SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (ARCA: KRE)

Últimas noticias sobre SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (ARCA:KRE)

SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF

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In seeking to track the performance of the S&P Regional Banks Select Industry Index (the index), the fund employs a sampling strategy. It generally invests substantially all, but at least 80%, of its total assets in the securities comprising the index. The index represents the regional banks segment of the S&P Total Market Index (S&P TMI).

Columbia Banking System Inc Common Stock

Western Alliance Bancorp

Valley National Bancorp

Synovus Financial Corp

Zions Bancorp Na

East West Bancorp, Inc.

Truist Financial Corp.

Citizens Financial Group Inc.

Webster Financial Corp

Bank Ozk

KonaRed Corp

KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. Common Stock

KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc

KKR Real Estate Finance Trust Inc. 6.50% Series A Cumulative Redeemable Preferred Stock

Keppel REIT

The regional banking sector has spent much of the last two years making headlines for all the wrong reasons. <a href="https://www.fdic.gov/resources/resolutions/bank-failures/in-brief/2023">Bank failures</a> like Silicon Valley, Signature Bank, and First Republic Bank rocked the sector, and the SPDR Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) dropped more than 40% at the end of 2023.
Investors remained on edge to start 2024 following another pair of failures, but the sector has rebounded following the Federal Reserve's rate-cut strategy and the 2024 U.S. presidential election results.
The incoming Trump administration is expected to replace several top regulators, such as Linda Khan (at the FTC), Rohit Chopra (CFPB), and Gary Gensler (SEC), which could create an atmosphere for more mergers and acquisitions through less stringent regulation.
Regional banks stand to be some of the biggest beneficiaries of this attitude change, and KRE has already jumped 18% in the last month.
Let&#8217;s take a look at five of the most promising regional bank stocks to buy ahead of the new crop of regulators.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">How We Narrowed It Down to Six Stocks to Buy</h2>
Looser capital guidelines and diminished regulatory scrutiny will benefit plenty of firms in the finance sector. We trimmed our regional bank stock list down to five based on the following criteria:
<ul>
<li>Beneficiary of Relaxed Deregulation &#8211; Several banking rules involving capital requirements (like Basel III) and liquidity standards could be relaxed during a second Trump admin, in addition to a more friendly M&amp;A environment. Regional banks can't meet these requirements as efficiently as larger national banks, so deregulation often benefits smaller banks.</li>
<li>Valuation Metrics &#8211; The banks on our list have affordable stocks compared to their sector peers based on metrics like Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Sales (P/S), and Price-to-Book (P/B) rates.</li>
<li>Dividend Yield &#8211; If you own bank stocks, you want to be compensated with stock price appreciation and dividend income. These regional banks all pay higher dividend yields than the industry average.</li>
</ul>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Top Six Regional Banks to Buy</h2>
Based on the above criteria, here are five regional bank stocks to consider adding to your portfolio before a second Trump administration, and its new crop of top regulators, sets up shop in Washington.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">US Bancorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USB#NYSE">USB</a>)</h3>
US Bancorp&#8217;s roots date back to the Civil War when it was awarded the 24th national bank charter of the United States. Today, it&#8217;s one of the largest regional banks in the United States, with a market cap of over $83 billion and 68,000 employees. USB shares have lagged in 2024, with a 23% year-to-date gain compared to 30% from KRE, but looser regulations could be a tailwind as the bank <a href="https://www.usbank.com/about-us-bank/company-blog/article-library/us-bancorp-completes-acquisition-of-union-bank.html">acquired MUFG Union Bank</a> in 2022 to expand operations into California, Oregon, and Washington. The stock has reasonable fundamental metrics like a 16.5 P/E ratio and 1.97 P/S ratio and pays a 3.73% dividend yield.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="395" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133051/USB-1024x395.png" alt="" class="wp-image-670667" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133051/USB-1024x395.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133051/USB-300x116.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133051/USB-768x296.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133051/USB.png 1364w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">KeyCorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KEY#NYSE">KEY</a>)</h3>
KeyCorp has a market cap under $20 billion and less reach than bigger regional banks like US Bancorp, but the stock makes our list thanks to a combination of good value, high dividend yield, and potential growth from deregulation. The bank has two segments: Consumer Banking and Commercial Banking, with the commercial wing focused on small and mid-size business services. KeyBanc Capital Markets is the company's M/A wheelhouse, having negotiated more than 500 clients on mergers in the mid-size business space. KEY stock has the highest P/E ratio of banks on our list at 19.4 but rewards shareholders with a 4.17% dividend yield, and its P/B rate is bottom third in the sector at 1.3.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="395" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133059/KEY-1024x395.png" alt="" class="wp-image-670668" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133059/KEY-1024x395.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133059/KEY-300x116.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133059/KEY-768x296.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133059/KEY.png 1364w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Regions Financial Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RF#NYSE">RF</a>)</h3>
Regions Financial doesn't have a hundred-plus-year history like US Bancorp or KeyCorp, but it does offer a variety of banking and wealth management services to clients across the southern region. RF shares have actually outperformed KRE so far in 2024 (42% vs 30%), and its debt/equity level of 0.35 is the lowest of our selections, indicating a well-capitalized bank poised to benefit from more risk-taking. The stock pays a 3.66% dividend yield with a 13.4 P/E ratio and 1.48 P/B ratio.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="395" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133104/RF-1024x395.png" alt="" class="wp-image-670669" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133104/RF-1024x395.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133104/RF-300x116.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133104/RF-768x296.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133104/RF.png 1364w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Truist Financial Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TFC#NYSE">TFC</a>)</h3>
Formed during the merger of SunTrust Bank and BB&amp;T Corp, Truist Financial is the second-largest regional bank on our list, and one of the reasons is that KRE is up more than 30% this year. TFC shares have matched the regional banking ETF performance almost penny for penny in 2024, but the stock remains well below its 2022 all-time high. Truist has the lowest P/B ratio on our list at 1.08, pays a 4.36% dividend yield, and recently sold off its insurance and asset management subsidiaries to improve its liquidity and capitalization situation. Truist mainly serves states east of the Mississippi River but plans to expand operations in the Sun Belt. These plans could benefit from increased M/A activity and deregulation in the next few years.
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<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="395" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133110/TFC-1024x395.png" alt="" class="wp-image-670670" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133110/TFC-1024x395.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133110/TFC-300x116.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133110/TFC-768x296.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133110/TFC.png 1364w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">M&amp;T Bank (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTB#NYSE">MTB</a>)</h3>
M&amp;T Bank (which stands for Manufacturers and Traders) is one of the nation&#8217;s oldest banks, with predecessors tracing back as far as 1856. MTB has a $36 billion market cap and pays a 2.45% dividend, the lowest on our list but easily sustained by the company's income. The stock has been one of 2024's biggest success stories, posting an astonishing 60% gain in 2024, which doubled the regional banking ETF. Following the bank's strong October earnings report, more gains could be on the horizon, causing many analysts to upgrade their ratings and price targets. M&amp;T Bank has a 16.3 P/E ratio and a 1.4 P/B ratio, and its net profit margin of 18.7 is bested only by Regions Financial.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="395" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133115/MTB-1024x395.png" alt="" class="wp-image-670671" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133115/MTB-1024x395.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133115/MTB-300x116.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133115/MTB-768x296.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133115/MTB.png 1364w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Discover Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DFS#NYSE">DFS</a>)&nbsp;</h3>
Discover Financial has been linked with Capital One since the latter announced intentions to purchase the former for $35 billion in February. However, the deal has been in limbo since New York regulators began investigating the acquisition for possible antitrust violations. DFS shares traded in a tight range from July until the week of the election, but both DFS and COF stocks immediately gapped up on the Wednesday following Trump's victory. Investors anticipate the deal going through in a less harsh regulatory environment, so DFS shares could continue to rally in the weeks ahead.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="395" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133121/DFS-1024x395.png" alt="" class="wp-image-670672" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133121/DFS-1024x395.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133121/DFS-300x116.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133121/DFS-768x296.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/29133121/DFS.png 1364w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
Keep in mind that campaign promises don't always materialize in reality, and the previous Trump administration was often as much bark as bite. Less regulation and more M&amp;A are expected, but investments based on political overtures are short-term bets by nature. Don't hang on to losing stocks if the regulatory environment we get is different than anticipated.
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Opinion

