYSE">VLO</a>).
Construction companies like Vulcan Materials Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VMC#NYSE">VMC</a>) and Martin Marietta Materials Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MLM#NYSE">MLM</a>) might benefit from increased demand for repairs and rebuilding.
Recent extreme weather activity is linked to climate change. Hurricanes, which will become even more frequent over time, may encourage homeowners to purchase home generators. Generac Holdings Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GNRC#NYSE">GNRC</a>) is the largest producer of home generators in the U.S.
Also Read:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41746843/bond-market-fear-gauge-soars-to-1-year-high-ahead-of-us-election-results-bond-vigil">Bond Market Fear Gauge Soars To 1-Year High Ahead Of US Election Results: &#8216;Bond Vigilantes Have Been Voting Early&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Tropical Storm Rafael, 11.5.2024. Courtesy NOAA/Public Domain

Equities

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GNRC

Tropical Storm Rafael Could Make US Landfall: 11 Stocks, ETFs To Watch

Oil prices kicked off the week with a notable rally, driven by OPEC+'s decision to postpone an anticipated production increase ahead of the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/2024-election">imminent U.S. presidential elections. </a>
The oil cartel and its allies, including Russia, opted to delay plans to ramp up output by another month, citing ongoing market weakness and sluggish demand.
On Monday, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude — as closely tracked by the United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) — surged as much as 3% to hit $71.50 per barrel, its highest since Oct. 25, while Brent crude rose 2.7% to reach $75 per barrel.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/11/41709016/us-stocks-likely-to-open-in-green-amid-hints-of-tentativeness-on-election-eve-expert-says-brace-for">US Stocks Likely To Open In Green Amid Hints Of Tentativeness On Election Eve: Expert Says Brace For Volatility Ahead Of Fed&#8217;s Rate Decision</a>
These gains effectively erased last week&#8217;s losses, which followed Israel's limited response to Iran — a development that experts said reduced the risk of a broader conflict in the Middle East, providing temporary relief for oil markets.
OPEC+ announced on Sunday that it would maintain its production cut of 2.2 million barrels per day (bpd) through December. 
Originally, the group had planned to increase output by 180,000 bpd in December, but it conditioned this hike on favorable price conditions. 
The next formal meeting of OPEC+ ministers is scheduled for December 1, although the group has the flexibility to convene extraordinary meetings or alter its policies at any time.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">US Sanctions Policy Could Shape Future Of Oil</h3>
The outcome of the upcoming U.S. presidential election could be crucial for the oil market, particularly with regard to sanctions policies that affect OPEC+ producers like Russia, Iran, and Venezuela. 
&#8220;After plummeting during the first Trump administration, production in Iran and Venezuela has recovered under President Joe Biden, with the focus of sanctions moving to Russia,&#8221; wrote S&amp;P Global. 
Combined, Iran and Venezuela pumped 4.15 million bpd in September, up from 3.2 million bpd in February 2022, according to Platts' OPEC+ Survey by Commodity Insights, as both countries are exempt from quotas under the OPEC+ agreement, allowing them to pump as much as they can. 
Sanctions policy is expected to remain a key factor influencing the global oil supply, particularly amid ongoing geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East.
The Biden-Harris administration has imposed extensive sanctions on Russia, aiming to weaken its military capabilities and hinder its economic resources that support the ongoing war in Ukraine. These sanctions, coordinated with allies like the G7 and EU, target key areas, including Russia&#8217;s defense sector, critical supply chains, and financial networks.
However, Jim Burkhard, vice president of research at S&amp;P Global Commodity Insights, suggested that a second Donald Trump administration might be more inclined to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41303548/kremlin-critic-warns-russia-could-grow-stronger-if-trump-wins-white-house-will-basically-be-handing">loosen sanctions on Russia</a>. 
Both parties are likely to maintain pressure on Iran given its ongoing conflict with Israel.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">US Energy ETFs To Watch Amid Rising Oil Prices</h3>
The surge in oil prices could buoy U.S. energy stocks, particularly those tied to exploration, production, and refining. Here are five key U.S. energy ETFs that may see gains as crude prices continue their upward trend:
<ul>
<li>Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>), which had already risen by 1% during premarket trading in New York on Monday</li>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Explor. &amp; Product ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>)</li>
<li>Invesco Oil &amp; Gas Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PXJ#NYSE">PXJ</a>)</li>
<li>VanEck Oil Refiners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRAK#NYSE">CRAK</a>)</li>
<li>EA Series Trust Strive U.S. Energy ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DRLL#NYSE">DRLL</a>)</li>
</ul>
Now Read:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/11/41709016/us-stocks-likely-to-open-in-green-amid-hints-of-tentativeness-on-election-eve-expert-says-brace-for">US Stocks Likely To Open In Green Amid Hints Of Tentativeness On Election Eve: Expert Says Brace For Volatility Ahead Of Fed&#8217;s Rate Decision</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

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PowerShares Exchange-Traded Fund Trust Dynamic Oil Services Portfolio

Oil Prices Spike By Over 3% As OPEC+ Delays Production Increases Ahead Of US Elections: 5 Energy ETFs To Watch Monday

Crude oil prices plummeted over 6% on Monday, approaching levels not seen since early October, as investors processed news of targeted <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41567809/oil-etfs-plunge-premarket-after-israels-strikes-on-iran">Israeli airstrikes in Iran</a>.
U.S. energy stocks followed suit during premarket trading in New York, with sector ETFs posting sharp losses at the start of the week. 
Contracts on West Texas Intermediate (WTI) light crude, as tracked by the United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>), fell over 6% to around $67 per barrel on Monday morning, marking what could be the worst one-day drop since July 2022.
The sell-off followed Israeli airstrikes over the weekend that targeted military facilities in Iran but spared the country's oil infrastructure.
According to the Israel Defense Forces, the strikes were "targeted and precise," focusing on Iranian missile production and air defense installations. 
This measured response likely averted a deeper crisis in the oil market, as analysts warned that a broader assault on Iran's energy sector could have risked up to 1.7 million barrels per day (bpd) of Iranian crude exports and led to further regional destabilization. 
U.S. President Joe Biden had cautioned Israel against actions that would directly impact Iran's oil output, warning that such moves could prompt Tehran to retaliate by targeting oil shipping routes in the Middle East.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="503" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/28085347/image-274-1024x503.png" alt="" class="wp-image-617043" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/28085347/image-274-1024x503.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/28085347/image-274-300x147.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/28085347/image-274-768x377.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/28085347/image-274-1536x754.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/28085347/image-274.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Analysts Expect Oil Prices To Remain Under Pressure</h3>
Goldman Sachs analysts had previously estimated that a sustained 1 million bpd disruption to Iranian oil supply could have pushed Brent prices up by $10–$20 per barrel. 
With no immediate threat to Iran's oil exports, the bank's forecast for Brent reaching the mid-$80s by late 2025 now appears overly optimistic compared to the consensus view.
The restrained nature of Israel's actions has led some analysts to predict that oil prices will remain subdued, especially in light of broader market dynamics. 
Warren Patterson, head of commodity strategy at ING Group, highlighted that Israel's focused response leaves "the door open for de-escalation," which seems to be reflected in Monday&#8217;s price action.
"If we do see some de-escalation, it would allow fundamentals to dictate price direction once again," Patterson explained, adding that a projected market surplus in 2025 &#8220;would mean that oil prices are&nbsp;likely to remain under pressure.&#8221;
Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, indicated that crude prices have now retraced most of the gains made in early October, which were fueled by Chinese economic stimulus and concerns over potential disruptions to Iran's supply. Hansen pointed out that "sluggish demand" and the impending reintroduction of OPEC+ barrels could further weigh on oil prices.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">China's Declining Demand, OPEC+ Production Decisions Add To Bearish Sentiment</h3>
On the demand side, Chinese consumption—accounting for roughly 15% of global oil demand—has been trending downward since May 2024
According to Pascal Devaux, an economist at BNP Paribas, this decline is tied not only to China's economic slowdown but also to structural changes within its energy sector. "Around 45% of new car registrations in China are for electric vehicles, either battery-powered or hybrid," Devaux said, underscoring the impact of the country's low-carbon transition on oil demand.
Capital Economics forecasts that if OPEC+ follows through on its plan to unwind voluntary production cuts initiated in October, an increase in oil supply combined with weak demand growth could drive prices lower throughout the remainder of 2024 and into 2025.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">US Energy Stocks See Sharp Losses</h3>
Sector ETFs posted notable declines in early trading:
<ul>
<li>The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>), which tracks large-cap U.S. energy companies, was down 2.3% at the start of Monday's session. APA Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APA#NASDAQ">APA</a>), Diamondback Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FANG#NASDAQ">FANG</a>), and Marathon Oil Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRO#NYSE">MRO</a>) all registered losses between 3% and 4%.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>), a broader measure of exploration and production stocks, slid 2.8%. Kosmos Energy Ltd (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KOS#NYSE">KOS</a>) and Vital Energy Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VTLE#NYSE">VTLE</a>) are both down 4%.</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li>VanEck Oil Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>) dropped 1.7%. Companies like ProPetro Holding Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PUMP#NYSE">PUMP</a>), Liberty Energy Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LBRT#NYSE">LBRT</a>), and Noble Corporation plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NE#NYSE">NE</a>) were hit particularly hard, each falling by about 4%.</li>
</ul>
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41571526/exxon-shell-warren-buffett-backed-occidental-petroleum-and-other-oil-stocks-tumble-in-premarket-afte">Exxon, Shell, Warren Buffett-Backed Occidental Petroleum And Other Oil Stocks Tumble In Premarket After Israel&#8217;s Strikes On Iran</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Analyst Color

