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The Fund generally will invest at least 80% of its assets in the component securities of its Underlying Index and in investments that have economic characteristics that are substantially identical to the component securities of its Underlying Index (i.e., depositary receipts representing securities of the Underlying Index) and may invest up to 20% of its assets in certain futures, options and swap contracts, cash and cash equivalents, including shares of money market funds advised by BFA or its affiliates, as well as in securities not included in the Underlying Index, but which BFA believes will help the Fund track the Underlying Index.

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Trump pausa aranceles, pero JPMorgan advierte riesgo de recesión. Conoce el impacto en el S&amp;P 500 y las oportunidades globales.

Qué dice JPMorgan sobre la pausa arancelaria de Trump y el futuro del S&amp;P 500

Indaptus Therapeutics, Inc. - Common Stock

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Macro Economic Events

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Economics

India Consumer Price Index (YoY) For March 3.34% Vs. 3.60% Est.; 3.61% Prior

India Wholesale Price Index (WPI) Inflation (YoY) For March 2.05% Vs. 2.50% Est.; 2.38% Prior

The <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/tariffs">90-day tariff pause</a> announced by President Donald Trump&#8216;s administration may offer temporary relief, but JPMorgan analyst Fabio Bassi warns that the macro backdrop remains fragile.
While countries that have not retaliated are spared for now, a 10% blanket tariff stays in place and tariffs on Chinese imports are jumping to 145%. That lifts the average U.S. tariff rate to around 30% &#8211; a significant economic headwind.
Bassi sees the recent move as a tactical timeout rather than a meaningful shift. Even under the unlikely scenario of China being removed entirely from the U.S. import equation, the average tariff rate would only fall back to the 10% level.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Pause, Not A Pivot As Recession Risk Looms</h2>
The size of the tariff-induced tax hike &#8211; estimated at over 3% of GDP &#8211; keeps recession fears alive. Bassi maintains a 60% probability of a U.S. and global recession. His 40% non-recession case hinges on a reversal of the China tariff escalation and a halt to further trade tensions elsewhere.
With sentiment weak and data mixed, macro headlines are set to dominate again. The so-called "Trump put," Bassi notes, was triggered by both a sharp equity selloff and a dysfunctional Treasury market, pushing the administration to ease up.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/management/25/04/44774273/jpmorgan-ceo-jamie-dimon-expects-sp-500-growth-forecast-to-be-cut">JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon Expects S&amp;P 500 Growth Forecast To Be Cut</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">S&amp;P 500 Faces Binary Path</h2>
JPMorgan has trimmed its S&amp;P 500 year-end target to 5,200, but Bassi lays out a nearly binary risk-reward path. A drawn-out trade war could drag the index toward 4,000, while a meaningful trade breakthrough &#8211; with Europe, Japan and a softened stance on China &#8211; could launch a rally toward 5,800.
Investors in the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), the iShares Core S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IVV#NYSE">IVV</a>) and the Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VOO#NYSE">VOO</a>) should remain wary of their holdings.
In the meantime, he expects markets to remain range-bound, with any short-term bounce vulnerable to fading if not backed by real policy clarity or Fed support.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Global Hedges: China Tech, India In Focus</h2>
As U.S. risks mount, Bassi highlights select opportunities abroad. China tech remains investable, especially given the likelihood of aggressive policy support from Beijing. ETFs like the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KWEB#NYSE">KWEB</a>) and iShares MSCI China ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCHI#NYSE">MCHI</a>) offer exposure to that rebound theme.
India also gets a bullish nod, with potential policy tailwinds making it a compelling risk-on trade. U.S. investors may want to keep an eye on the iShares MSCI India ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INDA#NYSE">INDA</a>) as a way to diversify away from the choppy U.S. outlook.
Bassi's view is clear: the tariff pause is not a pivot. With macro risks still elevated and the market vulnerable, investors may want to hedge through global plays rather than rush back into the U.S. exceptionalism trade.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/04/44748635/stocks-bounce-off-session-lows-after-trump-says-china-deal-is-going-to-work-out">China Deal Is &#8216;Going To Work Out,&#8217; Trump Says As Stocks Bounce From Session Lows</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