Trading Ideas

6 Regional Bank Stocks to Buy Before Trump Names New SEC Leadership

Small-cap stocks are positioned for significant upside in 2025, driven by recovering earnings, potential corporate tax cuts, and favorable valuations, according to Brian Manby, investment strategy <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/exclusives?page=5">analyst at WisdomTree. </a>
In an exclusive interview with Benzinga, Manby shared his optimism for the Russell 2000 Index – as tracked by the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) – which has already surged 23% year-to-date and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap/24/11/42171130/russell-2000-dow-sp-500-all-achieve-record-highs-in-wall-streets-historic-day-bitcoin-gold-tumble-whats-driving-markets-monday">achieved record highs on Monday</a>, surpassing its previous peak from November 2021.
Manby said their domestic focus positions them as key beneficiaries of U.S.-centered policies, such as tax cuts and tariffs, while their relatively lower valuations create a compelling investment case for investors unwilling to excessively concentrate their portfolio on large caps.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Small Caps, Regional Banks: Positioned For Growth In 2025</h3>
The small-cap rally in 2024 has been particularly strong in the regional banking sector, with the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) soaring 35% this year. 
This outperformance was driven by combination of factors, including Federal Reserve rate cuts, U.S. economic resilience, and the anticipation of deregulation under a Republican-controlled Congress. 
The expert stressed that regional banks could continue to benefit in the coming year as policy tailwinds strengthen their earnings potential. 
"We think there&#8217;s a potential opportunity for a catch-up rally, hopefully bolstered by the deregulatory agenda of the incoming administration. We are pretty optimistic on small cap financials and regional banks in particular." he said.
&#8220;Any sort of pressure that the incoming administration can take off of the small cap financials operations would be really, really welcomed by the sector,&#8221; he added.
According to the house view, small-cap earnings projections for 2025 are optimistic, with potential upside tied to fiscal stimulus and economic expansion. Additionally, small-cap companies, with their U.S.-centric operations, stand to benefit significantly from proposed corporate tax rate reductions, such as a potential 15% tax rate championed by Republicans.
Manby also addressed the potential impact of tariffs under a Republican administration. 
"We think that the prospect of tariffs would be a bit of a greater headwind for large caps. Since small caps are more tied to the domestic economy, we think they would probably benefit," Manby said.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/retail-sales/24/11/42170721/thanksgiving-dinner-gobbles-up-19-more-cash-this-year-many-holiday-hosts-already-regret-their-decision">Thanksgiving Dinner Gobbles Up 19% More Cash This Year, Many Holiday Hosts &#8216;Already Regret Their Decision&#8217;</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Small Caps Are Still Sharply Undervalued Compared To Large Caps</h3>
Discussing the valuation picture, Manby highlighted that small caps remain discounted relative to large caps, and that creates a strong opportunity for investors. 
&#8220;The Russell 2000 is still very discounted relative to the S&amp;P 500. It basically trades at about 2 standard deviations below its long term multiple versus the S&amp;P 500 and that gives us a lot of confidence in the valuation opportunity as well,&#8221; Manby stated.
Looking ahead to 2025, WisdomTree remains optimistic about the potential for small caps to outperform. "This is a great opportunity for U.S.-based investors seeking returns without paying lofty multiples," Manby said.
Furthermore, he highlighted that &#8220;ongoing potential rate cuts would certainly be beneficial within the broader small cap universe.&#8221;
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/42170135/its-the-most-wonderful-time-of-the-year-for-the-stock-market-history-says">&#8216;It&#8217;s The Most Wonderful Time Of The Year&#8217; For The Stock Market, History Says</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

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EXCLUSIVE: Small Caps Hit Records As Expert Says Russell 2000 'Still Very Discounted' Compared To S&P 500

Howard Lutnick, chief executive officer of Cantor Fitzgerald &#8211; which has about $3.53 billion in holdings &#8211; has been named as the co-chair of President-elect Donald Trump&#8216;s transition team. Lutnick will lead the U.S. Department of Commerce.
Top Holdings Of Lutnick&#8217;s Firm: According <a href="https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1024896/000092963824003880/0000929638-24-003880-index.html">to</a> Cantor Fitzgerald&#8217;s third-quarter 13F filings, top holdings of the firm include SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), Nvidia Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>), Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>), GCM Grosvenor Inc.(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GCMG#NASDAQ">GCMG</a>), and Rumble Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RUM#NASDAQ">RUM</a>).
In the September quarter, Lutnick&#8217;s financial services firm purchased about 1.17 million shares of Tesla with 1.74 million put options in Q3. It bumped up its call options by 4,967% to 152,000 shares from the <a href="https://13f.info/13f/000092963824003880/compare/000092963824002803">quarter-ended in July</a>. The total value of the fund&#8217;s exposure to Tesla stood at $804 million in Q3.
Cantor Fitzgerald also increased its position in Nvidia by 7,015%, <a href="https://13f.info/13f/000092963824003880/compare/000092963824002803">compared to the second quarter</a>, with a total holding of 3.56 million shares in Q3. It increased Nvidia puts in Q3 by 1,268% to 5.46 million shares and Nvidia call options by 3,213% to 778,600 shares. The total exposure to Nvidia in value terms stood at $1.192 billion.
The fund had 1.23 million of put options and 600,000 call options on SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF TR representing a total value of $1.05 billion in Q3. GCM Grosvenor and Rumble reflected 2.1% and 1.2% of the fund&#8217;s total holdings, valued at $73.03 million and $42.04 million, respectively.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/treasuries/24/11/42157400/economist-peter-schiff-criticizes-trumps-treasury-pick-scott-bessent-says-he-will-have-to-find-buyers-for-trillions-in-new-debt-each-year-his-job-is-to-continue-the-ponzi">Economist Peter Schiff Criticizes Trump&#8217;s Treasury Pick, Scott Bessent, Says He Will Have To Find Buyers For Trillions In New Debt Each Year</a>
Why It Matters: Lutnick was also considered as a top pick for the Secretary of Treasury along with Scott Bessent. Tesla CEO and Trump&#8217;s Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) co-lead Elon Musk <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/24/11/42044642/trump-appears-frustrated-as-elon-musk-chimes-in-on-treasury-secretary-adds-more-names-to-a-list-of-potential-picks">rallied for Lutnick</a> in a post on his social media platform, X, calling on others to weigh in on the appointment.
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Would be interesting to hear more people weigh in on this for <a href="https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@realDonaldTrump</a> to consider feedback. My view fwiw is that Bessent is a business-as-usual choice, whereas <a href="https://twitter.com/howardlutnick?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@howardlutnick</a> will actually enact change. Business-as-usual is driving America bankrupt, so we need change… <a href="https://t.co/igGLZOJ8wz">https://t.co/igGLZOJ8wz</a>
&mdash; Elon Musk (@elonmusk) <a href="https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1857819784865362211?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 16, 2024</a></blockquote>
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However, Bessent was appointed the Treasury Secretary. According to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/11/41909846/trumps-treasury-pick-frontrunner-scott-bessent-could-shift-wall-street-crypto" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">betting markets</a>, Bessent was a frontrunner with an 82% probability of securing the nomination.
The third-quarter 13F filing from Bessent's Key Square Group fund shows that they have liquidated all their holding in the September quarter.
In the <a href="https://13f.info/13f/000117266124003417-key-square-capital-management-llc-q2-2024" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">second quarter</a>, the fund had a highly concentrated portfolio, with equal investments in two banking-focused ETFs: the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) and the SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KBE#NYSE">KBE</a>), each making up 50% of the fund.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/11/42150794/trump-picks-hedge-fund-exec-scott-bessent-as-treasury-secretary-what-president-elects-choice-means-for-americas-economic-future" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Trump Picks Hedge Fund Exec Scott Bessent As Treasury Secretary: What President-Elect's Choice Means For America's Economic Future</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy: Cantor Fitzgerald

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Trump's Commerce Secretary Pick Howard Lutnick's Fund Owns $1.19B In Nvidia, $804M In Tesla: Here Is A Look At His Portfolio

Economist Peter Schiff has criticized President-elect Donald Trump&#8216;s <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/11/42150794/trump-picks-hedge-fund-exec-scott-bessent-as-treasury-secretary-what-president-elects-choice-means-for-americas-economic-future">decision to pick</a> hedge fund executive Scott Bessent as the new U.S. Treasury Secretary.
What Happened: According to his post on X (formerly Twitter), Schiff took a jibe at Trump and quipped that Bessent should be called the &#8220;Secretary of the Debt&#8221; instead of &#8220;Secretary of the Treasury.&#8221;
Schiff said the new Treasury Secretary&#8217;s job would be &#8220;to continue the Ponzi,&#8221; because Trump has promised tax cuts during his tenure.
Reducing tax collections could lead to higher government borrowings in the debt market, however, Trump remains confident that his proposed task force DOGE or the Department of Government Efficiency would successfully <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42131911/donald-trump-appointed-doge-to-have-marginal-impact-saving-50-100-billion-says-analyst-as-elon-musk-aims-to-target-500-billion-plus-in-federal-expenditures">reduce &#8220;wasteful spending&#8221;</a> without the need to borrow more.
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Trump picked Scott Bessent to be the new Secretary of the Treasury. But his actual title should be Secretary of the Debt. His job is to continue the Ponzi. He must find buyers for trillions in new Treasury debt each year and convince current holders to roll it over as it matures.
&mdash; Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) <a href="https://twitter.com/PeterSchiff/status/1860323656796185017?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 23, 2024</a></blockquote>
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See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/11/42150794/trump-picks-hedge-fund-exec-scott-bessent-as-treasury-secretary-what-president-elects-choice-means-for-americas-economic-future">Trump Picks Hedge Fund Exec Scott Bessent As Treasury Secretary: What President-Elect&#8217;s Choice Means For America&#8217;s Economic Future</a>
As Treasury Secretary, Bessent will replace outgoing Secretary Janet Yellen, overseeing financial institutions and combating financial crimes at a time when <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/42140842/sp-500-faces-volatile-2025-as-inflation-boom-could-return-bank-of-america-strategist" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">the national debt has ballooned to $36 trillion</a>.
It&#8217;s not just the ballooning deficit that is a cause of concern &#8211; the interest payments on this debt set the alarm bells ringing.
Billionaire investor Ray Dalio <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/40934156/billionaire-ray-dalio-warns-fed-faces-tough-road-ahead-balancing-interest-rate-cuts-and-enormous-us">warned that the U.S.</a> may have to resort to monetizing its debt, similar to Japan&#8217;s approach. This could lead to depreciated currency values and lower bond yields.
&#8220;I see a big depreciation in the value of that debt through a combination of artificial low real rates, so you won&#8217;t be compensated,&#8221; Dalio said.
The government has <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/09/40869188/robert-kiyosaki-rings-alarm-bells-over-soaring-us-debt-the-dollar-is-trash">already spent $1 trillion</a> on footing the interest bill on its national debt this year.
Why It Matters: The role of Treasury Security has been previously criticized by other economists as well. Gordon Johnson, chief executive officer and founder at GLJ Research, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42088394/economist-gordon-johnson-slams-federal-reserve-for-asset-owner-centric-policies-says-fed-needs-to-focus-on-the-real-economy-over-stock-markets">recently said in a podcast</a> that there is constant intervention by the U.S. Secretary of the Treasury, Janet Yellen along with Federal Reserve's Chairman, Jerome Powell, whenever there is a spike in the benchmark yields.
"In early 2024, the Fed cut its pace of quantitative tightening by $30 billion a month, which is just the amount they were letting roll off. And recently, Janet Yellen announced that she is going to buy $4 billion in U.S. Treasury bonds per week. There is just constant intervention by these entities whenever the yields start to spike. It's them trying to disallow any dysfunction or rather I would argue functioning in the Treasury markets."
Also read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42088394/economist-gordon-johnson-slams-federal-reserve-for-asset-owner-centric-policies-says-fed-needs-to-focus-on-the-real-economy-over-stock-markets">Gordon Johnson Slams Federal Reserve For Asset-Owner Centric Policies, Says Jerome Powell Needs To Focus On &#8216;Real Economy&#8217;: &#8216;&#8230;The Stock Market Will Be Fine&#8217;</a>
In October, Bessent assured that a new Trump administration would <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/10/41308042/trump-adviser-defends-ex-presidents-economic-policies-strong-dollar-would-natural" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">support a strong dollar</a>, countering previous suggestions of a weaker dollar to boost exports. According to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/11/41909846/trumps-treasury-pick-frontrunner-scott-bessent-could-shift-wall-street-crypto" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">betting markets</a>, Bessent was a frontrunner with an 82% probability of securing the nomination. His appointment could significantly impact Wall Street and the crypto sector.
Scott Bessent&#8217;s Holdings As Per 13F Filings
The latest <a href="https://13f.info/13f/000117266124004716-key-square-capital-management-llc-q3-2024">third-quarter 13F filing</a> from Bessent's Key Square Group fund shows that they have liquidated all their holding in the September quarter.
In the <a href="https://13f.info/13f/000117266124003417-key-square-capital-management-llc-q2-2024">second quarter</a>, the fund had a highly concentrated portfolio, with equal investments in two banking-focused ETFs: the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) and the SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KBE#NYSE">KBE</a>), each making up 50% of the fund.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/42137295/as-mstrs-michael-saylor-says-warren-buffett-is-destroying-berkshire-capital-analyst-suggests-overpricedhot-stock-market-could-be-the-reason-oracle-of-omaha-is-sitting-on-325b-cash">As MSTR&#8217;s Michael Saylor Says Warren Buffett Is &#8216;Destroying&#8217; Berkshire Capital, Analyst Suggests &#8216;Overpriced…Hot Stock Market&#8217; Could Be The Reason Oracle Of Omaha Is Sitting On $325B Cash</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Government