Asia

Emerging Markets

Specialty ETFs

FANG

LBRT

PUMP

VTLE

Crude Oil Faces Steepest One-Day Drop In Over Two Years, Energy Stocks Plunge: Prices 'Are Likely To Remain Under Pressure,' Analyst Says

Oil-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs) experienced a significant decline, dropping over 4%, following Israel&#8217;s recent military strikes on Iran. The strikes, which occurred over the weekend, were reported as &#8220;limited&#8221; by local media, leading analysts to downplay the potential impact on oil supplies.
What Happened: Israel&#8217;s military targeted Iranian sites in three provinces on Saturday in response to a ballistic missile attack by Tehran on October 1. According to the Iranian news agency Tasnim, the strikes resulted in the deaths of four soldiers and caused &#8220;limited damages,&#8221; sparing oil, nuclear, and civilian infrastructure. Post the strikes, oil prices saw a sharp decline of more than 4% on Monday, CNBC <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/28/oil-slides-over-4percent-as-israels-attack-on-iran-unlikely-to-disrupt-supplies.html">reported</a> on Monday. I
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/10/41538660/tesla-nvidia-led-market-rally-now-pressures-investment-funds-to-offload-shares-to-avoid-us-tax-l?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Tesla, Nvidia-Led Market Rally Now Pressures Investment Funds To Offload Shares To Avoid US Tax Lawsuits</a>
Following the attacks, several oil ETFs recorded notable losses.
During pre-market hours on Monday, ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>) fell by 8.41%, United States Oil Fund LP (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) dropped 4.69%, SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) decreased by 1.81%, and MicroSectorsTM Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production 3X Leveraged ETNs (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OILU#NYSE">OILU</a>) saw a 4.54% drop, according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>.
Despite the tensions, Iran&#8217;s oil industry remains unaffected, with operations continuing as usual. Iran is responsible for up to 4% of the global oil supply, as per the U.S. Energy Information Administration. The attack comes after an Iran-backed Hamas assault on Israel on Oct. 7 last year.
Why It Matters: The recent strikes add to the ongoing geopolitical tensions that have kept energy markets on edge. Earlier this month, oil prices had already dipped by 2% after OPEC reduced its<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41320277/oil-prices-drop-2-as-opec-cuts-forecast-irans-output-rises-analyst-says-netanyahu-m"> global oil demand growth forecast</a> for the third consecutive month. This was due to actual consumption data and slightly lowered demand expectations.
Experts had warned that an Israeli attack on Iranian oil facilities could significantly disrupt global oil prices. John Driscoll, chief strategist at JTD Energy Services, highlighted the potential for <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41309234/israels-attack-on-iran-would-rattle-the-nerves-of-oil-market-says-expert">such actions to unsettle the market</a>, drawing parallels to past incidents like the 2019 drone attacks on Saudi oil fields.
Although Iran&#8217;s oil production is lower due to sanctions, any disruption could still lead to a price increase.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41561645/trumps-rising-election-odds-sends-emerging-markets-into-tailspin-causes-biggest-stock-drop-in-10-mon?itm_source=parsely-api" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Trump&#8217;s Rising Election Odds Sends Emerging Markets Into Tailspin, Causes Biggest Stock Drop In 10 Months</a></li>
</ul>
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Neuro</a>&nbsp;and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo by William Potter on Shutterstock

Pre-Market Outlook

Oil ETFs Plunge Premarket After Israel's Strikes On Iran

Oil prices took a sharp dive on Tuesday, tumbling over 5% in morning trading in New York, as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East slightly eased after Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reportedly pledged that Iran's crude oil infrastructure would be spared from <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41321699/oil-prices-drop-after-netanyahu-says-israel-will-attack-military-not-oil-or-nuclear-targets-in-iran">any potential retaliatory strikes. </a>
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude, the U.S. benchmark, tracked by the United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>), nosedived to $70 per barrel, down more than 5% as of 10 a.m. ET. This marks the steepest one-day decline in over a year.
The selloff followed a Monday report from The Washington Post that said that Netanyahu assured the Biden administration that Israel would avoid targeting Iranian oil and nuclear facilities in any retaliatory military actions.
The assurance suggested a narrower scope of potential conflict, reducing fears of widespread supply shocks in the global oil market.
Market analysts had previously warned that an Israeli strike on Iran&#8217;s oil infrastructure could send crude prices skyrocketing by $20 per barrel, highlighting concerns that Tehran would retaliate by attacking oil installations throughout the Gulf region, potentially triggering a broader energy crisis.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Crude Suffers Worst Drop In Over 1 Year As Middle East Supply Fears Recede</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="469" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/15102337/image-118-1024x469.png" alt="" class="wp-image-596308" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/15102337/image-118-1024x469.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/15102337/image-118-300x137.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/15102337/image-118-768x351.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/15102337/image-118-1536x703.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/15102337/image-118.png 1884w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Image: <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent101524&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a></figcaption></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Energy Sector Tanks: US Oil Giants Lead Declines</h3>
The immediate reaction in the markets was swift: U.S. energy stocks plunged, while airlines and cruise lines — typically sensitive to fuel prices — enjoyed a sharp relief rally.
The energy sector was one of the biggest losers on the day. The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>), which tracks major U.S. energy companies, slid 2.8%, setting up for its worst day since late April. 
АРА Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APA#NASDAQ">APA</a>), Diamondback Energy, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FANG#NASDAQ">FANG</a>) and Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VLO#NYSE">VLO</a>) were the worst performers within the XLE ETF, with declines of about 4%.
Companies involved in upstream exploration and production were hit even harder, with the SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) falling 3.1%. Talos Energy Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TALO#NYSE">TALO</a>), Kosmos Energy Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KOS#NYSE">KOS</a>) and Crescent Energy Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRGY#NYSE">CRGY</a>) each tumbled by over 4%. 
Downstream oil service providers also struggled, with the VanEck Oil Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>) dropping 3.6%. Major oilfield services companies like Schlumberger N.V. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLB#NYSE">SLB</a>) and Halliburton Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HAL#NYSE">HAL</a>) both fell about 3%, while Transocean Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RIG#NYSE">RIG</a>) underperformed, down 5%. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Airlines And Cruise Lines Rally: Lower Fuel Costs, Strong Earnings Expectations Lift Sentiment</h3>
While energy stocks suffered, sectors reliant on cheaper fuel prices thrived. Airlines and cruise lines, in particular, were among the best performers within the S&amp;P 500 as the prospect of lower oil prices offered some relief.
Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) surged 4.3%, while Carnival Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CCL#NYSE">CCL</a>) jumped 5.3%. 
Goldman Sachs recently raised its price target on Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RCL#NYSE">RCL</a>) from $195 to $220, anticipating strong earnings momentum. Similarly, NCLH saw its price target lifted from $22 to $24.
In the airline space, American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAL#NASDAQ">AAL</a>) rallied 3.5%, United Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>) gained 1.2%, reaching its highest level since February 2020, and Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LUV#NYSE">LUV</a>) rose 1.3%.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41331839/financial-sector-hits-record-highs-as-goldman-sachs-bank-of-america-citi-beat-q3-ea">Financial Sector Hits Record Highs As Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Citi Beat Q3 Earnings Expectations</a></li>
</ul>
Photo via Shutterstock.

