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Arhaus Inc is a growing lifestyle brand and omnichannel retailer of premium home furniture. The company offers merchandise in a number of categories, including furniture, outdoor, lighting, textiles, and decor through its Retail and eCommerce sales channels.

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A Trump presidency<a href="https://europeancapitalinsights.substack.com/p/europe-frets-about-recession-after?r=3nmatg"> has raised concern in Europe that a new round</a> of tariffs under his <a href="https://www.euronews.com/business/2024/11/04/how-much-could-trumps-tariffs-damage-europes-economy">administration will cause a economic recession</a> in Europe.
A trade war during Trump's four-year term would also increase the probability of the European Central Bank (ECB) cutting rates faster to spur growth. Analysts issued pessimistic outlooks for European economic growth after Trump won the election.
On election day, the US dollar rallied sharply, sending the euro to a four-month low and boosting Bitcoin by 10% to a record high. 
European stocks exposed to the US have already shown their vulnerability. A Barclays basket of 28 <a href="https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/europe-trump-win-outlook-trade-war-tariff-crypto-djt-election-2024-10">European stocks sensitive to US tariffs</a> has underperformed the broader STOXX600 index by 15% this year.
<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXct8vnUjY-sPthKAo54TyYzmMYbFqSL4UEAYKQ92gAtCRQgUelVyEGMtqrSv5-U9J6NvK7t574p40MtP_A5qNqhIcmcpalKh6Mo9wsCHR4vajc8gXwstW6pEO71UptWP9JJCG9DNX2_i2uFfEmKYzcnqF5rE03Y8J96wUCGAoSoj95B14a5yVE?key=heoBp3pffbhAPsc75vkVjtPK" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
European stocks vulnerable to Trump tariffs, Source: Barclays Equity Research&nbsp;
&#8220;Tariff concerns have been a drag on EU equities&#8217; relative performance year-to-date,&#8221; Barclays analysts led by Emmanuel Cau wrote in a note on October 23. A basket of European stocks at risk of Trump tariffs declined compared to those geared toward Democrat policies.&nbsp;
<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXfLgvwadHYOazAM9Zi-a21uG9w7SBpC9fl_QTuUaoa3Zmta_kqPhfkbiEU1xgFnSvUYlS6ptCm16qeL0eKpnr4tl4Pj77Qz28PN6Gn4NPCI-aS736Rq-lP9TRf94MPI5aXAeKN_myLiVpshQNhbRPYpEacxegs_pBRx9iSN?key=heoBp3pffbhAPsc75vkVjtPK" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
European stocks sensitive to Trump fall, Source: <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-06/european-stock-futures-drop-over-tariff-worries-as-trump-leads?srnd=phx-fixed-income">Bloomberg</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Trump Presidency Could Impact Europe's GDP</h3>
The European Union (EU) will need to confront the reality of a much different relationship with its largest trading partner from January 20. Previous <a href="https://www.euronews.com/my-europe/2024/10/24/would-donald-trumps-trade-tariffs-hurt-europe">tariffs on 6.4 billion in EU steel and aluminum</a>, alongside threats on automotive imports, have shown how US protectionism can reverberate through European economies.&nbsp;
Trump&#8217;s potential trade policies in 2025, including a proposed 10% to 20% <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/c0f1d1b9-8348-4b7d-8ab7-186fcf2ebbd1">tariff on European goods</a>, pose a substantial threat to European growth. Following Trump&#8217;s win, Goldman Sachs <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/783a573c-7ff3-461c-86f5-f194a89e3926">downgraded Europe's growth</a> for 2025 from 1.1% to 0.8%, citing limited European auto exports.
