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Mortgage rates are rising again — and that&#8217;s bad news for homebuyers and refinancers. But, it may be an exciting opportunity to make money for investors looking at mortgage-backed securities (MBS) ETFs. 
With the most recent figures indicating a big <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/real-estate/reit/25/03/44396973/mortgage-applications-drop-as-rising-rates-squeeze-refinance-demand">decline in mortgage applications</a>, the conditions are ready for <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs">MBS ETFs </a>to pick up steam as yields increase and prepayment risks get diminished.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Why MBS ETFs Stand To Gain</h1>
MBS ETFs are invested in mortgage-backed securities, which are home loan-backed debt securities. When housing rates rise, newly issued MBS gain more yield, which is desired by investors who want fixed-income exposure. 
At the same time, old MBS experience a deceleration in prepayments, as more homeowners choose not to refinance at higher rates.
There are some choice MBS ETFs that should profit through the prevailing conditions:
iShares MBS ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MBB#NASDAQ">MBB</a>): One of the largest MBS ETFs, MBB primarily <a href="https://www.ishares.com/us/products/239465/ishares-mbs-etf">holds </a>agency-backed securities issued by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and Ginnie Mae.
Vanguard Mortgage-Backed Securities ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VMBS#NASDAQ">VMBS</a>): This ETF <a href="https://investor.vanguard.com/investment-products/etfs/profile/vmbs#overview">offers </a>exposure to high-quality, government-backed MBS with relatively low volatility.
SPDR Bloomberg Barclays Mortgage Backed Bond ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MBG#NYSE">MBG</a>): MBG <a href="https://www.ssga.com/us/en/intermediary/etfs/spdr-portfolio-mortgage-backed-bond-etf-spmb">provides </a>a diversified portfolio of investment-grade MBS.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/25/03/44385456/homebuilder-etfs-await-clearer-signals-amid-housing-market-uncertainty">Homebuilder ETFs Await Clearer Signals Amid Housing Market Uncertainty</a>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Shake-Up In The Mortgage Market And Rising Rates</h1>
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate increased to 6.72% for the week through March 14, reversing a nine-week slide, the Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reported. The increase in this rate pushed refinancing applications down a substantial 13%, although purchase applications rose a mild 0.1%.
Investors are preparing for possible market movements after the Federal Open Market Committee&#8217;s decision on Wednesday<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44405112/tariff-inflation-may-be-transitory-powell-says-stocks-rally-bitcoin-clears-85000-as-bulls-return"> to hold rates at 4.25%-4.50%</a>. 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">A Balancing Act</h1>
Though higher mortgage rates create headwinds for housing affordability and refinancing volume, they also offer fixed-income investors a chance. Higher yields and less prepayment risk potential make MBS ETFs an appealing option in this situation.
But it will be wise to stay guarded. The Fed&#8217;s policy orientation, inflation dynamics, and overall economic climate will be key in determining MBS performance. If rates keep on rising, MBS ETFs may face additional tailwinds. But if economic uncertainties force the Fed to shift gears in favor of rate cuts later this year, the picture will change once again.
For the time being, MBS ETFs are an attractive choice for investors seeking to take advantage of the changing interest rate landscape.
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/25/03/44404071/betting-on-ubers-driverless-future-these-etfs-could-pay-off">Betting On Uber&#8217;s Driverless Future? These ETFs Could Pay Off</a></li>
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Photo: Shutterstock

Sector ETFs

Specialty ETFs

ETFs

Real Estate

VMBS

Higher Mortgage Rates Are Bad For Borrowers, But Great For These ETFs

He will maintain his position as Chairman of the Board of Directors, ensuring continuity and strategic oversight.

News

Management

TXO Partners Says Bob Simpson Will Retire From The Office Of CEO Of General Partner, Effective April 1, 2025; Gary Simpson And Brent Clum Both To Be Promoted To Serve As Co-CEOs

Live Nation Entertainment (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LYV#NYSE">LYV</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 10 years by 6.51% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 17.02%. Currently, Live Nation Entertainment has a market capitalization of $28.86 billion. 
Buying $100 In LYV: If an investor had bought $100 of LYV stock 10 years ago, it would be worth $482.30 today based on a price of $124.88 for LYV at the time of writing.
<h3>Live Nation Entertainment's Performance Over Last 10 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1742420712_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Trading Ideas

$100 Invested In Live Nation Entertainment 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

The transaction is expected to close by the end of the first quarter, subject to customary closing conditions.