Treasuries

Economics

Federal Reserve

Economist Peter Schiff Criticizes Trump's Treasury Pick, Scott Bessent, Says He Will Have To Find Buyers For Trillions In New Debt Each Year: 'His Job Is To Continue The Ponzi'

President-elect Donald Trump has picked hedge fund executive Scott Bessent as the U.S. Treasury Secretary.
What Happened: Bessent, 62 and founder of Key Square Group, was a leading candidate, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/11/42091821/could-donald-trumps-potential-treasury-secretary-be-out-of-his-depth-on-crypto-policy-polymarket-traders-just-cant-decide-on-a-favorite">competing with</a> former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh and private equity executive Marc Rowan.
While sharing the decision on Friday via his social media platform Truth Social, Trump lauded Bessent as "one of the World's foremost International Investors and Geopolitical and Economic Strategists."
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img decoding="async" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/22205557/Screenshot-2024-11-23-at-7.25.49%E2%80%AFAM-900x1024.png" alt="" class="wp-image-661913" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Source: Truth Social</figcaption></figure>
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/legal/24/11/42147981/trumps-hush-money-sentencing-delayed-as-legal-immunity-debate-escalates">Trump&#8217;s Hush Money Sentencing Delayed As Legal Immunity Debate Escalates</a>
Bessent is known for his support of gradual tariffs and deregulation, aligning with Trump&#8217;s economic vision, which includes reviving manufacturing and achieving energy independence.
Despite his previous role as chief investment officer for George Soros' fund, Trump expressed confidence in Bessent&#8217;s ability to improve U.S. competitiveness and address trade imbalances.
Why It Matters: As Treasury Secretary, Bessent will replace outgoing Secretary Janet Yellen, overseeing financial institutions and combating financial crimes at a time when <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/42140842/sp-500-faces-volatile-2025-as-inflation-boom-could-return-bank-of-america-strategist">the national debt has ballooned to $36 trillion</a>.
According to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/11/41909846/trumps-treasury-pick-frontrunner-scott-bessent-could-shift-wall-street-crypto">betting markets</a>, Bessent was a frontrunner with an 82% probability of securing the nomination. His appointment could significantly impact Wall Street and the crypto sector.
In October, Bessent assured that a new Trump administration would <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/10/41308042/trump-adviser-defends-ex-presidents-economic-policies-strong-dollar-would-natural">support a strong dollar</a>, countering previous suggestions of a weaker dollar to boost exports.
Despite Elon Musk&#8217;s support for Howard Lutnick, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/24/11/42044642/trump-appears-frustrated-as-elon-musk-chimes-in-on-treasury-secretary-adds-more-names-to-a-list-of-potential-picks">Trump favored Bessent&#8217;s</a> business-as-usual approach.
In July, Bessent gained attention for his optimistic stance on cryptocurrency, suggesting he might support digital assets if confirmed. &#8220;Crypto is about freedom and the crypto economy is here to stay,&#8221; he stated at the time.
The latest 13F filing from Bessent&#8217;s Key Square Group fund shows a highly concentrated portfolio, with equal investments in two banking-focused ETFs: the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) and the SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KBE#NYSE">KBE</a>), each making up 50% of the fund.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42146895/are-you-rich-enough-to-benefit-from-trumps-tax-breaks-heres-how-much-youd-need-to-be-part-of-the-top-5">Are You Rich Enough To Benefit From Trump&#8217;s Tax Breaks? Here&#8217;s How Much You&#8217;d Need To Be Part Of The Top 5%</a></li>
</ul>
Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Neuro</a>&nbsp;and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Regulations

Trump Picks Hedge Fund Exec Scott Bessent As Treasury Secretary: What President-Elect's Choice Means For America's Economic Future

Prominent macro hedge fund manager Scott Bessent is emerging as the frontrunner for Treasury Secretary in <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump">President-elect Donald Trump's administration.</a>
According to betting markets, Bessent has surged well ahead of other contenders, positioning him as a top pick for the critical role at the Treasury.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Betting Markets Favor Bessent For Treasury</h3>
As of Nov. 12, betting odds on CFTC-regulated platform Kalshi show Bessent with an 82% probability of securing the nomination, followed by John Paulson at 7% and Jay Clayton at 3%. 
Bessent's background as a successful hedge fund manager with a macroeconomic focus appears to resonate with Trump's key advisers.
Bessent currently leads Key Square Group, a Connecticut-based hedge fund with assets under management (AUM) of approximately $307 million. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bessent's Take On Crypto: &#8216;Crypto Is About Freedom&#8217;</h3>
In July, Bessent made headlines with his bullish views on cryptocurrency, signaling he could be an advocate for digital assets if appointed. 
Speaking on Fox Business, he praised crypto for attracting a new generation of investors, especially those disillusioned by traditional markets after the 2008 financial crisis.
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Here are the full comments on <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/crypto?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#crypto</a> and <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#bitcoin</a> Bessent made on <a href="https://twitter.com/FoxBusiness?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@FoxBusiness</a> in July. <a href="https://t.co/3O09jKZLJD">https://t.co/3O09jKZLJD</a> <a href="https://t.co/ggeLHs5JVc">pic.twitter.com/ggeLHs5JVc</a>
&mdash; Eleanor Terrett (@EleanorTerrett) <a href="https://twitter.com/EleanorTerrett/status/1856204133901963512?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 12, 2024</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
"Crypto is about freedom and the crypto economy is here to stay," Bessent said.
"One of the most exciting things about Bitcoin is it's bringing in young people, people who haven't participated in markets before. A strong market culture in the U.S., with people believing the markets work for them, is a cornerstone of capitalism."
With Bessent at the Treasury, crypto advocates might hope for a more favorable regulatory environment. 
His positive views could align with policies that encourage innovation in digital assets, potentially supporting the growth and the rate of penatration of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) and other cryptocurrencies.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Wall Street Impact: Bessent&#8217;s Banking Playbook</h3>
Bessent's investment portfolio at Key Square Group offers insights into his potential impact on Wall Street. 
According to Key Square&#8217;s latest 13F filing, the fund held highly concentrated positions in two banking-focused ETFs: the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) and the SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KBE#NYSE">KBE</a>), each representing 50% of the fund&#8217;s portfolio.
Since the election results indicated a Trump victory and Republican control of Congress, the KRE ETF has rallied by 15.2%, and the KBE ETF has surged 13.5%, reflecting optimism about banking-friendly policies under the incoming administration.
Year-to-date, the KRE ETF is up 27%, while KBE has gained 34%.
For Wall Street, Bessent&#8217;s appointment might signal a Treasury more open to financial innovation, deregulation, and support for small and mid-sized banks. 
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/federal-reserve/24/11/41900128/trump-vs-powell-dec-18-fed-meeting-sets-stage-for-new-tensions">Trump Vs. Powell: Dec. 18 Fed Meeting Sets Stage For New Tensions</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Coverage of Bitcoin, Etherum, Ripple and all the latest digital currencies.