S&P 500 Could Tank To 4,000 If 'Trump Put' Fizzles, Says JPMorgan

India Interest Rate Decision 6.00% Vs. 6.00% Est.; 6.25% Prior

In a swift response to President Donald Trump&#8216;s global tariff hike, global hedge funds and levered exchange-traded funds (ETFs) <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/44645681/jpmorgan-raises-recession-risk-to-60-as-largest-us-tax-hike-in-60-years-hits-global-economy">have offloaded more than $40 billion of stocks</a>, according to recent notes to clients from banks.
What Happened: The announcement of the severe global tariffs, the highest in over a century, has resulted in a loss of over $4 trillion in stock market value for S&amp;P 500 companies, Reuters reported.
JPMorgan (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>) has projected that volatility targeting portfolios will sell between $25 billion and $30 billion in equities in the coming days to mitigate risk. Additionally, levered ETFs are expected to sell an extra $23 billion, predominantly in tech stocks, to rebalance by the end of the day.
See Also: <a href="https://benzinga.com/25/04/44655841/if-youre-going-to-do-dumb-things-because-your-stock-goes-down-warren-buffetts-old-warning-gains-steam-as-us-stock" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">&#8216;If You&#8217;re Going To Do Dumb Things Because Your Stock Goes Down&#8230;:&#8217; Warren Buffett&#8217;s Old Warning Gains Steam As US Stocks Wipe Out $5 Trillion After Trump Tariffs</a>
In a separate note, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>) reported that equities long/short hedge funds globally experienced the largest net selling in nearly 15 years on Thursday, becoming the most bearish since 2011. The bank also noted that portfolio managers primarily increased bets against stocks, credit, and equity ETFs following Trump&#8217;s tariff announcement, which sparked recession fears.
U.S. stocks led the hedge fund sales, with financial shares being net-sold at the fastest pace since 2016. However, sectors like real estate, staples, and utilities, known for weathering recessionary periods well, were the only ones investors bought on a net basis.
Financial experts speaking <a href="https://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/article-14574981/Where-invest-Trumps-tariffs-means-pension-definitive-guide-Mails-money-experts.html">to</a> Britain's The Mail on Sunday see potential for investors in international ETFs, such as the iShares MSCI India ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INDA#BATS">INDA</a>), Vanguard's Germany All Cap, and the Amundi UK Equity All Cap.
Why It Matters: The sudden sell-off of stocks by global hedge funds and ETFs is a direct result of the tariff hike announced by President Trump.
This move, the largest in over a century, has not only led to a significant loss in stock market value but has also increased the probability of a U.S. recession.
Read Next: <a href="https://benzinga.com/25/04/44644765/tom-lee-predicts-a-market-rebound-after-april-9-as-absurd-tariffs-could-spur-potential-negotiations" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Tom Lee Predicts a Market Rebound After April 9 As &#8216;Absurd&#8217; Tariffs Could Spur Potential Negotiations</a>
Shutterstock: Westlight

Global Hedge Funds and ETFs Offload Over $40 Billion in Stocks Following Trump's Tariff Announcement