Asset Sales

BRBS

Blue Ridge Bankshares Reveals Decision To Sell Mortgage Banking Division To An Unrelated Third-party Mortgage Company; No Terms Disclosed

RBC Bearings (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RBC#NYSE">RBC</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 15 years by 6.36% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 17.48%. Currently, RBC Bearings has a market capitalization of $10.64 billion. 
Buying $100 In RBC: If an investor had bought $100 of RBC stock 15 years ago, it would be worth $1,164.28 today based on a price of $338.34 for RBC at the time of writing.
<h3>RBC Bearings's Performance Over Last 15 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1742419821_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning RBC Bearings Stock In The Last 15 Years

As such, the Company will restate its financial statements for the Affected Periods in an amendment to the Q1 Form 10-Q, Q2 Form 10-Q and Q3 Form 10-Q, respectively, to be filed as soon as practicable.
The Company currently estimates that the impact of the accounting matter will result in changes in Q1 2024, Q2 2024 and Q3 2024 for Notes Payable, Interest Expense and Change in fair value of new convertible debentures, all on a non-cash basis.&nbsp;

KITT

Nauticus Robotics Says Certain Previously Issued Unaudited Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements Should Be Amended And Restated

Lument Finance Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LFT#NYSE">LFT</a>) reported quarterly earnings of $0.10 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $0.09 by 11.11 percent. This is unchanged from the same period last year.

Earnings

Earnings Beats

Lument Finance Trust Q4 2024 Adj EPS $0.10 Beats $0.09 Estimate

The reverse stock split will become effective at 4:30 p.m. Eastern Time on March 21, 2025, and the Company's common stock will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis when the market opens on March 24, 2025.&nbsp;

Stock Split

ZCAR

Zoomcar Plans 1-For-20 Reverse Stock Split

Primerica (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PRI#NYSE">PRI</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 5 years by 11.0% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 29.46%. Currently, Primerica has a market capitalization of $9.66 billion. 
Buying $1000 In PRI: If an investor had bought $1000 of PRI stock 5 years ago, it would be worth $4,288.53 today based on a price of $289.39 for PRI at the time of writing.
<h3>Primerica's Performance Over Last 5 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1742418914_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

$1000 Invested In Primerica 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today

<h3>Gainers</h3>
<ul>
<li>SAG Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SAG#NASDAQ">SAG</a>) shares rose 23.7% to $0.83 during Wednesday's after-market session. The company's market cap stands at $8.2 million. </li>
<li>Aureus Greenway (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AGH#NASDAQ">AGH</a>) stock moved upwards by 23.05% to $0.99. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $13.7 million. </li>
<li>Thunder Power Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AIEV#NASDAQ">AIEV</a>) shares moved upwards by 12.63% to $0.2. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $10.3 million. </li>
<li>Five Below (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FIVE#NASDAQ">FIVE</a>) shares moved upwards by 8.21% to $81.8. The company's market cap stands at $4.4 billion. The company's, Q4 earnings came out today. </li>
<li>Nxu (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NXU#NASDAQ">NXU</a>) shares rose 5.95% to $0.25. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $6.0 million. </li>
<li>Lakeland Industries (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LAKE#NASDAQ">LAKE</a>) stock moved upwards by 4.95% to $19.92. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $189.2 million. </li>
</ul>
<h3>Losers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Damon (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DMN#NASDAQ">DMN</a>) stock declined by 7.0% to $0.13 during Wednesday's after-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $2.7 million. </li>
<li>Neo-Concept International (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCI#NASDAQ">NCI</a>) stock fell 5.02% to $0.41. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $8.2 million. </li>
<li>CarParts.com (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PRTS#NASDAQ">PRTS</a>) stock fell 5.0% to $0.96. The company's market cap stands at $51.4 million. </li>
<li>SRM Entertainment (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SRM#NASDAQ">SRM</a>) shares decreased by 4.83% to $0.38. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $6.1 million. </li>
<li>Newton Golf (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NWTG#NASDAQ">NWTG</a>) shares fell 4.47% to $2.14. </li>
<li>Rush Street Interactive (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RSI#NYSE">RSI</a>) stock decreased by 4.4% to $10.63. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $942.0 million. 
See Also: <a href="http://www.benzinga.com/money/best-consumer-cyclical-stocks/" title="www.benzinga.com/money/best-consumer-cyclical-stocks/">www.benzinga.com/money/best-consumer-cyclical-stocks/</a></li>
</ul>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