Cryptocurrency

Hedge Funds

$BTC

Trump's Treasury Pick Frontrunner Scott Bessent Could Shift Wall Street, Crypto

The &#8220;Trump-related everything rally&#8221; reignited across markets on Monday, with heightened focus on last week's top performers like small caps, financials, Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>), and cryptocurrencies, all surging as the <a href="https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&amp;source=web&amp;rct=j&amp;opi=89978449&amp;url=https://www.benzinga.com/markets&amp;ved=2ahUKEwiQxOXV7NSJAxWUTKQEHQWeNCEQFnoECB8QAQ&amp;usg=AOvVaw1FmExYgZnKyK1W0mkY7TrX">new trading week began.</a>
The Russell 2000 Index outperformed major large-cap indices, nearing a retest of its all-time high from November 2021.
Financials shone brightest again, with both large and regional banks posting strong gains. The SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) surged 3.9%, reaching levels last seen in August 2022.
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) also dominated headlines, surpassing the $85,000 milestone and fueling widespread gains across other crypto assets.
Major crypto-related stocks, including Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COIN#NASDAQ">COIN</a>), rallied nearly 22%, hitting highs last seen in late November 2021. MARA Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MARA#NASDAQ">MARA</a>) soared 25%, with Riot Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RIOT#NASDAQ">RIOT</a>) and CleanSpark Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CSLK#NASDAQ">CSLK</a>) both up by 21%.
Within tech, Tesla continued its rally, while the rest of the sector lagged, weighed down by sharp declines in semiconductors following new AI-related export restrictions to China, impacting Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSM#NYSE">TSM</a>).
Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar extended its gains, while Treasury yields held steady, with the 10-year yield hovering around 4.3%.
Prices tumbled in commodities, with the exception of natural gas, which rose roughly 10%. Gold dropped over 2%, and oil fell by 3%.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, ETF</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Index</th>
<th>Price</th>
<th>% chg (1 day)</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,437.75</td>
<td>1.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>44,328.14</td>
<td>0.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>6,001.80</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>21,060.25</td>
<td>-0.3%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:47 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent111124&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) held steady at $598.43.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;rose 0.7% to $443.23.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) inched 0.3% lower to $512.45.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) rose 1.6% to $242.00.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Financials Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) outperformed, rising 1.8%. The&nbsp;Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>) lagged, down 0.8%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
Stocks reacting to earnings reports were Monday.com ltd (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMDY#NASDAQ">AMDY</a>) down 15% and Aramark (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ARMK#NYSE">ARMK</a>), up 1%.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41883820/trump-trade-sparks-biggest-financial-stock-inflows-in-2-years">Trump Trade Sparks Biggest Financial Stock Inflows In 2 Years</a></li>
</ul>
Image created using artificial intelligence via Dall-E.

Equities

Large Cap

Macro Economic Events

Mid Cap

Small Cap

Tech

Tidal Trust II Yieldmax AMD Option Income Strategy ETF

AMDY

ARMK

COIN

CSLK

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust

MARA

RIOT

Small Caps, Financials Rally As Bitcoin Blasts Past $85,000: What's Driving Markets Monday?

Financial stocks are basking in a post-election rally after Donald Trump's election win as investors anticipate a friendlier regulatory landscape for banks, brokers and<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets"> consumer finance companies</a>.
With expectations of deregulation and possible tax cuts, traders are piling into financials at levels not seen in years.
The Financials Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) jumped over 5% last week, hitting fresh record highs, while weekly inflows surged to $1.573 billion—the highest in over two years. 
Regional banks, in particular, were on fire, with the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) skyrocketing nearly 11% and seeing $1.09 billion in inflows, marking its largest influx of money since March 2023.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Key Drivers: Deregulation, Tax Cuts Fuel Investor Optimism</h3>
Investors are betting on a wave of Trump-favored financial reforms that could benefit the sector. 
Richard Ramsden, a Goldman Sachs analyst, highlighted that "the market is pricing in the potential for changes to a number of proposed regulations, a step up in capital markets activity, as well as the potential for a reduction in the corporate tax rate."
Potential regulatory changes under Trump could include:
<ol>
<li>401K Reform: Opening up retirement plans to private investments could attract a flood of new capital.</li>
<li>Relaxed Antitrust Regulations: A more lenient antitrust stance may spark increased mergers and acquisitions (M&amp;A) activity.</li>
<li>Reduced SEC Oversight: There is limited clarity on whether the SEC will continue probing brokers' sweep pricing practices.</li>
<li>Crypto-Friendly Policies: Financial firms with crypto exposure may benefit from a more favorable regulatory environment and higher digital asset prices.</li>
</ol>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Goldman Sachs's Top Picks Among Financials Stocks</h3>
In anticipation of these shifts, Ramsden and his team have identified several top picks across the financial sector. 
Here's where they see the biggest potential gains:
<ul>
<li>Large Banks: Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>), JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>), and Wells Fargo &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>).</li>
<li>Consumer Finance: Bread Financial Holdings (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BFH#NYSE">BFH</a>), Synchrony Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SYF#NYSE">SYF</a>), and Capital One Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COF#NYSE">COF</a>).</li>
<li>Capital Markets: Blackstone Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BX#NYSE">BX</a>), Apollo Global Management Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APO#NYSE">APO</a>), KKR &amp; Co. Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KKR#NYSE">KKR</a>), LPL Financial Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LPLA#NASDAQ">LPLA</a>), Tradeweb Markets Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TW#NASDAQ">TW</a>), Evercore Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EVR#NYSE">EVR</a>), and PJT Partners Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PJT#NYSE">PJT</a>).</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Steeper Yield Curve Expected to Boost Regional Banks</h3>
As markets react to potential economic stimulus and reduced regulatory pressure, analysts anticipate a steeper yield curve, which could be a windfall for banks with heavy exposure to fixed-rate assets. 
Around 60% of both regional and large banks' balance sheets consist of fixed-rate holdings, positioning them to profit as long-term rates rise.
Ramsden's picks for banks that stand to gain the most from a steeper yield curve include:
Regional Banks: 
<ul>
<li>Citizens Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>)</li>
<li>Comerica Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>)</li>
<li>First Hawaiian Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FHB#NASDAQ">FHB</a>)</li>
<li>Zions Bancorporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ZION#NASDAQ">ZION</a>)</li>
<li>Truist Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TFC#NYSE">TFC</a>)</li>
<li>Huntington Bancshares Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HBAN#NASDAQ">HBAN</a>)</li>
<li>Regions Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RF#NYSE">RF</a>)</li>
<li>PNC Financial Services Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNC#NYSE">PNC</a>)</li>
<li>Ally Financial Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALLY#NYSE">ALLY</a>).</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Surge in Capital Velocity: M&amp;A and Trading Boost Expected</h3>
Trump's pro-business stance is also expected to accelerate capital velocity in the M&amp;A and equity capital markets, providing a strong backdrop for trading activity. 
According to Ramsden, large banks like Morgan Stanley (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MS#NYSE">MS</a>) could be the biggest beneficiaries, while among regional banks,&nbsp;KeyCorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KEY#NYSE">KEY</a>)&nbsp;and&nbsp;Citizens Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>)&nbsp;stand out.
Investment banks could also see a boost, with&nbsp;Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JEF#NYSE">JEF</a>),&nbsp;Moelis &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MC#NYSE">MC</a>),&nbsp;PJT Partners Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PJT#NYSE">PJT</a>), and&nbsp;Piper Sandler Companies (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PIPR#NYSE">PIPR</a>)&nbsp;positioned to capitalize on a more active M&amp;A market. 
In the alternative asset management space,&nbsp;Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CG#NASDAQ">CG</a>),&nbsp;KKR,&nbsp;Apollo,&nbsp;TPG Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TPG#NASDAQ">TPG</a>), and&nbsp;Ares Management Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ARES#NYSE">ARES</a>)&nbsp;are expected to benefit from an uptick in private equity deal flow.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Tax Cut Hopes Could Supercharge Regional Banks</h3>
Financial stocks are uniquely positioned to benefit from any corporate tax reductions, given that 90% of their earnings come from the U.S. and are currently taxed at an average rate of 23%. After the 2017 tax reform slashed the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%, financials saw their effective tax rate drop by 10 percentage points.
Ramsden estimates that if the Trump administration pursues another tax cut, regional banks would likely see the most significant upside. 
His top tax-cut beneficiaries include&nbsp;Moelis &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MC#NYSE">MC</a>),&nbsp;American Express Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AXP#NYSE">AXP</a>),&nbsp;Evercore Inc.,&nbsp;Bread Financial Holdings,&nbsp;Piper Sandler,&nbsp;First Citizens BancShares Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCNCA#NASDAQ">FCNCA</a>),&nbsp;Synovus Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNV#NYSE">SNV</a>), and&nbsp;Western Alliance Bancorporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WAL#NYSE">WAL</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Insurers to Benefit from Steeper Curve, P&amp;C Pricing Power</h3>
The insurance sector may also stand to gain under Trump's pro-business policies. Ramsden expects potential increases in claim costs but sees positive momentum for property and casualty pricing.
Insurers with substantial U.S. exposure and a favorable position on the yield curve could see tailwinds.
Ramsden's picks in the insurance space include&nbsp;W.R. Berkley Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WRB#NYSE">WRB</a>),&nbsp;Hartford Financial Services Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HIG#NYSE">HIG</a>), and&nbsp;The Travelers Companies Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRV#NYSE">TRV</a>), which he believes are better positioned than brokers to benefit from these trends.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/11/41857487/exclusive-trump-victory-triggers-reshoring-rally-as-supply-chain-security-outweighs-cost">EXCLUSIVE: Trump Victory Triggers &#8216;Reshoring&#8217; Rally As Supply Chain Security Outweighs Cost</a></li>
</ul>
Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney and Shutterstock.