Large Cap

Mid Cap

Movers

CRGY

NCLH

TALO

Oil Prices Take Largest Plunge In Over A Year As Israel Vows To Spare Iranian Facilities: Energy Stocks Sink, Airlines, Cruise Lines Rally

Oil is trading more than 5% higher Thursday on the heels of President Joe Biden&#8216;s statement that the U.S. spoke with Israel about a possible attack on Iran's oil facilities.
"We're in discussions about that,&#8221; Biden said during an interaction with reporters. 
Biden seemingly indicated he wasn&#8217;t partial to the idea of striking at Iran&#8217;s oil facilities, before cutting himself off: &#8220;I think that would be a little&#8230; anyway.&#8221; See video below.
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-video is-provider-youtube wp-block-embed-youtube wp-embed-aspect-16-9 wp-has-aspect-ratio"> 
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<iframe loading="lazy" title="Biden: Discussing Israeli strikes on Iran oil facilities &#x7C; AJ #shorts" width="500" height="281" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/InF5MnsXAt0?feature=oembed" frameborder="0" allow="accelerometer; autoplay; clipboard-write; encrypted-media; gyroscope; picture-in-picture; web-share" referrerpolicy="strict-origin-when-cross-origin" allowfullscreen></iframe>
</div>
</figure>
When one reporter asked whether Biden would &#8220;allow&#8221; Israel to retaliate against Iran, Biden swiftly corrected him: &#8220;First of all, we don&#8217;t &#8216;allow&#8217; Israel. We advise Israel.&#8221;
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/23/10/35136071/israel-under-siege-unprecedented-hamas-attack-sparks-intense-clashes-netanyahu-says-we-are-at-war">Since Oct. 7, 2023</a>, Israel has been fighting Hamas in Gaza as well as Hezbollah in Lebanon. Both groups are considered terrorist organizations by the U.S. 
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41134015/jd-vance-tim-walz-debate-sets-a-different-tone-candidates-discuss-israel-iran-escalation-immigration">JD Vance, Tim Walz Debate Sets A Different Tone, Candidates Discuss Israel-Iran Escalation</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Oil And The Israel-Iran Conflict</h3>
Iran is the seventh-largest oil producer in the world. The country, which backs the Hezbollah militant group, exports around half its production abroad. 
China, where <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/24/08/40596334/asia-markets-mixed-europe-gains-crude-oil-falls-on-chinese-demand-concerns-global-markets-today-whil">oil demand is weak</a>, is its main customer.
Since Iran's <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/10/41126038/iran-attacks-israel-with-missiles-middle-east-tensions-escalates-s-p-500-stocks-bitcoin-fall-as-oil">missile attack on Israel</a> on Monday, the price of barrels has fluctuated. As of Oct. 3, the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil is $73.83 per barrel. This reflects a 5.32% increase from the previous day&#8217;s close of $70.10.
The price of Brent crude is approximately $77.76 per barrel. It has fluctuated within a range of $74.33 to $77.58 for the day.
The U.S., which is producing more oil under Biden than any other U.S. presidential administration, has been filling its reserves. The Biden administration acquired an additional <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/eurozone/24/10/41146905/geopolitical-risks-may-be-biggest-threat-to-markets-boe-says">6 million barrels of crude</a> just this week.
It&#8217;s worth noting that ongoing violence in the Middle East puts the Straits of Hormuz at risk. A third of tanker traffic and a fifth of LNG frozen gas is transported through that passageway. 
The U.S. and its allies are likely determined to keep the Strait open due to its strategic importance. Any attempt to block the Strait could provoke military intervention.
Iran controls much of the northern coastline of the Strait and has previously threatened to block the passage in response to sanctions or conflicts with Western countries. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reaction</h3>
So far, market reaction to the Middle East conflict is relatively mute compared to February 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine.
At the time, the oil market reacted with significant volatility and disruption, leading to a sharp rise in global prices. 
Brent crude, the global benchmark, surged above $100 per barrel for the first time since 2014, and by March 2022, it had briefly spiked to $139 per barrel, near the all-time high.
Oil-related exchange-traded funds, or ETFs, were trending up at last check Thursday afternoon. Here&#8217;s where they stand: 
<ul>
<li>United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>) is up 4.05% to $75.71</li>
<li>Invesco DB Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DBO#NYSE">DBO</a>) is up 4.08% at $15.06</li>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) is up 3.1% at $139.56</li>
<li>Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) up 1.65% at $92.22</li>
<li>ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UCO#NYSE">UCO</a>) is up 6.59% at $28.81</li>
<li>VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>) is up 1.89% at $297.58</li>
</ul>
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Image: Shutterstock

Government

Regulations

Oil Prices Rally: Biden Confirms US 'Discussions' With Israel About Striking Iran Facilities

The Federal Reserve is set to sprinkle some interest rate fairy dust, and small-cap sectors are lining up to see who'll soar or stumble. While the Russell 2000 is stealing the spotlight with its 5% surge ahead of the rate cut, not all small caps will feel the same love from <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/small-cap-analysis">lower borrowing costs</a>. 
So, what sectors should investors be eyeing, and where do the best ETFs come into play?
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Financials: Money Talks, But Who's Listening?</h2>
Small-cap financials, often living and breathing on rate-sensitive margins, are gearing up for a potential win. 
As borrowing costs fall, these lenders, insurers, and regional banks get a shot in the arm. For those looking to ride the wave, the iShares Russell 2000 Financials ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWFN#NYSE">IWFN</a>) offers concentrated exposure to this potentially booming sector.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Real Estate: Open House For Gains?</h2>
Real estate stocks also stand to benefit as mortgage rates and financing costs drop. With rate cuts loosening the borrowing purse strings, real estate could experience a boost in demand and valuation. 
Investors eyeing the space might find the Vanguard Real Estate ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VNQ#NYSE">VNQ</a>) or iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IYR#NYSE">IYR</a>) perfect for capturing the sector's expected rise.
Don&#8217;t miss out on this unparalleled opportunity:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/events/small-cap/global-small-cap-conference-2024/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Register now to secure your spot at Benzinga&#8217;s Largest SmallCap Conference ever in Chicago!</a></li>
</ul>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Consumer Discretionary: Retail Therapy Ahead?</h2>
Lower interest rates also often mean more cash for consumers to splurge on non-essentials, giving a lift to small-cap retail, travel, and leisure names.
The SPDR S&amp;P 600 Small Cap Consumer Discretionary ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PSCD#NYSE">PSCD</a>) is one way to jump on this sector's shopping spree.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Energy: A Wildcard In The Small-Cap Mix</h2>
Energy stocks are notorious for being tied to oil prices, but lower rates can still offer some breathing room for these debt-heavy companies. 
For those ready to hedge their bets, the SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) could be the small-cap energy ETF to watch.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/09/40749609/this-small-cap-top-pick-is-positioned-for-strong-gains-jpmorgan-sees-over-50-upside">This Small Cap &#8216;Top Pick&#8217; Is Positioned For Strong Gains, JPMorgan Sees Over 50% Upside</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Technology, Healthcare: Resilient But&#8230; Rate-Resistant?</h2>
While technology and healthcare sectors aren't as rate-sensitive as financials or real estate, they remain staples in small-cap ETFs like the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) and Vanguard Small-Cap ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VB#NYSE">VB</a>). 
Both funds are solid all-around plays for investors who want diversified exposure to the small-cap space, especially as uncertainty lingers.
As the Fed moves its rate-cutting wand, small-cap sectors will each feel the ripples differently. 
Whether you're banking on financials, betting on real estate, or shopping for consumer discretionary, there's a sector—and ETF—for every investor's playbook.
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/24/09/40777734/exclusive-small-caps-at-most-attractive-relative-valuations-since-1990s-says-russell-inv" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">EXCLUSIVE: Small Caps At &#8216;Most Attractive Relative Valuations&#8217; Since 1990s, Says Russell Investments&#8217; Paul Eitelman</a></li>
</ul>
Don&#8217;t miss the opportunity to dominate in a volatile market at the&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/events/small-cap/global-small-cap-conference-2024/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga SmallCAP Conference on Oct. 9-10, 2024</a>,&nbsp;at the Chicago Marriott Downtown Magnificent Mile.
Get exclusive access to CEO presentations, 1:1 meetings with investors, and valuable insights from top financial experts. Whether you&#8217;re a trader, entrepreneur, or investor, this event offers unparalleled opportunities to grow your portfolio and network with industry leaders.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/events/small-cap/global-small-cap-conference-2024/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Secure your spot and get your tickets today!</a>
Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

Broad U.S. Equity ETFs

Small Cap Analysis

Small Cap

Trading Ideas

IWFN

iShares Trust Dow Jones US Real Estate Fund Index

PSCD

Small-Cap Sectors Brace For Fed Rate Cut: Financials, Real Estate ETFs Offer Compelling Plays For Investors