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12 Consumer Discretionary Stocks Moving In Wednesday's After-Market Session

<h3>Gainers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Brainstorm Cell (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BCLI#NASDAQ">BCLI</a>) shares rose 14.6% to $1.81 during Wednesday's after-market session. The company's market cap stands at $10.3 million. </li>
<li>Applied DNA Sciences (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APDN#NASDAQ">APDN</a>) stock moved upwards by 11.0% to $2.22. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $2.4 million. </li>
<li>Shuttle Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHPH#NASDAQ">SHPH</a>) stock rose 8.43% to $0.45. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $2.2 million. </li>
<li>Century Therapeutics (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IPSC#NASDAQ">IPSC</a>) shares moved upwards by 6.36% to $0.62. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $52.7 million. </li>
<li>Longevity Health Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XAGE#NASDAQ">XAGE</a>) shares rose 6.11% to $0.22. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $6.6 million. </li>
<li>FibroGen (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FGEN#NASDAQ">FGEN</a>) shares moved upwards by 5.7% to $0.38. The company's market cap stands at $38.1 million. As per the news, the Q4 earnings report came out 2 days ago. </li>
</ul>
<h3>Losers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Akebia Therapeutics (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AKBA#NASDAQ">AKBA</a>) shares fell 20.4% to $2.26 during Wednesday's after-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $533.8 million. As per the press release, Q4 earnings came out 4 days ago. </li>
<li>Dyadic International (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DYAI#NASDAQ">DYAI</a>) stock declined by 7.54% to $1.35. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $39.9 million. </li>
<li>cbdMD (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/YCBD#AMEX">YCBD</a>) stock decreased by 6.63% to $0.27. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $1.6 million. </li>
<li>Scienture Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCNX#NASDAQ">SCNX</a>) stock declined by 6.32% to $1.78. The company's market cap stands at $15.3 million. </li>
<li>Venus Concept (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VERO#NASDAQ">VERO</a>) shares declined by 6.03% to $3.05. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $2.0 million. </li>
<li>LENZ Therapeutics (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LENZ#NASDAQ">LENZ</a>) stock declined by 5.96% to $24.0. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $660.0 million. As per the news, the Q4 earnings report came out today. 
See Also: <a href="http://www.benzinga.com/money/best-healthcare-stocks/" title="www.benzinga.com/money/best-healthcare-stocks/">www.benzinga.com/money/best-healthcare-stocks/</a></li>
</ul>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

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Longevity Health Holdings, Inc. - Common Stock

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12 Health Care Stocks Moving In Wednesday's After-Market Session

<h3>Gainers</h3>
<ul>
<li>ClearSign Technologies (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CLIR#NASDAQ">CLIR</a>) stock increased by 10.4% to $0.85 during Wednesday's after-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $42.8 million. </li>
<li>ConnectM Technology (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNTM#NASDAQ">CNTM</a>) stock moved upwards by 9.19% to $0.66. The company's market cap stands at $19.2 million. </li>
<li>NeoVolta (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NEOV#NASDAQ">NEOV</a>) stock moved upwards by 8.25% to $2.73. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $91.1 million. </li>
<li>Northann (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCL#AMEX">NCL</a>) shares rose 6.92% to $0.22. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $12.3 million. </li>
<li>Optex Systems Hldgs (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OPXS#NASDAQ">OPXS</a>) stock increased by 6.36% to $6.02. The company's market cap stands at $41.5 million. </li>
<li>Marwynn Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MWYN#NASDAQ">MWYN</a>) shares increased by 5.0% to $4.2. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $71.4 million. </li>
</ul>
<h3>Losers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Heramba Electric (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PITA#NASDAQ">PITA</a>) shares fell 13.2% to $0.23 during Wednesday's after-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $10.3 million. </li>
<li>Click Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CLIK#NASDAQ">CLIK</a>) stock fell 8.59% to $1.81. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $26.9 million. </li>
<li>Decent Holding (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DXST#NASDAQ">DXST</a>) shares fell 6.41% to $1.17. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $19.0 million. </li>
<li>Founder Group (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FGL#NASDAQ">FGL</a>) shares declined by 4.67% to $1.43. The company's market cap stands at $24.1 million. </li>
<li>Hyliion Holdings (AMEX:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HYLN#AMEX">HYLN</a>) shares fell 4.22% to $1.59. The company's market cap stands at $277.9 million. </li>
<li>DLH Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DLHC#NASDAQ">DLHC</a>) shares decreased by 3.8% to $4.56. The company's market cap stands at $65.6 million. 
See Also: <a href="http://www.benzinga.com/money/best-industrials-stocks/" title="www.benzinga.com/money/best-industrials-stocks/">www.benzinga.com/money/best-industrials-stocks/</a></li>
</ul>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