ALLY

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Trump Trade Sparks Biggest Financial Stock Inflows In 2 Years

Donald Trump&#8216;s election as the 47th president of the United States sent Wall Street into a frenzy, driving major stock indexes to once <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41807254/trump-election-raises-odds-of-roaring-2020s-scenario-veteran-wall-street-investor-s">again break record highs.</a>
Investors are betting that Trump&#8217;s potential policies — such as lower corporate and individual taxes, coupled with deregulation in the financial sector — will spur growth for corporate America. They may be underestimating the impact of higher deficits <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/24/11/41695926/a-republican-sweep-might-be-the-most-inflationary-election-outcome-economists-warn">and tariffs on inflation.</a>
Among mega-cap companies, Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) stood out, soaring about 30% this week, which significantly boosted <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/41813356/elon-musks-net-worth-soars-by-26-5-billion-in-single-day-after-tesla-stock-surges-post-trump-vic">Elon Musk's wealth</a> in the wake of Trump's victory.
Small- and mid-sized stocks outperformed large caps, driven by expectations that trade restrictions could favor domestic businesses over global corporations. The Russell 2000 index, as tracked by the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>), recorded its strongest week since April 2020, while regional banks – tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) – rallied to levels last seen before <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/24/11/41788181/regional-bank-stocks-notch-strongest-day-in-4-years-why-analysts-expect-several-tailwinds-from-t">the March 2023 crisis.</a>
Cryptocurrencies were another major winner post-election, with Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) hitting new all-time highs as traders anticipate a favorable regulatory landscape for digital assets in a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/11/41832345/bitcoin-ethereum-rise-dogecoin-steady-after-fed-cuts-rate-analyst-predicts-apex-cryptos-ne">second Trump term.</a>
On Thursday, the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/41820253/fed-cuts-interest-rates-to-lowest-since-february-2023-sticks-to-data-driven-path">Federal Reserve cut interest rates</a> by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.5%-4.75%, as anticipated. This move further bolstered investor risk appetite, propelling the combined market valuation of the Magnificent Seven tech giants past the $17 trillion mark, setting a new record.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Powell Vs. Trump</h3>
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell downplayed Trump's threat of his removal, though economists anticipate the new president may not extend Powell's term beyond its 2026 expiration. Powell adopted a dovish tone, minimizing concerns over rising Treasury yields, which markets attribute <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41849984/powell-brushes-off-trumps-removal-threat-economists-say-2026-could-be-his-last-stand">to renewed inflation expectations.</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Trump&#8217;s Tech Threat</h3>
A Trump victory could stall growth in the tech and EV sectors and slow the pace of AI advancements. Analysts warn that policies under Trump might limit innovation, affecting industries that rely on technology <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41755274/trump-win-could-hinder-tech-ev-sector-growth-slow-the-pace-of-ai-revolution-analyst">and sustainability-focused investments.</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Performance By Sector Under Trump</h3>
Analyzing S&amp;P 500 sector performance during Trump's first term reveals technology and consumer discretionary sectors outperformed, while energy lagged. In the first three months following Trump&#8217;s 2016 election,<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/politics/24/11/41783357/how-did-s-p-500-sectors-perform-during-trumps-first-term-could-this-time-be-different"> financials stocks outperformed.</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Consumer Sentiment Rises</h3>
U.S. consumer morale hit a six-month high, surpassing forecasts, and inflation expectations dropped to a four-year low, according to a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/41848568/us-consumer-sentiment-rises-more-than-predicted-to-6-month-highs-inflation-expectations-hit-4-year-low">University of Michigan survey</a> released Friday.
Illustration created using artificial intelligence via MidJourney.

Bonds

Movers

Trump's Win Sends Wall Street To Record Highs; Small Caps, Tesla Outperform, Fed Cuts Interest Rates: This Week In The Market

Financial stocks have surged ahead of tech in year-to-date performance, fueled by a Trump-led rally on Wednesday that lifted banks and brokers amid investor expectations of a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump">deregulation-friendly political landscape ahead.</a>
The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) has risen by 30% in 2024, outpacing the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>), which is up 26% this year. 
Small and mid-sized banks, tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>), have also seen strong performance, with a 13% jump following election results, bringing them in line with tech sector gains. 
Financial stocks, which have lagged behind technology for six of the past seven years, are now catching up, propelled by renewed optimism for deregulation and M&amp;A activities.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Analysts Expect M&amp;A Activity to Heat Up</h1>
With the Trump administration&#8217;s return to the White House, analysts are projecting a significant uptick in mergers and acquisitions (M&amp;A) in the financial sector.
&#8220;Under the upcoming Trump II administration, we expect a more favorable backdrop for M&amp;A which could lead to additional activity in the space after having been quiet for the past few years,&#8221; said Anthony Elian, CFA, analyst at JPMorgan.
Lower regulatory barriers could pave the way for consolidation among smaller banks, while larger financial institutions are expected to benefit from a more active capital markets environment. 
Read also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/24/11/41788181/regional-bank-stocks-notch-strongest-day-in-4-years-why-analysts-expect-several-tailwinds-from-t">Regional Bank Stocks Notch Strongest Day In 4 Years: Why Analysts Expect &#8216;Several Tailwinds&#8217; From Trump Policies</a>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">A Lighter Regulatory Touch Boosts FinTech and Digital Assets</h1>
Devin Ryan, analyst at Citizens JMP Securities, highlighted that a Trump-led "sweep of Congress" could significantly ease regulatory pressures for the broader financial and fintech sectors.
&#8220;The &#8216;Trump Trade&#8217; had already been underway in the market in recent weeks, but the resounding presidential win, and perhaps more importantly, likely sweep of Congress, is adding fuel to the fire in stock moves,&#8221; Ryan explained.
For fintech firms, this shift could relieve recent regulatory scrutiny, particularly in areas such as connectivity with traditional banks and practices overseen by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB). Companies involved in digital assets stand to benefit even more, as regulatory clarity would open the door for new market entrants and increase industry participation.
"Digital assets could arguably be the biggest winner of them all," said Ryan, who sees sentiment in the space "improving materially from here." 
Ryan indicates the political climate has shifted to one more favorable for cryptocurrencies, as policymakers begin to recognize the economic and electoral weight of pro-crypto sentiment.
The expert is particularly bullish on several key players in the financial sector. 
Among asset managers and retail brokers poised to capitalize on the deregulation wave, Citizens JMP Securities&#8217; top picks are:
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Company</th>
<th>Price Target</th>
<th>Sector</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Perella Weinberg Partners (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PWP#NASDAQ">PWP</a>)</td>
<td> $26</td>
<td> Investment Banking</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Blue Owl Capital Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OWL#NYSE">OWL</a>)</td>
<td> $25</td>
<td> Alternative Asset Mgmt</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CG#NASDAQ">CG</a>)</td>
<td> $60</td>
<td> Private Equity</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>LPL Financial (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LPLA#NASDAQ">LPLA</a>)</td>
<td>$310</td>
<td> Wealth Management</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Charles Schwab Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCHW#NYSE">SCHW</a>)</td>
<td> $84</td>
<td> Retail Brokerage</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
In fintech, Ryan sees considerable upside for digital asset players and platforms with a strong foothold in crypto and private markets. His top picks include:
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Company</th>
<th>Price Target</th>
<th>Key Segment</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Robinhood Markets Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HOOD#NASDAQ">HOOD</a>)</td>
<td> $33</td>
<td> Retail Brokerage, Crypto</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Forge Global Holdings Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FRGE#NYSE">FRGE</a>)</td>
<td> $7</td>
<td> Private Markets</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dave Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DAVE#NASDAQ">DAVE</a>)</td>
<td> $75</td>
<td> FinTech, Consumer Finance</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COIN#NASDAQ">COIN</a>)</td>
<td> $320</td>
<td> Crypto Exchange</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
According to Ryan, Robinhood is expected to expand its crypto offerings, potentially enhancing customer engagement, while Forge Global is poised to gain from rising sentiment in private markets.
Coinbase, the largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange, stands to benefit from clearer regulatory guidelines and the growing acceptance of crypto assets.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41807254/trump-election-raises-odds-of-roaring-2020s-scenario-veteran-wall-street-investor-s">Trump Election Raises Odds Of &#8216;Roaring 2020s Scenario,&#8217; Veteran Wall Street Investor Says: How High Could US Stock Market Rise?</a></li>
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Photo: Shutterstock

Fintech news covering the emerging Financial Technology services sector

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9 Stocks To Watch As Bank Stocks Blow Past Tech Names In 2024: Thank The 'Trump Trade'

Shares of major U.S. banks including JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>) and Wells Fargo &amp; Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>) surged on Wednesday following Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 presidential election. Investors are betting on the potential for softer regulations under a GOP-led administration. Here&#8217;s <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/11/41768178/donald-trump-defeats-kamala-harris-to-win-2024-election">what you need to know.</a>
What To Know: The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KBE#NYSE">KBE</a>) saw a rise of more than 11%, while the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>), which focuses on smaller banks, surged over 13%, both hitting new 52-week highs on Wednesday.
Following Trump's election win this week, Wall Street analysts have noted a potential shift in the regulatory environment for the banking industry, according to <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/06/bank-stocks-advance-in-overnight-trading-as-robinhood-traders-bet-on-less-regulation-with-trump.html">CNBC</a>.
Bank of America analyst Ebrahim Poonawala called the election outcome "positive for bank stocks" and predicted a "more balanced regulatory backdrop."
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/24/11/41783392/jamie-dimon-doesnt-plans-to-join-trump-administration-affirms-commitment-to-jpmorgan">Jamie Dimon Doesn&#8217;t Plan To Join Trump Administration, Affirms Commitment to JPMorgan</a>
Jaret Seiberg, an analyst at TD Cowen, noted that a Trump presidency could mean reduced scrutiny from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB).
&#8220;Donald Trump is the candidate where you ignore what he says and focus on what you expect him to do," Seiberg wrote in a client note, adding that Trump's regulators would likely scale back on CFPB enforcement and reassess capital requirements for big banks.
Seiberg also pointed out that banks might benefit from lower capital requirements, stable credit card fee policies and friendlier crypto regulations. However, he cautioned that Trump's stance on tariffs and immigration could create inflationary pressures.
Price Action: JPMorgan Chase shares closed Wednesday up 11.5% at $247.06, Bank of America shares closed up 8.38% at $45.39 and Wells Fargo shares closed the day up 13.2% at $72.54 according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro.</a>
Photo: Shutterstock.