After falling to the lowest level since December 2021, on Tuesday, oil recorded its first weekly gain in a month, buoyed by Hurricane Francine, which disrupted production in the Gulf of Mexico. Brent crude rose above $72 per barrel, pushing its weekly climb to about 2%, while West Texas Intermediate traded below $70 per barrel.
However, higher oil prices failed to fuel the rally in the energy space with many ETFs still in red. The popular ETFs &mdash; Energy Select Sector SPDR (ARCA:XLE), Vanguard Energy ETF (ARCA:VDE), SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (ARCA:XOP), Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF (ARCA:FENY) and VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF (ARCA:OIH) &mdash; were down more than 2% each. All these ETFs have a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or #2 (Buy).
The storm had prompted a production shutdown of around 730,000 barrels a day (bpd) in the Gulf of Mexico (about 42% of Gulf production), according to the US Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement. The US Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement stated that about 24% of crude production and 26% of natural gas output in the US Gulf of Mexico were offline due to the storm.
<h3>Energy ETFs in Focus</h3>
Energy Select Sector SPDR: It is the largest and the most popular ETF in the energy space, with an AUM of $34.1 billion. It offers exposure to the broad energy space and follows the Energy Select Sector Index. Energy Select Sector SPDR holds 22 securities in its basket and charges 9 bps in annual fees.
Vanguard Energy ETF: It provides exposure to a basket of 113 energy stocks by tracking the MSCI US Investable Market Energy 25/50 Index. Vanguard Energy ETF has amassed $7.6 billion in its asset base and charges 10 bps in annual fees.
SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF: It provides exposure to 53 oil and gas exploration and production companies by tracking the S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production Select Industry Index. It has an AUM of $2.6 billion and charges 35 bps in fees per year.
Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF: It follows the MSCI USA IMI Energy Index, holding 112 stocks in its basket. FENY charges 8 bps in annual fees and has accumulated $1.5 billion in its asset base.
VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF: It tracks the MVIS U.S. Listed Oil Services 25 Index, which offers exposure to companies involved in oil services to the upstream oil sector, including oil equipment, oil services or oil drilling. VanEck Vectors Oil Services ETF holds 26 stocks in its basket. With an AUM of $1.5 billion, it charges 35 bps in annual fees.
<h2>Concerns</h2>
<h2>Weak Demand/Supply Trends</h2>
Despite the positive momentum, oil prices are still trading close to three-year lows amid persistent concerns over slowing demand.
International Energy Agency (IEA) lowered the oil demand outlook by 70,000 bpd to 900,000 bpd for this year, citing weak China demand and feeble growth in other regions. The Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) also slashed the 2024 oil demand growth forecast for the second time. It expects world oil demand to rise by 2.03 million bpd in 2024, down from last month&#39;s forecast of growth of 2.11 million bpd.
Last week, OPEC and its allies extended the oil production cuts of 2.2 million bpd through November and planned to phase out those beginning in December until November 2025. However, it will increase production in 2025 for the first time since 2022. The first addition to supply, of 180,000 bpd, is now expected in December. Additionally, growing output from the United States, Guyana, Brazil and Canada will continue to take a toll on oil prices.
<h2>Geopolitical Tensions</h2>
Geopolitical risks in the Middle East will continue to provide some support to oil prices. The ongoing conflict in Gaza and the potential for a broader regional escalation, involving Iran, Hamas and Hezbollah are contributing to market uncertainty.
<h2>Analysts Go Bearish</h2>
Analysts in a Reuters poll reduced their oil price forecasts for 2024 for the fourth consecutive month. The poll shows Brent prices to average $82.86 per barrel this year, down from $83.66 a barrel expected in the July forecast. West Texas Intermediate is projected to average $78.82 per barrel in 2024, down from $79.22 a barrel expected in last month&#39;s poll.
Analysts believe the bullish drivers of the ongoing OPEC+ cuts and geopolitical flare-ups in the Middle East will be offset by the bearish demand trends and oil imports in China and Europe.
<h2>Will the Fed Provide Some Respite?</h2>
The Fed is expected to cut interest rates at its meeting scheduled to take place on Sept 17 and 18. Lower interest rates tend to lower the expenses of purchasing goods and services, potentially stimulating economic expansion and driving oil demand.
<a href="https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2335964/rise-in-oil-price-fails-to-lift-energy-etfs-what-s-ahead?cid=CS-BENZ-FT-etf_news_and_commentary-2335964">To read this article on Zacks.com click here.</a>

Analyst Ratings

FENY

Rise in Oil Price Fails to Lift Energy ETFs: What's Ahead?

Oil futures surged significantly on Monday morning, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) light crude rising 3% to over $77 per barrel as of 9:00 a.m. ET, amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities"> fresh supply disruptions in Libya.</a>
This marks the third consecutive day of oil price gains after hitting their lowest levels since January on Wednesday, Aug. 21. With Monday&#8217;s increase, WTI has climbed more than 7% over the past three sessions, setting the stage for the strongest three-day rally since late March 2023.
What Happened: On Saturday, Aug. 24, the Iran-backed Lebanese militant group Hezbollah launched a large-scale assault against Israel, using rockets and drones in retaliation for the killing of senior Hezbollah commander Fuad Shukr by Israeli forces. The attack involved hundreds of rockets and at least 20 drones targeting various locations in northern Israel.
In response, Israel carried out airstrikes on multiple Hezbollah positions in southern Lebanon, hitting at least 17 sites in an effort to thwart further large-scale attacks. Israeli officials described these strikes as preemptive measures aimed at neutralizing Hezbollah&#8217;s capabilities.
The situation remained volatile on Sunday, with ongoing exchanges of fire, fueling concerns about a broader regional conflict. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned that the strikes against Hezbollah are not &#8220;the end of the story.&#8221;
In Libya, the political and security environment has deteriorated sharply. The eastern government, a rival to the Tripoli-based administration, announced a halt to oil production and exports following a dispute over the leadership of the Central Bank, exacerbating the global supply concerns.
According to Reuters, Waha Oil Company, a subsidiary of the National Oil Corp and operator of a joint venture with ConocoPhillips (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COP#NYSE">COP</a>), announced plans to cut crude production and warned that output could come to a complete stop due to protests and pressures.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/08/40548945/temu-parent-pdd-posts-86-q2-topline-growth-stock-drops-after-ceo-flags-upcoming-challenges">Temu Parent PDD Posts 86% Q2 Topline Growth, Stock Drops After CEO Flags Upcoming Challenges</a>
Why It Matters: The recent rebound in equity markets after the early August selloff was largely driven by fading fears of a U.S. recession. 
Investors also responded positively to central bankers&#8217; signals of potential interest rate cuts, as confidence grew that inflation is moving closer to the 2% target. 
However, the sudden spike in crude oil prices, driven by supply concerns, could dampen the positive investor sentiment toward risk asset and curb further disinflationary gains in the economy. 
Market Reactions: Energy-related companies saw gains in Monday&#8217;s premarket trading. 
The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) rose over 1%. Companies in the oil services sector also benefited, with the VanEck Oil Services ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OIH#NYSE">OIH</a>) up 1.8%. Firms in the upstream market, tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration and Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>), were 1.3% higher.
Top premarket movers included: 
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Name</td>
<td>Chg %</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Sitio Royalties Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STR#NYSE">STR</a>)</td>
<td>3.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Talos Energy Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TALO#NYSE">TALO</a>)</td>
<td>2.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Transocean Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RIG#NYSE">RIG</a>)</td>
<td>2.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Petroleo Brasileiro SA (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PBR#NYSE">PBR</a>)</td>
<td>2.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HLX#NYSE">HLX</a>)</td>
<td>2.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Murphy Oil Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MUR#NYSE">MUR</a>)</td>
<td>1.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Noble Corporation plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NE#NYSE">NE</a>)</td>
<td>1.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EOG Resources, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OEG#NYSE">OEG</a>)</td>
<td>1.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Marathon Oil Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRO#NYSE">MRO</a>)</td>
<td>1.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DVN#NYSE">DVN</a>)</td>
<td>1.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>ConocoPhillips </td>
<td>1.4%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/08/40535770/feds-powell-hints-at-policy-shifts-dollar-plunges-gold-rallies-as-investors-flock-to-rate-cut-wi">Fed&#8217;s Powell Hints At Policy Shifts, Dollar Plunges, Gold Rallies As Investors Flock To Rate-Cut Winners: This Week In The Markets</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Tech

GPRE

Oil Prices Rally As Middle East Tensions Rise, Libya Warns Of Potential Production Halt: 10 Energy Stocks On The Move Monday