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NEOV

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12 Industrials Stocks Moving In Wednesday's After-Market Session

<h3>Gainers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Cemtrex (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CETX#NASDAQ">CETX</a>) stock moved upwards by 5.6% to $1.69 during Wednesday's after-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $3.0 million. </li>
<li>Sigmatron Intl (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SGMA#NASDAQ">SGMA</a>) shares rose 5.12% to $1.23. The company's market cap stands at $7.5 million. As per the news, the Q3 earnings report came out 3 days ago. </li>
<li>XIAO-I (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AIXI#NASDAQ">AIXI</a>) shares rose 5.01% to $3.56. The company's market cap stands at $37.5 million. </li>
<li>Gryphon Digital Mining (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GRYP#NASDAQ">GRYP</a>) shares increased by 4.97% to $0.2. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $13.9 million. </li>
<li>SailPoint (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SAIL#NASDAQ">SAIL</a>) shares moved upwards by 4.94% to $20.94. The company's market cap stands at $11.6 billion. </li>
<li>Backblaze (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BLZE#NASDAQ">BLZE</a>) stock increased by 4.89% to $5.79. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $314.3 million. </li>
</ul>
<h3>Losers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Baijiayun Group (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTC#NASDAQ">RTC</a>) shares fell 8.7% to $0.31 during Wednesday's after-market session. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $7.8 million. </li>
<li>Abits Group (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ABTS#NASDAQ">ABTS</a>) shares decreased by 7.64% to $3.51. The company's market cap stands at $8.3 million. </li>
<li>UTime (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTO#NASDAQ">WTO</a>) shares declined by 5.76% to $0.2. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $5.1 million. </li>
<li>Wellchange Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WCT#NASDAQ">WCT</a>) shares declined by 5.39% to $0.25. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $11.3 million. </li>
<li>Syntec Optics Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OPTX#NASDAQ">OPTX</a>) stock fell 4.67% to $1.43. The company's market cap stands at $52.4 million. </li>
<li>Cloudastructure (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CSAI#NASDAQ">CSAI</a>) stock decreased by 4.06% to $7.58. The market value of their outstanding shares is at $117.1 million. 
See Also: <a href="http://www.benzinga.com/money/tech-stocks/" title="www.benzinga.com/money/tech-stocks/">www.benzinga.com/money/tech-stocks/</a></li>
</ul>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

