Últimas noticias sobre United States Oil Fund (ARCA:USO)

USCF Investments

The investment aims to track the daily percentage changes in its shares’ per share NAV, mirroring the daily percentage changes in the spot price of light, sweet crude oil delivered to Cushing, Oklahoma. This alignment is measured by the daily shifts in the price of a specified short-term futures contract on light, sweet crude oil known as the “Benchmark Oil Futures Contract,” along with the interest earned on USO’s collateral holdings, after deducting USO’s expenses. USO primarily invests in futures contracts for various fuels, including light, sweet crude oil, other types of crude oil, diesel-heating oil, gasoline, natural gas, and other petroleum-based fuels.

United States Oil Fund LP *

Conceptual,Image,Of,War,Between,Israel,And,Iran,Using,Chess

Politics

Trump declaró un alto el fuego total entre Israel e Irán. El petróleo cayó un 12,8 % y los futuros en Wall Street reaccionaron al alza.

Trump anuncia cese total del fuego entre Israel e Irán y sacude los mercados

oil-ai

Analyst Color

Macro Economic Events

Commodities

Econ #s

Economics

Analyst Ratings

MSFT

El crudo cae más de un 2 % y toca mínimos de abril. La OPEP+ podría aumentar la oferta pese a riesgos de recesión en EE. UU. y China.

El petróleo cae por debajo de los 57 dólares: OPEP+ evalúa más producción en medio de riesgos de recesión

Trade tensions weigh on oil demand

News

Specialty ETFs

Price Target

Global

Markets

ETFs

La guerra comercial entre EE.UU. y China derrumba el precio del petróleo WTI. Análisis y previsiones de Goldman Sachs

El petróleo WTI cae a su nivel más bajo desde 2021: ¿Cómo impactan los aranceles y la guerra comercial?

United States Oil Fund

ETRACS Crude Oil Shares Covered Call ETNs due April 24, 2037

US OIL & GAS PLC S/ADR by U.S. Oil & Gas PLC

U S Oil & Gas PLC

Defiance Oil Enhanced Options Income ETF

U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count -7 To 415; U.S. Baker Hughes NatGas Rig Count +5 To 122; U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 542 Vs 544 Prior

General

iShares MSCI Israel Capped Investable Market Index Fund

ISRA

Reuters Cites UK PM Starmer Saying Israel's Disproportionate Military Escalation In Gaza Is Indefensible; Recognition Of A Palestinian State Has To Be One Step On Path Towards Lasting Peace, Must Be Part Of Wider Plan For Two-State Solution

<a href="https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-hamas-war-news-07-25-2025-86ad3aef03cb43cbc8b05c8037e8c5c0">https://apnews.com/article/israel-palestinians-hamas-war-news-07-25-2025-86ad3aef03cb43cbc8b05c8037e8c5c0</a>

Macro Notification

'Netanyahu says Israel considering alternatives to ceasefire talks with Hamas, deepening uncertainty'- AP News

Reuters Cites Fox Business Interview Where U.S. Treasury's Bessent Says U.S. In Pretty Good Place With China On Trade; Will Talk To China About Them Buying Sanctioned Oil From Russia, Iran

<a href="https://x.com/EmmanuelMacron/status/1948462359468802252" title="https://x.com/EmmanuelMacron/status/1948462359468802252">https://x.com/EmmanuelMacron/status/1948462359468802252</a>

President Of The French Republic Emmanuel Macron Posts On X "True to its historic commitment to a just and lasting peace in the Middle East, I have decided that France will recognize the State of Palestine. I will make the solemn announcement at the United Nations General Assembly next September. ...."