As global markets reel from Donald Trump&#8216;s sweeping tariff announcement, speculators who wagered on a chain reaction of trade retaliation may soon cash <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/44626421/trumps-reign-of-tariffs-unleashes-d-day-on-wall-street-analyst-warns-of-stagflation-risk">in the big prize.</a>
On Thursday, trading on CFTC-regulated prediction platform Kalshi lit up with activity as speculators priced in a sharp rise in retaliatory tariffs from major U.S. trading partners. 
The market titled "Which countries will impose tariffs on the US before Q3 2025?" saw odds spike across several jurisdictions in the wake of Trump's announcement.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44624245/tariffs-to-plug-the-hole-for-income-tax-cuts-to-come-economists-predict-what-more-could-be-expected">Trump Tariffs To &#8216;Plug The Hole&#8217; For Income Tax Cuts To Come: Economists Predict What More Could Be Expected</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Global Trade War Now Becomes The Base Case</h3>
<ul>
<li>The odds of South Korea enacting retaliatory measures soared to 79%, up 29 percentage points in a single day. </li>
<li>Japan followed with a 33-point jump to 73%</li>
<li>South Africa climbed to 74%, up 16 points.</li>
<li>India saw a more cautious move, with odds now at 35%</li>
<li>Kalshi traders assigned a 96% probability that Brussels will strike back with its own tariffs in the coming months.</li>
</ul>
Only Mexico moved in the opposite direction. Following Trump&#8217;s exemption of North American partners from the new tariff structure, the odds of retaliation from the southern neighbor collapsed to 45%, down 31 percentage points.
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Country</th>
<th>Odds of Tariff Retaliation</th>
<th>Change vs. Day Before</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>&#x1f1ea;&#x1f1fa; European Union</td>
<td>96%</td>
<td>+12%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>&#x1f1f0;&#x1f1f7; South Korea</td>
<td>79%</td>
<td>+29%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>&#x1f1ef;&#x1f1f5; Japan</td>
<td>73%</td>
<td>+33%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>&#x1f1ff;&#x1f1e6; South Africa</td>
<td>74%</td>
<td>+16%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>&#x1f1ee;&#x1f1f3; India</td>
<td>35%</td>
<td>+9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>&#x1f1f2;&#x1f1fd; Mexico</td>
<td>45%</td>
<td>-31%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Source: Kalshi</figcaption></figure>
Speaking on Bloomberg TV, U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick attempted to downplay the likelihood of backlash, saying the tariffs will be applied broadly and uniformly, and adding that "it will not be effective for countries to retaliate against Trump tariffs."
<iframe loading="lazy" src="https://kalshi.com/external-widget/events-categorical/KXFOREIGNTARIFF-25JUL01?color_scheme=light&#038;widget_size=large&#038;utm_campaign=benzinga_widget" width="488px" height="242px" style="border:0"></iframe>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Country ETFs Witness Deep Declines</h2>
Amid the turmoil on Wall Street, U.S.-listed country ETFs took a beating Thursday as investors dumped risk ahead of possible tit-for-tat tariffs,
The VanEck Vietnam ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VNM#NYSE">VNM</a>) plunged more than 8% in premarket trading, on track for its worst session since March 2020. The U.S. will apply a 46% tariff rate on Vietnam.
Japan's iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWJ#NYSE">EWJ</a>) dropped 3%, while the iShares China Large Cap ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FXI#NYSE">FXI</a>) fell 1.8%. The two biggest Asian economies will see their respective tariff rate rising to 24% and 34%, respectively. 
India's iShares MSCI India ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INDA#NYSE">INDA</a>) and South Korea's iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWY#NYSE">EWY</a>) declined 1.1% and 1.5% respectively. India and South Korea are poised to face a 25% and 26% increase, respectively, in the cost of exporting goods to the U.S.
The SPDR DJ Euro STOXX 50 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FEZ#NYSE">FEZ</a>) dipped 0.9%, while the iShares South Africa Index Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EZA#NYSE">EZA</a>) fell 4.5%. 
Read Now: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44624245/tariffs-to-plug-the-hole-for-income-tax-cuts-to-come-economists-predict-what-more-could-be-expected">Trump Tariffs To &#8216;Plug The Hole&#8217; For Income Tax Cuts To Come: Economists Predict What More Could Be Expected</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

Retaliation Odds Spike After Trump's Heavy Tariffs, Sending Country ETFs Tumbling

India Wholesale Price Index (WPI) Inflation (YoY) For February 2.38% Vs. 2.36% Est.; 2.31% Prior

India Consumer Price Index (YoY) For February 3.61% Vs. 4.00% Est.; 4.31% Prior

<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ex10YfULR4w" title="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ex10YfULR4w">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ex10YfULR4w</a>

Politics

General

President Trump Says May Do Reciprocal Tariffs As Early As Today; India Has Agreed To Cut Tariffs Way Down; EU Has Been Terrible Abuser On Tariffs

NEW DELHI, March 5 (Reuters) - U.S. electric carmaker Tesla <a href="https://workspace.refinitiv.com/web/apps/quotewebapi?RIC=TSLA.O">TSLA.O</a> has signed a lease deal to open its first showroom in Mumbai, as it moves towards a goal to sell imported cars in India, registration papers show, after it <a href="reuters://REALTIME/verb=NewsStory/ric=nL3N3GT02S">dropped similar plans</a> last year.
Tesla did not immediately respond to a request for comment.
The papers show the company has signed a five-year lease from February 16, 2025 and will pay rent of about $446,000 for the first year for a 4,003 square feet (372 square meter) space, almost the size of a basketball court.
The rent will increase by 5% every year reaching about $542,000 for the fifth year, according to the registered lease document provided to Reuters by analytics firm CRE Matrix.
The showroom will be situated in the Maker Maxity building in the business and retail hub of Bandra Kurla Complex near the city's airport, according to the papers.
Reuters <a href="reuters://REALTIME/verb=NewsStory/ric=nL3N3P90VT">reported last month</a> that Tesla has selected locations for two showrooms in the Indian cities of New Delhi and Mumbai, <a href="reuters://REALTIME/verb=NewsStory/ric=nFWN3P420C">days after</a> the carmaker's chief Elon Musk met India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi in the U.S.