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The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged at 4.25%-4.50% on Wednesday, with Chairman Jerome Powell reviving the term &#8220;transitory&#8221; to describe the potential inflationary <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/tariffs">effects of new tariffs.</a>
While the Fed still projects two rate cuts in 2025 in its latest dot plot, projections now reflect lower growth and higher inflation, fueling renewed concerns about stagflation.
Economists are increasingly skeptical of the Fed's confidence in inflation easing, with some warning of policy missteps and rising recession risks.
Here's a summary of key reactions from leading economists.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">‘Transitory' Is Back: A Risky Assumption</h3>
Allianz chief economic adviser Mohamed El-Erian criticized Powell's use of &#8220;transitory&#8221; to describe tariff-driven inflation, recalling the Fed's 2022 mistake when it downplayed persistent price pressures.
&#8220;It's simply too early to say with any degree of confidence that the inflationary effects will be transitory,&#8221; El-Erian said, adding that businesses and households &#8220;still have fresh in their minds the recent history of high unanticipated inflation.&#8221;
Given the uncertainties, he expected Fed officials to show &#8220;greater humility.&#8221;
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">The word — "transitory" — is back at the Federal Reserve as Chair Powell characterizes the price effects of tariffs as a one-off. I would have thought that, particularly after the big policy mistake of earlier this decade and given all the current uncertainties, some Fed…
&mdash; Mohamed A. El-Erian (@elerianm) <a href="https://twitter.com/elerianm/status/1902435256927388049?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 19, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
The Kobeissi Letter ridiculed Powell's response to stagflation concerns, recalling a past press conference where he dismissed the risk, saying he wasn't seeing the &#8220;stag&#8221; or the &#8220;flation.&#8221; Yet, that stance now appears contradictory, as the Fed's latest projections show slower GDP growth alongside rising inflation and unemployment.
&#8220;We are now seeing the &#8216;stag&#8217; and the &#8216;flation&#8217;.&#8221;
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">This clip is from almost exactly 11 months ago: Fed Chair Powell was asked about stagflation and he said he&#39;s not seeing the &quot;stag&quot; or the &quot;flation.&quot; Today, the Fed raised both unemployment and inflation forecasts for 2025, while cutting GDP growth estimates. We are now seeing… <a href="https://t.co/w5c35jnIWa">pic.twitter.com/w5c35jnIWa</a>
&mdash; The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) <a href="https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1902423342709412138?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 19, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Mixed Signals On Inflation And Growth</h3>
Jeffrey Roach, chief economist at LPL Financial, said the Fed&#8217;s decision was unsurprising, as policymakers are &#8220;in the midst of policy fog&#8221; while awaiting the impact of upcoming tariffs. 
He highlighted that despite upside risks in recent inflation data, core inflation should decelerate by summer, allowing the Fed to begin cutting rates in June.
Steve Wyett, chief investment strategist at BOK Financial, stressed the uncertainty arising from the Fed&#8217;s forecasts.
&#8220;The Fed remains as confused as the rest of us as to what the impact of policy changes will be,&#8221; he said. 
Charlie Ripley, senior investment strategist at Allianz Investment Management, highlighted the Fed's struggle to balance growth and inflation expectations.
&#8220;Growth appeared to be downgraded more than the uptick of inflation expectations, yet the pace of expected rate cuts remained the same,&#8221; he said, pointing to continued uncertainty around inflation. Yet, the Fed's decision to slow the run-off of its balance sheet in April provided &#8220;some consolation&#8221; for investors.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Recession Warnings Grow Louder</h3>
David Rosenberg, president of Rosenberg Research &amp; Associates Inc., indicates the Fed's updated unemployment forecast is a strong recession indicator. He noted that the Fed now sees unemployment rising to 4.4% by year-end, which historically signals an economic downturn.
&#8220;Back to 1948, that has never happened without an NBER-defined recession,&#8221; Rosenberg said, referring to the National Bureau of Economic Research, which officially declares U.S. recessions. 
He warned that if past trends hold, a recession could materialize as early as July, well before the Fed takes any significant action.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Is Powell Too Dovish?</h3>
Spencer Hakimian, founder of Tolou Capital Management, described Powell as &#8220;very dovish,&#8221; suggesting the Fed is either underestimating inflation risks or &#8220;hoping for a miracle.&#8221;
&#8220;They see higher inflation. But they&#8217;re projecting two more rate cuts,&#8221; he said, calling the approach a &#8220;heads I win, tails you lose&#8221; scenario. Despite his concerns, Hakimian remains bullish on risk assets, advising investors to stay &#8220;long a good amount of risk,&#8221; with 40-50% exposure.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reaction</h3>
Despite concerns from economists, Powell's remarks fueled a risk-on rally. 
The S&amp;P 500 index – as tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) – closed 1.1% higher on Wednesday, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 jumped 1.4%. Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) surged past $85,000, and gold extended record highs, rising 0.5% to $3,050 per ounce.
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Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

Macro Economic Events

Broad U.S. Equity ETFs

Econ #s

Economics

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$BTC

Economists React To Powell: 'We Are Now Seeing The Stag And The Flation'