Since the start of the week, the headlines have been loud, but the charts even louder.
We're sitting at fresh all-time highs across the board, thanks to a powerful combination of global trade developments, strong earnings, and powerful seasonal patterns all converging to push stocks higher.
But let's start with what's setting the tone for the markets: President Trump's tariff deadline.
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August 1 is right around the corner, with growing concerns of tariffs spiking for certain countries, like Trump's threat of slapping 145% tariffs on China if no deals are made. But based on how history has played out so far, I wouldn't be surprised to see another delay, maybe a final 30-day extension into the fall. If that happens, it gives the market exactly what it wants: time, clarity, and a narrative to keep pushing risk assets higher.
That bullish momentum is already showing up in earnings. So far, financial stocks have come out swinging, reporting better-than-expected numbers. And with tech earnings on deck, expectations are solid, if not a touch conservative. If we get even modest upside surprises from the AI-heavy names, the market has plenty of room to keep climbing. In fact, it's largely those two sectors, financials and AI, that we can thank for these global highs.
But earnings aren't the only driver here.
This one overlooked trigger could shoot stocks even higher through the middle of August.
One of the biggest catalysts nobody's really talking about is interest rates. The European Central Bank is now expected to cut rates sooner than forecasted, which could put pressure on the Fed to follow suit. And if Fed Chair, Jerome Powell, holds steady, the perception alone that a rate cut is back on the table is enough to give equities a further boost.
And when you pair that with what the technicals are doing? Things get even more interesting.
Take a look at this chart on SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>):
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="628" height="344" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/24124930/chart_promo.png" alt="" class="wp-image-999416" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/24124930/chart_promo.png 628w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/24124930/chart_promo-300x164.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 628px) 100vw, 628px" /></figure>
What you're seeing here is a clean V-shaped recovery, with SPY now holding firmly above $631. I'm targeting a move to 640 by the middle of August, and the Money Calendar is backing me up. In fact, I recently ran a scan on SPY and found a 90% historical win rate on patterns starting around July 10 and ending on August 21.
That's not a guess. It's backed by millions of data points and proven seasonal patterns over the last 10 years (and beyond). And everything about the current environment supports another leg up.
Another factor that makes this window through August so attractive? Volatility.
Just a few months ago, we were dealing with implied volatility (IV) in the 50s. But today, we're hovering between 10 and 15. That's a BIG drop (over two-thirds), and it's created an environment where option premiums are cheap, and directional setups have room to breathe. So, if you're bullish and the trend agrees with you, calls and call spreads are back in play. And if you're looking for something a little further out, it's also a good time to think about put spreads or protective hedges as we get deeper into August.
Gold is showing a similar rhythm, too. SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>) is inching back toward its June high of 316.29 &#8211; and as of this week, we got another pop in volatility. This is a signal that often precedes sharp price movement in metals, including GLD's last rally. In fact, I believe we're looking at a potential run to the $330s if momentum holds. And the Money Calendar agrees, showing an 80% probability of a further move to the upside between now and the end of August.
That said, things aren't rosy for everyone.
Oil, specifically United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>), isn't showing signs of a strong seasonal edge. Price action has <a>actually reverted</a> to the middle of its Fibonacci range. So I'm taking more of a wait-and-see approach over a bullish or bearish one for now. If oil holds steady, that's still a net positive for stocks.
Bonds are a little more nuanced. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>), for example, isn't showing a seasonal pattern either. But the short-term trend has started to tilt upward, hinting at lower interest rates. If that continues, it could add more fuel to the fire of equities – something to watch toward the back half of this quarter.
So, where does that leave us?
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Stocks are strong.</li>
<li>Seasonals are strong.</li>
<li>Volatility is low.</li>
<li>Gold is breaking out.</li>
<li>Oil is calm.</li>
<li>And so far, earnings are beating expectations.</li>
</ul>
Even bonds are tilting in the right direction. This is the kind of market where having a plan beats guessing every time.
And in the coming days, I'll be releasing my full August outlook – including the top exchange-traded funds (ETFs) to watch.
Until then, plan your trade – and trade your plan.
Editorial content from our expert contributors is intended to be information for the general public and not individualized investment advice. Editors/contributors are presenting their individual opinions and strategies, which are neither expressly nor impliedly approved or endorsed by Benzinga.
Image: Shutterstock

Opinion

iShares Trust Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund

This Overlooked Trigger Could Send Stocks Even Higher

<a href="https://www.wsj.com/world/americas/trump-administration-greenlights-chevron-to-resume-pumping-oil-in-venezuela-0353262b">https://www.wsj.com/world/americas/trump-administration-greenlights-chevron-to-resume-pumping-oil-in-venezuela-0353262b</a>

'Trump Administration Greenlights Chevron to Resume Pumping Oil In Venezuela' - WSJ Exclusive

Reuters Cites Iran State Media Citing Iran's Foreign Minister Saying Tehran Will Defend Its Nuclear Rights Including Uranium Enrichment In Talks With E3 On Friday; Iran's Positions Are Still 'Strong', Enrichment Will Continue

<a href="https://www.axios.com/2025/07/24/gaza-ceasefire-talks-israel-recall-negotiators">https://www.axios.com/2025/07/24/gaza-ceasefire-talks-israel-recall-negotiators</a>

'Gaza ceasefire talks in limbo as Israel recalls negotiators'- Axios

<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sk9Yovro9kE">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sk9Yovro9kE</a>

President Trump Says Making Deals With Various Asian Countries On Energy; Want To Get Oil Price Down Further

<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-23/iran-may-still-withdraw-from-nuclear-treaty-negotiator-says?srnd=homepage-americas">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-23/iran-may-still-withdraw-from-nuclear-treaty-negotiator-says?srnd=homepage-americas</a>

'Iran May Still Withdraw From Nuclear Treaty, Negotiator Says'- Bloomberg

EIA Weekly Distillates Stocks 2.931M Barrel Build Vs 4.173M Barrel Build Prior

USA Crude Oil Inventories 3.169M Barrel Draw Vs 1.400M Barrel Draw Est.

API Weekly Crude Oil Stock 0.577M Barrel Draw Vs 19.100M Barrel Build Prior

<a href="https://www.axios.com/2025/07/22/syria-israel-us-meeting-tom-barrack-suwayda">https://www.axios.com/2025/07/22/syria-israel-us-meeting-tom-barrack-suwayda</a>

'U.S. To Mediate Israel-Syria Meeting Thursday To Avoid New Crises' - Axios

<a href="https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0203" title="https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0203">https://home.treasury.gov/news/press-releases/sb0203</a>

Treasury Department: U.S. Issues New Houthi-Related Sanctions; Says It Is Imposing Sanctions On Houthi-Linked Petroleum Smuggling And Sanctions Evasion Network, Targets Entities, Individuals In Yemen And UAE; Says Individuals, Companies Targeted Are Among The Most Significant Importers Of Petroleum Products And Money Launderers That Benefit The Houthis

Treasury Secretary Bessent On Russia Says Would Urge Europe To Follow If We Implement Secondary Tariffs

Treasury Secretary Bessent On China Says Could Start Discussing Iranian Oil

U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count -2 To 422; U.S. Baker Hughes NatGas Rig Count +9 To 117; U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 544

<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-18/iraq-set-for-key-oil-cargo-surge-in-sign-of-increased-output?srnd=homepage-americas&amp;embedded-checkout=true">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-07-18/iraq-set-for-key-oil-cargo-surge-in-sign-of-increased-output?srnd=homepage-americas&amp;embedded-checkout=true</a>

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