The German economic institute IW believes the <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/trump-presidency-could-deal-heavy-blow-germanys-flagging-economy-2024-10-24/">Eurozone&#8217;s GDP could decline by 1.5%</a> in 2027 and 2028. Goldman Sachs expects a 1% reduction if a 10% universal tariff is implemented instead.
Historically, Trump&#8217;s tariffs have hampered European growth due to steep declines in exports, a trend that could repeat. Major exports to the US accounted for ~90% of all European transatlantic exports in 2023 to €502.3 billion, European Commission (EC) data showed.&nbsp;
<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXcvDK80Z1hUJyXyvBBoAMMZeFNr-xIVF1HOlXtj5f6tyZXetVpHGPs9afu43LAEz62sGA2rBTRYFExGxZIpot6NEMoR9FSz8MZpQOWeaegFSiq-af0hbjlqRKJQcifBBKtRYdpvm-brz9WvSj6543imX5QpjbXn9iE8MSyrl2c9XKSTRVJvkWo?key=heoBp3pffbhAPsc75vkVjtPK" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
EU trade with the US by product, Source: European Commission
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Trump Presidency Could Cause Eurozone GDP Loos</h3>
The blow to the Eurozone from a potential 1.5% GDP reduction could translate to a €260 billion loss on an estimated GDP of €17.4 trillion for 2024. This is over half the entire transatlantic exports registered in 2023.
"The direct effects and the indirect effects and the <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-11-06/ecb-s-guindos-warns-of-huge-implications-of-trump-tariff-plans">deviations of commerce will be huge</a>, ECB Vice-President and French central bank head Francois Villeroy said on Wednesday.
Even the lower end of the proposed tariffs would compel ECB policymakers to cut rates more aggressively in 2025 if Trump implements his economic policies. Sven Jari Stehn of Goldman Sachs said in a note on Wednesday that he expects the ECB to cut an additional quarter-point in July.
&#8220;The American election must sound like <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/ecbs-villeroy-trump-election-means-more-risks-world-economy-2024-11-06/">a wakeup call for Europe</a>,&#8221; Villeroy said.&nbsp;
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Germany At Greater Risk From Trump Presidency</h3>
Nations with large trade surpluses with the US face significant risks from policies that have strained transatlantic economic relationships in the past.&nbsp;
&#8220;Half of Germany&#8217;s growth always comes from exports and if you look at what&#8217;s going on in the world, you have to say that this pillar is under attack,&#8221; Germany's Economy Minister Robert Habeck said in October.&nbsp;
Germany exported over €157.7 billion of goods to the US in 2023. However, exports to the US contracted by 0.3% amid slowing demand and geopolitical escalation.&nbsp;
<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXcunKZmSO2PXjTxoH5i3tumZTnE67LZaCy7n4plCOQCM-KaRa1NuHKfI4lwpeo7MwLbb0Aqn3RC9uLnOkJStOR3w4q2RuS55tghIU6m7QH1DLzfjJN5JdP3W4yQjJtarOqVnK06z5h7keeKLRkVAAEVOWJuwmL_gOl6HSiH65l3dYNqP9_E8Tc?key=heoBp3pffbhAPsc75vkVjtPK" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
Germany Exports to the US, 2012-2023, Source: Tradingeconomics
Dirk Schumacher, head of European macro research at Natixis Corporate &amp; Investment Banking Germany, says a 10% tariff increase could reduce Germany&#8217;s GDP by approximately 0.5%. A study by the Hans Boeckler Foundation macroeconomic institute suggests a <a href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/trump-presidency-could-deal-heavy-blow-germanys-flagging-economy-2024-10-24/">1% GDP erosion by 2026 if Trump implemented a 20% tarif</a>f.&nbsp;