Tesla, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) CEO Elon Musk, who is running a company that aims to move humanity toward a sustainable energy future and away from internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, batted for the oil and gas industry in an <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/08/40328821/trump-and-musk-interview-covers-everything-from-failed-assassination-attempt-to-kamala-harriss-no-ta">X interview with Republican presidential candidate</a> Donald Trump late Monday.
What Happened: Toward the end of a long-winding interview with Trump on X, a social-media platform Musk owns, the billionaire said, &#8220;I don't think we should vilify the oil and gas industry and the people that have worked very hard in those industries to provide the necessary energy to support the economy.&#8221; 
He described his views toward the industry as &#8220;pretty moderate.&#8221;
The billionaire suggested there is leeway for the oil and gas industry to co-exist with new-energy ventures as the planet Earth slowly and steadily transitions to sustainable energy. He said the planet can transition to a sustainable energy economy in 50 or 100 years despite the scientific community&#8217;s warning that humanity has reached a tipping point as far as climate is concerned. Trump, meanwhile, said he sees a 500-1000-year timeframe to move toward that.
&#8220;So it's not like the house is on fire immediately,&#8221; the Tesla CEO said, adding &#8220;It's probably better to move there faster than slower. But like without vilifying the oil and gas industry and without causing hardship in the short term."
Musk soon did a turncoat by stating that continued use of fossil fuel will make air harder to breathe, potentially causing headaches and nausea. That said, he said, &#8220;We still have quite a bit of time&#8230;We don't need to rush.&#8221;
Trump, for his part, pointed out that it was fossil fuel-powered energy generation that is powering Tesla vehicles. &#8220;Can't get away from it at this moment,&#8221; he said.
The presidential candidate flagged another threat that is more menacing than climate change. &#8220;People talk about global warming, or they talk about climate change, but they never talk about nuclear warming,&#8221; he said, flagging it as &#8220;an immediate problem.&#8221;
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/best-commodities-to-buy">Best Commodities To Buy</a>
Why It&#8217;s Important: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/08/40145805/elon-musk-says-his-endorsement-of-trump-doesnt-mean-he-agrees-with-everything-ex-president-is-saying">Musk endorsed Trump</a> immediately after an unsuccessful assassination attempt at the former president at a Pennsylvania rally. In early May, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/05/38751446/trump-reportedly-seeks-1b-in-campaign-funds-from-exxon-mobil-chevron-other-big-oil-execs-expert-call">Trump reportedly sought $1 billion</a> from oil executives, promising a quid-pro-quo of reversing dozens of President Joe Biden's environmental rules and policies and stopping new ones from being enacted.
After hinting at removing federal tax subsidy for electric vehicles on his first day in office, Trump has softened his stance toward them, especially after Musk threw his weight behind him. In a Michigan rally in late July, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/08/40154264/trump-says-electric-cars-are-fantastic-after-tesla-ceo-elon-musks-endorsement-i-have-to-be-you-know">he praised EVs</a>, stating that he finds them impressive. However, he noted that EVs might not be suitable for everyone, particularly those who need to drive long distances, likely referencing concerns about range and charging infrastructure.
In the past, Musk has echoed a similar sentiment as the one he expressed in the Trump interview. In an ONS conference held in Stavanger, Norway in late 2022, the billionaire clarified that <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/22/09/28748663/elon-musk-speaks-unexplored-areas-of-disruption-risk-taking-energy-sources-what-keeps-him-up-at-nigh">he is not someone who would &#8220;demonize&#8221; oil and gas </a>because, in his opinion, they are now required for civilization to function.
&#8220;I think we actually need more oil and gas, and not less, but simultaneously [should] move as fast as we can to a sustainable energy economy,&#8221; he said then.
Backers of the oil and gas industry often point to the risk of the U.S. losing its energy independence if we pivot away from fossil fuels abruptly. The argument could be credible given China&#8217;s dominance in alternative energy vehicles. The Energy Information Administration data said in an April report that the U.S. had produced more crude oil than any nation at any time, citing International Energy Statistics.
Stock Reaction: Energy stocks haven&#8217;t reacted much to the views expressed by Musk or Trump. Among the exchange-traded funds, in <a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/register174">premarket trading:</a>
<ul>
<li>United States Oil Fund, LP (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NASDAQ">USO</a>) rose 0.37% to $78.92&nbsp;even as the index futures traded solidly higher.</li>
<li>The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) was little changed at $89.85.</li>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) edged down 0.10% to $138.15.</li>
<li>Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) edged down 0.06% to $118.93.</li>
<li>Chevron Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>) gained 0.32% to $145.49.</li>
<li>ConocoPhillips (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COP#NYSE">COP</a>) edged up 0.23% to $110.28.</li>
</ul>
Read Next: 
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</ul>
Photos courtesy: Shutterstock

Media

TSLA

Tesla's Elon Musk Warns Against Vilifying Oil And Gas Industry In Trump Interview, Cautions Against Rushing With Sustainable Energy Transition: 'It's Not Like The House Is On Fire Immediately'

Oil is on course to secure its fourth <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/commodities">consecutive session of gains.</a>
What Happened: Oil prices climbed by more than 1% at the start of the week. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) light crude futures, tracked by the United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>), surpassed $77 per barrel by 8:00 a.m. EST.
This rise comes despite the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) cutting its global oil demand growth forecast. OPEC has revised its global oil demand growth estimate for 2024 to 1.78 million barrels per day (mb/d). That&#8217;s down from the previous projection of 1.85 mb/d. The oil cartel expects global oil demand in 2024 to average 104.32 mb/d.
For 2025, oil demand growth globally has also been lowered to 2.11 mb/d. That&#8217;s a reduction from the prior estimate of 2.25 mb/d.
&#8220;This slight revision reflects actual data received for the first quarter of 2024 and, in some cases, the second quarter, as well as reduced expectations for China&#8217;s oil demand growth in 2024,&#8221; OPEC stated in its latest monthly report.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/24/08/40309103/asia-and-europe-markets-mixed-crude-advances-and-gold-near-all-time-high-global-markets-today-while">Asia And Europe Markets Mixed; Crude Advances And Gold Near All-Time High &#8211; Global Markets Today While US Slept</a>
Why It Matters: The recent surge in oil prices is largely attributed to escalating supply risks, fueled by increasing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including a surprise <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/8/12/has-ukraines-incursion-into-russias-kursk-changed-dynamics-of-the-war">incursion</a> by Ukrainian forces into Russia.
On Monday, Russia began evacuating civilians from parts of a second region near Ukraine following a spike in military activity by Kyiv, as reported by Reuters. This comes just days after Ukraine&#8217;s most significant incursion into Russian territory since the war began in 2022. Last Tuesday, Ukrainian forces breached the Russian border and advanced through parts of the Kursk region, a move that could be aimed at gaining leverage in potential ceasefire talks post-U.S. elections in November.
Meanwhile, Ukraine and Russia exchanged accusations over an incident at the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant on Sunday. The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) reported witnessing thick smoke from the northwestern area of the plant after hearing multiple explosions throughout the evening. 
The IAEA confirmed that an alleged drone attack targeted one of the plant&#8217;s cooling towers but assured there was no impact on nuclear safety. &#8220;These reckless attacks endanger nuclear safety at the plant and increase the risk of a nuclear accident. They must stop now,&#8221; said IAEA director general Rafael Mariano Grossi.
Additionally, tensions in the Middle East continue to rise. 
On Saturday, an Israeli airstrike on a Gaza City school compound, which had been converted into a shelter. The Gaza Civil Emergency Service reported that approximately 100 people were killed in the strike, while Israel claimed that around 20 militants were operating within the compound.
The White House expressed deep concern over the incident, joining several Arab states, Turkey, Britain, and the European Union&#8217;s foreign policy chief in condemning the attack. 
In response to changing demand dynamics, Saudi Arabia is expected to reduce its crude oil exports to China next month. The Kingdom, the world&#8217;s largest crude oil exporter, is set to ship 43 million barrels to China in September. That&#8217;s down from an estimated 46 million barrels in August, according to trade sources quoted by Reuters.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Stock Market Reactions</h3>
<ul>
<li>The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) was up 0.5% by 8:00 a.m. in New York. </li>
<li>Top premarket performers: Halliburton Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HAL#NYSE">HAL</a>) and Baker Hughes Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BKR#NYSE">BKR</a>), both rising 1.4%.</li>
<li>The SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration and Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>), which tracks companies in the upstream segment, also saw a 0.6% increase.</li>
<li>Vitesse Energy Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VTS#NYSE">VTS</a>) is up more than 3%.</li>
</ul>
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/08/40310004/nasdaq-s-p-500-futures-climb-after-volatile-week-as-traders-eye-inflation-data-and-retail-earnings-">Nasdaq, S&amp;P 500 Futures Climb After Volatile Week As Traders Eye Inflation Data and Retail Earnings: Strategist Says Not CPI But This Data Can Give People Lot Of Conviction</a></li>
</ul>