JPMorgan, Bank Of America And Wells Fargo Shares Surged Wednesday: Here's Why

Regional bank stocks surged on Wednesday, marking their strongest one-day performance in four years as investors bet on a more favorable banking sector environment when Donald Trump returns <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump">to the White House.</a>
The SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) — which tracks a basket of 147 small- and mid-cap U.S. banks — jumped 13.4%, posting its largest rally since November 2020. Back then, the announcement of the first COVID-19 vaccine sparked a broad market rebound.
In Wednesday's trading, regional banks outshined even the biggest U.S. banks. Financials were the top-performing sector in the S&amp;P 500, with the Financials Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) rising 6%. 
Yet regional banks saw an even greater lift, driven by expectations that Trump&#8217;s policies will uniquely benefit smaller, domestic-focused institutions.
The strength in regional banks also fueled a broader rally in small-cap stocks. The Russell 2000 index, which includes a significant portion of regional banks, surged 6% as investor optimism spread across smaller, U.S.-centric companies.
Regional banks are the most representative sector of the Russell 2000 index, which soared by 6% on Wednesday. 
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Chart: Regional Banks Mark Best Day Since Covid-19 Vaccine Announcement </h4>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="501" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160718/image-65-1024x501.png" alt="" class="wp-image-633735" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160718/image-65-1024x501.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160718/image-65-300x147.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160718/image-65-768x376.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160718/image-65-1536x752.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160718/image-65.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">JPMorgan&#8217;s Elian Identifies 7 Tailwinds For Regional Banks</h3>
JPMorgan analyst Anthony Elian sees multiple factors that could fuel a strong performance for regional banks under Trump&#8217;s leadership.
&#8220;We view these results as being favorable for the regional bank sector tied to several tailwinds,&#8221; Elian wrote in a note on Wednesday. 
He highlighted seven main drivers:
<ol>
<li>Increased lending activity – A pro-business and onshoring agenda is expected to boost lending, potentially driving a revival in loan growth across the industry.</li>
<li>Lower corporate taxes – Trump&#8217;s anticipated tax cuts could enhance profitability for regional banks by reducing their tax burden.</li>
<li>Eased regulatory environment – According to Elian, &#8220;a second Trump administration would include an easier backdrop for regulation for the industry,&#8221; which could help banks reduce compliance costs and expand operations.</li>
<li>Uptick in M&amp;A activity – With a favorable regulatory climate, the sector could see an increase in mergers and acquisitions, a trend that was prevalent during Trump's first term and could benefit mid-sized banks seeking growth.</li>
<li>Attractive valuations – Elian noted that regional banks remain undervalued by historical standards, suggesting &#8220;there is still material upside on the table.&#8221;</li>
<li>Steep Treasury yield curve, Fed still in easing mode – With the Treasury yield curve in a steep pattern and the Federal Reserve to keep lowering rates, regional banks could benefit from improved net interest margins (NIMs) and net interest income (NII), boosting their earnings and profitability over time.</li>
<li>Underweight positioning – Elian highlighted that investors are still largely underweight on regional bank stocks, indicating room for increased demand as sentiment shifts.</li>
</ol>
JPMorgan&#8217;s Elian identified a few standout names in the regional banking space. Among his top picks are First Citizens BancShares, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCNCA#NASDAQ">FCNCA</a>) and Western Alliance Bancorporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WAL#NYSE">WAL</a>), both of which are well-positioned to take advantage of the expected uptrend in the sector.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Trump&#8217;s 2016 Win Offers Historical Context For Sector Rally</h3>
The market's optimism is further bolstered by historical precedent. Regional bank stocks were among the biggest early beneficiaries following Trump's 2016 election victory.
Between Nov. 9, 2016, and Jan. 10, 2017, the KRE ETF surged nearly 20%, significantly outperforming other sectors during that period.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Chart: Performance Of Regional Bank ETF (Nov. 9, 2016 &#8211; Jan. 10, 2017) </h4>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="501" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160352/image-64-1024x501.png" alt="" class="wp-image-633728" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160352/image-64-1024x501.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160352/image-64-300x147.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160352/image-64-768x376.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160352/image-64-1536x752.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160352/image-64.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/politics/24/11/41783357/how-did-s-p-500-sectors-perform-during-trumps-first-term-could-this-time-be-different">How Did S&amp;P 500 Sectors Perform During Trump&#8217;s First Term? Could This Time Be Different?</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Midjourney

Regional Bank Stocks Notch Strongest Day In 4 Years: Why Analysts Expect 'Several Tailwinds' From Trump Policies

An &#8220;everything rally&#8221; powered Wall Street on Wednesday after the 2024 election results, with Donald Trump emerging as the clear presidential winner. The Republican Party reclaimed control of the Senate, while the House of Representatives leans Republican <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41778433/s-p-500-dow-hit-record-highs-after-trump-win-fear-index-drops-20">but remains undecided.</a>
The major U.S. equity indices – the S&amp;P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq 100 – surged to record highs in early trading, as investor optimism grew on expectations of more favorable tax policies. 
The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow posted gains of 2.3%, 2.4%, and 3.3%, respectively.
However, the real standouts were small caps and bank stocks, with investors turning to domestic businesses and U.S. banks in anticipation of potential tariff protections and further financial deregulation. 
The Russell 2000 jumped 5.5%, marking its largest single-day increase in two years. 
Large-cap bank stocks climbed 6%, while regional banks tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) soared 13%—both seeing their biggest one-day gains since November 2020, when the first COVID-19 vaccine was announced.
Clean energy stocks were among the day's worst performers, with the Invesco Solar ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TAN#NYSE">TAN</a>) plunging 11% for its steepest drop since March 2020, as investors braced for potential rollbacks on green initiatives under the Trump administration.
In the foreign exchange market, the U.S. dollar initially rallied nearly 2% before paring gains to 1.4% as traders awaited a Federal Reserve interest rate cut on Thursday.
Treasury yields spiked as expectations rose for larger budget deficits under Republican fiscal policies and higher inflation due to potential tariffs. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed 14 basis points to 4.41%, reaching a four-month high.
Gold prices fell 2.8%, silver dropped over 4%, while natural gas rose 3.8%. Oil prices remained steady.
In the cryptocurrency market, risk appetite thrived, with Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) rising over 8% to reach a record high of $75,000. Ethereum (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/eth/usd">ETH</a>) gained 10%, and Dogecoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/doge/usd">DOGE</a>) surged 14%, the strongest performance among the top 10 cryptocurrencies.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, Sectors</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day % chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,388.20</td>
<td>5.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>43,739.86</td>
<td>3.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,740.09</td>
<td>2.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,922.98</td>
<td>2.4%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 1:30 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Sector</th>
<th>1-day % chg</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Financials</td>
<td>6.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Energy</td>
<td>4.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Industrials</td>
<td>3.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cons. Discretionary</td>
<td>2.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Technology</td>
<td>2.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Communications</td>
<td>1.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Materials</td>
<td>1.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Health Care</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Utilities</td>
<td>-0.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cons. Staples</td>
<td>-1.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Real Estate</td>
<td>-3.3%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 1:30 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent110624&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a> data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) rose 2.4% to $590.30.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;rallied 3.5% to $437.05.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) soared 2.5% to $504.69.</li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) spiked 5.6% to $236.23.</li>
<li>The Financials Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) outperformed, rising 6%. The Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLRE#NYSE">XLRE</a>) lagged, down 3.3%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
Stocks reacting to earnings reports were: 
<ul>
<li>Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ADM#NYSE">ADM</a>), up 2%, </li>
<li>Devon Energy Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DVN#NYSE">DVN</a>), up 1.8%, </li>
<li>Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMCI#NASDAQ">SMCI</a>), down 22%, </li>
<li>CVS Health Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVS#NYSE">CVS</a>), up 12%,</li>
<li>DBA Sempra (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SRE#NYSE">SRE</a>), up 5.8%, </li>
<li>American Electric Power Company Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AEP#NASDAQ">AEP</a>), down 3%, </li>
<li>Cencora Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COR#NYSE">COR</a>), up 5.5%, </li>
<li>Howmet Aerospace Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HWM#NYSE">HWM</a>), up 10.7%, </li>
</ul>
Major companies moving in reaction to election results were: 
<ul>
<li>Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>), up 14.8%, </li>
<li>Capital One Financial Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COF#NYSE">COF</a>), up 14.4%, </li>
<li>Morgan Stanley (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MS#NYSE">MS</a>), up 13.1%, </li>
<li>Wells Fargo &amp; Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>), up 13.1%, </li>
<li>The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>), up 12.9%. </li>
</ul>
The rallies in the stock and crypto markets drove shares of Robinhood Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HOOD#NASDAQ">HOOD</a>) and Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COIN#NASDAQ">COIN</a>) up by 18% and 26%, respectively.
Major losers among clean energy stocks included Enphase Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ENPH#NASDAQ">ENPH</a>) and First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FSLR#NASDAQ">FSLR</a>), down 16.7% and 10.5%, respectively. 
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/technicals/24/11/41781115/stock-of-the-day-trump-media-technology-hits-resistance-reverses-and-trends-lower">Stock Of The Day: Trump Media &amp; Technology Hits Resistance, Reverses And Trends Lower</a></li>
</ul>
Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

Earnings

Commodities

Forex

$DOGE

$ETH

ENPH

FSLR

SMCI

XLRE

Select Sector SPDR-Consumer Discretionary

Trump's Win Sends Indices To Record Highs; Financials, Small Caps Surge, Bitcoin Tops $75,000: What's Driving Markets Wednesday?