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Germany Is Only G7 Nation Without Growth For Two Years</h3>
Germany remains the only G7 nation that has <a href="https://www.euronews.com/business/2023/07/30/germany-expected-to-be-only-major-economy-not-to-grow-this-year">failed to grow for two years</a> due to higher energy prices, borrowing costs, and a slow rebound in China. Europe&#8217;s largest economy would suffer if its largest trading partner reduced output and imposed tariffs on China.
<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXfbVgaykBooXaV2_V2tFat4uPtjSxEtqJGbs1aXsckrchdNTyahnrivFRGcxzAeLoaUgFZv01KIV-g8Yk9HsuFFKgTBaSOSnOMknWvtj2G33RbD160IYtL7hnpn4l8SEaHdqM7rlcRtquZTqdr_AIIQEqM4qaXq4XQsubxXGLI35Dt86aCL_ds?key=heoBp3pffbhAPsc75vkVjtPK" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
German Exports to China, 2020-2024, Source: <a href="https://www.ceicdata.com/en/germany/trade-statistics-by-country/exports-china">CEIC</a>
&#8220;Germany isn&#8217;t going to be bailed out by a restoration of growth in China," Jacob Funk Kirkegaard, senior fellow at Bruegel and the Peterson Institute for International Economics, told Reuters.
An Ifo study found that German exports to China and the US could fall by 9.6% and 14.9% in a full-scale trade war scenario in which the US imposes a 60% tariff on Chinese goods. Pharmaceutical and car exports would be hit the hardest, down 35% and 32%, the Ifo said.
Trump's tariffs would substantially trim European exports to the US, possibly creating a cycle of retaliation.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Swift Retaliatory Action From Europe</h3>
Nigel Green, CEO of deVere Group, believes that Trump's presidency would initiate a new trade war with Europe but sounded the alarm of swift retaliation.&nbsp;
"The market is <a href="https://www.financialmirror.com/2024/10/29/trump-trade-war-with-europe-would-hurt-us-stocks/">underestimating the risk of swift European retaliation</a> and the pressure this could place on key American stocks," he said.
Retaliatory measures could hit US earnings in the S&amp;P 500 by 1.5% next year. However, European stocks exposed to US tariffs could plunge as much as 7%, according to Barclays.&nbsp;
&#8220;In the event of a full-blown trade war, we could see up to a high single-digit drag on EPS growth with Germany," Barclays' head of European equity strategy, Emmanuel Cau, said. However, Goldman Sachs believes that a 1% GDP loss, if transported, would erase EPS growth for 2025.
Certain European sectors could still gain from a Trump presidency.&nbsp;
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Defense Will Benefit From Trump Presidency&nbsp;</h3>
In addition to the energy sector, defense companies could see increased demand from European nations under a Trump Presidency. He is likely to push them to increase their NATO defense spending.&nbsp;
Earlier in 2024, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/14/nato-chief-rebukes-donald-trump-and-announces-record-defence-spending">he threatened to "not protect"</a> any alliance members that failed to ramp up their defense spending to the 2% GDP target.&nbsp;
Following the warning, NATO claimed that more than 18 members would <a href="https://www.euractiv.com/section/defence-and-security/news/nato-says-18-members-will-reach-2-spending-target-this-year/">surpass the 2% target </a>this year. The number of allies meeting or exceeding the target soared to 23 this year, prompting <a href="https://breakingdefense.com/2024/10/trump-wants-nato-to-hit-3-percent-gdp-on-defense-the-us-could-fall-short/">Trump to raise the bar to 3% of GDP</a>.&nbsp;