Oil Prices Eye Fourth Straight Day Of Gains As Geopolitical Risks Overshadow OPEC's Cooler Demand Forecast

A 2024 election victory for ex-President Donald Trump could unleash a new wave of deregulation, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/real-estate/reit/24/02/36933312/the-2024-showdown-trumps-deregulation-vs-bidens-healthcare-expansion-what-it-means-for-investors">according to Goldman Sachs</a>.
This would help companies in industries subject to strict rules and regulatory oversight, the firm&#8217;s analysts, Ronnie Walker and Alec Phillips, explained in a research note. Those sectors include energy (oil and gas), utilities, financials, healthcare, industrials, materials, and telecom. Conversely, consumer discretionary, consumer staples, technology, and real estate have less exposure.
Recall Trump&#8217;s recently proposed deal with leading oil and gas companies, where he offered to roll back environmental regulations in return for <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/05/38997165/trumps-policies-for-money-transaction-with-big-oil-under-investigation-by-senate-democrats-cronyism">$1 billion in campaign contributions</a>.
It&#8217;s worth noting, however, that the Biden administration presided over a record boom in oil and gas. Politico <a href="https://www.eenews.net/articles/what-bidens-oil-record-means-for-the-industrys-future/">reports</a> that Biden&#8217;s Interior Department, which oversees the federal oil program, outpaced Trump in approving new drilling permits.
But according to the Wall Street investment bank, &#8220;equity market sectors that might benefit from an easier regulatory environment generally saw relative strength alongside the changing presidential probabilities.&#8221;
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">ETFs To Watch </h3>
<ul>
<li>SPDR Oil &amp; Gas Exploration And Production (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>)</li>
<li>iShares U.S. Aerospace And Defense ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ITA#NYSE">ITA</a>)</li>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>)</li>
<li>Invesco S&amp;P Smallcap Industrials ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PSCI#NYSE">PSCI</a>)</li>
<li>SPDR S&amp;P Telecom ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XTL#NYSE">XTL</a>)</li>
<li>Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>)</li>
<li>Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLV#NYSE">XLV</a>) </li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Focus Areas For Deregulation</h3>
During Trump&#8217;s previous administration, significant deregulatory actions targeted environmental and energy regulations, including lowering fuel efficiency standards and reducing environmental permitting requirements.
Energy companies even <a href="https://www.npr.org/2020/08/13/901863874/trumps-methane-rollback-that-big-oil-doesn-t-want">criticized</a> Trump who, in 2020, rolled back rules meant to reduce climate-warming methane emissions — far more potent than carbon dioxide. Shell, BP and the Exxon Mobil Corp disapproved of his decision.
Biden <a href="https://degette.house.gov/media-center/press-releases/biden-signs-legislation-invalidate-trump-administrations-methane-rule">reinstated</a> the methane emissions standards the following year. 
Should Trump win in November, he will likely roll back the Biden-era methane emission rules, Goldman&#8217;s analysts said.
Another apparent change, the firm notes, would likely be the resumption of LNG export permit approvals, which were paused under Biden.
Goldman Sachs expects a Trump administration to expand LNG exports, and reverse restrictions on greenhouse gas emissions. Additionally, there would likely be an expansion of oil leases on federal land and offshore energy development, and eased regulations on refineries.
In the utilities sector, a Trump administration would likely seek to modify recently finalized rules restricting CO2, mercury, and other pollutants from fossil-fuel-fired power generation. 
Regarding auto emissions, the administration would probably aim to relax limits set by the Biden administration, which automakers might meet by increasing the proportion of electric vehicles sold. Goldman Sachs also anticipates a tightening of domestic content requirements for electric vehicle subsidies and loosened criteria for energy credits to make it easier for less climate-friendly energy sources to qualify.
While antitrust enforcement officials in a potential Trump administration might continue pursuing some cases in the internet/tech sector, merger enforcement could ease compared to the current regime.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Financial Regulations</h3>
Financial regulation might also shift, with more rapid changes in consumer finance and more gradual adjustments in capital and liquidity requirements. 
A key area for potential changes is the "Basel III Endgame," which would raise capital requirements for large banks. However, the Federal Reserve and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation are independent of the White House, and their leadership terms do not automatically turn over with a new administration. 
For instance, Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr's term runs through July 2026, and Chair Powell's term runs through May 2026, complicating the outlook and timing.
In contrast, leadership of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) would likely change quickly under a Trump administration, benefiting consumer finance stocks.
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/07/39677621/ed-yardeni-downplays-recession-fears-but-warns-we-need-more-bears-to-keep-the-bull-">Ed Yardeni Downplays Recession Fears But Warns, &#8216;We Need More Bears To Keep The Bull Market Going&#8217;</a></li>
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Trump's Deregulation Agenda: Oil & Gas, Defense, And Finance Stocks May Benefit From Loose Rules, Goldman Sachs Says

If you&#39;re interested in broad exposure to the Energy - Exploration segment of the equity market, look no further than the iShares U.S. Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (BATS: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ieo#BATS">IEO</a>), a passively managed exchange traded fund launched on 05/01/2006.
While an excellent vehicle for long term investors, passively managed ETFs are a popular choice among institutional and retail investors due to their low costs, transparency, flexibility, and tax efficiency.
Additionally, sector ETFs offer convenient ways to gain low risk and diversified exposure to a broad group of companies in particular sectors. Energy - Exploration is one of the 16 broad Zacks sectors within the Zacks Industry classification. It is currently ranked 15, placing it in bottom 6%.
Index Details
The fund is sponsored by Blackrock. It has amassed assets over $731.59 million, making it one of the larger ETFs attempting to match the performance of the Energy - Exploration segment of the equity market. IEO seeks to match the performance of the Dow Jones U.S. Select Oil Exploration &amp; Production Index before fees and expenses.
The Dow Jones U.S. Select Oil Exploration &amp; Production Index is a free-float adjusted market capitalization-weighted index. The Index includes companies that are engaged in the exploration for and extraction, production, refining, and supply of oil and gas products.
Costs
Since cheaper funds tend to produce better results than more expensive funds, assuming all other factors remain equal, it is important for investors to pay attention to an ETF&#39;s expense ratio.
Annual operating expenses for this ETF are 0.40%, making it one of the cheaper products in the space.
It has a 12-month trailing dividend yield of 2.61%.
Sector Exposure and Top Holdings
Even though ETFs offer diversified exposure that minimizes single stock risk, investors should also look at the actual holdings inside the fund. Luckily, most ETFs are very transparent products that disclose their holdings on a daily basis.
This ETF has heaviest allocation in the Energy sector--about 100% of the portfolio.
Looking at individual holdings, Conocophillips&nbsp;(NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/cop#NYSE">COP</a>) accounts for about 18.30% of total assets, followed by EOG Resources Inc&nbsp;(NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/eog#NYSE">EOG</a>) and Marathon Petroleum Corp&nbsp;(NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/mpc#NYSE">MPC</a>).
The top 10 holdings account for about 70.58% of total assets under management.
Performance and Risk
So far this year, IEO has gained about 6.79%, and was up about 19.10% in the last one year (as of 07/08/2024). During this past 52-week period, the fund has traded between $85.58 and $111.94.
The ETF has a beta of 1.44 and standard deviation of 31.75% for the trailing three-year period, making it a high risk choice in the space. With about 49 holdings, it has more concentrated exposure than peers.
Alternatives
IShares U.S. Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF holds a Zacks ETF Rank of 2 (Buy), which is based on expected asset class return, expense ratio, and momentum, among other factors. Because of this, IEO is an excellent option for investors seeking exposure to the Energy ETFs segment of the market. There are other additional ETFs in the space that investors could consider as well.
Invesco Energy Exploration &amp; Production ETF (ARCA:PXE) tracks Dynamic Energy Exploration &amp; Production Intellidex Index and the SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (ARCA:XOP) tracks S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production Select Industry Index. Invesco Energy Exploration &amp; Production ETF has $133.33 million in assets, SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF has $3.43 billion. PXE has an expense ratio of 0.60% and XOP charges 0.35%.
<a href="https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2297706/should-you-invest-in-the-ishares-u-s-oil-gas-exploration-production-etf-ieo?cid=CS-BENZ-FT-sector_etf-2297706">To read this article on Zacks.com click here.</a>

iShares Dow Jones US Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Index Fund

PowerShares ETF Trust Dynamic Energy Exploration & Production Port

Should You Invest in the iShares U.S. Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF?

The SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (ARCA:XOP) made its debut on 06/19/2006, and is a smart beta exchange traded fund that provides broad exposure to the Energy ETFs category of the market.
What Are Smart Beta ETFs?
The ETF industry has traditionally been dominated by products based on market capitalization weighted indexes that are designed to represent the market or a particular segment of the market.
A good option for investors who believe in market efficiency, market cap weighted indexes offer a low-cost, convenient, and transparent way of replicating market returns.
However, some investors believe in the possibility of beating the market through exceptional stock selection, and choose a different type of fund that tracks non-cap weighted strategies: smart beta.
Non-cap weighted indexes try to choose stocks that have a better chance of risk-return performance, which is based on specific fundamental characteristics, or a mix of other such characteristics.
Even though this space provides many choices to investors--think one of the simplest methodologies like equal-weighting and more complicated ones like fundamental and volatility/momentum based weighting--not all have been able to deliver first-rate results.
Fund Sponsor &amp; Index
The fund is managed by State Street Global Advisors, and has been able to amass over $3.66 billion, which makes it one of the largest ETFs in the Energy ETFs. This particular fund, before fees and expenses, seeks to match the performance of the S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production Select Industry Index.
The S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production Select Industry Index represents the oil and gas exploration and production sub-industry portion of the S&amp;P Total Markets Index. The S&amp;P TMI tracks all the US common stocks listed on the NYSE, AMEX, NASDAQ National Market and NASDAQ Small Cap exchanges. The Oil &amp; Gas Exploration Index is a modified equal weight index.
Cost &amp; Other Expenses
Cost is an important factor in selecting the right ETF, and cheaper funds can significantly outperform their more expensive cousins if all other fundamentals are the same.
Operating expenses on an annual basis are 0.35% for this ETF, which makes it one of the least expensive products in the space.
It has a 12-month trailing dividend yield of 2.31%.
Sector Exposure and Top Holdings
Most ETFs are very transparent products, and disclose their holdings on a daily basis. ETFs also offer diversified exposure, which minimizes single stock risk, though it&#39;s still important for investors to research a fund&#39;s holdings.
XOP&#39;s heaviest allocation is in the Energy sector, which is about 100% of the portfolio.
Taking into account individual holdings, Valero Energy Corp (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/vlo#NYSE">VLO</a>) accounts for about 2.70% of the fund&#39;s total assets, followed by Pbf Energy Inc Class A (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/pbf#NYSE">PBF</a>) and Apa Corp (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/apa#NYSE">APA</a>).
The top 10 holdings account for about 26.52% of total assets under management.
Performance and Risk
The ETF has gained about 8.27% and is up roughly 20.54% so far this year and in the past one year (as of 06/13/2024), respectively. XOP has traded between $121.68 and $160.59 during this last 52-week period.
The fund has a beta of 1.70 and standard deviation of 35.95% for the trailing three-year period, which makes XOP a high risk choice in this particular space. With about 56 holdings, it effectively diversifies company-specific risk.
Alternatives
SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF is an excellent option for investors seeking to outperform the Energy ETFs segment of the market. There are other ETFs in the space which investors could consider as well.
Invesco Energy Exploration &amp; Production ETF (ARCA:PXE) tracks Dynamic Energy Exploration &amp; Production Intellidex Index and the iShares U.S. Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF (BATS: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ieo#BATS">IEO</a>) tracks Dow Jones U.S. Select Oil Exploration &amp; Production Index. Invesco Energy Exploration &amp; Production ETF has $140.05 million in assets, iShares U.S. Oil &amp; Gas Exploration &amp; Production ETF has $754.21 million. PXE has an expense ratio of 0.60% and IEO charges 0.40%.
Investors looking for cheaper and lower-risk options should consider traditional market cap weighted ETFs that aim to match the returns of the Energy ETFs.
<a href="https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/2287626/is-spdr-s-p-oil-gas-exploration-production-etf-xop-a-strong-etf-right-now?cid=CS-BENZ-FT-smart_beta_etf-2287626">To read this article on Zacks.com click here.</a>

Is SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF a Strong ETF Right Now?

Wall Street traded slightly in the red on Tuesday morning as markets took a cautious stance ahead of the inflation report and the Federal Open Market Committee <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/06/39274908/may-inflation-report-clashes-with-fed-meeting-traders-brace-for-volatile-wednesday">(FOMC) meeting on Wednesday.</a>
The S&amp;P 500 dipped 0.2% by 12:55 p.m. in New York, marking its worst daily performance month-to-date. 
Despite the overall market decline, the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 avoided losses, buoyed by a strong rally in Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>). The Cupertino-based iPhone maker surged 5.9%, mirroring last month&#8217;s post-earnings reaction, driven by bullish analyst notes <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/06/39274000/7-apple-analysts-mixed-on-wwdc-2024-iphone-upgrade-cycle-coming-but-when">following Tuesday&#8217;s WWDC event.</a>
Blue-chip stocks in the Dow Jones fell 0.7%, while small-cap stocks lagged, down 1%. Treasury yields saw little movement, with the benchmark 10-year note holding steady at a 4.46% yield.
Commodities were broadly softer, with gold and silver declining by 0.2% and 1.9%, respectively, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil remained stable at $77 a barrel. 
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) was the day&#8217;s biggest underperformer, falling over 4% to $66,500 and eyeing its worst daily performance since late April.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, ETFs</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day %chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>19,076.80</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,348.59</td>
<td>-0.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>38,578.53</td>
<td>-0.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,018.79</td>
<td>-1.0%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:55 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a> data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>)&nbsp;was 0.3% lower to $534.10.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;was 0.7% lower to $386.43.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust&nbsp;(ARCA: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/qqq" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"></a><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/qqq" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"></a>QQQ) was flat at $464.60.</li>
<li>Sector-wise, the&nbsp;Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>)&nbsp;outperformed, up by 1%, while the&nbsp;Financials Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) lagged, down 1.5%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
<ul>
<li>FMC Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FMC#NYSE">FMC</a>) rose 3.5% after Pierre Brondeau returned as president and chief executive officer.</li>
<li>NextEra Energy Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NEE#NYSE">NEE</a>) tanked 6.7%, eyeing the worst daily performance since October 2023, after the company issued weaker guidance.</li>
<li>State Street Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STT#NYSE">STT</a>) and BlackRock Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BLK#NYSE">BLK</a>) fell 4.5% and 1.7%, respectively, after Reuters revealed that a U.S. congressional committee is set to accuse the biggest Wall Street firms over climate-related collusions. </li>
<li>Affirm Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AFRM#NASDAQ">AFRM</a>) rose over 8% after Apple announced the inclusion of the company&#8217;s products in Apple Pay later this year. </li>
<li>DXC Technology Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DXC#NYSE">DXC</a>) surged 11.5% amid acquisition interest from Apollo Global Management and Kyndryl Holdings </li>
</ul>
Read now: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/06/39272106/affirm-soars-after-apple-partnership-announcement-what-it-means-for-users">Affirm Soars After Apple Partnership Announcement: What It Means For Users</a>
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Stocks Ease Ahead Of Wednesday's Key Events, Apple Jumps To Record Highs, Bitcoin Tumbles To $66,500: What's Driving Markets Tuesday?