Shopify Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHOP#NYSE">SHOP</a>) shares traded higher on Wednesday driven by overall market strength following the Federal Reserve&#8217;s decision to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44403637/fed-holds-rates-while-growth-forecasts-slip-inflation-projections-rise">hold interest rates steady</a>.
What To Know: The Fed opted to hold the federal funds rate at a range of 4.25% to 4.50% at its Wednesday meeting, suggesting that the economy remains healthy enough to leave rates unchanged. 
The central bank's March statement highlighted that the economy continues to grow at a strong pace and the labor market remains solid, but inflation pressures are still present. The Fed also acknowledged increased uncertainty around the economic outlook, but took a less hawkish stance overall, which appears to have boosted broader markets.
The Fed&#8217;s latest economic projections were also a key factor contributing to market movement. GDP growth forecasts for 2025 were revised downward to 1.7%, from an earlier projection of 2.1%. 
At the same time, inflation expectations were raised. The core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was adjusted up to 2.7% for 2025, from the previous forecast of 2.5%. This shift in projections pointed to rising concerns about stagflation, which occurs when the economy experiences slow growth combined with high inflation.
Despite the inflation concerns, the Fed's outlook also included expectations for two interest rate cuts in both 2025 and 2026. Fed Chair Jerome Powell also downplayed recent surveys that have pointed to rising uncertainty among households and businesses. 
"We think our policy is in a good place," Powell said in a press conference Wednesday.
Shopify announced this week that it will voluntarily transfer its U.S. stock exchange listing from the New York Stock Exchange to the Nasdaq. The company&#8217;s shares will commence trading on the Nasdaq on March 31.
Price Action: Shopify shares closed Wednesday up 8.19% at $101.71, according to <a href="http://www.benzinga.com/pro/register/?utm_source=BZprocontent072624&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro.</a>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><a href="http://www.benzinga.com/pro/register/?utm_source=BZprocontent071824&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="555" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/19160704/Screenshot-2025-03-19-at-16.06.39-1024x555.png" alt="" class="wp-image-832381" style="width:404px;height:auto" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/19160704/Screenshot-2025-03-19-at-16.06.39-1024x555.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/19160704/Screenshot-2025-03-19-at-16.06.39-300x162.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/19160704/Screenshot-2025-03-19-at-16.06.39-768x416.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/19160704/Screenshot-2025-03-19-at-16.06.39.png 1106w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></a></figure>
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Image via Shutterstock.

SHOP

Shopify Shares Climbed 8% Wednesday: What Happened?

Under the NCIB program, the Company is authorized to purchase up to 110.35 million of its common shares, representing up to 10% of the Company's public float, during the period starting on March 24, 2025 and ending on March 23, 2026.

Buybacks

Kinross Reports Renewal Of Normal Course Issuer Bid Program For Up To 10% Of Public Float

A senior developer who had been loyal to a startup for three years learned the hard way that company loyalty doesn't always pay off. After <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/25/03/44207260/his-boss-loves-him-a-redditors-friend-refused-a-5k-raise-convinced-it-would-mean-less-money-after-taxes">asking for a raise</a> to help support his growing family, he was quickly replaced with a cheaper worker. Now, he's fully <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/01/43346851/surprisingly-feasible-software-engineer-shares-how-a-175k-second-job-helped-him-save-20k-in-just-two-months">embracing the &#8220;overemployed&#8221; lifestyle</a> and vows never to rely on just one job again.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">A Tough Lesson In Job Security</h2>
The developer <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/overemployed/comments/1jab7k7/never_quitting_oe_again/">shared</a> his story on Reddit, explaining how he had joined a small <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-invest-in-startups">startup</a> three years ago. As a contractor outside the U.S., he wasn't eligible for stock options but worked hard to help the company grow.
"There was a lot to be done, and boy, I did deliver <a href="https://in.benzinga.com/personal-finance/25/02/43820555/tech-ceo-calls-working-two-jobs-a-form-of-theft-and-deception-fires-engineers-earning-140000-for-holding-secret-second-full-time-jobs">even with a J2</a>," he wrote, referring to his second job.
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Over the years, the company became highly profitable, but his compensation barely changed—just a 2% raise in total. Despite that, he stayed because he liked the team.
Things changed in November when he found out his wife was pregnant. Wanting to prioritize his family and health, he decided to quit his second job and focus on his primary employer. At the start of the year, he requested a 15% raise, explaining that inflation had eaten into his earnings and that the company could afford it.
Fifteen days later, one of the company's founders scheduled a meeting. The message was harsh: They had found someone cheaper and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/03/44277188/a-poverty-sentence-heres-why-some-say-losing-a-federal-job-is-worse-than-being-fired-in-the-private-sector">no longer needed his services</a>.
Trending: Maker of the $60,000 foldable home has 3 factory buildings, 600+ houses built, and big plans to solve housing —<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/boxabl"> this is your last chance to become an investor for $0.80 per share.</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Embracing The Overemployed Lifestyle</h2>
After losing his job so suddenly, the developer quickly secured a new position. Not stopping there, he also lined up a second job and is considering adding a third.
"Never again will I be relying [on] the safety of my family on a single [employer]," he wrote.
His story resonated with many online, with commenters sharing similar experiences of being let go despite years of dedication. Others encouraged him to embrace the benefits of working multiple remote jobs.
One user shared a strikingly similar experience: "I casually requested 2 weeks holiday in advance due to my son being born. They responded with a &#8216;You are fired&#8217; 1 week before he was born. We were literally at the bottom for months because of this because I was not OEing then."
See Also: This Startup Is On The Brink Of A Huge Disruption To The $654 Billion Industry – <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/venhub-adv">Invest In It Before It Fulfills 800 Pre-Orders</a>
Another pointed out how companies exploit workers whenever they can: "At my J1, they offered to convert me to [full-time].&#8221; The person went on to explain how their entire team—many with pregnant wives—had been fired after relocating, then rehired a year later at lower pay. &#8220;These companies hate us," he said.
One user summed up what many have come to realize: "Companies don't care about you as a person, and managers will let you go if they think it makes their lives easier or they can pad their own pockets. I've got kid #3 on the way and I'm extremely hesitant to let anyone in on it professionally. Companies want you to be 150% loyal but refuse any loyalty back."
For this developer, the lesson was this: job security comes from diversifying income streams, not from company loyalty. And judging by the comments, he's far from alone in that realization.
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A Senior Developer Asked For A Raise After Having A Baby Learned A Hard Lesson About Job Security. Vowed To Never Rely On Just One Job Again