<figure class="wp-block-image is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://lh7-rt.googleusercontent.com/docsz/AD_4nXeZHW4VZpdEt-DWO4ekjR7UlrTXpLl0U3oYjPArwQ23JgwiOyv-MQt9EkTOATSvEu0hHQ9HLnkkQbdG2dmLCJQVZm42BqZNmLcIE_HEdaNGpHnBJJuZWpF2fF_xp61i66oBsWk44hSOdsCcbrEs91RBX3N4R3C_fDi1DQetJh3FM3SV4dgExw?key=heoBp3pffbhAPsc75vkVjtPK" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
NATO members&#8217; defense expenditure as a share of GDP, 2024e, Source: <a href="https://www.nato.int/nato_static_fl2014/assets/pdf/2024/6/pdf/240617-def-exp-2024-en.pdf">NATO</a>
After taking office, Mark Rutte, the new Secretary General of NATO, said, &#8220;thanks to Trump&#8221; NATO increased defense spending. In Europe, <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2024/7/11/how-much-does-each-nato-country-spend-in-2024">Poland doubled the defense spending target</a> at 4.12% and Estonia by 3.43%, followed by Latvia and Greece.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">European Stocks For Trump Presidency</h3>
Poland, Estonia, Latvia, and Greece have been increasing their defense spending and primarily source military equipment from a combination of US and European defense contractors.&nbsp;
<a href="https://www.nationaldefensemagazine.org/articles/2024/9/24/politics-of-war-color-polands-record-defense-spending#:~:text=Poland's%20recent%20procurement%20deals%20with,loan%20agreement%20announced%20in%20July.">Poland agreed to buy 32 F-35 jets, Apache helicopters and Abrams tanks</a> made by American companies Lockheed Martin (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>)  and Boeing (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>) and <a href="https://www.defensenews.com/global/europe/2024/03/05/saab-wins-polish-mega-order-for-carl-gustaf-recoilless-rifles/">signed a contract with Saab </a>(OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SAABF#OTC">SAABF</a>) earlier in the year to supply ammunition, training equipment, and recoilless rifles. It also awaits delivery of Raytehon's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>) LTAMDS radars for its Patriot systems. 
Estonia has<a href="https://www.defensenews.com/global/europe/2023/06/13/estonias-global-arms-buying-spree-seeks-drastic-combat-gains/"> existing ties</a> with Germany&#8217;s Rheinmetall (OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RNMBY#OTC">RNMBY</a>), <a href="https://eng.lsm.lv/article/society/defense/04.07.2024-latvia-currently-in-natos-top-four-on-defense-spending.a560311/">Latvia with LMT</a> and <a href="https://www.airforce-technology.com/news/greece-orders-additional-rafale-jets/">Greece with French manufacturer</a> Dassault Aviation (OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DUAVF#OTC">DUAVF</a>), along with LMT, <a href="https://www.naval-technology.com/news/us-approves-sale-of-mmsc-ships-greece/?cf-view">BAE Systems </a>(OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAESY#OTC">BAESY</a>)<a href="https://www.naval-technology.com/news/us-approves-sale-of-mmsc-ships-greece/?cf-view"> and repair leader VSE </a>(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VSEC#NASDAQ">VSEC</a>).
Disclaimer:
Any opinions expressed in this article are not to be considered investment advice and are solely those of the authors. European Capital Insights is not responsible for any financial decisions made based on the contents of this article. Readers may use this article for information and educational purposes only.
This article is from an unpaid external contributor. It does not represent Benzinga&#8217;s reporting and has not been edited for content&nbsp;or&nbsp;accuracy.