Wall Street is experiencing a quiet trading session on Monday, with major indices showing little movement by midday in New York, as traders maintain a cautious stance ahead of the highly anticipated inflation report and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/06/39252500/fed-meeting-preview-economists-predict-steady-rates-in-june-fewer-cuts-ahead">Fed meeting this Wednesday.</a>
U.S. stocks have erased early session losses sparked by rising volatility in Europe after the latest Parliamentary elections revealed increased support for far-right parties and Emmanuel Macron&#8217;s surprising call for <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/06/39249718/macrons-snap-election-gamble-shocks-european-markets-euro-eyes-worst-2-day-performance-in-15-mon">snap elections in France.</a>
The S&amp;P 500 is 0.2% higher, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 slightly outperforms the broader market, rising 0.3%.
Blue-chip stocks soften by 0.1%, while small caps trade mostly flat for the day.
Treasury yields inch higher by about 3 basis points across long-dated maturities, with the benchmark 10-year Note trading at a 4.47% yield. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) falls 0.7%, eyeing its third straight session of declines.
A trade-weighted measure of the U.S. dollar, as tracked by the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>), has risen by 0.2%, buoyed by the greenback&#8217;s gains against the euro, with the EUR-USD exchange rate down 0.4%.
Commodities trade stronger across the spectrum, with oil and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/06/39254869/us-natural-gas-prices-rise-to-5-month-highs-on-hot-weather-forecasts-energy-stocks-">natural gas prices</a> rallying by 2.5% and 3.7%, respectively, driving the outperformance of energy-related stocks. Metals are also in the green, with copper, silver, and gold up 2.2%, 1.7%, and 0.7%, respectively. Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is 0.4% higher, reaching $69,950.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, ETFs</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day %chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>19,053.31</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,355.63</td>
<td>0.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,023.34</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>38,746.91</td>
<td>-0.1%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">As of 12:42 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a> data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>)&nbsp;is 0.2% higher to $534.86.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;is flat at $388.21.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust&nbsp;(ARCA: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/qqq" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"></a><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/qqq" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"></a>QQQ) rises 0.4% to $465.35.</li>
<li>Sector-wise, the&nbsp;Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>)&nbsp;outperforms, up by 1.1%, while the&nbsp;Financials Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) eases 0.5%.</li>
<li>Industry-wise, the SPDR S&amp;P Oil &amp; Gas Exploration and Production ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOP#NYSE">XOP</a>) is the session top performer, up 2.2%, while the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) lags behind, down 1.7%. </li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LUV#NYSE">LUV</a>) has risen by nearly 8%, after Elliot Investment unveiled a $1.9 billion stake in the airline company. </li>
<li>Huntington Bancshares Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HBAN#NYSE">HBAN</a>) is down over 5%, after the company slashed its annual net interest income forecasts. </li>
<li>Texas Pacific Land Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TPL#NYSE">TPL</a>) and RB Global Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RBA#NYSE">RBA</a>) are up over 23% and 9%, respectively, on the news that they will be included in the S&amp;P MidCap 400 Index. </li>
<li>CrowdStrike Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRWD#NASDAQ">CRWD</a>), KKR &amp; Co. Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KKR#NYSE">KKR</a>) and GoDaddy Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GDDY#NYSE">GDDY</a>) have risen 9.6%, 11.3% and 2.1%, respectively, as Dow Jones Indices announces the companies&#8217; inclusions in the S&amp;P 500 index.</li>
<li>Tellurian Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TELL#NYSE">TELL</a>) rockets 13.5%, extending a 5-day rally that began last week following rumors of Saudi giant Aramco being in discussions with the company for a liquefied natural gas (LNG) project.</li>
<li>GameStop Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GME#NYSE">GME</a>) has extended Friday&#8217;s losses following the Roaring Kitty&#8217;s livestream, down by an additional 15% on Monday, further cooling the meme-stock sentiment. AMC Entertainment Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMC#NYSE">AMC</a>) is 6% lower. </li>
<li>Shares of&nbsp;ICC Holdings, Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ICCH#NASDAQ">ICCH</a>) have gained over 35% after Mutual Capital Group announced plans to acquire&nbsp;the company. </li>
</ul>
Read now: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/06/39245542/dont-miss-apples-wwdc-2024-keynote-how-and-where-to-watch-on-june-10">Don&#8217;t Miss Apple&#8217;s WWDC 2024 Keynote: How And Where To Watch On June 10</a>
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Market Stays Flat As Investors Anticipate Key Economic Events; Energy Stocks Lead Gains, Regional Banks Decline: What's Driving Markets Monday?

All major U.S. equity indices opened the week with losses, as traders shifted to safe-haven bonds and gold amid concerns affecting the health of the U.S. manufacturing activity. In May, the ISM Manufacturing PMI dropped to 48.7, marking a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/06/39140837/treasury-yields-fall-dollar-weakens-as-manufacturing-activity-gauge-contracts-more-than-expected">faster-than-expected contraction.</a> 
This follows a bleak Chicago PMI report on Friday, which indicated the worst sentiment since May 2020.
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), known as the market fear gauge, surged by 9% on a day marred by <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/06/39138985/berkshire-hathaway-chipotle-more-nyse-stocks-hit-with-trading-halts-triggered-by-technical-issue">temporary technical glitches </a>affecting several NYSE-listed stocks, including Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BRK#NYSE">BRK</a>) (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BRK#NYSE">BRK</a>) and Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMG#NYSE">CMG</a>).
At 12:40 p.m. in New York, the Nasdaq 100 index was down 0.5%, eyeing its fourth consecutive session of declines, potentially marking its longest losing streak since early January 2024.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average underperformed tech-heavy indices due to sharp losses in the energy and industrials sectors, weighing down the blue-chip index.
Treasury yields fell nearly 10 basis points, marking the highest one-day decline in yields since May 15 and the third-largest drop of the year. Bond-related assets surged, with the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) gaining 1.2%, aiming for its third consecutive day of gains.
As yields dropped, gold rose by 0.9%, fully recovering Friday&#8217;s losses, while Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) was up by 2.3%.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, ETFs</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day %chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>18,443.91</td>
<td>-0.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,248.61</td>
<td>-0.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,050.97</td>
<td>-0.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>38,285.51</td>
<td>-1.0%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:48 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a> data: 
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>)&nbsp;was 0.6% lower to $524.01.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;fell 1% to $383.56.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust&nbsp;(ARCA: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/qqq" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"></a><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/qqq" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"></a>QQQ) fell 0.2% to $449.52</li>
<li>Sector-wise, the&nbsp;Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLV#NYSE">XLV</a>)&nbsp;outperformed, up by 0.2%, while the&nbsp;Energt Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>) lagged, down 2.8%.</li>
<li>Industry-wise, the SPDR S&amp;P Retail ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XRT#NYSE">XRT</a>), outperformed, up 1.4%.</li>
</ul>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h2>
<ul>
<li>Paramount Global (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PARA#NASDAQ">PARA</a>) rallied over 7% after the company announced it has agreed to the terms of a merger with Skydance, with the official announcement expected in the coming days.</li>
<li>Meme stocks like GameStop Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GME#NYSE">GME</a>) and AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMC#NYSE">AMC</a>) experienced a sudden spike after trader Keith Gill, known as &#8220;Roaring Kitty&#8221; on Reddit, posted a screenshot showing that he holds GME shares valued at $115.7 million.</li>
<li>Lattice Semiconductor Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LSCC#NASDAQ">LSCC</a>) plunged over 15% after its president and CEO, Jim Anderson, left to lead laser maker Coherent Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COHR#NYSE">COHR</a>), which saw a 17% rally.</li>
<li>Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPOT#NYSE">SPOT</a>) rose 4% after the music-streaming giant announced heightened subscription costs for its premium users. </li>
<li>Science Applications International Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SAIC#NASDAQ">SAIC</a>) plummeted 12% after missing revenue estimates last quarter. </li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market-Moving Events Outside The US: </h3>
In emerging markets, Mexican assets experienced a sharp decline following Claudia Sheinbaum&#8216;s landslide victory in the country&#8217;s presidential election on Sunday.
The Mexican Peso tumbled as much as 4.3% against the dollar, marking its worst trading day since March 16, 2020.
Mexican stocks sold off heavily, with the iShares MSCI Mexico ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWW#NYSE">EWW</a>) dropping 10%, also its worst day since March 16, 2020, when it tumbled 15%.
Read now: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/06/39137050/mexican-peso-suffers-worst-day-in-four-years-after-sheinbaum-wins-presidential-elections">Mexican Peso Suffers Worst Day In Four Years After Sheinbaum Wins Presidential Elections</a>
Image generated using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

Latin America

Market Summary

Emerging Market ETFs

COHR

LSCC

PARA

SAIC

SPOT

XLRE

VIX Spikes 8% As Stocks Sink; Bonds, Gold Rise On Growth Concerns; Meme Stocks Roar, Peso Plummets: What's Driving Markets Monday?

Goehring & Rozencwajg Q3 2024 Natural Resource Market Commentary

Last week, I made a post called "Energy Bear," in which I suggested going bearish against the oil and gas sector fund, XOP​​​​​​​. I have good news and bad news.

Energy Victory

Goldman Sachs pulls out of global climate coalition for banks

'Stock pickers' will be the best investment strategy in the near-term – SG 2025 Outlook

OPEC Extends Cuts, Oil Market Tightness To Continue Into 2025

Ease up on Mag 7, ''Trump trade' exposure as inflation flare-up looms: MS Wealth Mgmt

SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF declares quarterly distribution of $0.8076

BofA reports $10B in U.S. equity inflows, marking largest weekly surge since 2017

If XOP can finish its head and shoulders top, it could mean an even more powerful push lower for oil production companies.

Loss Of Energy

As 2024 concludes, financial experts brace for potential 2025 turmoil reminiscent of 2008.

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