<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/stephanie-link">Stephanie Link</a>, Chief Investment Strategist at Hightower Advisors, on Wednesday shared her insights on key stocks, emphasizing Amazon's growing dominance, Palo Alto Networks Inc&#8217;s (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PANW#NASDAQ">PANW</a>) cybersecurity potential, Target Corp&#8217;s (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TGT#NYSE">TGT</a>) recovery efforts and NextEra Energy Inc&#8217;s (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NEE#NYSE">NEE</a>) valuation opportunity.
What To Know: Link highlighted Amazon's <a href="https://in.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/02/43847764/amazon-tightens-grip-e-commerce-accelerates-jpmorgans-best-idea-2025">expanding market share</a>, which grew by 410 basis points last quarter, with improving profitability. She expects further acceleration in the latter half of the year despite capacity constraints.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/AMZN/analyst-ratings">Amazon Analyst Ratings</a>
On Palo Alto Networks, she sees a $15 billion annualized revenue opportunity in platformization and views it as a stronger long-term play compared to CrowdStrike Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CRWD#NASDAQ">CRWD</a>), which she recently sold.
Target, down 24% since February, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/25/03/44360075/retail-giant-target-which-relies-on-china-for-30-of-its-merchandise-warns-of-profit-hit-as-trumps-trade-war-bites">has struggled with product mix</a> but is showing signs of recovery, particularly in discretionary spending. Link says sustained improvement could restore investor confidence.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44403637/fed-holds-rates-while-growth-forecasts-slip-inflation-projections-rise">Fed Holds Rates While Growth Forecasts Slip, Inflation Projections Rise</a>
Meanwhile, she initiated a position in Nextera Energy, noting its historically high valuation but seeing an opportunity now that it trades at 18 times price-to-sales. She praised its joint venture with GE Vernova Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GEV#NYSE">GEV</a>) in natural gas and data centers.
Additionally, Link named Boeing her top 2025 stock due to leadership changes and improving execution. She remains bullish on Palo Alto, Gap Inc&#8217;s (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GAP#NYSE">GAP</a>) turnaround under Richard Dixon, Target's resilience and Snowflake Inc&#8217;s (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNOW#NYSE">SNOW</a>) AI-driven growth under new management.
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Photo courtesy of Hightower Advisors

CRWD

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SNOW

Stephanie Link: 'Amazon's Market Share is Soaring' – Insights On Amazon, Palo Alto Networks, Target & Nextera Energy

NOV Promotes Jose Bayardo To President & COO And Rodney Reed To Senior Vice President & CFO

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