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Trump Presidency Raises Concerns About European Recession

Canaccord Genuity analyst Maria Ripps maintains Zillow Gr (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ZG#NASDAQ">ZG</a>) with a Hold and raises the price target from $56 to $64.

News

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Canaccord Genuity Maintains Hold on Zillow Gr, Raises Price Target to $64

Canaccord Genuity analyst George Gianarikas maintains Wolfspeed (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WOLF#NYSE">WOLF</a>) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $25 to $18.

WOLF

Canaccord Genuity Maintains Buy on Wolfspeed, Lowers Price Target to $18

Canaccord Genuity analyst George Gianarikas maintains Wallbox (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WBX#NYSE">WBX</a>) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $3.25 to $1.5.

Canaccord Genuity Maintains Buy on Wallbox, Lowers Price Target to $1.5

Gilead Sciences Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GILD#NASDAQ">GILD</a>) stock is trading higher on Thursday after the company reported better-than-expected third-quarter financial results and raised its <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/24/11/b41786284/gilead-sciences-announces-third-quarter-2024-financial-results" rel="noreferrer noopener">fiscal year 2024 guidance</a>.
On Wednesday after market, Gilead reported third-quarter adjusted EPS of $2.02, down from $2.29 a year ago, beating the consensus of $1.55.
The HIV drug maker reported sales of $7.55 billion, up 7% year over year, beating the consensus of $7 billion, primarily due to higher sales in HIV and Veklury&nbsp;(remdesivir), Oncology and Liver Disease.
Also Read: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/biotech/24/10/41434127/gilead-sciencesmercks-investigational-once-weekly-hiv-combo-therapy-shows-sustained-virus-suppres" rel="noreferrer noopener">Gilead Sciences/Merck&#8217;s Investigational Once-Weekly HIV Combo Therapy Shows Sustained Virus Suppression To 48 Weeks</a>
HIV&nbsp;product sales increased 9% to $5.1 billion, with Biktarvy sales increased 13% to $3.5 billion. Descovy&nbsp;sales jumped 15% to $586 million.
The&nbsp;Liver Disease&nbsp;portfolio sales increased 4% to $733 million. Veklury&nbsp;sales increased 9% to $692 million.
&#8220;Gilead&#8217;s third-quarter results are the strongest of the year to date, with 7% year-over-year revenue growth, including 13% year-over-year growth for Biktarvy,&#8221; said Daniel O&#8217;Day, Chairman and CEO.
Guidance: Gilead Sciences raised its fiscal year 2024 adjusted EPS guidance from $3.60 &#8211; $3.90 to $4.25 &#8211; $4.45 compared to the consensus of $3.81.
The company expects 2024 product sales of $27.8 billion &#8211; $28.1 billion compared to <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/08/40291958/analysts-cite-improved-investor-sentiment-for-gilead-but-warn-of-limited-growth-at-" rel="noreferrer noopener">prior guidance of</a> $27.1 billion &#8211; $27.5 billion.
Analysts&#8217; reaction:
<ul>
<li>Piper Sandler maintains Gilead Sciences with an Overweight, raising the price <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/GILD/analyst-ratings" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">target from $95 to $105</a>.</li>
<li>Barclays reaffirms Gilead with an Equal-Weight rating while boosting the price target from $84 to $95.</li>
<li>Wells Fargo maintains Gilead with an Overweight rating, raising the price target from $100 to $105.</li>
<li>Cantor Fitzgerald reiterates Gilead with a Neutral rating, increasing the price target from $70 to $80.</li>
<li>Goldman Sachs maintains Gilead&#8217;s Neutral rating, lifting the price target from $74 to $84.</li>
<li>RBC Capital maintains Gilead&#8217;s Sector Perform rating and boosts the price target from $75 to $81.</li>
<li>JP Morgan maintains Gilead with an Overweight rating, raising the price target from $100 to $105.</li>
<li>Baird maintains Gilead&#8217;s Neutral rating, increasing the price target from $80 to $95.</li>
</ul>
Price Action: GILD stock is up 5.94% at $97.14 at last check Thursday.
Photo via Shutterstock
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41817807/elanco-animal-q3-earnings-profit-beat-new-products-and-stabilized-business-to-drive" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Elanco Animal Q3 Earnings: Profit Beat, New Products And Stabilized Business To Drive 2025 Sales</a></li>
</ul>

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GILD

HIV Drugmaker Gilead Reports Strongest Quarterly Performance Of 2024, Analysts Boost Price Target On Raised Outlook