- American Bankers Association Event, <a href="https://www.aba.com/training-events/conferences/annual-convention/program" title="https://www.aba.com/training-events/conferences/annual-convention/program">https://www.aba.com/training-events/conferences/annual-convention/program</a>

U.S. Treasury's Yellen Says Have Been Hearing From Banks That Burdens Of Regulatory Compliance Have Become Quite Extraordinary; Predisposed Towards Robust Capital And Liquidity Requirements To Ensure That Banking System Can Support The Economy; Sound Banking System Helped U.S. To Weather Covid-Related Financial Turbulence; Hopes Tailoring Of Regulations Can Help Reduce Compliance Burdens For Smaller Banks

The U.S. regional <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/banks">banking sector is showing resilience</a> as several mid- and small-cap banks delivered stronger-than-expected third-quarter earnings, according to JPMorgan analyst Anthony Elian.
In a note on the sector's third-quarter earnings season, Elian highlighted widespread earnings beats and favorable outlooks, suggesting that regional bank stocks have room for <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/regional-banks">further upside into 2025. </a>
In addition to strong earnings reports, the Fed&#8217;s expected gradual rate cuts, the yield curve de-inverting, easing credit quality concerns, potential capital returns, and underweight positioning by investors all lead Elian to say he is &#8220;encouraged about the direction of regional banks.&#8221;
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Earnings Beats Drive Outperformance</h3>
One week into the earnings season, seven regional banks in JPMorgan's coverage universe have reported results, with five of them beating core earnings-per-share (EPS) estimates. The primary driver behind these beats was stronger-than-expected net interest margins (NIM) and net interest income (NII).
As a result, regional bank stocks, represented by the SPDR Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>), have outperformed the broader market, as gauged by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), so far this month.
&#8220;With more beats than misses and 4Q24 outlooks generally trending better than prior consensus expectations, regional banks are outperforming through earnings season so far,&#8221; Elian noted.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Banking Sector&#8217;s Third-Quarter Trends</h3>
Several fundamental trends emerged for U.S. banks during the quarter. 
Average deposits increased at a 7% annualized rate, while average loans grew by 2% annually. On a period-end basis, deposits rose at an even stronger 11% annualized pace, and loans increased by 3% annually. Importantly, NII expanded at a robust 12% annualized rate. 
Despite some concerns over office loans, credit quality remained stable overall, though a few banks reported increases in non-performing assets (NPAs) related to office loans.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bullish Outlook For Fourth Quarter And Beyond</h3>
Looking ahead, the outlook for the fourth quarter remains largely positive. 
Many banks are guiding for modest growth across key metrics such as loan growth, NII, and fee income, while expense growth is expected to remain controlled. 
Despite near-term headwinds, most banks in Elian's coverage universe expressed optimism about the NII trajectory into 2025, particularly as the Federal Reserve is expected to reduce interest rates further.
With &#8220;the Fed continuing to reduce the funds rate, this outlook should be further supported by an eventual rebound in commercial loan demand across the industry,&#8221; Elian said.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Regional Banks&#8217; Valuation And Investment Outlook</h3>
Regional banks are still trading below historical valuations. JPMorgan&#8217;s coverage universe is currently priced at 1.3x 2025 estimated tangible book value (TBV), compared to the historical range of 1.8x to 2.0x.
This indicates substantial upside potential for a re-rating of the sector, particularly as investors remain underweight regional bank stocks. &#8220;Expect the sector to re-rate higher as investors recognize their improved financial health and earnings potential,&#8221; Elian noted.
Elian&#8217;s top picks for the sector include First Citizens BancShares Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCNCA#NASDAQ">FCNCA</a>), Western Alliance Bancorp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WAL#NYSE">WAL</a>), and Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNFP#NASDAQ">PNFP</a>), all of which are well-positioned to capitalize on favorable market dynamics and potential earnings growth into 2025.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/10/41488744/mortgage-applications-fall-for-fourth-straight-week-as-high-rates-squeeze-homebuy">Mortgage Applications Fall For Fourth Straight Week As High Rates Squeeze Homebuyers</a></li>
</ul>
Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

PNFP

3 Regional Bank Stock Picks From JPMorgan: Analyst 'Encouraged' After Solid Q3

U.S. banks are preparing to slash interest payments on corporate deposits as the Federal Reserve&#8217;s recent <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/interest-rates">rate cuts take effect. </a>
Following the Fed's decision in September to lower its benchmark rate by 50 basis points, the first reduction in over four years, U.S. financial institutions are focusing on corporate deposits as a key area to maintain profit margins amid declining interest levels, according to a report from the <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/1056329a-9500-468f-89b7-1834ba6e6090">Financial Times</a>.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Corporate Deposit Rates Come Under Pressure</h3>
In the wake of the Federal Reserve&#8217;s rapid rate hikes through 2022 and early 2023, banks increased interest payments on deposits to retain customers.
As benchmark interest rates soared to 23-year highs, corporate depositors, in particular, saw rates on their accounts rise sharply with Fed policy, the FT reported. These accounts became a significant tool for banks to attract and retain capital, preventing businesses from shifting funds into higher-yielding alternatives like money market funds.
With the recent rate cuts and more expected in the coming months, U.S. banks are now focusing on reducing the costs associated with these corporate deposits.
Several industry executives have echoed this sentiment. Bruce Van Saun, CEO of Citizens Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>), told the FT that banks are actively pricing down deposits in corporate accounts since &#8220;they were demanding every penny on the way up.&#8221;
This trend is likely to continue, with projections indicating that the Fed&#8217;s rates could fall from 5% to around 3% by 2026.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Banks Leverage Flexibility Amid Weak Loan Demand</h3>
The environment of lower interest rates has also coincided with a downturn in loan demand. 
While this has pressured banks&#8217; net interest income, it has provided more flexibility when it comes to adjusting deposit rates. 
Jason Goldberg, a research analyst at Barclays, told the FT: "it's still very early in the cycle, but you certainly have started to see banks take action a little bit prior to this Fed cut in mid-September."
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Small, Midsized Banks Eye Margin Protections</h3>
Mid-sized and smaller U.S. banks have been under significant pressure to raise the interest rates they offer on savings accounts in order to prevent customers from moving their money elsewhere. 
This competition has been especially tough for regional banks, while larger institutions like JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>) and Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>) have had an advantage. Nearly one-third of JPMorgan deposits earn no interest, the FT report said. 
Citizens Financial, which holds approximately $175 billion in deposits, is among the regional players employing sophisticated models to balance customer retention with deposit rate cuts. 
Van Saun reportedly said the bank takes a &#8220;very, very scientific&#8221; approach to pricing deposits, ensuring that rates are high enough to keep corporate clients satisfied but not so high as to erode profitability.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Implications For Bank Stocks </h3>
Shares of major U.S. financial institutions, tracked by the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>), are trading at record highs following a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41331839/financial-sector-hits-record-highs-as-goldman-sachs-bank-of-america-citi-beat-q3-ea">robust third-quarter earnings season. </a>
Major banks like JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>) , Bank of America, Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>), Morgan Stanley (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MS#NYSE">MS</a>) and Wells Fargo &amp; Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>) all exceeded earnings expectations, brightening the outlook for their shareholders.
For these large institutions, the planned cuts in corporate deposit rates could further bolster their profit margins, or at the very least help them maintain profitability. Their scale and perceived safety make it unlikely that such moves will result in significant withdrawals, providing a strategic advantage.
In contrast, smaller and mid-sized banks, represented by the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>), have less flexibility to cut interest rates on corporate deposits without risking customer attrition. 
With heightened competition in the sector, these banks are in a more precarious position — overly aggressive cuts could prompt corporate depositors to move their funds elsewhere. As a result, these institutions may face pressure on their profit margins to keep depositors satisfied.
A silver lining could exist: for regional banks: lower interest rates might stimulate loan demand, which could help offset the pressure on deposit funding costs by increasing lending volumes.
Read now: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41402089/goldman-sachs-highlights-20-top-short-squeeze-opportunities-for-q3-earnings-season">Goldman Sachs Highlights 20 Top Short-Squeeze Opportunities For Q3 Earnings Season</a></li>
</ul>
Photo via Shutterstock.

Media

US Banks Plan Sharp Cuts In Corporate Deposit Returns As Fed Lowers Interest Rates: Could Financial Stocks Take A Hit?