Global

TSLA

'Tesla Signs 5-Year Lease For First Showroom In India, Speeding Up Market Entry Plans, Document' - Reuters News

India Gross Domestic Product Quarterly (YoY) For Q3 6.2% Vs. 6.3% Est.; 5.4% Prior

<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-27/india-weighs-tariff-cuts-on-cars-chemicals-as-trump-duties-loom?embedded-checkout=true" title="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-27/india-weighs-tariff-cuts-on-cars-chemicals-as-trump-duties-loom?embedded-checkout=true">https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-02-27/india-weighs-tariff-cuts-on-cars-chemicals-as-trump-duties-loom?embedded-checkout=true</a>

Bloomberg Reported Earlier, India Weighs Tariff Cuts On Cars, Chemicals As Trump Duties Loom

India To Finalize New EV Policy Next Month; India To Count Only 5% Of EV Investment Toward Charging For Tariff Relief For Foreign Automakers

Tesla Finalizes Locations for New Delhi, Mumbai Showrooms As It Plans to Start India Sales

India Wholesale Price Index Inflation (YoY) For January 2.31% Vs. 2.50% Est.; 2.37% Prior

President Trump Says India Has More Tariffs Than Nearly Any Other Country; Asked If Consumers Can Expect Higher Prices, Says Not Necessarily; Expect Jobs To Go Up, Price Could Go Up Somewhat Short Term; Commerce's Lutnick Says Studies Should Be Done By April 1, Will Be Ready To Go

<a href="https://x.com/narendramodi/status/1890100201496748210" title="https://x.com/narendramodi/status/1890100201496748210">https://x.com/narendramodi/status/1890100201496748210</a>

India PM Narendra Modi Posts On X "Had a very good meeting with @elonmusk in Washington DC. We discussed various issues, including those he is passionate about such as space, mobility, technology and innovation. I talked about India's efforts towards reform and furthering 'Minimum Government, Maximum Governance.'"

Senior Trump Administration Official Says Trump Administration Aims To Prioritize India As A Key Importer Of America's Natural Resources

Eco Wave Power Global AB (publ) (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WAVE#NASDAQ">WAVE</a>) ("Eco Wave Power" or the "Company"), a leader in onshore wave energy technology, today announced that it signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) with Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL) during India Energy Week 2025 on February 13, 2025. This agreement marks a pivotal step in introducing wave energy as a key component of India's renewable energy strategy.
The agreement was signed by Mr. Chandrasekhar N, Head of Research and Development, BPCL and Ms. Inna Braverman, Founder and CEO, Eco Wave Power in the presence of Honorable Minister Hardeep Singh Puri, Minister of Petroleum and Natural Gas of the Government of India and the Chairman and Managing Director of BPCL, Mr. G. Krishnakumar.
The collaboration aligns with India's Ministry of New and Renewable Energy's (MNRE) recognition of ocean energy as a promising renewable resource, with an estimated 40,000 MW of untapped potential along the country's coastline.
BPCL, a government-owned Fortune 500 oil and gas giant with a market capitalization of approximately $12 billion, has identified Eco Wave Power as a strategic partner following an extensive evaluation of wave energy technologies. The collaboration aligns with India's Ministry of New and Renewable Energy's (MNRE) recognition of ocean energy as a promising renewable resource, with an estimated 40,000 MW of untapped potential along the country's coastline.
As part of BPCL's commitment to achieving Net Zero emissions by 2040, the company is expanding its renewable energy initiatives. Under this MoU, Eco Wave Power and BPCL will jointly develop wave energy projects across India, beginning with a feasibility study. The first phase will include the deployment of a 100 kW pilot project at BPCL's Mumbai Oil Terminals, with plans for larger commercial-scale installations across the country.
BPCL will oversee regulatory approvals, permits, and land use consents, while Eco Wave Power will provide its patented wave energy conversion technology, conduct research, and optimize power generation efficiency.
This partnership provides Eco Wave Power with a direct entry point into one of the world's fastest-growing renewable energy markets, leveraging BPCL's vast infrastructure and financial strength. India's commitment to increasing its renewable energy capacity, combined with BPCL's strategic vision, presents a significant commercial opportunity for Eco Wave Power's scalable and cost-effective technology.

WAVE

Eco Wave Power Signs MoU With BPCL To Develop Wave Energy In India; Partnership Includes 100 kW Pilot Project At Mumbai Oil Terminals And Potential For 40,000 MW Along Coast; BPCL Supports Regulatory And Land Use; Eco Wave Power Provides Technology

Elon Musk Set To Meet India PM Narendra Modi During U.S. Trip; Musk-Modi Talks Could Include Starlink's Plans To Launch Satellite Broadband Services In India, Sources Say

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