Once you have been in the financial publishing industry long enough, you realize that people write a lot of what passes for content and analysis that have no idea how markets and economics work.
They know little to nothing about behavioral economics or balance sheet analysis.
They have never worked on a desk, been in a pit, dealt with a margin call, or taken panicked phone calls from investors after a market crash.
They have degrees in English, Communication, and, worst of all, Marketing.
They write about what everyone else writes about.
They care about clicks and not profits.
They can write an elegantly structured paragraph summarizing a recent PR puff piece, which is about as valuable as government peanut butter and cheese.
It fills space but does not have much value.
This becomes glaringly obvious when you read the nonsense that gets written about institutional buying and selling activities.
I regularly see articles that breathlessly announce that Vanguard has bought or sold a major portion of a company.
We also see announcements involving activity by BlackRock and Fidelity, and the articles imply that these purchases have some meaning.
They do not.
Vanguard and BlackRock are the largest purveyors of index funds. Their buying and selling may tell a story about fund flows, but the individual security activity is meaningless.
Fidelity is so big that if they look at a company, they accidentally cross the 5% ownership threshold that triggers an SEC filing.
Tracking institutional activity is valuable if you know which transactions matter and which ones do not.
Vanguard buying shares of Robinhood (Ticker: HOOD) and selling some Nikola (Ticker: NKLA does not mean anything to stock investors looking for potential bargains.
Several institutions with specialized information and vital track records buying into a beaten-up sector potentially has enormous value.
One of the most beaten-up sectors is real estate.
As all the Instant Experts on the Internet will inform you, real estate is the single worst asset class in the history of assets.
There is an excellent chance that no one will ever go into an office again.
We have so many apartments that the suburbs look like scenes from a post-apocalyptic Western, with tumbleweeds blowing through mile after mile of empty apartment buildings.
No one goes to shopping centers anymore.
Everything is delivered.
All those cars are just using the free parking spaces.
The banking system is so choked with bad real estate loans that it will collapse any day and be replaced by the newest top-secret penny crypto, which has the potential to make you a billionaire in a week starting next Tuesday.
I have heard these types of stories swirling around real estate before and during my career.
Texas real estate was a disaster in the 1980s, and you could barely give it away.
In the aftermath of the S&amp;L crisis in the 1980s and early 1990s, real estate attracted all sorts of negative attention.
It was even worse in the aftermath of the internet bubble bursting.
The Great Financial Crisis was the gold standard for toxic real estate conversations.
Each time the smart money piled in and made a fortune.
According to recent SEC filings, they are doing it again this time.
The Macquarie Group is a division of the Macquarie Bank in Sydney, Australia. The group handles the bank&#8217;s business and investing outside of Australia and has had quite a reputation over the years as a very shrewd and profitable dealmaker.
In the second half of 2024, Macquarie Group has been moving into US real estate.
The firm just filed forms with the SEC revealing it now owns over 5% of Lexington Realty Trust, an owner of single-tenant warehouse and industrial properties in Ohio, Indiana, South Carolina, Georgia, and Arizona.
The firm is clearly very bullish on the single-tenant industrial markets as it has also been buying shares of Plymouth Industrial REIT (Ticker: PLYM) this year.
The firm is also a large owner and frequent buyer of VICI Properties (Ticker: VICI), an owner of casinos with a strong presence in the Las Vegas market and an outstanding history of growing both cash flows and dividend payouts.
Robert Robotti is one of those under-the-radar value investors most people do not know exist, but since opening his doors over 40 years ago, he has crushed the markets.
Robotti recently filed paperwork with the SEC revealing that he now owns 9.7% of Five Points Holdings (Ticker: FPH), a master-planned community developer that combines residential, commercial, retail, educational, and recreational elements.
The Irvine, California, company does business in Orange County, Los Angeles County, and San Francisco County and has not been a favorite of the markets since its IPO in 2017.
Sam Levinson, the Chief Investment Officer at Glick Family Investments and member of the Five Points Board, has also been making large purchases of the stock recently.
The stock is ridiculously undervalued, with shares trading at 4.4 times free cash flow and 41% of tangible book value.
If Five Points just survives, you have a strong chance of at least doubling your money.
Robotti also accumulated shares of Legacy Homes (Ticker: LEGH), a builder of manufactured and tiny homes, earlier this year.
Smart money is moving into real estate at current prices.
For what it is worth, fund flows are even forcing indexers like Vanguard and BlackRock to buy real estate-related companies.
The Instant Experts of the Internet hate what the smart money is buying. That is an excellent buy signal in our book.