The Russell 2000 Index, a benchmark for small-cap stocks, is on the verge of a significant technical breakout that could push it to levels not seen <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap">since late November 2021. </a>
On Wednesday, the index is testing a crucial resistance zone around the 2,300-point level, a ceiling last reached on July 31.
While the S&amp;P 500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 have set fresh all-time highs in 2024, the Russell 2000, as tracked by the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>), still remains 6.7% below its peak.
Market participants are now closely watching whether small-cap stocks can rally to catch up large-cap counterparts on the back of economic growth resilience and lower interest rates. 
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="496" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16115917/image-122-1024x496.png" alt="" class="wp-image-598678" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16115917/image-122-1024x496.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16115917/image-122-300x145.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16115917/image-122-768x372.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16115917/image-122-1536x744.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16115917/image-122.png 1768w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Chart: <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent101624&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a></figcaption></figure>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Strong Economy, Lower Interest Rates Could Propel Small Caps</h1>
&#8220;Small caps have been stuck in a consolidation range over the last few months as investors questioned the likelihood of a soft-landing scenario and the path of monetary policy. Small caps tend to be more sensitive to economic conditions and interest rates versus their larger cap peers,&#8221; commented Adam Turnquist, chief technical strategist at LPL Financial. 
The outlook for small caps has brightened amid strong economic data and optimism surrounding Federal Reserve policy. 
The U.S. economy continues to show resilience, with the Atlanta Fed GDPNow model forecasting 3.2% GDP growth for the fourth quarter of 2024, marking an acceleration from 3% growth in the third quarter. 
Additionally, the U.S. labor market has recently outperformed even the rosiest expectations, with 254,000 jobs added in September, marking the strongest monthly job growth in six months. This was a substantial increase from the 159,000 jobs added in August, far surpassing forecasts of 140,000. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, while wage growth also accelerated.
Turnquist highlighted, &#8220;With the growth outlook recently improving — underpinned by better-than-feared labor market conditions — and increased visibility into Fed rate cuts, the Russell 2000 has rallied off the lower end of its rising price channel.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Bank Stocks Bolster Small-Cap Performance</h1>
The banking sector has been a key driver behind the recent surge in small-cap stocks, fueled by solid earnings from major financial heavyweights.
Leading U.S. banks — including JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>), Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>), Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>), Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>), Wells Fargo &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>), Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BK#NYSE">BK</a>), and Charles Schwab Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCHW#NYSE">SCHW</a>) — all reported better-than-expected thrid-quarter earnings, sparking investor optimism in <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41331839/financial-sector-hits-record-highs-as-goldman-sachs-bank-of-america-citi-beat-q3-ea">the broader financial sector.</a>
The bullish momentum on large banks has had a ripple effect on regional banks, which make up the largest sector of the Russell 2000. 
The SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) extended its rally to six consecutive days, fully rebounding from the banking crisis triggered in March 2023 by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="501" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16120439/image-123-1024x501.png" alt="" class="wp-image-598691" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16120439/image-123-1024x501.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16120439/image-123-300x147.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16120439/image-123-768x376.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16120439/image-123-1536x752.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16120439/image-123.png 1748w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Chart: <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent101624&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a></figcaption></figure>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Russell 2000: Technical Outlook</h1>
&#8220;Technically, a close above 2,275 would confirm a breakout from its current symmetrical triangle and leave the 2021 highs as the next resistance hurdle to clear. Momentum indicators have also recently turned bullish, adding to the evidence of a topside breakout,&#8221; Turnquist explained.
However, it&#8217;s important to note that despite recent improvements, the Russell 2000&#8217;s relative performance against the S&amp;P 500 — tracked by the IWM/SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) ratio — remains in a downtrend. 
The ratio is still below its declining 200-day moving average, signaling that small caps have yet to fully outperform their large-cap counterparts. 
&#8220;A close above the July highs would validate a trend reversal in favor of small caps outperforming,&#8221; Turnquist added.
Read Now:
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</ul>
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Technicals

Russell 2000 Poised For Major Technical Breakout: Analyst Eyes 'A Trend Reversal In Favor Of Small Caps Outperforming' S&P 500

Small-cap stocks outperformed large caps in Wednesday's session, with the Russell 2000 Index surging to test July 2024 highs on the back of expectations for interest rate cuts and a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/regional-banks">strong rally in regional banks. </a>
Financial stocks continued their upward momentum, buoyed by strong earnings reports. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MS#NYSE">MS</a>) significantly beat expectations, propelling its stock up by 8% to new all-time highs.
Regional banks, as tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>), rallied 2.1%, hitting levels last seen in early March 2023, prior to the fallout of Silicon Valley Bank.
Airlines also soared, with United Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>) posting an 11% rally. The surge lifted the entire industry, as tracked by the U.S. Global Jets ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JETS#NYSE">JETS</a>), which reached its highest level since July 2023.
The tech sector lagged, weighed down by weak performance in semiconductors. The industry was still reeling from ASML Holding N.V. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ASML#NASDAQ">ASML</a>)&#8217;s earnings shock on Tuesday, after the company slashed its 2025 revenue outlook, triggering a broad selloff in chipmakers.
Both the Nasdaq 100 and semiconductor stocks remained flat on Wednesday.
In the currency market, the U.S. Dollar Index was poised to log its 12th positive day in the last 13 sessions. Treasury yields edged lower. Oil prices saw a slight decline of 0.6%, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude falling below $70 per barrel.
Precious metals offered positive signals, with gold set to close its fifth consecutive day of gains, while silver rose 0.8%.
In the cryptocurrency space, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) advanced 1%, reaching $68,000 — its highest level since late July 2024.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day % change</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,289.65</td>
<td>1.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,981.53</td>
<td>0.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,830.29</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,131.29</td>
<td>-0.1%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:30 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent101624&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a> data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) rose 0.2% to $580.82.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;inched 0.6% higher to $429.93.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) fell 0.2% to $489.94.</li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) rallied 1.8% to $226.77.</li>
<li>The Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>) outperformed, up 1.4%. The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLC#NYSE">XLC</a>) lagged, down 0.3%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBKR#NASDAQ">IBKR</a>) fell over 3% after missing earnings estimate. </li>
<li>Other stocks reactive to company earnings included United Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>), up 11.5%, J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JBHT#NASDAQ">JBHT</a>), up 3.5%, Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ABT#NYSE">ABT</a>), up 1.7%, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MS#NYSE">MS</a>), up 7.6%, U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USB#NYSE">USB</a>), up 4.7% and Citizens Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>).</li>
<li>ASML Holding N.V. fell over 5% after dropping 17% on Tuesday in reaction to dismal revenue outlook. </li>
<li>Companies set to report their earnings after the close include CSX Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CSX#NASDAQ">CSX</a>), Kinder Morgan Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KMI#NYSE">KMI</a>), Discover Financial Services (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DFS#NYSE">DFS</a>), Equifax Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EFX#NYSE">EFX</a>), Steel Dynamics Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STLD#NASDAQ">STLD</a>) and Alcoa Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AA#NYSE">AA</a>). </li>
</ul>
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/10/41356469/mortgage-demand-sees-sharpest-weekly-drop-since-april-2020-as-rates-climb-above-6">Mortgage Demand Sees Sharpest Weekly Drop Since April 2020 As Rates Climb Above 6.5%</a></li>
</ul>
Photo via Shutterstock.

ASML

IBKR

JBHT

JETS

STLD

Tech Stocks Stall, Small Caps Surge As Regional Banks Rally, Airlines Rocket: What's Driving Markets Wednesday?

A wave of market-relevant news fueled an active trading session on Wall Street Tuesday, with large-cap indices falling due to sharp declines in tech and energy stocks, while small-caps outperformed, led by gains in regional banks.
At the forefront of the headlines is the massive plunge in ASML Holding NV (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ASML#NASDAQ">ASML</a>) shares. The Dutch chipmaker&#8217;s stock nosedived over 16% after a technical error prematurely revealed its third-quarter earnings, originally scheduled for Wednesday, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/10/41339229/asml-earnings-leak-sparks-broad-semiconductor-sell-off-sector-down-sharply-as-dutch-chipmaker-lo">on the company&#8217;s website. </a>
The report disclosed weaker-than-expected guidance for 2025, leading to the worst single-day drop in ASML stock since it went public in 2002.
ASML&#8217;s collapse sent shockwaves across the semiconductor sector, with the iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SOXX#NASDAQ">SOXX</a>) falling more than 4%, marking its worst performance since early September. Key semiconductor players were hit hard, with NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) down 5% and Arm Holdings PLC-ADR (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ARM#NASDAQ">ARM</a>) tumbling 7%.
Another underperforming sector was energy. Oil prices plunged 5%, setting up their <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/24/10/41336413/oil-prices-take-largest-plunge-in-over-a-year-as-israel-vows-to-spare-iranian-facilities-energy-stoc">worst trading day in over a year. </a>
The sell-off followed a Monday&#8217;s report from The Washington Post, which revealed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu assured the Biden administration Israel would refrain from targeting Iranian oil and nuclear facilities in any retaliatory military actions.
Meanwhile, the financial sector surged, extending its all-time highs as Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>), Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>), and Charles Schwab Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCHW#NYSE">SCHW</a>) all posted <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41331839/financial-sector-hits-record-highs-as-goldman-sachs-bank-of-america-citi-beat-q3-ea">stronger-than-expected quarterly earnings.</a>
Gains also spread to more economically sensitive regional banks, with the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) jumping over 3%, lifting the broader Russell 2000 index by 1%.
In other markets, both the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields remained steady, as there were no major updates on interest-rate expectations. Gold edged up by 0.6%, while Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) continued its recent momentum, climbing 1.3% after a 5.1% surge on Monday.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>Chg (1-day) %</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,272.05</td>
<td>1.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,942.79</td>
<td>-0.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,842.20</td>
<td>-0.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,221.22</td>
<td>-1.1%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:45 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent101524&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a> data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) fell 0.4% to $581.82.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;inched 0.3% down to $429.46.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) fell 1.1% to $491.72.</li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) rose 1% to $222.52.</li>
<li>The Financials Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) outperformed, up 1%. The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) lagged, down 2.3%.</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h1>
<ul>
<li>Airlines and cruise lines rallied in reaction to lower oil prices. American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAL#NASDAQ">AAL</a>) rose 2.2%, United Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>) gained 2.2%. Carnival Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CCL#NYSE">CCL</a>) and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) rallied 7.7% and 5.5%, respectively. </li>
<li>Charles Schwab rose 7.5% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly results. </li>
<li>Other stocks reacting to earnings were UnitedHealth Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UNH#NYSE">UNH</a>), down 7.4%; Johnson &amp; Johnson (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JNJ#NYSE">JNJ</a>), up 1.8%; Bank of America Corp., up 1.9%; Goldman Sachs Group Inc., down 0.3%; Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>), down 4%; PNC Financial Services Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNC#NYSE">PNC</a>), up 4%; State Street Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STT#NYSE">STT</a>), up 0.6% and Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WBA#NASDAQ">WBA</a>), up 13%</li>
<li>Companies slated to report earnings after the close include Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBKR#NASDAQ">IBKR</a>), United Arlines Holdings Inc., Omnicon Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OMC#NYSE">OMC</a>) and J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JBHT#NASDAQ">JBHT</a>). </li>
</ul>
Read Now:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/10/41336897/3-reasons-why-a-bitcoin-all-time-high-before-the-election-is-back-in-play">3 Reasons Why A Bitcoin All-Time High Before The Election Is Back In Play</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

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Retail XRT should hold the gap up it started this past week with. If that is the case, we anticipate a move higher for the coming week. 

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