Opinion

HOOD

LEGH

PLYM

VICI

C-Suite Buys of the Week: Decoding Smart Money Moves in Real Estate

Canaccord Genuity analyst Richard Close maintains Waystar Holding (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WAY#NASDAQ">WAY</a>) with a Buy and raises the price target from $30 to $36.

Canaccord Genuity Maintains Buy on Waystar Holding, Raises Price Target to $36

Turning Point Brands, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TPB#NYSE">TPB</a>), a maker of branded consumer products, including alternative smoking accessories and consumables with active ingredients, announced its financial results Thursday for the third quarter ended Sept. 30, 2024.
The company behind Zig-Zag, a brand of rolling papers in the cannabis industry, said total consolidated net sales increased 3.8% year over year to $105.6 million.
Zig-Zag products&#8217; net sales, which accounted for 47% of total net sales in the quarter, increased 5.5% over the same period to $49.3 million, driven by strong performance in our North American Papers &amp; Wraps business and solid growth in cigars.
Graham Purdy, the company&#8217;s president and CEO, said Zig-Zag is on "a sustainable growth trajectory."
Zig-Zag Products segment gross profit increased 2.2% to $27.3 million. Gross margin declined 180 basis points to 55.4% driven primarily by product mix.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/24/08/40108639/zig-zag-segment-on-sustainable-growth-trajectory-turning-point-ceo-reports-7-yoy-improvement-in-">Zig-Zag Segment On Sustainable Growth Trajectory, Turning Point CEO Reports 7% YoY Improvement In Adjusted EBITDA, Raises 2024 Guidance</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Other Q3 Financial Highlights</h3>
<ul>
<li>Gross profit totaled $53.7 million, up from $51.6 million in the prior year's quarter.</li>
<li>Selling, general and administrative expenses amounted to $33.2 million, compared to $31.4 million in the third quarter of last fiscal year.</li>
<li>Net loss attributable to non-controlling interest totaled $16 000, compared to net income attributable to non-controlling interest of $35 000 in the prior year's quarter.</li>
<li>Net income attributable to Turning Point Brands amounted to $12.4 million, up from $10.8 million.</li>
<li>Total gross debt as of Sept. 30, 2024 was $250 million.</li>
<li>Net debt as of Sept. 30, 2024 was $216.4 million.</li>
<li>Ended the quarter with total liquidity of $92.4 million, comprised of $33.6 million in cash and $58.8 million of asset-backed revolving credit facility capacity.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">2024 Outlook</h3>
Turning Point increased its previous full-year 2024 adjusted EBITDA guidance from $98 million to $102 million to $101 million to $103 million, excluding CDS.
During the quarter, the company repurchased 26,978 shares of common stock for $1.1 million.
On Nov. 6, 2024, the board of directors of the company increased the company's share repurchase authorization by $77.9 million to an aggregate amount of $100 million.
Read Next:
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<li>&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cannabis/24/05/38620478/zig-zag-rolling-paper-sales-made-48-of-total-turning-point-brands-sales-in-first-quarter">Zig-Zag Rolling Paper Sales Made 48% Of Total Turning Point Brands Sales In First Quarter</a></li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">TPB Price Action</h3>
Turning Point Brands' shares traded 1.31% lower at $50.37 per share at the time of writing on Thursday.

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Coherent shares gained 5.3% to trade at $104.72 on Thursday.
These analysts made changes to their price targets on Coherent following earnings announcement.
<ul>
<li>Benchmark analyst Mark Miller maintained Coherent with a Buy and raised the price target from $90 to $112.</li>
<li>Susquehanna analyst Mehdi Hosseini maintained Coherent with a Positive and raised the price target from $120 to $125.</li>
<li>Citigroup analyst Atif Malik maintained Coherent with a Buy and raised the price target from $88 to $106.</li>
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